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Thread: Sunday 11-12-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

  1. #21
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    When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, November 12, 2017
    Where: Nissan Stadium, Nashville, Tennessee

    Preview: Bengals at Titans

    Gracenote
    Nov 10, 2017

    The Tennessee Titans aren’t winning pretty, but they keep winning. The Titans aim for their fourth straight victory when they host the Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday.


    The Titans are playing a third straight AFC North opponent after eking out wins over Cleveland (12-9 in overtime) and Baltimore (23-20) the past two weeks. Tennessee is tied with Jacksonville atop the AFC South, while the Bengals are two games behind Pittsburgh in the AFC North. The Titans have won seven of their last eight home games, including three straight. “That's what you have to do to win the division, that's what you have to do to be a playoff team, you have to win at home,” Tennessee coach Mike Mularkey told reporters. “We're trying to get our fans back, we've been trying to do that for a while now. I think it's been loud, and it's louder and louder for each game that we're playing.”
    TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Titans -4.5. O/U: 40.5


    ABOUT THE BENGALS (3-5): Cincinnati’s punchless offense has been unable to do anything on the ground, as rookie Joe Mixon leads the team in rushing with just 284 yards and is averaging a meager 2.9 per carry. The Bengals are minus-9 in turnover margin as they have coughed up the ball 15 times. The defense was excellent early in the season, especially against the pass, but has given up more than 400 yards in two of the team's last three games.
    ABOUT THE TITANS (5-3): Tennessee continues winning despite inconsistency on both sides of the ball. The offense has been especially spotty, failing to top 300 total yards in four of the last five contests, and the passing game has been quiet. The Titans’ defense has been just as up and down but has thrived on takeaways, as it has forced 12 turnovers - including eight in the last four games.


    EXTRA POINTS
    1. Titans S Kevin Byard leads the league with six interceptions, including five in his last two games.
    2. Cincinnati has topped 100 yards rushing only once this season and was limited to a season-low 29 in last week’s 23-7 loss at Jacksonville.
    3. Tennessee QB Marcus Mariota has made 16 touchdown passes and thrown three interceptions in his last nine home contests.


    PREDICTION: Titans 23, Bengals 20




  2. #22
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    Trends - Cincinnati at Tennessee


    ATS TRENDS

    Cincinnati
    • Bengals are 12-4-2 ATS in their last 18 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
    • Bengals are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
    • Bengals are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games on grass.
    • Bengals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC.
    • Bengals are 3-9-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
    • Bengals are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
    • Bengals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 10.
    • Bengals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in November.

    Tennessee
    • Titans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
    • Titans are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.
    • Titans are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Titans are 16-34-4 ATS in their last 54 games on grass.
    • Titans are 15-33-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
    • Titans are 17-40-4 ATS in their last 61 games overall.
    • Titans are 8-19-3 ATS in their last 30 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
    • Titans are 14-35-2 ATS in their last 51 games following a straight up win.
    • Titans are 11-36-4 ATS in their last 51 vs. AFC.
    • Titans are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games in November.
    • Titans are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
    OU TRENDS

    Cincinnati
    • Under is 5-0 in Bengals last 5 games in Week 10.
    • Under is 6-1 in Bengals last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
    • Under is 4-1 in Bengals last 5 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
    • Under is 4-1 in Bengals last 5 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
    • Under is 10-3 in Bengals last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
    • Under is 16-5 in Bengals last 21 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
    • Under is 16-5 in Bengals last 21 games in November.
    • Under is 12-4 in Bengals last 16 games overall.
    • Under is 6-2 in Bengals last 8 road games.
    • Under is 20-7 in Bengals last 27 vs. AFC.
    • Over is 22-8 in Bengals last 30 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
    • Under is 19-7 in Bengals last 26 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
    • Under is 5-2 in Bengals last 7 games following a straight up loss.
    • Under is 12-5 in Bengals last 17 games on grass.
    • Under is 9-4 in Bengals last 13 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.
    • Under is 11-5 in Bengals last 16 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

    Tennessee
    • Over is 4-1 in Titans last 5 games following a straight up win.
    • Over is 4-1-1 in Titans last 6 games in November.
    • Under is 4-1 in Titans last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
    • Over is 11-3-1 in Titans last 15 vs. a team with a losing record.
    • Over is 13-5-1 in Titans last 19 games following a ATS loss.
    • Over is 5-2 in Titans last 7 games overall.
    • Over is 10-4-1 in Titans last 15 home games.
    • Over is 36-15-3 in Titans last 54 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
    • Over is 7-3 in Titans last 10 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Over is 15-7-1 in Titans last 23 games on grass.
    HEAD TO HEAD

    • Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
    • Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Tennessee.
    • Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

  3. #23
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    When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, November 12, 2017
    Where: FedEx Field, Landover, Maryland

    Preview: Vikings at Redskins

    Gracenote
    Nov 10, 2017

    The Minnesota Vikings have won four in a row to claim a two-game cushion atop the NFC North, but that hardly means Case Keenum's job is secure behind center. With now-healthy quarterback Teddy Bridgewater looming on the horizon, the 29-year-old Keenum looks to strengthen his grip on the starting reins as the Vikings return from their bye to visit the Washington Redskins on Sunday.

    "We'll just see how it goes," coach Mike Zimmer said, providing little clarity on the issue. "We'll see where we are at, where we're going. Case has done great. We'll just keep going from there and see how this thing all plays out." Keenum has been successful, albeit unspectacular during the win streak, averaging 213.75 yards while throwing for four touchdowns total against three interceptions. Washington's Kirk Cousins completed over 66 percent of his passes for the fourth straight week in a 17-14 win over Seattle, and hopes a return to FedEx Field can provide a boost as he has thrown for 958 yards and six touchdowns in his last three home games. Rob Kelley found the end zone twice versus the Seahawks, but his 37 yards rushing on 22 carries over the last two weeks hardly instills confidence in the running game.
    TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Vikings -1.5. O/U: 42

    ABOUT THE VIKINGS (6-2): Keenum would be wise to locate Stefon Diggs, who tied a career high with 13 catches for 164 yards receiving in last season's 26-20 loss to Washington on Nov. 13. Fellow wideout Adam Thielen (team-leading 48 receptions) ranks sixth in the league with 627 yards while tight end Kyle Rudolph has found the end zone in three straight meetings with the Redskins. Running back Jerick McKinnon has provided a boon in the passing game with 20 receptions in the last four games and four overall touchdowns in that span.
    ABOUT THE REDSKINS (4-4): Washington's pass catchers are riddled with injuries, with tight end Jordan Reed and wideout Jamison Crowder nursing ailing hamstrings. While their availability for Sunday is in jeopardy, coach Jay Gruden expects Vernon Davis to be "fine" despite the veteran tight end sporting a misshapen right hand that has ballooned due to swelling. The 33-year-old Davis showed he had plenty of gas in the tank last week with team highs in receptions (six) and receiving yards (72), and he enters Sunday's tilt with four touchdowns in his last four encounters with the Vikings.

    EXTRA POINTS

    1. Washington LB Zach Brown has recorded 26 of his NFL-best 86 tackles in the last three games, but his availability is in question after missing practice on Thursday with an ankle injury.

    2. Minnesota DE Everson Griffen, who has sat out back-to-back practices with a foot injury, can set an NFL record by collecting a sack in his ninth straight game on Sunday.

