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Wednesday 11-22-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
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Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct
RACE #5 - AQUEDUCT - 2:17 PM EASTERN POST
8.0 FURLONGS DIRT THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STARTER ALLOWANCE $55,000.00 PURSE
#1 SCARF IT DOWN
#5 SHADOW RIDER
#2 KING KOA
#3 MISTER HENRY LEE
#1 SCARF IT DOWN, the overall speed leader in this field today racing at the mile distance on the dirt, has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in each of his last five outings, including "POWER RUN WINS" in both his 3rd and 5th races back. Jockey Jose Ortiz and Trainer Jeremiah Englehart send him to the post ... they've hit the board with 59% of their entries saddled as a team to date. #5 SHADOW RIDER has also hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in each of his respective last five outings, however, I also note, that there are no "Circle Trips" embedded in this recent streak of racing consistency.
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Aqueduct - Race #8 - Post: 3:47pm - Optional Claiming - 9.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $67,000 Class Rating: 105
Rating: 4
#3 ALTAR BOY (ML=8/1)
#1 ASTOUNDING (ML=5/1)
#7 FOCUS GROUP (ML=7/2)
ALTAR BOY - This rider and handler's horses have been producing a favorable ROI. This late closer looks to be the animal to make a move near the wire. In my opinion, you need 'class' to be successful on the grass. This one has the highest average class rating in the group. This race horse is in great demand coming off two claims in his last two starts. Don't overlook this gelding in your speculating today. ASTOUNDING - Servis must have known this horse would run well at this track. Won his last race here on November 9th and now goes for a double. This jock and handler's horses have been generating a positive ROI. FOCUS GROUP - I seem to always make money betting Brown horses on the turf. That barn has a dominant win percent for this distance/surface. Have to make this colt a serious competitor; he comes off a good race on October 25th.
Vulnerable Contenders: #4 SHAHROZE (IRE) (ML=2/1), #2 NOT IN CHARGE (ML=5/2), #8 CHARMING INDY (ML=4/1),
SHAHROZE (IRE) - Most unsatisfactory speed fig last out at Belmont Park at 1 1/4 miles. Don't feel this questionable contender will improve too much in today's race. NOT IN CHARGE - Most unsatisfactory speed fig in the last race at Belmont Park at 1 1/4 miles. Don't feel this vulnerable equine will improve too much in today's event. CHARMING INDY - Could be tough for this racer to beat this bunch off of that last speed rating. Not probable to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class rating, so put him on the questionable contenders list.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#3 ALTAR BOY is going to be the play if we are getting 3/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3,7] Total Cost: $6
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Churchill Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 6 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $16000 Class Rating: 78
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 22 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 12 START A WAR 8/1
# 2 DUSTY 15/1
# 6 KISS MY NOTE 5/1
START A WAR is my selection especially at a such a nice price. Has put up sound Equibase speed figs in dirt sprint races in the past. Has formidable early pace and should fare solidly versus this group of animals. Had one of the strongest Speed Figures of this group of animals in his last contest. KISS MY NOTE - Have to wager on this money-making rider and handler duo. Some very good figures have been posted by this trainer's runners racing at this distance and surface.
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Finger Lakes
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 8 - Allowance - 8.2f on the Dirt. Purse: $19200 Class Rating: 81
FOR FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A STATE BRED RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE OCTOBER 22 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 22 ALLOWED 4 LBS. (RACES WHERE
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 5 PLAYINWITHTHEBOYS 3/2
# 6 FIRESTAR 6/1
# 7 KIM 12/1
PLAYINWITHTHEBOYS is the most favorable wager in this race. Looks like a sound candidate for the exotics. When a handler brings any horse back this quickly it is a positive signal. Solid average Equibase speed figs in dirt route races make this horse a key contender. FIRESTAR - With a formidable jockey who has won at a decent 33 percent clip over the last month. This has to be one of the top choices. Had one of the best speed figures of this group in her last contest. KIM - She has been running strongly and the speed figures are among the strongest in this field. This trainer has done well as of late with entries travelling at this distance and surface.
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mountaineer Park
Mountaineer Park - Race 7
$1 Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9) $2 Trifecta $2 Exacta $1 Trifecta Box $1 Exacta Box ($.50) Superfecta
Allowance • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 76 • Purse: $16,200 • Post: 9:12P
FOR TWO YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 121 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 22 ALLOWED 3 LBS. (CLAIMING RACES FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING ALLOWANCES)(W V A BRED RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Lone Trailer. MADEYE is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MADEYE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. PEEKACHO: Toda y is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. MAXIMUS LUCK: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Ratin g.
6
MADEYE
6/1
7/2
4
PEEKACHO
3/1
5/1
2
MAXIMUS LUCK
5/2
9/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
2
MAXIMUS LUCK
2
5/2
Front-runner
69
71
61.5
39.9
29.4
7
JAXBRADENRISHI
7
7/2
Front-runner
60
53
39.8
50.2
40.7
5
MUGROSITO
5
8/1
Stalker
72
63
60.4
53.8
47.8
4
PEEKACHO
4
3/1
Alternator/Stalker
80
67
67.6
59.8
56.3
1
OWEN'S WAY
1
4/1
Alternator/Stalker
55
74
58.7
53.8
44.3
6
MADEYE
6
6/1
Alternator/Trailer
73
65
65.2
68.2
63.7
3
TWO GRAND
3
30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
72
58
61.4
43.6
32.1
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mahoning Valley Race Course
Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race 6
Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / 50 cent Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8)
Maiden Special • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 63 • Purse: $21,000 • Post: 3:04P
FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. (OHIO REGISTERED FOALS PREFERRED).
