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Thread: Sunday 11-19-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

  1. #21
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    When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, November 19, 2017
    Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey

    Preview: Chiefs at Giants

    Gracenote
    Nov 17, 2017

    After limping into their bye week, the AFC West-leading Kansas City Chiefs hope to take advantage of a soft second-half schedule and pull away from the pack. That stretch begins with a trip to face the struggling New York Giants on Sunday.


    Kansas City was the best team in the NFL during a dominant 5-0 start, but it has stumbled to three losses in its last four games - including a 28-17 defeat at Dallas last time out. "We’ve got a lot of room to improve,” Chiefs coach Andy Reid told reporters. “We're not good enough right now, so we’ve got to keep working, so that's where it always starts. That's the one great thing about football, you always have something you can get better at." The Giants have plenty of areas in which they can improve – they’ve been outscored by 88 points during a 1-8 start and are coming off a 31-21 loss at previously winless San Francisco, which prompted a candid meeting. "We were brutally honest with each other," New York coach Ben McAdoo told reporters. "We'll see how the players respond, but we also talked about the great opportunity in front of us."
    TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Chiefs -10.5. O/U: 46.5


    ABOUT THE CHIEFS (6-3): Kansas City still boasts the No. 5 offense in the league, but the unit has slowed down some after a hot start led by Alex Smith and rookie running back Kareem Hunt. The Chiefs have totaled fewer than 325 yards in three of their last four games, and they’ve committed three turnovers in the past two contests after just one giveaway in their first seven games. The defense is a big concern for Kansas City, which ranks 30th in total defense but 19th in scoring defense thanks to 13 takeaways.
    ABOUT THE GIANTS (1-8): Eli Manning will make his 209th consecutive start at quarterback, but it seems more and more likely that his tenure in New York is winding down. The Giants have the 28th-ranked scoring offense in the league, and they’ve been even worse on the other side of the ball. New York ranks 31st in total defense and has surrendered at least 400 total yards in four straight games and five of the last six.


    EXTRA POINTS
    1. Reid’s teams are 16-2 in games following a week off.
    2. Giants rookie TE Evan Engram has caught a touchdown pass in four straight contests.
    3. Chiefs TE Travis Kelce has a touchdown reception in each of his last three games.


    PREDICTION: Chiefs 34, Giants 20




  2. #22
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    Trends - Kansas City at N.Y. Giants


    ATS TRENDS

    Kansas City
    • Chiefs are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
    • Chiefs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
    • Chiefs are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games.
    • Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
    • Chiefs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
    • Chiefs are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
    • Chiefs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

    N.Y. Giants
    • Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
    • Giants are 10-22-1 ATS in their last 33 games in November.
    • Giants are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Giants are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
    • Giants are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
    • Giants are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
    • Giants are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
    • Giants are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 11.
    • Giants are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
    • Giants are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
    • Giants are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
    OU TRENDS

    Kansas City
    • Under is 7-0-1 in Chiefs last 8 games following a bye week.
    • Over is 4-0 in Chiefs last 4 games following a straight up loss.
    • Under is 8-2 in Chiefs last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
    • Under is 4-1 in Chiefs last 5 games in November.
    • Under is 17-5 in Chiefs last 22 games in Week 11.
    • Over is 6-2 in Chiefs last 8 road games.
    • Under is 21-7 in Chiefs last 28 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Under is 23-10 in Chiefs last 33 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
    • Under is 35-17-1 in Chiefs last 53 games following a ATS loss.

    N.Y. Giants
    • Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 games in Week 11.
    • Over is 5-1 in Giants last 6 games following a straight up loss.
    • Over is 5-1 in Giants last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
    • Over is 17-4 in Giants last 21 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Under is 7-2 in Giants last 9 games on fieldturf.
    • Under is 7-2 in Giants last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.
    • Over is 6-2 in Giants last 8 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
    • Under is 6-2 in Giants last 8 home games.
    • Over is 5-2 in Giants last 7 games overall.
    • Under is 5-2 in Giants last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
    • Under is 7-3 in Giants last 10 games following a ATS loss.
    • Over is 11-5 in Giants last 16 games in November.
    HEAD TO HEAD

    • Under is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings.
    • Favorite is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
    • Chiefs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

  3. #23
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    When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, November 19, 2017
    Where: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida

    Preview: Buccaneers at Dolphins

    Gracenote
    Nov 16, 2017

    The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Miami Dolphins sure look weathered after an unexpected bye in Week 1 forced the teams to navigate their way through the season without any semblance of a break. With injuries accumulating at a rapid pace, the beleaguered Buccaneers and Dolphins look to get back on track at the other's expense Sunday in Miami.

    "I'm sure both teams, with the number of games we played and the number of guys both teams have banged up, I’m sure both teams would prefer to have a few days off," Tampa Bay coach Dirk Koetter told the Miami Herald. "That's just not the hand we were dealt." The Buccaneers had dropped five in a row before Ryan Fitzpatrick stepped in for an injured Jameis Winston (shoulder) and engineered two long scoring drives in Sunday's 15-10 win over his former team, the New York Jets. The 34-year-old Fitzpatrick has thrown five touchdown passes over his last two encounters with Miami, which has yielded at 40 or more points on two occasions during its three-game losing skid and fell to 0-3 on prime-time television with a lopsided 45-21 setback to Carolina on Monday. "This isn't acceptable. It's unacceptable," said Dolphins Pro Bowl defensive end Cameron Wake, who saw his team's top-10 run defense gashed for 294 yards on the ground by the Panthers.

    TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Pick. O/U: 40.5

    ABOUT THE BUCCANEERS (3-6): Pro Bowl wide receiver Mike Evans admitted he made a "bone-headed play" when he hit New Orleans rookie cornerback Marshon Lattimore from behind on Nov. 5, igniting fireworks between the NFC South teams and resulting in a one-game suspension for him. "If we were winning, I don't think I do that," the 24-year-old Evans said. "... I will never do that again. I like playing with passion and effort. But I've got to be calmer. I've go to be smarter." Tight end Cameron Brate, who likely is pretty smart considering he went to Harvard, is tied with Evans in touchdown receptions (four) -- but has just two catches for 19 yards over his last two games. Doug Martin hasn't fared much better in that span, rushing 28 times for just 58 yards for the Buccaneers' 28th-ranked ground game.

    ABOUT THE DOLPHINS (4-5): While Miami's defense has come under fire of late, its pedestrian offense is scoring an NFL-worst 15.2 points per game while averaging a second-worst 275.0 yards per contest. "There is a lot of football left. The pieces are in the locker room, I truly believe that," said Jay Cutler, who has tossed nine touchdown passes over his last four games. Familiar target Jarvis Landry (NFL-best 61 receptions) has found the end zone in five of his last six, but the wideout is expected to be shadowed by four-time Pro Bowl selection and former Dolphin Brent Grimes on Sunday. The 34-year-old Cutler has utilized his running backs in the passing game a bit more since Jay Ajayi was traded to Philadelphia earlier this month, with Kenyan Drake rolling up 196 scrimmage yards in the past two games.

    EXTRA POINTS

    1. Wake has 13 sacks and six forced fumbles in his past 13 games at home.

    2. Tampa Bay LB Lavonte David recorded 15 of his team-leading 51 tackles over the last two contests.

    3. Dolphins TE Julius Thomas has reeled in a touchdown reception in back-to-back games.

    PREDICTION: Buccaneers 19, Dolphins 16



  4. #24
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    Trends - Tampa Bay at Miami


    ATS TRENDS

    Tampa Bay
    • Buccaneers are 18-3-1 ATS in their last 22 games in Week 11.
    • Buccaneers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
    • Buccaneers are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games in November.
    • Buccaneers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.
    • Buccaneers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
    • Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
    • Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
    • Buccaneers are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
    • Buccaneers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.