    3. Redskins RB Chris Thompson leads the team in rushing yards (251), receptions (35) and receiving yards (453).

    PREDICTION: Vikings 20, Redskins 17



  4. #24
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    Trends - Minnesota at Washington


    ATS TRENDS

    Minnesota
    • Vikings are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games following a ATS win.
    • Vikings are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up win.
    • Vikings are 38-15 ATS in their last 53 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
    • Vikings are 36-15 ATS in their last 51 games overall.
    • Vikings are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Vikings are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
    • Vikings are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games.
    • Vikings are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
    • Vikings are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a bye week.

    Washington
    • Redskins are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
    • Redskins are 8-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
    • Redskins are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
    • Redskins are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 10.
    • Redskins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC.
    • Redskins are 3-12-3 ATS in their last 18 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
    • Redskins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
    • Redskins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
    • Redskins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.
    • Redskins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.
    • Redskins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
    • Redskins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
    • Redskins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
    OU TRENDS

    Minnesota
    • Over is 4-0-1 in Vikings last 5 games in Week 10.
    • Under is 4-1 in Vikings last 5 games following a bye week.
    • Under is 9-3 in Vikings last 12 games following a straight up win.
    • Under is 6-2-1 in Vikings last 9 games in November.
    • Under is 5-2 in Vikings last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
    • Under is 10-4-1 in Vikings last 15 games on grass.
    • Under is 5-2 in Vikings last 7 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
    • Under is 17-7-1 in Vikings last 25 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
    • Under is 16-7-1 in Vikings last 24 road games.
    • Under is 22-10 in Vikings last 32 vs. NFC.

    Washington
    • Over is 6-1 in Redskins last 7 games in Week 10.
    • Over is 11-2 in Redskins last 13 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Over is 5-1 in Redskins last 6 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
    • Over is 14-3 in Redskins last 17 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
    • Over is 4-1 in Redskins last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
    • Over is 22-6 in Redskins last 28 games on grass.
    • Over is 22-7 in Redskins last 29 games overall.
    • Over is 20-7 in Redskins last 27 vs. NFC.
    • Over is 5-2 in Redskins last 7 games in November.
    • Over is 10-4 in Redskins last 14 home games.
    • Over is 20-8 in Redskins last 28 games following a ATS win.
    • Over is 9-4 in Redskins last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.
    HEAD TO HEAD

    • Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
    • Home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
    • Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

  5. #25
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    When: 4:05 PM ET, Sunday, November 12, 2017
    Where: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum, Los Angeles, California

    Preview: Texans at Rams

    Gracenote
    Nov 10, 2017

    Unlike their next opponent, the bye week did not cause the Los Angeles Rams to lose any steam, and they look to keep the pedal pressed to the floor when they host the Houston Texans on Sunday. Los Angeles outscored its foes 60-17 in winning back-to-back games prior to the bye and returned from the break to put a 51-17 beating on the New York Giants last week.

    The triumph, which helped give the Rams a one-game lead over Seattle in the NFC West, extended their winning streak to three games and marked the third time this season they eclipsed the 40-point mark. Jared Goff completed only 14 of his 22 pass attempts, but four were for touchdowns - including 52- and 67-yarders in the second quarter. Houston had won two of three before its bye week but has dropped two straight since, including last week's 20-14 setback against Indianapolis. The Texans, who are two games out of first place in the AFC South, again will turn to Tom Savage at quarterback for the second straight game in the wake of rookie Deshaun Watson's season-ending knee injury.

    TV: 4:05 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Rams -11. O/U: 45.5

    ABOUT THE TEXANS (3-5): Houston has been scrambling to add depth at the quarterback position since Watson's injury, as it has signed Matt McGloin, T.J. Yates and Josh Johnson over the past two weeks. McGloin, who played for Oakland from 2013-16, has since been released while Yates - who made seven starts in two previous stints with the club - and Johnson remain on the roster. The 31-year-old Johnson has not seen action in the NFL since appearing in two games with Cincinnati in 2013.

    ABOUT THE RAMS (6-2): Los Angeles leads the NFL in scoring with an average of 32.9 points per game after posting a league-worst 14-point mark in 2016. With last week's rout, the Rams became the 11th team in the Super Bowl era to record three victories with a margin of victory of at least 30 points over their first eight games of a season. Goff, who threw for 311 yards against the Giants, joined Todd Gurley - who rushed for a pair of scores in the win - as Rams who captured NFC Offensive Player of the Week honors this year with his performance.

    EXTRA POINTS

    1. Gurley leads the NFL with 10 touchdowns and ranks second with 1,024 yards from scrimmage.

    2. Houston WR DeAndre Hopkins has made seven of his league-high eight TD catches during his five-game streak.

    3. Los Angeles is just 2-2 at home this season.

    PREDICTION: Rams 44, Texans 10



  6. #26
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    Trends - Houston at L.A. Rams


    ATS TRENDS

    Houston
    • Texans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 10.
    • Texans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
    • Texans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
    • Texans are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
    • Texans are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
    • Texans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
    • Texans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

    L.A. Rams
    • Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
    • Rams are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 10.
    • Rams are 2-5-2 ATS in their last 9 games in November.
    • Rams are 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
    • Rams are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 home games.
    • Rams are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
    • Rams are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games on grass.
    • Rams are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
    • Rams are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
    OU TRENDS

    Houston
    • Over is 5-0 in Texans last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
    • Over is 5-1 in Texans last 6 games overall.
    • Over is 5-1 in Texans last 6 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
    • Under is 5-1 in Texans last 6 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
    • Under is 8-2 in Texans last 10 games following a ATS loss.
    • Over is 8-3 in Texans last 11 games in Week 10.
    • Under is 5-2 in Texans last 7 games on grass.
    • Over is 27-11 in Texans last 38 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
    • Under is 7-3 in Texans last 10 games following a straight up loss.

    L.A. Rams
    • Over is 6-0 in Rams last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
    • Over is 7-1 in Rams last 8 games on grass.
    • Under is 9-2 in Rams last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
    • Over is 9-2 in Rams last 11 games in Week 10.
    • Over is 8-2 in Rams last 10 games overall.
    • Over is 4-1 in Rams last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
    • Under is 5-2 in Rams last 7 games in November.
    • Over is 5-2 in Rams last 7 home games.
    • Under is 12-5 in Rams last 17 games following a ATS win.
    • Under is 7-3 in Rams last 10 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
    HEAD TO HEAD

    No trends available.

  7. #27
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    When: 4:25 PM ET, Sunday, November 12, 2017
    Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia

    Preview: Cowboys at Falcons

    Gracenote
    Nov 10, 2017

    This time, it seems, the Dallas Cowboys really will be without Ezekiel Elliott. A court denied the star running back’s request for an injunction Thursday, compelling him to begin serving his six-game suspension when the Cowboys face the host Atlanta Falcons on Sunday.


    Elliott has delayed his suspension related to domestic assault allegations through a series of appeals and court actions, but it appears the Cowboys will be without him for at least the next four games and likely the full six. Elliott has carried the load for Dallas during a three-game winning streak, and his pending absence changes the dynamic of the Cowboys’ offense. The timing is a much-needed break for Atlanta, which has lost four of its last five games and struggles to stop the run. The Falcons still are racking up yardage, but they’ve had a hard time finding the end zone.
    TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Falcons -3. O/U: 49.5


    ABOUT THE COWBOYS (5-3): Second-year quarterback Dak Prescott quietly is having another solid season with 16 touchdown passes and four interceptions, but he will have to do more for the Cowboys to be successful without Elliott. Alfred Morris likely will get a chance to be the main ball carrier for the league’s No. 2 rushing offense, but Prescott might have to throw it more after attempting just 80 passes over his last three games. The defense has turned in three of its best performances of the season in the last three weeks, forcing seven turnovers over that stretch.
    ABOUT THE FALCONS (4-4): Atlanta’s offense has fallen off after leading the league en route to a Super Bowl appearance last season. Matt Ryan has thrown 11 touchdown passes and seven interceptions on the heels of his MVP campaign a year ago, and the duo of Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman has been inconsistent as the Falcons totaled just 53 rushing yards in last week’s 20-17 loss at Carolina. Atlanta’s run defense has been all over the map and was gashed for 201 yards by the Panthers just a week after limiting the New York Jets to 43.


