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Tuesday 11-21-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta Downs
Delta Downs - Race 1
DD ($1 min.) (Races 1-2) / Exacta / Trifecta (.50 min.) / Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3) Pick 4 (.50 min.) (Races 1-2-3-4) / Superfecta (.10 min.)
Claiming $5,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 65 • Purse: $12,000 • Post: 1:35P
FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Lone Front-runner. BRIE BRIE'S JOY is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * BRIE BRIE'S JOY: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equ ibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. WINTER MAN: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. NORTHPINE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. STAROOK: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
2
BRIE BRIE'S JOY
5/1
3/1
7
WINTER MAN
15/1
7/1
9
NORTHPINE
2/1
9/1
5
STAROOK
7/2
9/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
2
BRIE BRIE'S JOY
2
5/1
Alternator/Front-runner
70
59
58.4
57.8
48.8
9
NORTHPINE
9
2/1
Stalker
62
63
51.4
60.5
51.0
3
V DOUBLE U
3
20/1
Alternator/Stalker
62
61
47.4
49.6
40.6
5
STAROOK
5
7/2
Trailer
66
59
38.8
55.2
47.2
7
WINTER MAN
7
15/1
Alternator/Trailer
69
65
56.3
55.6
52.1
8
CHATAINBEGOOD
8
12/1
Alternator/Non-contender
71
57
57.4
43.4
30.4
10
VALID PROSPECTOR
10
8/1
Alternator/Non-contender
58
56
53.4
44.4
29.9
1
HOLY BEAU
1
15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
62
54
49.0
49.0
36.5
11
LORD REDDING
11
20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
54
51
46.1
31.2
13.2
4
THUNDER ALLEY
4
5/1
Alternator/Non-contender
57
52
42.4
40.5
27.0
6
CHICKAWAW CHARLIE
6
30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
58
53
38.2
38.2
20.2
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Evangeline Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 1 - Claiming - 870y on the Dirt. Purse: $9000 Class Rating: 64
QUARTER HORSE 870Y, FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 4 TOAST HIM ABOVE 6/1
# 6 EYESA SCHOOLBOY 5/1
# 5 UNBRIDLED SHINE 5/2
TOAST HIM ABOVE has a quite good shot to take this race. Reason to like this filly as she has in the irons one of the best jocks using winning percentages over the last month. Jockey's recent return on investment figures make this filly a strong bet. Has been running soundly lately and will probably be on or close to the lead early on. EYESA SCHOOLBOY - With Edison controlling the reins on him, this gelding will almost certainly be able to break out quickly in this contest. UNBRIDLED SHINE - His chances to prove victorious are much better this time out facing this easier group. Could beat this group given the 52 Equibase Speed Fig posted in his last outing.
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mahoning Valley Race Course
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 1 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $13000 Class Rating: 82
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 21 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 1 LEI IT ON ME 5/2
# 6 BELLA THE BANDIT 4/1
# 3 EPIC STORY 7/2
LEI IT ON ME looks to be a very good contender. She has been running soundly and the Equibase Speed Figures are among the most favorable in this group of horses in this race. Looks very good to be on the lead at the first call. Recorded a reliable speed figure in the last race. Can run another good one in this contest. BELLA THE BANDIT - She has been running strongly and the speed figures are among the most competitive in this group. Has been racing soundly and has among the most respectable speed in the race for today's distance. EPIC STORY - With a decent 72 Equibase Speed Figure last time out, will surely be a factor in this contest. The average Equibase class rating of 59 makes this one difficult to beat.
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Parx Racing - Race #3 - Post: 1:19pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $20,500 Class Rating: 76
Rating: 4
#6 OUR FIRST CANDY (ML=3/1)
#3 WINK FOR ME (ML=6/1)
OUR FIRST CANDY - Has discovered a good situation this time. WINK FOR ME - This mare looks good today. Hasn't done much lately, but did win a $7,500 Claiming race on July 25th. All systems look good for this mare. Last morning work, 2nd fastest of the day, shows she's fit and ready.