    Miami
    • Dolphins are 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
    • Dolphins are 8-18-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS loss.
    • Dolphins are 15-43-3 ATS in their last 61 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
    • Dolphins are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
    • Dolphins are 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
    • Dolphins are 5-21 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
    • Dolphins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game.
    • Dolphins are 0-3-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
    • Dolphins are 0-2-2 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.
    • Dolphins are 0-2-2 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
    OU TRENDS

    Tampa Bay
    • Under is 4-0 in Buccaneers last 4 games in November.
    • Under is 5-1-1 in Buccaneers last 7 games following a straight up win.
    • Under is 4-1 in Buccaneers last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Over is 4-1 in Buccaneers last 5 road games.
    • Under is 8-2-1 in Buccaneers last 11 games on grass.
    • Over is 10-3-1 in Buccaneers last 14 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
    • Under is 5-2 in Buccaneers last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

    Miami
    • Over is 4-0 in Dolphins last 4 games overall.
    • Over is 6-0 in Dolphins last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
    • Over is 4-0 in Dolphins last 4 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.
    • Over is 6-1 in Dolphins last 7 games in November.
    • Under is 6-1 in Dolphins last 7 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game.
    • Over is 4-1 in Dolphins last 5 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
    • Over is 4-1 in Dolphins last 5 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Over is 7-2 in Dolphins last 9 home games.
    • Under is 15-5-1 in Dolphins last 21 games in Week 11.
    • Over is 8-3 in Dolphins last 11 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
    HEAD TO HEAD

    • Buccaneers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
    • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

  5. #25
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    When: 4:05 PM ET, Sunday, November 19, 2017
    Where: StubHub Center, Carson, California

    Preview: Bills at Chargers

    Gracenote
    Nov 17, 2017

    Philip Rivers never has missed a start since becoming a first-string NFL quarterback, and he hopes to stretch the streak to 186 in a row when the Los Angeles Chargers host the Buffalo Bills on Sunday. Rivers self-reported a concussion on Monday but is rapidly improving, and the expectation is that he will be on the field against the Bills.

    Buffalo has a new starting signal-caller as rookie Nathan Peterman was elevated over running threat Tyrod Taylor despite the team's 5-4 record. "I just expect to win every game I'm out there," Peterman said at a press conference. "I think that's the ultimate goal. What I measure myself on as a quarterback is, did we win? It doesn't matter about stats or anything like that." The surprise move complicated preparations for the Chargers as they began the week focused on Taylor before shifting to a quick study on Peterman. "You always have to know the first guy and the second guy," Los Angeles defensive coordinator Gus Bradley told reporters. "I guess what's unique this week is really completely different styles. So it puts a strain on us that way a little bit, but it's been going good thus far."

    TV: 4:05 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Chargers -4.5. O/U: 43.5

    ABOUT THE BILLS (5-4): Buffalo ranks just 28th in total offense (292 yards per game) and 30th in passing offense (180.4), and coach Sean McDermott is hoping that punching up the attack will lead to more victories. "It's about becoming a better team. That's what we're here for," McDermott said at a press conference. "We are 5-4. I understand that, and we are in the playoff hunt at this point. It is always, and will (be) for the time that I'm here, be about becoming the best team that we can possibly become." The Bills lead the NFL in takeaway margin (plus-11) and the defense has received stellar play from safety Micah Hyde, who is second in the league with five interceptions.

    ABOUT THE CHARGERS (3-6): The pass rush has been superb with 29 sacks (tied for second in the NFL), and stars Joey Bosa (9.5) and Melvin Ingram (8.5) likely are salivating at the thought of pressuring a rookie who is making his first start. Safety Tre Boston (career-best three interceptions) recorded his first multi-interception effort in last Sunday's loss to Jacksonville and has been a solid surprise for a unit that ranks ninth in scoring defense (19.1 points). Rivers has passed for seven touchdowns in his last three meetings with the Bills and became the eighth quarterback in history to surpass 4,000 career completions last week, reaching 4,005.

    EXTRA POINTS
    1. The Chargers hold a 22-10-1 series advantage and have won the last two meetings.
    2. Buffalo RB LeSean McCoy (595 rushing yards) has rushed for just 74 yards over his last two games, with 36 coming on one carry.
    3. Los Angeles RB Melvin Gordon gained just 27 yards on 16 carries against Jacksonville after piling up a season-best 132 against New England in the club's previous game.

    PREDICTION: Chargers 17, Bills 6



  6. #26
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    Trends - Buffalo at L.A. Chargers


    ATS TRENDS

    Buffalo
    • Bills are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
    • Bills are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
    • Bills are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Bills are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 11.
    • Bills are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.
    • Bills are 1-3-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
    • Bills are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
    • Bills are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
    • Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
    • Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Bills are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games in November.
    • Bills are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games following a double-digit loss at home.
    • Bills are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

    L.A. Chargers
    • Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
    • Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
    • Chargers are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
    • Chargers are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 home games.
    • Chargers are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
    • Chargers are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games on grass.
    • Chargers are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
    • Chargers are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss.
    • Chargers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Chargers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 11.
    • Chargers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
    OU TRENDS

    Buffalo
    • Over is 4-0 in Bills last 4 games overall.
    • Over is 6-1 in Bills last 7 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Over is 5-1 in Bills last 6 games in November.
    • Over is 5-1 in Bills last 6 games following a straight up loss.
    • Over is 5-1 in Bills last 6 games following a ATS loss.
    • Over is 9-2 in Bills last 11 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
    • Under is 4-1 in Bills last 5 road games.
    • Over is 4-1 in Bills last 5 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
    • Over is 4-1 in Bills last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
    • Under is 4-1 in Bills last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
    • Under is 4-1-1 in Bills last 6 games in Week 11.
    • Over is 7-2 in Bills last 9 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Over is 8-3 in Bills last 11 vs. a team with a losing record.
    • Over is 8-3 in Bills last 11 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
    • Over is 8-3 in Bills last 11 vs. AFC.
    • Over is 7-3 in Bills last 10 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
    • Over is 13-6 in Bills last 19 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.

    L.A. Chargers
    • Under is 4-0 in Chargers last 4 games overall.
    • Under is 6-0 in Chargers last 6 vs. AFC.
    • Under is 3-0-1 in Chargers last 4 games following a ATS win.
    • Under is 5-1 in Chargers last 6 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
    • Under is 5-1 in Chargers last 6 games on grass.
    • Under is 4-1 in Chargers last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Under is 4-1 in Chargers last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
    • Under is 11-3-1 in Chargers last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
    • Under is 6-2-1 in Chargers last 9 games in Week 11.
    HEAD TO HEAD

    • Home team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

  7. #27
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    When: 4:25 PM ET, Sunday, November 19, 2017
    Where: Sports Authority Field, Denver, Colorado

    Preview: Bengals at Broncos

    Gracenote
    Nov 17, 2017

    The Denver Broncos have been free-falling ever since their bye week and look to put on the brakes when they host the Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday. Denver started the season strong, winning three of its first four games, but finds itself in the AFC West basement thanks to a five-game slide that has followed its Week 5 bye.

    The Broncos will need a better performance on Sunday from their defense, which has been shredded for a total of 92 points in losses to Philadelphia and New England the last two weeks. Cincinnati is coming off a 24-20 setback at Tennessee, which was its second straight overall loss and third in a row on the road. The Bengals continue to have problems running the ball, gaining only 53 yards on the ground against the Titans to lower their league-worst rushing average to 70.1. Rookie Joe Mixon leads Cincinnati with just 321 rushing yards but has run for a touchdown in back-to-back contests.

    TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Broncos -2.5. O/U: 39

    ABOUT THE BENGALS (3-6): Injuries notwithstanding, Cincinnati hopes to keep all its key players in the game Sunday after having one ejected each of the last two weeks. Top receiver A.J. Green was tossed in the team's Week 9 defeat at Jacksonville for participating in a fight while linebacker Vontaze Burfict got kicked out of the loss to the Titans for making contact with an official. Green's next game with at least 100 receiving yards will be the 32nd of his career, which will break a tie with Chad Johnson for the most in franchise history.

    ABOUT THE BRONCOS (3-6): Denver has had difficulty scoring since posting a 42-17 victory over Dallas in Week 2, eclipsing the 20-point mark just once in its last seven contests. Quarterback Brock Osweiler was a full participant in Thursday's practice after being limited a day earlier due to a sore right shoulder. Emmanuel Sanders, who recorded 137 receiving yards last week, has made five touchdown catches in his last three meetings with the Bengals.

    EXTRA POINTS

    1. All three of the Broncos' victories this season have come at home.

    2. Cincinnati CB Adam Jones (concussion) and NT Pat Sims (calf) have not practiced and likely will miss Sunday's game.

    3. Denver has won the last two meetings and is 21-9 in the all-time series.

    PREDICTION: Broncos 31, Bengals 13



  8. #28
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    Trends - Cincinnati at Denver


    ATS TRENDS

    Cincinnati
    • Bengals are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 11.
    • Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
    • Bengals are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.
    • Bengals are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games on grass.
    • Bengals are 11-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
    • Bengals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
    • Bengals are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.

    Denver
    • Broncos are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
    • Broncos are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
    • Broncos are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 11.
    • Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
    • Broncos are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC.
    • Broncos are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home.
    • Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.
    • Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
    • Broncos are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.
    • Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
    • Broncos are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
    • Broncos are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
    OU TRENDS

    Cincinnati
    • Under is 4-0 in Bengals last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
    • Under is 15-3 in Bengals last 18 games following a ATS win.
    • Under is 11-3 in Bengals last 14 vs. a team with a losing record.
    • Under is 16-5 in Bengals last 21 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
    • Under is 16-5 in Bengals last 21 games in November.
    • Under is 20-8 in Bengals last 28 vs. AFC.
    • Under is 12-5 in Bengals last 17 games overall.
    • Under is 11-5 in Bengals last 16 road games.

    Denver
    • Under is 7-1 in Broncos last 8 games in Week 11.
    • Under is 5-1 in Broncos last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
    • Over is 5-1 in Broncos last 6 games in November.
    • Over is 9-3 in Broncos last 12 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
    • Over is 35-16-1 in Broncos last 52 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
    • Over is 49-24-3 in Broncos last 76 games following a straight up loss.
    HEAD TO HEAD

    • Underdog is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
    • Road team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
    • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

  9. #29
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    When: 8:30 PM ET, Sunday, November 19, 2017
    Where: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas

    Preview: Eagles at Cowboys

    Gracenote
    Nov 16, 2017

    The Dallas Cowboys will enter Sunday night's home tilt versus the surging Philadelphia Eagles without star running back Ezekiel Elliott, and perhaps decorated Pro Bowl offensive tackle Tyron Smith. After seeing his team's offense remain stuck in neutral without both studs last week, quarterback Dak Prescott may need to outduel fellow second-year quarterback Carson Wentz at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas.

    After throwing for 15 scores in his previous seven games, Prescott used his legs with a play-action touchdown run in Dallas' 27-7 setback to Atlanta last week. The 24-year-old only threw for 176 yards - and for a 5.87 average - due in large part to constant pressure, with defensive end Adrian Clayborn recording six of his team's eight sacks to disrupt any offensive continuity. While the Cowboys saw their three-game winning streak halted, Philadelphia has emerged victorious in seven in a row and could put a stranglehold on the NFC East title should it avenge last season's 29-23 overtime loss in Dallas. Wentz threw for just 202 yards in that outing, but the 24-year-old has thrown 17 of his NFL-best 23 touchdown passes in the last five games and guides the league's second-ranked offense at 31.4 points per contest.

    TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, NBC. LINE: Eagles -3.5. O/U: 48.5

    ABOUT THE EAGLES (8-1): Offseason acquisition Alshon Jeffery has three touchdowns in his last two games and also found the end zone in two of his last three meetings with Dallas. Zach Ertz aims to return from a two-game absence due to an ailing hamstring and pick up where he left off, as the 27-year-old has five touchdowns in his last four contests. Ertz leads all NFC tight ends in receptions (43), yards (528) and TDs (six) this season and reeled in 13 catches for 139 yards and two touchdowns versus the Cowboys last season.

    ABOUT THE COWBOYS (5-4): While Elliott's absence is due to his suspension for violating the league's personal conduct policy, Smith could sit out his second straight game as a result of a groin injury that prevented him from practicing on Wednesday and Thursday. Byron Bell received first-team reps in his place in favor of Chaz Green, who started and struggled at Atlanta. Alfred Morris rushed five times on the opening drive last week and finished with 53 yards on 11 carries. Dez Bryant has been slowed by an ailing knee, limiting him to just 39 yards receiving in two of his last three games.

    EXTRA POINTS

    1. Philadelphia DE Brandon Graham, who leads the team with five sacks this season, had just eight tackles in two meetings with Dallas in 2016.

    2. Cowboys DE DeMarcus Lawrence leads the NFL with a career-best 11.5 sacks, but will be tested by Eagles RT Lane Johnson.

    3. Philadelphia bolstered its depth along the offensive line by signing former New York Giants T Will Beatty to a one-year contract this week.

    PREDICTION: Eagles 27, Cowboys 23



  10. #30
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    Trends - Philadelphia at Dallas


    ATS TRENDS

    Philadelphia
    • Eagles are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.
    • Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
    • Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
    • Eagles are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
    • Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC.
    • Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
    • Eagles are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
    • Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
    • Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC East.
    • Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
    • Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
    • Eagles are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in November.
    • Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 11.
    • Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week.
    • Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.

    Dallas
    • Cowboys are 9-21-1 ATS in their last 31 games on fieldturf.
    • Cowboys are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
    • Cowboys are 2-8 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
    • Cowboys are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
    • Cowboys are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
    OU TRENDS

    Philadelphia
    • Over is 14-2 in Eagles last 16 road games.
    • Over is 10-2 in Eagles last 12 vs. NFC East.
    • Over is 5-1 in Eagles last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
    • Over is 4-1 in Eagles last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
    • Under is 8-2-1 in Eagles last 11 games in Week 11.
    • Over is 4-1 in Eagles last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
    • Over is 6-2 in Eagles last 8 games overall.
    • Over is 16-6-2 in Eagles last 24 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
    • Under is 8-3 in Eagles last 11 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Over is 21-8 in Eagles last 29 games on fieldturf.
    • Over is 5-2 in Eagles last 7 games following a straight up win.
    • Over is 21-9 in Eagles last 30 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
    • Under is 11-5 in Eagles last 16 games following a bye week.
    • Under is 40-19 in Eagles last 59 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.

    Dallas
    • Over is 5-1 in Cowboys last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
    • Over is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 vs. NFC.
    • Over is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 games following a ATS loss.
    • Under is 5-2 in Cowboys last 7 games in Week 11.
    • Over is 7-3 in Cowboys last 10 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
    • Under is 31-15-1 in Cowboys last 47 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
    HEAD TO HEAD

    • Road team is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings.

  11. #31
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    NFL opening line report: Eagles open as 3.5-point road favorites vs. Cowboys
    Patrick Everson

    “No one would’ve anticipated Dallas being an underdog in this game prior to the season starting, or even a few weeks ago, but here we are.”