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Lone Front-runner. EL CHIFLADO is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * THERSASNAKENMYBOOT: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. QUICK COWBOY: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. EL CHIFLADO: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse ranks i n the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
2
THERSASNAKENMYBOOT
20/1
7/2
4
QUICK COWBOY
7/2
4/1
6
EL CHIFLADO
20/1
9/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
6
EL CHIFLADO
6
20/1
Front-runner
0
0
89.3
21.1
10.1
4
QUICK COWBOY
4
7/2
Stalker
70
56
45.4
38.8
32.3
10
ETHICAL COMPLIANCE
10
20/1
Alternator/Stalker
0
0
62.0
33.6
25.6
3
DOROTHYS BOY
3
20/1
Alternator/Stalker
0
0
59.1
45.6
40.1
1
RIDDLING REASON
1
20/1
Alternator/Stalker
0
0
43.6
34.1
26.1
2
THERSASNAKENMYBOOT
2
20/1
Trailer
64
58
15.6
48.2
44.2
9
QUALIFLY
9
4/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0
0
0.0
20.9
8.4
Unknown Running Style: BOY NAMED SO (8/1) [Jockey: Bracho Agustin - Trainer: Hamm Timothy E], WESTERN TWILIGHT (10/1) [Jockey: Rodriguez Jaime - Trainer: Poole Joseph M], METRIC SYSTEM (3/1) [Jockey: Rosario Jr Hector L - Trainer: Chapman James K], C
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Penn National - Race #2 - Post: 6:32pm - Stakes - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $100,000 Class Rating: 77 Blue Mountain Juvenile Fillies S.
Rating: 3
#9 INDIAN BEAUTY (ML=4/1)
#8 MS TEEK (ML=10/1)
#10 BRAYDENS START (ML=12/1)
INDIAN BEAUTY - Sire stats for 2 year olds point to this horse as a dominant bet. Jockey jumped on this filly's back for the first time on Oct 26th. Should be in touch with the equine even better today. The most recent speed figure of 79 is the highest last race figure in the field. I know the outfit is serious today. The filly gets Lasix for the first time. Earnings per race is something that I feel can be a key factor. This horse is ranked the highest in this group. MS TEEK - You always have to be on the patrol for revenue generating jockey/trainer tandems; we have one right here. Have to give this filly a good shot. Ran a nice effort in the last race within the last month or so. BRAYDENS START - You'll be generating money left and right by turning your gambling cash onto this rider/handler combination. Recent speed figs show solid pattern of improvement.
Vulnerable Contenders: #4 BRONX BEAUTY (ML=2/1), #6 DIXIE SERENADE (ML=9/2), #3 P. SUE (ML=8/1),
BRONX BEAUTY - September 17th is the last time we've seen this filly around. Have to be a little bit leery. Tough to play this questionable contender this time around. Make her show you something in a short distance event before you invest in her in a race of 6 furlongs. DIXIE SERENADE - Today's contest is 6 furlongs. Hasn't finished in the money in a short distance race in the last 60 days. Not the greatest of indicators. P. SUE - This racer showed very liitle last time out of the box finishing sixth. Don't see any hint of any change in today's race. 8/1 is not offering enough value for any racer in a sprint of 6 furlongs that hasn't hit the board in a short distance clash of late. Mediocre speed figure in the last race at Presque Isle Downs at 6 1/2 furlongs. Don't believe this mount will improve too much today.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #9 INDIAN BEAUTY on top if we're getting at least 5/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
9 with [8,10]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [8,9,10] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[8,9,10] with [8,9,10] with [1,6,8,9,10] with [1,6,8,9,10] Total Cost: $36
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Mike Wynn
Free Play: CBB Providence -9½ Over Belmont
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Free Selection from Jim Feist
Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Wednesday, November 22, 2017
11/22 04:05 PM PT / 7:05 PM ET
NBA (503) BROOKLYN NETS VS (504) CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
Take: OVER
Reason: Your free play for Wednesday, November 22, 2017 is in the NBA matchup between the Brooklyn Nets and the Cleveland Cavaliers. We hit out Situation Game of the Month with Cleveland at Detroit on Monday evening in an easy win, 116-88. The issue with the Cavs is to know when to play them and when to fold them. The Cavs like to rest players, but I believe they see the Celtics pulling away and have had to step it up, evidenced by their five straight wins. If they aren't careful the Celtics will run away with the East. Both teams have bad defenses, allowing 113.9 for the Nets and 114 for the Cavs. However, during this last five game streak, Cleveland has allowed just 102.6 ppg, a drastic downturn. Brooklyn has lost three of its last four games and hits the road here tonight. This isn't a very good team, especially on the road. With Cleveland having last night off, I look for them to run up the score tonight. The Cavs have been a great over team at home, with a 25-10-1 O/U record their last 36 home games. They are also 7-3 O/U their last 10 overall. I like this game to go OVER tonight with the Cavs having had some rest.
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Razor Sharp
YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR WEDNESDAY: Take BROOKLYN/CLEVELAND UNDER the total of 228
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Totals4U
Wednesday's Free Selection: Orlando/Minnesota over 215
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#1 Sports
Wednesday's Free Selection: Cleveland Cavaliers - 11
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Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Wednesday: Take LA LAKERS/SACRAMENTO OVER the total of 209
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Huddle Up Sports
Free Play: Arkansas State +12
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Hawkeye Sports
Wednesday's Free Pick: James Madison - 2
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Golden Dragon Sports
Free Pick Utah -8'
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Platinum Plays
Free Pick: CBB the Santa Clara Broncos Pk over Idaho
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The Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Wednesday: Take DETROIT +11½ over St Louis
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High Stakes Syndicate
Free Selection for Wednesday: LaSalle Explorers + 10 1/2
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