    EXTRA POINTS
    1. Dallas has not allowed 300 yards passing this season and has held three opponents under 200.
    2. Ryan has thrown a touchdown pass in 27 consecutive games, the longest active streak in the league, and has passed for at least 200 yards in an NFL-record 63 straight contests.
    3. Cowboys DE DeMarcus Lawrence ranks second in the league with 10 1/2 sacks and has recorded at least one in seven games this season.


    PREDICTION: Falcons 24, Cowboys 20




  8. #28
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    Trends - Dallas at Atlanta


    ATS TRENDS

    Dallas
    • Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
    • Cowboys are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a ATS win.
    • Cowboys are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games on grass.
    • Cowboys are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in Week 10.
    • Cowboys are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
    • Cowboys are 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

    Atlanta
    • Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Falcons are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. NFC.
    • Falcons are 37-14-1 ATS in their last 52 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Falcons are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
    • Falcons are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in November.
    • Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 10.
    • Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
    • Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.
    • Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
    • Falcons are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
    OU TRENDS

    Dallas
    • Over is 4-0 in Cowboys last 4 vs. NFC.
    • Over is 6-1 in Cowboys last 7 games in Week 10.
    • Over is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 games overall.
    • Under is 15-6 in Cowboys last 21 road games.
    • Under is 9-4 in Cowboys last 13 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
    • Under is 9-4 in Cowboys last 13 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
    • Under is 11-5 in Cowboys last 16 games on grass.

    Atlanta
    • Over is 6-0 in Falcons last 6 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Over is 12-2 in Falcons last 14 home games.
    • Over is 14-3-1 in Falcons last 18 vs. NFC.
    • Over is 13-3-1 in Falcons last 17 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
    • Under is 4-1 in Falcons last 5 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
    • Under is 4-1-1 in Falcons last 6 games on grass.
    • Under is 4-1 in Falcons last 5 games in Week 10.
    • Under is 20-6 in Falcons last 26 games in November.
    • Over is 19-7-1 in Falcons last 27 games overall.
    • Under is 8-3 in Falcons last 11 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
    • Over is 8-3 in Falcons last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.
    • Under is 17-7 in Falcons last 24 games following a straight up loss.
    • Over is 9-4 in Falcons last 13 games following a ATS loss.
    • Under is 13-6 in Falcons last 19 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
    HEAD TO HEAD

    • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
    • Favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

  9. #29
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    When: 8:30 PM ET, Sunday, November 12, 2017
    Where: Sports Authority Field, Denver, Colorado

    Preview: Patriots at Broncos

    Gracenote
    Nov 9, 2017

    The Denver Broncos are in a freefall and the prospect of stopping the tailspin doesn't look promising with the defending Super Bowl champions coming to town. The Broncos have dropped four in a row and will try to bounce back from an ugly beat-down when they host Tom Brady and the New England Patriots in a prime-time matchup on Sunday night.

    Denver was blasted by Philadelphia 51-23 last week in its third straight road game, but the team has enjoyed success at home against the Patriots and Brady. "It is the perfect opponent," Broncos quarterback Brock Osweiler said of New England. "I think any time you find yourself in a losing streak like this and not playing good football, you want to play a great opponent because if you can go out there and play a good football game and find a way to get a win, it's going to create a ton of momentum for your football team." The Patriots have ripped off four straight victories to move into a tie with Pittsburgh for the AFC's best record and are coming off a bye, but Brady has won only three of 10 career matchups against Denver in the Mile High City. "There's little margin for error when you go out there," Brady said. "They have a great defense. They have great players on both sides of the ball. You can't go out there and make a bunch of mistakes and expect to win."

    TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, NBC. LINE: Patriots -7.5. O/U: 46.5

    ABOUT THE PATRIOTS (6-2): New England has not been an offensive juggernaut during its winning streak, averaging just under 22 points per game, but Brady leads the league with 2,541 passing yards while throwing for 16 touchdowns and only two interceptions. Brady continues to spread the wealth, with five different receivers catching at least five passes in a 21-13 victory over San Diego before the bye, but wideout Chris Hogan is expected to miss the game due to injury. Tight end Rob Gronkowski, who has five touchdown receptions and is second to running back James White with 34 catches, missed last season's 16-3 victory in Denver. The Patriots owned the league's worst defense through four games but they have yielded an average of 12.8 points over the past four.

    ABOUT THE BRONCOS (3-5): Osweiler, set to make his second straight start following the benching of Trevor Siemian, beat the Patriots while with Denver in 2015, passing for 270 yards and a score in a 30-24 overtime victory. Duplicating that feat could be considerably tougher this time around with his three top receivers -- Demaryius Thomas, Emmanuel Sanders and Bennie Fowler -- and three of his starting offensive linemen all dealing with assorted injuries. The ground game needs to get untracked after C.J. Anderson, Devontae Booker and Jamaal Charles managed 35 yards on 21 carries in Philadelphia. Denver's defense is No. 2 in the league with 280.8 yards allowed, but ranks in the middle of the pack with 19 sacks despite the presence of linebacker Von Miller.

    EXTRA POINTS

    1. New England is 3-0 away from home this season, running its road winning streak to 11 games.

    2. Miller has 7.5 sacks, two forced fumbles and an interception in the last six matchups versus New Englands, playoffs included.

    3. Patriots coach Bill Belichick needs one win to tie Tom Landry for No. 3 all-time with 270 victories, including playoffs.

    PREDICTION: Patriots 23, Broncos 20



  10. #30
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    Trends - New England at Denver


    ATS TRENDS

    New England
    • Patriots are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
    • Patriots are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
    • Patriots are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
    • Patriots are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games.
    • Patriots are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
    • Patriots are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win.
    • Patriots are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games overall.
    • Patriots are 17-6 ATS in their last 23 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Patriots are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 vs. AFC.
    • Patriots are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a bye week.
    • Patriots are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
    • Patriots are 78-38-2 ATS in their last 118 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
    • Patriots are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
    • Patriots are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games in November.

    Denver
    • Broncos are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 10.
    • Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
    • Broncos are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
    • Broncos are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Broncos are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
    • Broncos are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
    • Broncos are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
    • Broncos are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in November.
    • Broncos are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. AFC.
    • Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.
    • Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
    • Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
    • Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
    OU TRENDS

    New England
    • Under is 4-0 in Patriots last 4 games overall.
    • Under is 5-0 in Patriots last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
    • Over is 6-0 in Patriots last 6 games in Week 10.
    • Under is 9-1 in Patriots last 10 games on grass.
    • Over is 6-1 in Patriots last 7 games following a bye week.
    • Under is 5-1 in Patriots last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
    • Under is 5-1 in Patriots last 6 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
    • Over is 21-5 in Patriots last 26 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Under is 10-4 in Patriots last 14 road games.
    • Over is 5-2 in Patriots last 7 vs. AFC.
    • Over is 5-2 in Patriots last 7 games following a ATS win.