    The team at the top of the NFC East is not the one most people expected through 10 weeks of the season. Patrick Everson checks in on the opening line for a key clash involving that team, along with three other Week 11 games, with insights from Scott Cooley, odds consultant for offshore sportsbook Bookmaker.eu.

    Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys (+3.5)

    Philadelphia is certainly one of the top surprise teams of the year, piling up seven consecutive wins en route to the best record in the NFL. The Eagles (8-1 SU, 7-2 ATS) are also coming off their bye week, after dismantling Denver 51-23 as a 7-point favorite in Week 9.

    Dallas, which won the NFC East last year with a 13-3 record, can’t seem to regain that form, and it didn’t get any easier in Week 10 without the now-suspended Ezekiel Elliott. The Cowboys were 3.5-point underdogs at Atlanta and got rolled 27-7.

    “No one would’ve anticipated Dallas being an underdog in this game prior to the season starting, or even a few weeks ago, but here we are,” Cooley said. “Philadelphia has made leaping strides this season and is well above the Cowboys in our power ratings. As we all know, JerryWorld doesn’t exactly provide a home-field edge, so the Eagles deserved to be above the field-goal threshold. However, I do expect this will close at a field goal.”

    In fact, late Sunday night, the line had already ducked down to 3.

    Tennessee Titans at Pittsburgh Steelers (-7)

    Pittsburgh was among the preseason favorites in the Super Bowl futures book, but hasn’t looked much the part this season. Yet the Steelers are still 7-2 SU (5-4 ATS), after rallying from a 17-3 deficit to post a 20-17 victory at Indianapolis as a 10.5-pint chalk.

    Like the Steelers, Tennessee (6-3 SU, 3-5-1 ATS) has won four in a row (1-2-1 ATS). The Titans got a last-minute touchdown Sunday to top Cincinnati 24-20, though they fell just short at the betting window as 4.5-point favorites.

    “Marcus Mariota looked like his old self this week, while the Steelers slept-walked through an ugly affair,” Cooley said. “Still, we know this Pittsburgh offense can explode any week, and we know that the public is going to back the Steelers through and through. We’ll likely see some serious sharp money on the road ‘dog.”

    New England Patriots at Oakland Raiders (no line)

    New England is definitely rounding into form heading into this neutral-site clash in Mexico City. The Patriots (7-2 SU, 5-4 ATS) flattened Denver 41-16 in the Sunday nighter, easily cashing as a 7-point road chalk.

    Oakland had a bye in Week 10 and is hoping to climb back to .500 in what many observers thought would be a much better season. The Raiders (4-5 SU, 3-5-1 ATS) edged Miami 27-24 in Week 9, pushing as a 3-point road favorite.

    Since the Patriots were in the Sunday nighter, Bookmaker.eu is holding off on the opening line until Monday.

    “If everything goes accordingly, we’ll look to make the Pats around 6-point chalk,” Cooley said. “Something just isn’t right with the Raiders these days.”

    Atlanta Falcons at Seattle Seahawks (-3)

    In Week 10, Atlanta finally looked a little more like the team that went to the Super Bowl last year. The Falcons (5-4 SU, 3-6 ATS) pulled away from Dallas in the second half for a 27-7 victory laying 3.5 points at home.

    Seattle comes into this Monday night matchup with a little more rest, having played the Week 10 Thursday nighter. In that contest, the Seahawks (6-3 SU, 3-5-1 ATS) held off Arizona 22-16 to push as a 6-point fave. However, Seattle lost superstar cornerback Richard Sherman for the rest of the year, due to a ruptured Achilles tendon.

    “We’re going to find out very quickly how much the Seahawks miss Sherman. My guess is a ton,” Cooley said. “They already had ample offensive deficiencies, and now there’s a gaping hole in the secondary. If not for Russell Wilson, this would be one of the worst teams in the NFL. On the other side, is Atlanta finally hitting its stride?”

  12. #32
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    Wiseguys are advising that these Week 11 NFL lines are going to move

    New England is now tied with the Steelers for the best record in the AFC at 7-2, after showing no mercy on Sunday against Denver.

    Each week during the pro football season, Covers Expert Art Aronson of AAA Sports looks at the NFL odds and tells you which spread to bet now, which one to bet later, and which total to watch as the week plays out.

    Game to bet now

    New England at Oakland (+5.5)

    Lots of commentators would like to take back what they said about the Patriots when the Bill Belichick-led club was treading water at 2-2. New England is now tied with the Steelers for the best record in the AFC at 7-2, after showing no mercy on Sunday against Denver, and now will get the benefit of a neutral field (Mexico City) in a “road” game against the Raiders.

    It’s good to be the king, no? And the Patriots are doing this (five straight wins, three straight covers) with several key players out. It doesn’t seem to matter, as long as their 40-year-old quarterback is upright. NE will start to attract lots of money as the season winds down, and anything under seven is an attractive number.

    Game to wait on

    Los Angeles Rams at Minnesota (-2.5)

    It used to be you could pencil in the Packers to win the NFC North, but Aaron Rodgers’s injury has opened a large door for the Vikings, and Minny has taken full advantage with five straight wins.

    The Vikes have a great opportunity to nail down the division over a five-day period starting Sunday against the Rams. A win, coupled with a victory over Detroit on Thanksgiving, could just about lock down the North.

    And they’re doing it with re-tread QB Case Keenum, who threw for 302 yards and four TDs in the Vikings’ win over Washington on Sunday. If you like the Rams in this one, hang on because bettors will probably jump at 2.5 and some lines will be bet up to a full field goal.

    Total to watch

    Tennessee at Pittsburgh (44)

    Huge game for both division leaders. The Steelers need to keep pace with the red-hot Patriots ahead of their mid-December showdown in Pittsburgh, and the Titans are desperate to get the Jaguars off their backs in a surprising AFC South race (they’re both 6-3).

    While Pittsburgh and Tennessee are both solid and winning, neither has had an offensive burst in the last month. The Titans are averaging under 20 points in their last three games, while Pittsburgh has averaged 22 in its last four.

    Turnovers decide a lot of games in the NFL – especially close games – so expect both teams to keep things pretty conservative in this one. Even at a moderate number like 44, the Under deserves a hard look in this one.

  13. #33
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    Essential Week 12 betting tidbits and odds for NFL Sunday

    Oakland Raiders wideout Amari Cooper has picked up his production of the the last few weeks but he still leads the NFL in receiver drops at 10 this season according to Pro Football Focus.

    Los Angeles Rams at Minnesota Vikings (-2.5, 45.5)

    The Rams own one of the best offenses in the league and a menacing defense led by defensive lineman Aaron Donald. Special teams can get lost in the shuffle sometimes and just like the second last round of your fantasy football draft, people are forgetting about the kicker. Greg Zuerlerin, who also goes by Legatron according to ESPN’s Alden Gonzalez, is on pace to score 203 points this season which would top the single season points record held by LaDainian Tomlinson in 2006.

    Legatron is 28 for 29 on his field goal tries this season and is a perfect 30 for 30 on his extra-point kicks.

    LINE HISTORY: The Vikings opened as 2-point chalk but the line has moved up a half point in their favor. The total opened at 46 and has dropped down to 45.5.

    TRENDS:

    *The Rams are 4-0 ATS in their last four games.
    *The Vikings are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 home games.
    *The over is 4-0 in the Rams’ last four road games.

    Baltimore Ravens at Green Bay Packers (+2, 38)

    Former Ravens tight end Dennis Pitta went on Baltimore radio and told listeners the problem with Baltimore’s offense is that his good friend and former teammate Joe Flacco isn’t set up for success.

    "Right now, Joe has one read, and then he's got to check it down if it's not there," Pitta said. "That's really the offense they have set up for him. It's difficult to play quarterback under those circumstances."

    Flacco is in the midst of his worst season as a pro and sits at No. 31 in the league in passer rating at 72.7.