Vulnerable Contenders: #1 FAUTIVE (ML=3/2), #10 THEA'S REIGN (ML=8/1),
FAUTIVE - Speed figs tell a story of decreasing condition. Tough for anyone who saw this horse in her last contest to bet on her this time. THEA'S REIGN - Won't be easy for this thoroughbred to beat this group off of that last speed fig. Not likely to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's class figure, so put her on the likely underlays list.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#6 OUR FIRST CANDY is going to be the play if we are getting 7/5 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington Park
Remington Park - Race 8
Late Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum)
Optional Claiming $40,000 • 1 Mile 70 yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 102 • Purse: $37,400 • Post: 6:16P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OPTIONAL, STARTER, OR STATE BRED AT A MILE OR OVER IN 2017 OR CLAIMING PRICE $40,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE AUGUST 21, 2017 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000 (MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * IBAKA: Horse has a TrackMaster "B" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMas ter Power Rating. FREESTYLER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. BOLD CONQUEST: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average E quibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
2
IBAKA
5/1
4/1
7
FREESTYLER
9/5
5/1
9
BOLD CONQUEST
5/2
8/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
4
HE'S SO ZAZZY
4
12/1
Front-runner
99
93
78.6
78.6
63.6
2
IBAKA
2
5/1
Alternator/Front-runner
102
103
100.6
95.0
92.5
7
FREESTYLER
7
9/5
Stalker
101
98
77.4
97.4
88.9
5
PERFECT TO PLEASE
5
20/1
Alternator/Stalker
99
102
80.7
87.6
75.1
3
LAWLESS WEST
3
20/1
Alternator/Stalker
97
89
49.0
73.5
62.5
8
ETON RIDGE
8
6/1
Trailer
96
92
79.4
96.0
85.5
9
BOLD CONQUEST
9
5/2
Trailer
102
97
74.8
92.8
84.8
10
HYPER DRIVE
10
15/1
Trailer
104
92
68.0
94.2
81.2
1
TUFF KID
1
10/1
Trailer
99
95
65.6
89.8
81.8
6
SPIDER'S ALIBI
6
20/1
Trailer
99
89
51.8
88.8
73.8
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Turf Paradise - Race #8 - Post: 4:09pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $6,300 Class Rating: 63
Rating: 3
#4 ATSINA WARRIOR (ML=5/2)
#10 SPECTACULAR ONE (ML=9/5)
ATSINA WARRIOR - I really like sprinters that make a quick turnaround. The jockey and conditioner combination here have a high winning percentage when they join forces. SPECTACULAR ONE - Rounding his way back into form. Each of his finish positions is getting better in his recent starts. Ran last time out against a high class rated field at Turf Paradise. The move to a lower class rank should suit him well.
Vulnerable Contenders: #1 CHEECH (ML=5/1), #2 SUM CANDY (ML=6/1), #7 HAYNES COUNTY (ML=8/1),
CHEECH - This horse hasn't shown much effort in the last couple of affairs. SUM CANDY - Finished fourth on October 30th after the extended time off. Doubtful if there will be a reversal of fortune in this race. This pony ran a quite unimpressive fig last time around the track. He shouldn't show signs of improvement and will likely get beat in today's race running that fig. HAYNES COUNTY - 8/1 is not offering enough value for any thoroughbred in a sprint of 5 1/2 furlongs that hasn't finished in the money in a short distance race of late. Tough to expect this colt to be in good shape after the very long layoff.
Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - SPECTACULAR ONE - Comparing last speed ratings in this field, nobody beats this gelding. Tops in the field with a last speed rating of 56 on Oct 30th.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #4 ATSINA WARRIOR to win. Have to have odds of at least 5/2 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,10]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
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Mike Wynn
Free Play: NBA LA Lakers -5½ Over Chicago
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Free Selection from Jim Feist
Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Tuesday, November 21, 2017
11/21 07:35 PM PT / 10:35 PM ET
NBA (701) CHICAGO BULLS VS (702) LOS ANGELES LAKERS
Take: OVER
Reason: Your free play for Tuesday, November 21, 2017 is in the NBA contest between the Chicago Bulls and the LA Lakers. The Chicago Bulls off to one of their worst starts at just 3-11 on the season. They are a bit better against the number, going 7-7. The Bulls have been a good road over team, posting a 8-3 O/U mark their last 11 away games. The Lakers are 7-10 SU on the season and 8-9 ATS. The Bulls have allowed over 113 points in three of their last four games. The Lakers have been scoring, averaging over 110 in their last three games. Problem is the defense, which has allowed 107.5 ppg on the season (22nd in NBA). Lorenzo Ball has finally been finding his groove, delivering his 2nd Triple-Double in just 17 NBA games in the team's 127-109 win over the Nuggets last Sunday. The Bulls are one of those teams this year averaging under 100 points. In fact, they average just 95.5 ppg (29th in the NBA). The defense is poor, allowing 104.9 ppg (13th). The OVER is 4-1 their last five meetings between these clubs. I like this game to go OVER despite a poor Chicago offense. Chicago should be able to amp up their offense tonight against a poor Lakers defense. Play the OVER.
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Razor Sharp
YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR TUESDAY: Take LOUISVILLE -16½ over Southern Illinois
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Totals4U
Tuesday's Free Selection: Vancouver/Philadelphia under 5 1/2 goals
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John Anthony Sports
Tuesday's Free Selection: SE Missouri State + 1 1/2
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#1 Sports
Tuesday's Free Selection: Nevada Wolfpack - 7 1/2
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Huddle Up Sports
Free Play: Chicago +5
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Hawkeye Sports
Tuesday's Free Pick: Buffalo Bulls + 15 1/2 (NCAA BB)
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Golden Dragon Sports
Free Pick Nevada -7'
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Arthur Ralph Sports
FREE play: TUES Tx-Arlington + 10 1/2
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Platinum Plays
Free Pick: CBB the Nevada Wolf Pack -7½ over Davidson
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The Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Tuesday: Take CHICAGO/LA LAKERS OVER the total of 209
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High Stakes Syndicate
Free Selection for Tuesday: George Mason Patriots + 5
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