    Denver
    • Under is 4-0 in Broncos last 4 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Under is 7-1 in Broncos last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
    • Under is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
    • Over is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games in November.
    • Over is 8-3 in Broncos last 11 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
    • Under is 8-3 in Broncos last 11 games following a straight up loss.
    • Under is 8-3 in Broncos last 11 games following a ATS loss.
    • Under is 8-3 in Broncos last 11 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
    HEAD TO HEAD

    • Home team is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
    • Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Denver.
    • Patriots are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Denver.

  11. #31
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    NFL opening line report: Early sharp action on Bills as home dogs in Week 10
    Patrick Everson

    The marquee matchup of Week 10 in the NFL features two teams that should be of playoff caliber, but only one actually playing that way right now. Covers takes a look at opening lines on a quartet of next weekend’s contests, with insights from Scott Cooley, odds consultant for offshore sportsbook Bookmaker.eu.

    Dallas Cowboys at Atlanta Falcons (no line)

    Defending NFC champion Atlanta won its first three games SU, but hasn’t looked good since then. The Falcons (4-4 SU, 2-6 ATS) are on a 1-4 SU skid, failing to cash in all five of those games. In Week 9, Atlanta had another lackluster offensive effort, unable to score in the middle two quarters of a 20-17 loss at Carolina as a 3-point favorite.

    Dallas has won three in a row SU and ATS to get its season back on track. The Cowboys (5-3 SU and ATS) dispatched Kansas City 28-17 Sunday as a 2.5-point home chalk.

    Bookmaker.eu is sitting tight on a line for this game, as the Ezekiel Elliott suspended/not suspended chronicles continue this week.

    “It feels like the Cowboys are finally catching their stride offensively, and the defense looked like a different, competent unit against Kansas City,” Cooley said. “That said, we have to wait to see what the next chapter is in the Ezekiel Elliott saga, because he certainly is worth something to the line. If he is ultimately suspended, Dallas will be a short underdog at Atlanta.”

    New England Patriots at Denver Broncos (+7)

    New England is tied for the best record in the AFC and coming off its bye week. The Patriots (6-2 SU, 4-4 ATS) have won four straight (3-1 ATS), including a 21-13 home victory over the Los Angeles Chargers giving 6.5 points in Week 8.

    Denver is a hot mess at quarterback, and even its normally reliable defense struggled in Week 9. The Broncos (3-5 SU, 2-5-1 ATS) got trampled at Philadelphia, 51-23 as a 7-point underdog.

    “Denver is in one of those situations where one side has given up because the other side isn’t performing,” Cooley said. “The offense is a mess, and there doesn’t seem to be a solution in sight. That said, you have to expect one of the Broncos’ best efforts here on Sunday night. This spread will likely head north, but there will be some value players on the home ‘dog with backs against the wall.”

    Minnesota Vikings at Washington Redskins (+2.5)

    Minnesota has a third-string quarterback and a first-place record heading into Week 10. The Vikings (6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS), behind Case Keenum, have won four in a row and five of six, rolling past Cleveland 33-16 as an 11-point favorite in Week 8 before getting a bye this past week.

    Washington (4-4 SU, 3-5 ATS) snapped a two-game SU and four-game ATS slide in Week 9. The Redskins got a late touchdown to upset Seattle 17-14 getting 8 points on the road.

    “Early sharp action came in on the Redskins, knocking this down to +2 quickly,” Cooley said. “Hats go off to Jay Gruden and his staff for staying competitive amid all of the injuries. It will be interesting to see if that ragtag offensive line can hold up against one of the best defenses in the league.”

    New Orleans Saints at Buffalo Bills (+2.5)

    New Orleans has to be among the bigger surprises this season. The Saints (6-2 SU and ATS) have won six in a row, covering every time after an 0-2 SU and ATS start. In Week 9, Drew Brees and Co. rolled Tampa Bay 30-10 as a 7-point chalk.

    Buffalo (5-3 SU, 5-2-1 ATS) went to MetLife Stadium last Thursday night as a 3-point favorite against the New York Jets. But the Bills left with a 34-21 outright loss.

    “Everyone is back on the Saints’ wagon with the win streak continuing, but we’re still just not sold on this team being completely turned around from what it’s been in recent years,” Cooley said. “The Buffalo offense will have a new weapon on display, and it feels like this spread should be closer to a pick ‘em. Early smart money was on the Bills.”

    That money quickly moved Buffalo to +2.

  12. #32
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    Wiseguys are advising that these Week 10 NFL lines are going to move
    Art Aronson

    The Rams (6-2 SU and 6-2 ATS) have morphed into an offensive power, scoring the most points in the NFC West by a 74-point margin, and the second-most in the NFC.

    Game to bet now

    Pittsburgh at Indianapolis (+10)

    Wasn’t it just a few weeks ago that Ben Roethlisberger was questioning whether he wanted to even play football? Things have certainly changed, as the Steelers now are riding a three-game win streak, have taken complete control of the AFC North and are tied with New England for the best record in the AFC at 6-2.

    Pittsburgh will play this one coming off its bye week against a Colts team with a newbie quarterback and in no way prepared to compete against elite teams. The line on this one has already crossed the Rubicon from 9.5 to 10, and is unlikely to change again unless heavy money comes crashing down on one side or the other.

    Game to wait on

    Houston at Los Angeles Rams (-11)

    Deshaun Watson’s season-ending injury, and the Texans' subsequent loss to the Colts this past Sunday, has rocked Houston into considering signing Colin Kaepernick - a move that would do the league a solid by taking pressure off outspoken owner Bob McNair and put an end to the QB’s embarrassing suit against the NFL.

    The Texans are in a deep hole at any rate, and now they have to contend with the most surprising team in the league. The Rams (6-2 SU and 6-2 ATS) have morphed into an offensive power, scoring the most points in the NFC West by a 74-point margin, and the second-most in the NFC.

    There are some moving parts in this line, not the least of which is to find early betting reaction to LA’s 51-point outburst against the Giants this past Sunday. The line probably hasn’t firmed up yet.

    Total to watch

    New York Giants at San Francisco (42)

    The Niners will eventually turn their team over to Jimmy Garoppolo, so what better place to open up their new toy than at home against one of the worst defensive teams in the entire league? The 42 number is obviously a nod to both team’s offensive shortcomings, but it ignores the fact that neither has shown any interest in stopping opponents. San Francisco is ranked 27th overall defensively, and the Giants are 30th.

  13. #33
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    NFL Week 10 lines that make you go hmmm...
    Peter Korner

    When Jacksonville wins, it wins big, with margins of 16, 27, 21, 37 and 22 points in victories this season. Can the Jaguars cover again in Week 10?

    Minnesota Vikings at Washington Redskins (-1.5, 42.5)

    The early offshore number came out with -2 on the Vikings and that quickly dropped to as low as -1 from the outset. I favor the offshore number, in fact, I made this Minnesota -2.5 to be honest.

    As good as Washington looks at times, its season has been an up-and-down affair. A quality win in Seattle doesn’t mask the fact that they can’t seem to win against other top teams in the league. Prior to last Sunday, the Redskins fell to Dallas, Philadelphia and Kansas City, and their lone win was against the cellar-dwelling 49ers.

    Minnesota has been pretty much lights out. Winners of four in a row, the Vikings defense has been their calling card. For six games in a row, they have not given up more than 17 points. This makes it a lot easier for the offense. Now, with a week off, both sides of the ball are well rested and ready to go. You have to think these guys are energized for this game.

    No matter who you like with a line this low, all your asking for is your team to win. The spread appears to be a non-factor. That’s why I believe the value is with the Vikings. The way this line is moving, you just might want to wait to see if this hits the Pick’em level by game day.