    LINE HISTORY: The Ravens opened as 2.5-point road faves but the line has been bet down to as low as 1.5 at some shops. The total is also moving down from 38.5 to now 37.5 at a few locations.

    TRENDS:

    *The over is 5-0 in the Ravens’ last five games overall.
    *The Ravens are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a bye week.

    Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears (+3, 41)

    Good news for Lions backers. Detroit should have all five of its preseason projected starters available for the first time this season. The Lions were ranked 29th in Pro Football Focus’ elite pass blocking efficiency after the first four weeks of the season. Only four other teams have allowed more sacks than the Lions at 30.

    LINE HISTORY: No movement on the spread but the total has come down three points after opening at 44.

    TRENDS:

    *The Bears are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games.
    *The Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last five matchups against Chicago.

    Washington Redskins at New Orleans Saints (-7.5, 51)

    The fight with flight Saints have been replaced by the ground and pound unit of Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara. The pair are on pace to accumulate the most yards from scrimmage for a running back duo since 1978 according to FiveThirtyEight.

    New Orleans gashed the Bills for 298 rushing yards on 48 carries last weekend. Washington has allowed 139.7 rushing yards per game over its last three contests. Only the Dolphins, Bills, Giants and Bengals have allowed more yards per game over that stretch.

    LINE HISTORY: The Saints have bounced between 7.5 and 8.5-point faves this week. The total has been bet up a point from 50 to 51.

    TRENDS:

    *Washington is 1-5 ATS in its last six games.
    *The Saints are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with losing records.

    Jacksonville Jaguars at Cleveland Browns (7.5, 37)

    There isn’t much the Browns do well but stopping the run is one thing they do. Cleveland allows the fourth fewest rushing yards per game at 86.4 and a league-best 3.1 yards per carry.

    The Jags might be without their best running back this weekend. Leonard Fournette missed practice on Friday and is questionable to play on Sunday. Jacksonville will force feed backup tailback Chris Ivory if Fournette is a no-go. Quarterback Blake Bortles didn’t do much to instill confidence in the Jags coaching staff after last week’s performance.

    LINE HISTORY: The Jags have floated between 7.5 and 8-point chalk this week. The total opened at 38 but is listed at 37 at most shops heading into the weekend.

    TRENDS:

    *The Browns are 5-20-1 ATS in their last 26 games.
    *The Jags are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games.
    *The under is 13-3 in the Browns' last 16 home games.

    Arizona Cardinals at Houston Texans (-1.5, 37.5)

    Blaine Gabbert will start at quarterback for the Cardinals against the Texans but this isn’t just a meaningless, mop-up spot. Gabbert is liked by the Arizona coaching staff as demonstrated by the fact the team held onto Gabbert even though he didn't win the backup QB job in preseason.

    Drew Stanton is out of the picture this weekend because of a twisted knee which gives Gabbert a chance to prove to offensive coordinator Harold Goodwin that he should be in contention for the starter’s job next season.

    LINE HISTORY: The Cardinals opened as 1.5-point favorites offshore and are now getting between 1.5 to 2 points depending on the book. The total opened as high as 45 and is now down to as low as 37.5.

    TRENDS:

    *The under is 7-1 in the Cards’ last eight games.
    *The Cards are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games.

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Miami Dolphins (+1, 41.5)

    This is the game the Bucs and Dolphins were originally scheduled to play in Week 1 but had to delay to this weekend because of Hurricane Irma.

    The Phins sure could have used that bye week right about now to fix their defense. The club has given 112 points in their last three games – all loses – and opponents are averaging 407 offensive yards while converting better than 52 percent on third down.

    LINE HISTORY: The Fish opened as short faves but the line has drifted to the other side with the Bucs now 1-point chalk.

    TRENDS:

    *The Bucs are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games overall.
    *The over is 4-0 in Miami’s last four games.

    Kansas City Chiefs at New York Giants (+10.5, 46)

    How bad is it for the G-Men? They are double-digit home dogs for only the fifth time since 1978 according to ESPN Stats and Info. New York covered in each of those previous four instances but it’s hard to imagine a situation uglier this one for the Giants.

    LINE HISTORY: The Chiefs opened as high as 13-point road faves but the line has been bet down to 10.5. The total has moved up two points from 44 to 46.

    TRENDS:

    *The Giants are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
    *The Chiefs are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games.

    Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Chargers (-5.5, 41)

    The Bills decided to make a switch at quarterback by dropping Tyrod Taylor to the bench in favor of rookie Nathan Peterman. He tossed for 2855 yards and 27 touchdowns last season at Pitt and completed 43 of 79 pass attempts for 453 yards and a touchdown in NFL preseason action this past summer.

    The Bolts were worried Philip Rivers wouldn’t be able to play this weekend as he recovers from a concussion from last weekend but he has been medically clear to play.

    LINE HISTORY: The books installed the Chargers are 4-point home faves and moved the spread up a couple points after Buffalo announced it would start a rookie at QB this weekend.

    TRENDS:

    *The Bills are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games following a double-digit loss at home.
    *The Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
    *The over is 4-0 in Buffalo’s last four games.

    New England Patriots at Oakland Raiders (+7, 54.5)

    The Raiders are rich in offensive playmakers but their receivers are letting down quarterback Derek Carr. Oakland receivers Amari Cooper, Michael Crabtree and tight end Jared Cook have a combined 11 drop passes this season according to the Washington Post. Pro Football Focus scores it a little differently with Cooper leading the league in drops at 10 through 11 weeks.
    The Raiders can’t afford a case of the dropsies if they want to keep pace with the Patriots in Mexico City on Sunday.

    LINE HISTORY: The books opened with the Pats giving 5.5 points but the line has crept up to 7.5 at some shops. The total has moved up four points from 50.5 to 54.5.

    TRENDS:

    *The Pats are 5-0 ATS in their last five games against teams with losing records.
    *The Raiders are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games.

    Cincinnati Bengals at Denver Broncos (-2.5, 38)

    The Broncos are on a five-game skid that’s seen them be outscored 68-165 by their opposition. Team president John Elway told reporters he thinks the Broncos went “a bit soft” after going 4-0 in the preseason and then 3-1 to start the year.

    LINE HISTORY: The total opened at 40 and has been bet down to 38. There has been no movement on the spread.

    TRENDS:

    *The Broncos are 0-5 ATS in their last five games.
    *The under is 12-5 in the Bengals’ last 17 games overall.

    Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys (+5, 48)

    Dallas will be without left tackle Tyron Smith again this weekend as the All-Pro is dealing with groin and back injuries. The Falcons took advantage of the replacement offensive tackle by sacking Dak Prescott eight times last week.

    LINE HISTORY: The Eagles opened as 3.5-point faves but the public has pushed the price up another point to 4.5. The total opened at 47 and is now sitting at 48 at most shops.

    TRENDS:

    *The Eagles are 6-0 ATS in their last six games.
    *The over is 5-1 in the Cowboys’ last six games against teams with winning records.

  14. #34
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    NFL

    Sunday, November 19


    Sunday Night Football Betting Preview and Odds: Eagles at Cowboys

    After throwing for 15 scores in his previous seven games, Prescott used his legs with a play-action touchdown run in Dallas' 27-7 setback to Atlanta last week.

    Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys (+5, 48)

    The Dallas Cowboys will enter Sunday night's home tilt versus the surging Philadelphia Eagles without star running back Ezekiel Elliott, and perhaps decorated Pro Bowl offensive tackle Tyron Smith. After seeing his team's offense remain stuck in neutral without both studs last week, quarterback Dak Prescott may need to outduel fellow second-year quarterback Carson Wentz at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas.

    After throwing for 15 scores in his previous seven games, Prescott used his legs with a play-action touchdown run in Dallas' 27-7 setback to Atlanta last week. The 24-year-old only threw for 176 yards - and for a 5.87 average - due in large part to constant pressure, with defensive end Adrian Clayborn recording six of his team's eight sacks to disrupt any offensive continuity. While the Cowboys saw their three-game winning streak halted, Philadelphia has emerged victorious in seven in a row and could put a stranglehold on the NFC East title should it avenge last season's 29-23 overtime loss in Dallas. Wentz threw for just 202 yards in that outing, but the 24-year-old has thrown 17 of his NFL-best 23 touchdown passes in the last five games and guides the league's second-ranked offense at 31.4 points per contest.

    TV:
    8:30 p.m. ET, NBC.

    POWER RANKINGS:
    Eagles (-5) - Cowboys (-1.5) + home field (-3) = Eagles -0.5.

    LINE HISTORY:
    The Cowboys opened as 3.5-point home dogs against their NFC East rivals and money on the road team has pushed that line to +5 at most shops. The total hit the betting board at 46.5 and was quickly bet up to 48.5 where it currently sits.

    WHAT SHARPS SAY:
    "The Cowboys would have been the favorite in this game one month ago, but Dallas will now be missing several key players in this divisional primetime game and that is why the Cowboys are now a home underdog. Philadelphia is coming off their bye week and it will be interesting to see if they can continue their momentum as they are 7-0 SU (6-1 ATS) in their past seven games. Last season the Eagles started 3-0 SU/ATS, but then went 2-9 SU (3-8 ATS) after their bye week." - Covers Expert Steve Merril

    WHAT BOOKS SAY:
    
"Major sharp money on the Eagles has come in throughout the week. We briefly moved down to -3 right after opening, but Philly money has poured in since. The Cowboys didn't look well without Tyron Smith and Ezekiel Elliott last week, and the betting public is reacting as well." - Scott Cooley, odds consultant for offshore sportsbook Bookmaker.eu.

    INJURY REPORT:


    Eagles - CB Ronald Darby (Probable, Ankle), S Jaylen Watkins (Probable, Hamstring), WR Alshon Jeffery (Probable, Ankle), TE Zach Ertz (Probable, Hamstring), CB Sidney Jones (Questionable, Achilles), K Caleb Sturgis (Doubtful, Quadricep)

    Cowboys - CB Chidobe Awuzie (Probable, Hamstring), WR Dez Bryant (Probable, Ankle), DT Maliek Collins (Questionable, Foot), LB Justin Durant (Questionable, Groin), TE Geoff Swaim (Questionable, Knee), CB Orlando Scandrick (Questionable, Hand), S Jeff Heath (Doubtful, Concussion), OT Tyron Smith (Out, Groin), LB Sean Lee (Mid December, Hamstring), RB Ezekiel Elliott (Eligible Week 16, Suspension).

    ABOUT THE EAGLES (8-1 SU, 7-2 ATS, 6-3 O/U):
    Offseason acquisition Alshon Jeffery has three touchdowns in his last two games and also found the end zone in two of his last three meetings with Dallas. Zach Ertz aims to return from a two-game absence due to an ailing hamstring and pick up where he left off, as the 27-year-old has five touchdowns in his last four contests. Ertz leads all NFC tight ends in receptions (43), yards (528) and TDs (six) this season and reeled in 13 catches for 139 yards and two touchdowns versus the Cowboys last season.

    ABOUT THE COWBOYS (5-4 SU, 5-4 ATS, 5-4 O/U):
    While Elliott's absence is due to his suspension for violating the league's personal conduct policy, Smith could sit out his second straight game as a result of a groin injury that prevented him from practicing on Wednesday and Thursday. Byron Bell received first-team reps in his place in favor of Chaz Green, who started and struggled at Atlanta. Alfred Morris rushed five times on the opening drive last week and finished with 53 yards on 11 carries. Dez Bryant has been slowed by an ailing knee, limiting him to just 39 yards receiving in two of his last three games.

    TRENDS:


    * Eagles are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.

    * Cowboys are 2-8 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

    * Over is 14-2 in Eagles last 16 road games.

    * Over is 5-1 in Cowboys last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.

    CONSENSUS:
    The public is siding with the road chalk Eagles at a rate of 74 percent and the Over is getting 73 percent of the totals action.

  15. #35
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    NFL
    Long Sheet

    Week 11


    Sunday, November 19

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DETROIT (5 - 4) at CHICAGO (3 - 6) - 11/19/2017, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DETROIT is 60-84 ATS (-32.4 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
    DETROIT is 66-91 ATS (-34.1 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
    DETROIT is 132-172 ATS (-57.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
    DETROIT is 9-27 ATS (-20.7 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.
    CHICAGO is 39-22 ATS (+14.8 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
    DETROIT is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CHICAGO is 3-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    DETROIT is 3-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    KANSAS CITY (6 - 3) at NY GIANTS (1 - 8) - 11/19/2017, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    KANSAS CITY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.
    NY GIANTS are 36-63 ATS (-33.3 Units) in November games since 1992.
    NY GIANTS are 33-58 ATS (-30.8 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TAMPA BAY (3 - 6) at MIAMI (4 - 5) - 11/19/2017, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TAMPA BAY is 63-37 ATS (+22.3 Units) in November games since 1992.
    TAMPA BAY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.
    MIAMI is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) after playing on Monday night football since 1992.
    MIAMI is 55-79 ATS (-31.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
    MIAMI is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BALTIMORE (4 - 5) at GREEN BAY (5 - 4) - 11/19/2017, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BALTIMORE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
    GREEN BAY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
    GREEN BAY is 184-130 ATS (+41.0 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
    GREEN BAY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA RAMS (7 - 2) at MINNESOTA (7 - 2) - 11/19/2017, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LA RAMS is 181-227 ATS (-68.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
    LA RAMS is 181-227 ATS (-68.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
    LA RAMS is 82-116 ATS (-45.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
    LA RAMS is 129-179 ATS (-67.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
    LA RAMS is 140-179 ATS (-56.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
    LA RAMS is 66-95 ATS (-38.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
    MINNESOTA is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MINNESOTA is 1-0 against the spread versus LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
    MINNESOTA is 1-0 straight up against LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ARIZONA (4 - 5) at HOUSTON (3 - 6) - 11/19/2017, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    HOUSTON is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    JACKSONVILLE (6 - 3) at CLEVELAND (0 - 9) - 11/19/2017, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CLEVELAND is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    WASHINGTON (4 - 5) at NEW ORLEANS (7 - 2) - 11/19/2017, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW ORLEANS is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
    NEW ORLEANS is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WASHINGTON is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    WASHINGTON is 1-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BUFFALO (5 - 4) at LA CHARGERS (3 - 6) - 11/19/2017, 4:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BUFFALO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
    LA CHARGERS is 17-35 ATS (-21.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CINCINNATI (3 - 6) at DENVER (3 - 6) - 11/19/2017, 4:25 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CINCINNATI is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
    CINCINNATI is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
    DENVER is 25-44 ATS (-23.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DENVER is 1-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
    DENVER is 2-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NEW ENGLAND (7 - 2) at OAKLAND (4 - 5) - 11/19/2017, 4:25 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW ENGLAND is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 38-19 ATS (+17.1 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
    NEW ENGLAND is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
    OAKLAND is 75-103 ATS (-38.3 Units) in home games since 1992.
    OAKLAND is 75-103 ATS (-38.3 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
    OAKLAND is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
    OAKLAND is 75-103 ATS (-38.3 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PHILADELPHIA (8 - 1) at DALLAS (5 - 4) - 11/19/2017, 8:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DALLAS is 2-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    DALLAS is 2-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