    Los Angeles Chargers at Jacksonville Jaguars (-3.5, 41)

    Again, the early number coming out from the offshores was -4.5 and that was quickly bet down to the current -3.5. And like Vikings-Redskins game, I agree with the bookmakers on this one. I’m riding the Jaguar Express while it’s hot and made this line closer to -5.5, bordering -6.

    Despite Philip Rivers’ mounting passing yardage, the Chargers don’t seem to be scoring a lot. Their offense is mustering less than 19 points per game, averaging only 17 the past three weeks. Certainly, there’s nothing wrong with their defense, but after losing their first four games of the season, their three-game win streak seems a little tarnished beating teams like the Giants, Oakland and Denver. Three teams that total just eight wins for the season.

    Jacksonville is hot. Add the return of top running back, Leonard Fournette, and the offense can keep some distance on the scoreboard. As for the defense, the Jaguars have held three of their last four opponents to single digits. When Jacksonville wins, it wins big, with margins of 16, 27, 21, 37 and 22 points.

    The momentum appears to be with the Jaguars, who are locked in a two-way tie for first place in the AFC South. Don’t be afraid of the hook - not when this game should be around a touchdown difference.

    Cincinnati Bengals at Tennessee Titans (-5, 40.5)

    Tennessee broke out of the gate at -5.5 and the line has been slowly creeping downwards, in some cases, as low as -4.5 at some books. I’m with the early money on this one. I made this no higher than -3.5 and was thinking -3 (-120) was better.

    Cincinnati traditionally is a betting favorite for good reason. And although they don’t always play up to their expectations, the Bengals are a team that has the perception that they can break out at any time. With WR A.J. Green dodging the suspension bullet, the Bengals appear to be at their crossroads for this season. Their two losses in the past five weeks were to quality teams in Jacksonville and Pittsburgh. And if not for those defeats, they’d be in the thick of things in the AFC North. They’ll be in thicker things if they lose this week.

    Tennessee is mounting the W’s but peeling back the layers a bit reveals wins against Baltimore, Cleveland and Indianapolis. The Titans’ combined efforts have yielded a mere seven wins total. With an erratic offense, it seems that Cincinnati can stay close all game and even win this one straight up.

    After last week’s dismal display, I get the feeling the Bengals will have something to prove and will be highly energized to get this game underway. The value here is with the dog, grabbing as many points as you can.

  14. #34
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    NFL
    Long Sheet

    Week 10


    Sunday, November 12

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MINNESOTA (6 - 2) at WASHINGTON (4 - 4) - 11/12/2017, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WASHINGTON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 84-115 ATS (-42.5 Units) in home games since 1992.
    WASHINGTON is 84-115 ATS (-42.5 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
    WASHINGTON is 84-115 ATS (-42.5 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WASHINGTON is 1-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    WASHINGTON is 1-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GREEN BAY (4 - 4) at CHICAGO (3 - 5) - 11/12/2017, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHICAGO is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
    GREEN BAY is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
    GREEN BAY is 183-130 ATS (+40.0 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    GREEN BAY is 3-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    GREEN BAY is 4-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PITTSBURGH (6 - 2) at INDIANAPOLIS (3 - 6) - 11/12/2017, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PITTSBURGH is 103-73 ATS (+22.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PITTSBURGH is 2-0 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
    PITTSBURGH is 2-0 straight up against INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA CHARGERS (3 - 5) at JACKSONVILLE (5 - 3) - 11/12/2017, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LA CHARGERS is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
    LA CHARGERS is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.
    LA CHARGERS is 89-64 ATS (+18.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points since 1992.
    LA CHARGERS is 28-4 ATS (+23.6 Units) against AFC South division opponents since 1992.
    LA CHARGERS is 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
    LA CHARGERS is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA CHARGERS is 2-0 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
    LA CHARGERS is 2-0 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NY JETS (4 - 5) at TAMPA BAY (2 - 6) - 11/12/2017, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NY JETS are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
    TAMPA BAY is 62-37 ATS (+21.3 Units) in November games since 1992.
    TAMPA BAY is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CINCINNATI (3 - 5) at TENNESSEE (5 - 3) - 11/12/2017, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TENNESSEE is 29-51 ATS (-27.1 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
    TENNESSEE is 14-32 ATS (-21.2 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
    TENNESSEE is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    TENNESSEE is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
    TENNESSEE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NEW ORLEANS (6 - 2) at BUFFALO (5 - 3) - 11/12/2017, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BUFFALO is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
    NEW ORLEANS is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) against AFC East division opponents since 1992.
    NEW ORLEANS is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CLEVELAND (0 - 8) at DETROIT (4 - 4) - 11/12/2017, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CLEVELAND is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.
    DETROIT is 28-51 ATS (-28.1 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
    DETROIT is 59-84 ATS (-33.4 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
    DETROIT is 131-172 ATS (-58.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    HOUSTON (3 - 5) at LA RAMS (6 - 2) - 11/12/2017, 4:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    HOUSTON is 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
    LA RAMS is 180-227 ATS (-69.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
    LA RAMS is 180-227 ATS (-69.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
    LA RAMS is 81-116 ATS (-46.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
    LA RAMS is 139-179 ATS (-57.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
    LA RAMS is 60-93 ATS (-42.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
    LA RAMS is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) in home games in November games since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DALLAS (5 - 3) at ATLANTA (4 - 4) - 11/12/2017, 4:25 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ATLANTA is 1-0 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    ATLANTA is 1-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NY GIANTS (1 - 7) at SAN FRANCISCO (0 - 9) - 11/12/2017, 4:25 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NY GIANTS are 36-62 ATS (-32.2 Units) in November games since 1992.
    NY GIANTS are 33-57 ATS (-29.7 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
    SAN FRANCISCO is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN FRANCISCO is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN FRANCISCO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN FRANCISCO is 1-0 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
    NY GIANTS is 1-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NEW ENGLAND (6 - 2) at DENVER (3 - 5) - 11/12/2017, 8:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DENVER is 56-36 ATS (+16.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
    NEW ENGLAND is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DENVER is 2-1 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
    DENVER is 2-1 straight up against NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

  15. #35
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    NFL

    Week 10


    Trend Report

    Sunday, November 12

    GREEN BAY @ CHICAGO
    Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    Green Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Chicago
    Chicago is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
    Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

    CINCINNATI @ TENNESSEE
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
    Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee
    Tennessee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tennessee's last 7 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

    NEW ORLEANS @ BUFFALO
    New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    New Orleans is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 11 of Buffalo's last 12 games at home
    Buffalo is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

    CLEVELAND @ DETROIT
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Cleveland's last 16 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games

    PITTSBURGH @ INDIANAPOLIS
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games on the road
    Pittsburgh is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games when playing Indianapolis
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh

    LA CHARGERS @ JACKSONVILLE
    LA Chargers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
    LA Chargers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Jacksonville's last 9 games when playing LA Chargers
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 6 games at home

    NY JETS @ TAMPA BAY
    NY Jets is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
    NY Jets is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing NY Jets

    MINNESOTA @ WASHINGTON
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Washington
    Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games

    HOUSTON @ LA RAMS
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games
    Houston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
    LA Rams is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    LA Rams is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

    NY GIANTS @ SAN FRANCISCO
    NY Giants is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
    NY Giants is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing San Francisco
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing at home against NY Giants
    San Francisco is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against NY Giants

    DALLAS @ ATLANTA
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
    The total has gone OVER in 12 of Atlanta's last 14 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas

    NEW ENGLAND @ DENVER
    New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    New England is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games
    Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Denver is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against New England