  16. #36
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    NFL

    Week 11


    Trend Report

    Sunday, November 19

    DETROIT @ CHICAGO
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    Detroit is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Chicago
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
    Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

    BALTIMORE @ GREEN BAY
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games on the road
    Green Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
    Green Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore

    ARIZONA @ HOUSTON
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Arizona's last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games
    Houston is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games at home

    LA RAMS @ MINNESOTA
    LA Rams is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
    LA Rams is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Rams

    WASHINGTON @ NEW ORLEANS
    Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 9 games when playing New Orleans
    New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of New Orleans's last 9 games when playing Washington

    JACKSONVILLE @ CLEVELAND
    Jacksonville is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    Jacksonville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cleveland's last 10 games at home
    Cleveland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Jacksonville

    KANSAS CITY @ NY GIANTS
    Kansas City is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
    Kansas City is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road
    NY Giants is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
    NY Giants is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Kansas City

    TAMPA BAY @ MIAMI
    Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Miami
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games

    BUFFALO @ LA CHARGERS
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games on the road
    LA Chargers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
    LA Chargers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo

    CINCINNATI @ DENVER
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing Denver
    Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
    Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
    Denver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati

    NEW ENGLAND @ OAKLAND
    New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    New England is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oakland
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 7 games when playing New England

    PHILADELPHIA @ DALLAS
    Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Dallas is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home
    Dallas is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games

  17. #37
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    NFL ATS Leaders thru Week 10:

    t1. Eagles 7-2 ATS
    t1. Saints 7-2 ATS
    t3. LARams 6-3 ATS
    t3. Vikings 6-3 ATS
    t3. Chiefs 6-3 ATS


    NFL ATS Losers thru Week 10:

    32. Browns 2-7 ATS
    t31. Bucs 2-6-1 ATS
    t31. Broncos 2-6-1 ATS
    t31. Cardinals 2-6-1 ATS
    t28. Giants 3-6 ATS
    t28. Redskins 3-6 ATS
    t28. Falcons 3-6 ATS

  18. #38
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    NFL
    Dunkel

    Week 11


    Sunday, November 19

    Detroit @ Chicago

    Game 451-452
    November 19, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Detroit
    134.037
    Chicago
    133.025
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Detroit
    by 1
    35
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Detroit
    by 3
    41
    Dunkel Pick:
    Chicago
    (+3); Under

    Kansas City @ NY Giants


    Game 453-454
    November 19, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Kansas City
    138.007
    NY Giants
    120.950
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Kansas City
    by 17
    50
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Kansas City
    by 10
    45
    Dunkel Pick:
    Kansas City
    (-10); Over

    Tampa Bay @ Miami


    Game 455-456
    November 19, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Tampa Bay
    122.884
    Miami
    129.230
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Miami
    by 6 1/2
    34
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Miami
    by 1
    40 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Miami
    (-1); Over

    Baltimore @ Green Bay


    Game 457-458
    November 19, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Baltimore
    135.490
    Green Bay
    130.409
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Baltimore
    by 5
    42
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Baltimore
    by 2
    38
    Dunkel Pick:
    Baltimore
    (-2); Over

    LA Rams @ Minnesota


    Game 459-460
    November 19, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA Rams
    138.039
    Minnesota
    145.046
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Minnesota
    by 7
    52
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Minnesota
    by 2
    45 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Minnesota
    (-2); Over

    Arizona @ Houston


    Game 461-462
    November 19, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Arizona
    130.335
    Houston
    128.392
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Arizona
    by 2
    48
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    by 1
    38 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Arizona
    (+1); Over

    Washington @ New Orleans


    Game 465-466
    November 19, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Washington
    136.788
    New Orleans
    143.248
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    New Orleans
    by 6 1/2
    53
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    New Orleans
    by 8
    50 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Washington
    (+8); Over

    Buffalo @ LA Chargers


    Game 467-468
    November 19, 2017 @ 4:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Buffalo
    133.628
    LA Chargers
    130.011
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Buffalo
    by 3 1/2
    34
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Chargers
    by 5
    44
    Dunkel Pick:
    Buffalo
    (+5); Under

    Cincinnati @ Denver


    Game 469-470
    November 19, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Cincinnati
    122.039
    Denver
    129.527
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Denver
    by 7 1/2
    40
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Denver
    by 2 1/2
    39
    Dunkel Pick:
    Denver
    (-2 1/2); Over

    New England @ Oakland


    Game 471-472
    November 19, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New England
    140.067
    Oakland
    128.587
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    New England
    by 11 1/2
    49
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    New England
    by 6 1/2
    54
    Dunkel Pick:
    New England
    (-6 1/2); Under

    Philadelphia @ Dallas


    Game 473-474
    November 19, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Philadelphia
    136.700
    Dallas
    141.285
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Dallas
    by 4 1/2
    58
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 4
    47 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Dallas
    (+4); Over


  19. #39
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    NFL

    Week 11


    Sunday's games
    Lions (5-4) @ Bears (3-6)— Detroit won seven of last eight series games; last four were all decided by 4 or less points. Lions won three of last four visits to Chicago, winning by 2-6-4 points. Detroit won its last two games, scoring 30-38 points; they’re 3-1 on road, with only loss 52-38 in New Orleans- their offense gave up three TD’s that day. Detroit is 2-3 if they score less than 30 points. Bears lost last two games, scoring two TD”s on last 22 drives; Chicago is 2-3 at home, 4-0 as a home underdog- dogs covered all five of their home games. NFL-wide, divisional home favorites are 9-12-2 vs spread. Four of last five Detroit games went over total; under is 6-3 in Chicago games. Bears stayed under their team total in seven of nine games.

    Chiefs (6-3) @ Giants (1-8)— Chiefs lost three of last four games after a 5-0 start; they won/covered their last three post-bye games. KC is 3-2 on road, but lost last two away games, at Oakland/Dallas. Chiefs are 2-1 as a road favorite this season. Giants lost last three games, allowing 82 points in last two games; they’re 0-4 at home, scoring 14 ppg- they’re 3-4 vs spread as an underdog this year- their last three losses were by 17-34-10 points. Giants are 10-3 in this series, winning all six matchups played here- KC won last meeting 31-7 in ’13. AFC West favorites are 4-7-1 vs spread outside the division; NC East home teams are 5-8, 1-3 as home dogs. Over is 5-2-2 in Chief games this season, 5-2 in last seven Giant games.

    Buccaneers (3-6) @ Dolphins (4-5)— Short week for Miami, after its dismal loss in Charlotte Monday night. Dolphins lost last three games, are 2-1 at home, with three games decided by total of 12 points. Bucs snapped 5-game skid with 15-10 win over Jets; they scored total of 28 points in last three games. Tampa Bay won four of last five meetings, with three of less four decided by 3 or less points. Bucs lost three of their four visits to Miami. NFC South underdogs are 3-4-1 vs spread outside the division, 2-2-1 on road. AFC East favorites are 6-4-1, 3-3-1 at home. This game was supposed to be in Week 1, but was moved here because of the hurricanes. Last three Tampa Bay games stayed under total; last four Miami games went over.

    Ravens (4-5) @ Packers (5-4)— Baltimore lost three of last four games, with two losses by 3 points; they’re 2-2 SU in true road games. Ravens are 3-8-1 vs spread in last 12 games as a road favorite. Baltimore is 12-3 SU/ATS in last 15 post-bye games. Green Bay lost three of last four games; Hundley got his first NFL win Sunday. 7 of last 10 Baltimore TD’s were either scored by the defense, or on drives of 42 or less yards. Ravens are 1-4 vs Green Bay, with only win 48-3 in ’05; they’re 0-3 in Lambeau, losing by 18-8-13 points. AFC North non-divisional faves are 4-7 vs spread, 1-3 on road; NFC North home favorites are 4-2 vs spread. Last five Baltimore games went over total; six of last eight Packer games went over- lot of that was with Rodgers playing.