  16. #36
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    NFL
    Dunkel

    Week 10


    Sunday, November 12

    Minnesota @ Washington

    Game 251-252
    November 12, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Minnesota
    137.462
    Washington
    134.571
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Minnesota
    by 3
    44
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Minnesota
    by 1
    42 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Minnesota
    (-1); Over

    Green Bay @ Chicago


    Game 253-254
    November 12, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Green Bay
    130.999
    Chicago
    133.435
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Chicago
    by 2 1/2
    33
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Chicago
    by 6
    38
    Dunkel Pick:
    Green Bay
    (+6); Under

    Pittsburgh @ Indianapolis


    Game 255-256
    November 12, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Pittsburgh
    137.137
    Indianapolis
    129.095
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Pittsburgh
    by 8
    37
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Pittsburgh
    by 10 1/2
    44 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Indianapolis
    (+10 1/2); Under

    LA Chargers @ Jacksonville


    Game 257-258
    November 12, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA Chargers
    131.637
    Jacksonville
    139.696
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Jacksonville
    by 8
    34
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Jacksonville
    by 3 1/2
    41
    Dunkel Pick:
    Jacksonville
    (-3 1/2); Under

    NY Jets @ Tampa Bay


    Game 259-260
    November 12, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    NY Jets
    131.994
    Tampa Bay
    127.567
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    NY Jets
    by 4 1/2
    39
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    NY Jets
    by 2
    43
    Dunkel Pick:
    NY Jets
    (-2); Under

    Cincinnati @ Tennessee


    Game 261-262
    November 12, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Cincinnati
    128.987
    Tennessee
    129.725
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Tennessee
    by 1
    37
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Tennessee
    by 5
    40 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Cincinnati
    (+5); Under

    New Orleans @ Buffalo


    Game 263-264
    November 12, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New Orleans
    136.164
    Buffalo
    140.512
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Buffalo
    by 4 1/2
    42
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    New Orleans
    by 3
    46 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Buffalo
    (+3); Under

    Cleveland @ Detroit


    Game 265-266
    November 12, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Cleveland
    121.425
    Detroit
    137.966
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Detroit
    by 16 1/2
    52
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Detroit
    by 11
    45 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Detroit
    (-11); Over

    Houston @ LA Rams


    Game 267-268
    November 12, 2017 @ 4:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Houston
    128.117
    LA Rams
    148.313
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Rams
    by 20
    51
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Rams
    by 11
    45 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    LA Rams
    (-11); Over

    Dallas @ Atlanta


    Game 269-270
    November 12, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Dallas
    132.555
    Atlanta
    138.903
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Atlanta
    by 6 1/2
    39
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Atlanta
    by 2 1/2
    50 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Atlanta
    (-2 1/2); Under

    NY Giants @ San Francisco


    Game 271-272
    November 12, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    NY Giants
    126.366
    San Francisco
    121.259
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    NY Giants
    by 5
    39
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    NY Giants
    by 2 1/2
    42
    Dunkel Pick:
    NY Giants
    (-2 1/2); Under

    New England @ Denver


    Game 273-274
    November 12, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New England
    133.249
    Denver
    131.245
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    New England
    by 2
    37
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    New England
    by 7 1/2
    46 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Denver
    (+7 1/2); Under



  17. #37
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    NFL

    Week 10


    Sunday's games
    Vikings (6-2) @ Redskins (4-4)— Minnesota won last four games, covered last three; they’re 1-1 in true road games, losing in Pittsburgh, winning 20-17 in Chicago. Vikings are 1-6 in last seven post-bye games, 1-7 vs spread in last eight- they held five of last six opponents under their total for that game. Washington evened its record with upset win at Seattle; they were outgained by 143 yards, with three new starters on offensive line. Home side won last four series games; Vikings lost 38-26/26-20 in last two visits here. Average total in last five series games is 57. Three of last four Redskin games went over total. NFC North teams are 12-9 vs spread outsider their division; NFC East teams are 14-10 vs spread, 8-4 as an underdog.

    Packers (4-4) @ Bears (3-5)— Green Bay lost its last three games, scoring 10-17-10 points; they aren’t very good without Rodgers, scoring four TD’s on (22) drives in last three losses. Chicago is 6-2 vs spread this year but they’re favored for first time this season here; this is first time in nine years they’re favored over Packers. Green Bay is 12-2 in last 14 series games; they won last seven visits here. Pack (-7) won first meeting 35-14 in Week 4, thanks to +4 TO ratio. Bears outgained Green Bay 308-260. Bears are 2-2 at home, allowing 15.8 ppg- they lost last three post-bye games, by 41-3-26 points. Under is 6-2 in Chicago games this season. NFL-wide, home favorites are 9-11-2 vs spread in divisional games. Since ’07, Bears are 15-28-3 as a home favorite; under Fox, they’re 0-4 as home faves.

    Steelers (6-2) @ Colts (3-6)— Pittsburgh won/covered its last three games, allowing three TD’s on last 31 drives; Steelers are 4-1 on road, winning by 3-17-6-5 points- they’re 12-7 in last 19 games as a road favorite, 2-1 this year. Colts lost three of last four games, are 2-2 at home- three of the four games were decided by exactly 3 points. Steelers won last four series games, last three all by 17+ points. Pitt won last three visits here, by 3-3-21 points. Pittsburgh lost its last three post-bye games; they were favored in two of them. Indy won/covered last four pre-bye games. Over is 5-2 in Colts’ last seven games; under is 7-1 in Steeler games this season.

    Chargers (3-5) @ Jaguars (5-3)— Jaguars outscored last four opponents 43-6 in second half of game. Chargers won three of last four games after an 0-4 start; LA lost four of last six post-bye games. Bolts are 3-1 as a road underdog this year, losing on road by 3 in Denver, 8 in Foxboro- they won at Giants/Raiders. Three of their five losses are by 3 points or less. Jaguars allowed 7-7-9-0-7 points in their wins, 27-23-27 in their losses; they’re 2-2 at home, 1-1 as a home favorite. Chargers won last six games vs J’ville, beating Jaguars each of the last four years, scoring 31+ points in last three meetings. Bolts won last three visits here. Last three Charger games stayed under total, as did three of last four Jaguar games.

    Jets (4-5) @ Buccaneers (2-6)— Winston (shoulder), Evans (WR) are out here; former Jets QB Fitzpatrick gets nod here under center for Tampa Bay- he is 34 years old, has 46-69-1 record as an NFL starter- he went 13-14 with the Jets the last two years. Bucs lost their last five games (0-4-1 vs spread), scoring total of 13 points in last two games (1 TD on 21 drives). Tampa Bay is 2-2 at home (under 3-1). Jets won five of last seven pre-bye games; they’re 1-3 on road, with only win 17-14 at Cleveland- their road losses are by 9-25-3 points. Jets are 10-1 vs Tampa Bay; their only loss to the Bucs was in 1984. Gang Green won its last three visits to Tampa, with last visit here in ’09. Jets have 2+ takeaways in each go their last five games (+5).

    Bengals (3-5) @ Titans (5-3)— Cincy is 1-3 on road this year, 1-2 as road underdog, losing road games by 3-15-16 points- their one road win was in Cleveland. Bengals were held to 148 yards on just 37 plays in dismal 23-7 loss to Jaguars LW- they were 1-8 on 3rd down, had only 8 first downs. Tennessee won its last three games, winning last two by FG each; Titans are 3-1 at home, 2-1-1 as home favorites- their home wins are by 6-14-3 points. Cincy won last two series games, 24-17/33-7; they won last two visits to Nashville- their last loss here was in ’04. AFC North teams are 8-9-1 vs spread outside their division, 3-3-1 as road dogs. AFC South teams are 10-7-1, 4-2-1 as a home favorite. Over is 5-2 in last seven Tennessee games.