    Rams (7-2) @ Vikings (7-2)— Case Keenum was 7-7 as Rams’ starting QB in 2015-16; he was replaced by Goff in Week 10 LY, with Rams 4-5. Minnesota won its last five games, covered last four; they’re 4-1 at home, 2-1 as a home favorite. Vikings were held to 9-7 points in their two losses. Rams won six of last seven games; they’re 4-0 in true road games, scoring 38.5 ppg (14 TD’s on 44 drives). LA is 2-0 vs spread as an underdog this year. Vikings won last four series games, three by 14+ points; Rams lost 21-18 in OT in last meeting here, in ’15. Rams’ last win in Minnesota was in ’06. NFC West non-divisional road underdogs are 3-5 vs spread; NFC North favorites are 5-2, 4-2 at home. Over is 6-3 in Ram games, 3-0 in last three Minnesota games.

    Cardinals (4-5) @ Texans (3-6)— Stanton got hurt last week, Savage was awful, so this looms as Gabbert vs Yates in battle of 3rd-string QB’s. Cardinals are 3-0 when they allow 15 or less points, 1-5 when they allow more; Redbirds are 2-2 in true road games, winning at Indy/SF, losing at Detroit/Philly. Houston lost its last three games; they were outscored 34-7 in 2nd half of last two games. Texans allowed 8+ yards/pass attempt in each of their last three games. Home side won all three series games; Cardinals lost 30-19 in only visit here, in ’05. NFC West non-divisional favorites are 5-5 vs spread, 2-2 on road; AFC South underdogs are 7-4 vs spread, 3-1 at home. Under is 7-1 in last eight Arizona games, 3-0 in Texan games not started by Watson.

    Jaguars (6-3) @ Browns (0-9)— Jacksonville won its last three games, allowing 8 ppg; they’re 3-1 on road, 1-1 as road favorite, with wins by 22-21-27 points, with lone loss to Jets in Swamp Stadium. Five of Jaguars’ six wins were by 16+ points; in their last five games, they outscored opponents 57-16 in second half. Cleveland is 2-7 vs spread this year, 2-2 at home; three of their four home losses were by exactly 3 points. Jaguars won last two meetings, 32-28/24-6; teams split last 10 meetings. Jaguars 6-2 in visits to Lake Erie. AFC South non-divisional favorites are 4-6-1, 0-2 on road; AFC North underdogs are 6-4-1 vs spread, 1-0 at home. Under is 4-1 in last five Jaguar games, 1-3 in Cleveland’s last four games.

    Redskins (4-5) @ Saints (7-2)— New Orleans won its last seven games (6-1 vs spread); they allowed 10+ yards/pass attempt in first two games, then held last seven opponents to less than 5.0 ypa— they’re 2-1 as a home favorite, with home wins by 14-8-20 points, and a loss to the Patriots. Saints ran ball for 150+ yards in four of last five games; that takes heat off their offense and aging QB Brees. Redskins are 2-2 as a road underdog. Washington won four of last five meetings, scoring 40-47 points in last two; they’re 7-0 in last seven visits to Bourbon Street- their last loss in New Orleans was in 1973. NFC East non-divisional road underdogs are 7-3 vs spread; NFC South home favorites are 4-7. Under is 5-2 in Saints’ last seven games, over is 4-1 in Redskins’ last five.

    Bills (5-4) @ Chargers (3-6)— Peterman makes first NFL start here; Bills were unhappy with Taylor going thru his progressions too slowly. Buffalo lost its last two games, allowing 492 rushing yards, 81 points; they’re 1-3 on road, 2-1 as a road underdog, losing by 6-4-13 points, with the lone win 23-17 in Atlanta. Bills are -1 in turnovers in their losses, +12 in their wins. Chargers lost their last two games; four of their six losses were by 3 or less points. LA is 0-1 as a favorite this season. Chargers won four of last five series games; Bills lost their last five visits to San Diego- last time they beat Bolts in California was 1981. AFC East non-divisional road underdogs are 5-3 vs spread; AFC West favorites are 4-7-1 against the spread, 3-5 at home. Last four Buffalo games went over the total, last four Charger games stayed under.

    Bengals (3-6) @ Broncos (3-6)— Denver lost its last five games (0-5 vs spread), thanks to a -12 turnover ratio in those games; they lost last two home games, to Giants/Patriots. Broncos desperately need a QB. Bengals lost three of last four games; they’re 1-4 on road, with losses by 3-15-16-4 points. Cincy ran total of 87 plays in its last two games; their opponents ran 162 plays. Denver won six of last seven series games, winning 20-17/29-17 the last two years; Bengals lost their last 10 visits to Denver- their last win here was in 1975. AFC North non-divisional underdogs are 6-4-1 vs spread, 4-4-1 on road; AFC West favorites are 4-7-1 vs spread, 3-5 at home. Last three Bronco games, three of last four Cincinnati games went over the total.

    Patriots (7-2) vs Raiders (4-5) (Mexico City)— New England won its last five games (4-1 vs spread); they outscored last three opponents 59-16 in first half. Patriots won field position in last three games, by 7-10-14 yards. Oakland won three of last four post-bye games; they covered their last five; Raiders lost five of their last seven games; 2-2 vs spread as an underdog. Oakland has only two takeaways (-9) in their last six games- they allowed 88 points n their last three games. Patriots won last four series games; Oakland’s last series win was in 2002. AFC East favorites are 6-4-1 vs spread, 3-1 on road; AFC West non-divisional underdogs are 5-5. Four of last five Patriot games stayed under total; over is 4-1 in last five Oakland games.

    Eagles (7-2) @ Cowboys (5-4)— Dallas allowed 8 sacks in Atlanta LW, with LT Smith injured; his replacement allowed 6 of the 8 sacks. They ran ball for only 107 yards with Elliott suspended. Cowboys are 2-2 at home, losing to Rams by 5, Packers by 4- under Garrett, they’re 7-5-2 as a home underdog. Eagles are 1-4 vs spread in last five post-bye games. Philly won its last seven games, covered its last six; they’re 3-1 on road, winning by 13-2-5 points, with only loss 27-20 at Kansas City. Teams split their last eight meetings; Eagles won three of last four visits here, with last two games here going to OT. NFL-wide, divisional home underdogs are 9-8-1 vs spread. Four of last six Dallas games, five of last seven Eagle games went over the total.

  20. #40
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    FYI........ "WILLIAM HILL FADE SYSTEM"

    ( He's been even better in the NFL )

    ** Results are from yesterday Saturday 11-18-2017 - NCAA CFB **

    - 96% - Arkansas +14 = Winner


    - 93% - Rice +7' = Winner


    - 94% - San Jose St +32 = Winner


    - 97% - Nebraska +28 = Winner


    - 96% - UL Laf. +3 = Winner


    - 96% - Vanderbilt +8 = Loser


    - 98% - Nevada +18 = Loser


    Total Results for 11-18-2017, NCAA CFB = 5-2 !!!




    ** The system I created is quite simple:

    - Play "ON" any UNDERDOG that the public is wagering on that is "ABOVE" 93%,( CFB = 93% / NFL = 90% ) according to WILLIAM HILL'S chart, he posts on Twitter.
    ​Been doing this since the beginning of the season, in the NFL & NCAA CFB, and have "NOT" lost 1 single week,


    IT MAY BE DIFFICULT TO SOME, BUT THIS IS SOMETHING THAT I HAVE CREATED WHERE YOU ARE "BLINDLY" WAGERING ON SIMPLE MATHEMATICS. NO OTHER HANDICAPPING OR OPINIONS GO INTO THIS.

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