    Saints (6-2) @ Bills (5-3)— New Orleans won its last six games after an 0-2 start; they’re 2-1 in true road games, winning at Carolina/Green Bay- they won last three games despite being -1 in turnovers in all three games. Saints allowed only 8 TD’s on their foes’ last 60 drives. Buffalo is 4-0 at home this season, allowing 17.3 ppg; Saints won last four series games, all by 12+ points; this is their first visit to western NY since 2009- NO won last three visits here, with lone loss in 1983. NFC South teams are 9-15-2 vs spread outside their division, 6-6-1 on road; AFC East teams are 12-7-2, 5-4-2 at home. Last three Buffalo games went over total; under is 5-1 in last six Saint games. Teams coming off of Thursday night games are 10-5-1 vs spread this season.

    Browns (0-8) @ Lions (4-4)— Short week for Detroit after rare win in Lambeau Monday night, which makes this a trap game for Lions. Detroit lost its last three home games, allowing 25.7 ppg- they’re 12-5-3 as home favorite under Caldwell, 1-1 this year. Cleveland is 0-9 (2-7 vs spread); they’re 0-2 as road underdogs this year, losing road games by 14-3-16 points. Browns are 1-5 (2-4 vs spread) in last six post-bye games. Detroit won last three series games, by 3-1-14 points; Browns lost 38-37 in their only visit here, in 2009. Browns’ last three road games went over the total. NFC North home teams are 8-5 vs spread outside the division; AFC North road underdogs are 3-3-1. Cleveland is -13 in turnovers this year, which helps explain the 0-8 mark.

    Texans (3-5) @ Rams (6-2)— Houston scored 7-14 points in losing both games Savage started this year; they scored 34.7 ppg in other six games, so Watson’s injury is crippling. Texans are are 3-0 vs spread as road underdog this year; all three games were decided by 4 or less points, but they were also all Watson starts. Rams are home for first time in five weeks; they won last three games, by 10-33-34 points. LA is 1-2 as a home favorite- they lost their last two home games, to Seattle, Washington. Wade Phillips coached with the Texans in 2011-13, was interim coach for three games. Road team won all three series games; Texans won 16-13 in St Louis in only road series games, in ’09. Over is 6-2 in Rams games this season.

    Cowboys (5-3) @ Falcons (4-4)— Falcons lost four of last five games after a 1-4 start; they’re 1-2 at home, losing to Buffalo/Miami in last two home tilts. Atlanta scored 23+ points in its four wins, 17 or less in four losses- they won last two series games 19-13/39-28; Cowboys’ last series win was in 2009. Teams split last six series games in Atlanta. Dallas won/covered its last three games; they won their last three road games. Cowboys allowed 42-35-35 points in their three losses. Dallas ran ball for 183.4 ypg the last five games; check Elliott’s legal status. Last five Atlanta games stayed under the total; four of last five Dallas games went over. Since 2013, NFL home teams are 5-9 vs spread if they played on road the previous three weeks.

    Giants (1-7) @ 49ers (0-9)— Not many 0-9 teams have been favored/pick ‘em in Game 10. 49ers were outscored 51-6 in first half of their last three games; they’re favored for first time this year. This will probably be Beathard’s last start for 49ers; they have bye next week, then Garoppolo figures to take over as the QB. Giants are 3-1 vs spread on road this year, winning at Denver in their last road game. Big Blue’s road losses are by 16-3-2 points, at Dallas/Philly/Tampa- they’ve allowed 400+ yards in their last three games- they allowed 14.1 ypa in rain last week. Big Blue lost field position in its last two games, by 11-14 yards. Giants won six of last eight series games; their last visit to SF was in 2012. Four of last six Giant games went over total.

    Patriots (6-2) @ Broncos (3-5)— Denver lost its last four games, giving up 80 points in last two games; their reality is none of its three QB’s are good enough. Broncos allowed TD on defense or special teams in three of last four games- they’re 3-1 at home, but loss was to the 1-7 Giants. New England won its last four games (3-1 vs spread); they’re 3-0 on road, 2-1 as a road favorite, with road wins by 16-5-7 points. Patriots lost six of last eight visits to Denver; they’re 2-3 in last five games with Broncos- two of three losses were playoff games. Since 2013, NFL home teams are 5-9 vs spread if they played on road the previous three weeks. Broncos covered four of last five tries as a home underdog. Last four New England games stayed under the total.

  18. #38
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    NFL's biggest betting mismatches: Week 10
    Monty Andrews

    Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals (+5.5, 41.5)

    Seahawks' lack of discipine vs. Cardinals' ability to draw flags

    The Seattle Seahawks are no longer the best team in the NFC West - shockingly, that monicker now belongs to the Los Angeles Rams. But the Seahawks can begin the climb back to the peak with a victory Thursday against the division-rival Arizona Cardinals. Seattle is favored by nearly a touchdown in this one, but the Cardinals have been far more disciplined this season than the Seahawks - and that might be the kind of advantage that could prove to be an equalizer.

    Seattle has gotten in its own way more than any other team in the league this season, racking up a mind-boggling 82 accepted penalties through its first nine games - nine more than the second-place New York Jets. The Seahawks' 673 accepted penalty yards also pace the NFL, and they're a distant 32nd in penalty flag margin (minus-31) and penalty yards differential (minus-232). Seattle picked up a whopping 16 penalties for 138 yards in last weekend's 17-14 home loss to the Washington Redskins.

    Winning the penalty flag battle could prove difficult against a Cardinals team that has had an advantage in that area for the majority of the season. While Arizona ranks in the middle of the pack with 55 accepted penalties, the Cardinals have drawn 68 flags - tied with Miami for the most in the league - for 566 yards, fifth-most overall. Arizona's plus-13 flag differential ranks third in the NFL - and a similar edge this weekend could put the Cardinals in position for an upset win.

    Pittsburgh Steelers at Indianapolis Colts (+10, 44)

    Steelers' potent pass rush vs. Colts' poor QB protection

    The Pittsburgh Steelers are well-rested and ready to get back to their Super Bowl quest - and this week looks like a tasty matchup, as they're giving away double-digit points to the Colts in Indianapolis. Pittsburgh reeled off three consecutive victories heading into its Week 9 bye, and rolls into Indiana facing a Colts team that just learned it will be without franchise quarterback Andrew Luck for the remainder of the season. Look for Pittsburgh's pass rush to capitalize on an Indy O-line that ranks among the league's worst.

    Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger and the rest of pittsburgh's offense has been up-and-down through the first half of the season, but the defense has been one of the league's most consistently elite units in football. The Steelers come into Week 10 with 26 sacks; only Jacksonville, Carolina and Dallas have more. Pittsburgh has eight sacks during its three-game run, while the Steelers' offensive line has surrendered just one sack over that same span.

    Heaven help the Colts, who will send Jacoby Brissett back under center this weekend. Indianapolis quarterbacks have been sacked 36 times so far this season, the highest total in the league; the Colts allowed just 44 sacks all of last season, and even that total was fifth-highest in the NFL. Brissett was taken down three times in last week's stunning win over the Houston Texans - and the Colts won't be so lucky if they can't protect their quarterback against one of the NFL's fiercest pass rushes.

    Los Angeles Chargers at Jacksonville Jaguars (-4, 41)

    Chargers' leaky run D vs. Jaguars' elite ground game

    The Jacksonville Jaguars suddenly have division title aspirations as they look to remain atop the AFC South standings with a victory this weekend against the visiting Los Angeles Chargers. Normalcy should return to the Jaguars' locker room after rookie running back Leonard Fournette was benched in Week 9 for a series of team violations. The Jaguars will need Fournette in the fold to take full advantage of the Chargers' questionable run defense.

    The Chargers have limited opponents to just 19 points per game so far, but they should consider themselves fortunate in that regard given how much they have struggled against opposing rushers. Los Angeles ranks 28th out of 32 teams in yards per carry (4.6), 29th in rushing first downs allowed per game (7.0) and 31st in rushing yards against per contest (135.1). The Chargers have only given up five rushing scores, but that will change if they don't tighten up against the run.

    This might not be the week the Chargers get right. The Jaguars boast the league's most potent rush attack, ranked first in yards per game on the ground (166.5) and second in yards per carry (4.8). And Jacksonville knows where its proverbial bread is buttered; it ranks first in the NFL in rush play percentage (52.9) and first in total rushes per game (34.8). It's no secret what the Jaguars' game plan will be - and the Chargers might not be equipped to do much about it.

    Dallas Cowboys at Atlanta Falcons (-3, 50.5)

    Cowboys' interception avoidance vs. Falcons' flailing secondary

    Dak Prescott and Matt Ryan were two of the top quarterbacks in the NFL last season. But, while Prescott has picked up right where he has left off, Ryan is scrambling to regain his 2017 form as he and the Falcons welcome Prescott and the Cowboys on Sunday. While there's still a possibility that the Cowboys will lose running back Ezekiel Elliott to suspension at some point, Prescott's play has put bettors' minds at ease - and should continue to do so against a subpar Atlanta secondary.

    The Cowboys registered the third-fewest interceptions in the NFL last season with six - and while they're on pace to surpass that total in 2017, it won't be by much. Prescott has had just four passes picked off through his first eight games of the season; only four teams have fewer interceptions. Prescott's consistency has been remarkable; he has completed between 63.5 and 64 percent of his passes in each of the past three games, without throwing an interception in any of them.

    Don't expect Prescott's INT total to climb against the Falcons, who come into Week 10 with a paltry two interceptions - ranking 31st out of 32 NFL teams. Atlanta's one interception return yard - that's right, one - is also 31st in the league. The Falcons also rank in the bottom half of the league in passes defended (33), while Prescott has had just 27 passes defended - tied for seventh-fewest in the NFL. It should be a low-pressure kind of day for Prescott, which could give the Cowboys a pivotal edge.

  19. #39
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    When: 3:30 PM ET, Sunday, November 12, 2017
    Where: TD Garden, Boston, Massachusetts

    Matchup Edge
    TOR Edge in: BOS
    Points Per Game
    Field Goal %
    Free Throw %
    Defense
    Rebounding
    Turn Overs
    Bench


    Preview: Raptors at Celtics

    Gracenote
    Nov 11, 2017

    Even when their leading scorer heads to the locker room early, the Boston Celtics can still lean on their league-best defense to keep their winning streak alive. The Celtics hope to have Kyrie Irving back at the head of that defense when they try to push their winning streak to 12 straight on Saturday against the visiting Toronto Raptors.

    Irving was bashed in the face by an elbow from teammate Aron Baynes, who was turning to box out after committing a foul on defense, and was sent home at halftime on Friday and will be monitored despite not being diagnosed with a concussion during initial testing. "I haven't talked to him," Boston coach Brad Stevens told reporters of Irving after his short-handed team pulled off a 90-87 win over the Charlotte Hornets to run the NBA's longest winning streak to 11 straight. "But he sent a text to a group of us right when we walked back into the coaches' office and it said, 'Way to go. Great win' ... So obviously he watched the end of the game." The Celtics are allowing a league-low 94 points per game but will be tested by a Toronto squad that averaged 120.5 points in back-to-back home wins. "The game is changing," Raptors coach Dwane Casey told reporters after watching his team outlast the New Orleans Pelicans in a 122-118 win on Thursday. "It's 3-pointers. It's a scoring game. You've got to be able to score, but also you have to have some semblance of defense and we didn't."

    TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, Sportsnet ONE (Toronto), NBCS Boston

    ABOUT THE RAPTORS (7-4): Most of Toronto's scoring is coming from star shooting guard DeMar DeRozan, who led the way with 33 points on Thursday and is averaging 30 over the last four contests to boost his season mark to 24.7. DeRozan is embracing the way Casey wants to open the offense this season and is averaging 2.6 3-point attempts while starting to hit them with some regularity -- 4-of-8 from 3-point range in the last two games. Fellow All-Star Kyle Lowry has never been shy about hoisting the ball up from beyond the arc and is averaging 6.3 3-point attempts but is shooting just 33.3 percent from beyond the arc, his lowest mark since the 2009-10 campaign.

    ABOUT THE CELTICS (11-2):
    Boston trailed by as many as 18 points on Friday and was playing without center Al Horford (concussion) in addition to Irving and Gordon Hayward (ankle), but an inexperienced group held the Hornets to 4-of-20 from the field in the fourth quarter to pull off an improbable win. "I remember during a timeout and Coach had said, 'We're going to win this game and this place is going to go crazy," point guard Terry Rozier told ESPN. "We were definitely down. We were down probably like 15. (Stevens) knew that we were going to win the game and the crowd was going to feed into it. It was going to be crazy, and that's exactly what happened." Shane Larkin came off the bench when Irving went down and finished with 16 points in 17 minutes to earn himself a larger role if Irving has to miss more time.

    BUZZER BEATERS

    1. Celtics G Marcus Smart is shooting 29.1 percent from the floor on the season and is 6-of-27 over the last two games.

    2. Raptors C Jonas Valanciunas grabbed double-digit rebounds in each of the last two games after failing to hit double figures in his previous four outings.

    3. Toronto took three of the four meetings last season and six of the last eight in the series.

    PREDICTION: Celtics 103, Raptors 99



  20. #40
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    Trends - Toronto at Boston


    ATS TRENDS

    Toronto
    • Raptors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
    • Raptors are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 vs. NBA Atlantic.
    • Raptors are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games playing on 2 days rest.
    • Raptors are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
    • Raptors are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.
    • Raptors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
    • Raptors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

    Boston
    • Celtics are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
    • Celtics are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
    • Celtics are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
    • Celtics are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
    • Celtics are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.
    • Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Sunday games.
    • Celtics are 21-7-1 ATS in their last 29 games overall.
    • Celtics are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up win.
    • Celtics are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games playing on 1 days rest.
    • Celtics are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 vs. NBA Atlantic.
    OU TRENDS

    Toronto
    • Over is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 Sunday games.
    • Under is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
    • Under is 4-1 in Raptors last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.
    • Over is 4-1 in Raptors last 5 overall.
    • Over is 4-1 in Raptors last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.
    • Over is 4-1 in Raptors last 5 games following a ATS loss.
    • Under is 11-4 in Raptors last 15 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
    • Under is 23-9 in Raptors last 32 road games.
    • Over is 18-8 in Raptors last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

    Boston
    • Under is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
    • Under is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 vs. NBA Atlantic.
    • Under is 7-1 in Celtics last 8 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
    • Under is 6-1 in Celtics last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.
    • Under is 5-1 in Celtics last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
    • Under is 4-1 in Celtics last 5 overall.
    • Under is 4-1 in Celtics last 5 games following a straight up win.
    • Over is 12-4-1 in Celtics last 17 home games.
    • Under is 9-3 in Celtics last 12 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
    HEAD TO HEAD

    • Raptors are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
    • Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
    • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Boston.
    • Raptors are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Boston.
    • Favorite is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
    • Home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

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