Service Plays Sunday 12/10/17

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Zack Cimini's Pick Pack
NFL Guaranteed Pick

Guaranteed Plays
Matchup: 129 Dallas at 130 N.Y. Giants
Time: 1:00 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: N.Y. Giants (+4 -115)
Line Source: Sportsbook.ag
Posted on: December 9, 2017 @ 12:00:11 AM EST

One of the poorer lines this season was Dallas as a slight home favorite against the Giants. That’s a factor Sunday along with the Giants story line. For the second time in four weeks they traveled to California. Heavy miles returning home amidst their coach getting fired is distracting. Yet, it’s the Cowboys that have the pressure on them. At 6-6 they need to keep winning to stay in the playoff hunt. Look for a spirited effort from the Giants and a Sunday cover.

[hagball52]

Here are the Invincible NFL Betting System bets for the upcoming week of the NFL season:​​​​​​​

Kansas {B} bet
Chicago {B} bet

Always bet on the point spread if the team you're betting on is the underdog (which happens most of the time), and on the money line if the team you're betting for is the favorite. An underdog team will always have a positive number in the point spread, while a favorite will always have a negative number in the point spread.
Note that if you're betting on the point spread, then as long as the team you're betting on is able to cover the point spread, you will win your wager, regardless if they had won or lost the game. For example, if your team has a point spread of +6, and they end up losing the game by 5 points, then you'd win the bet since your team did not lose by more than 6 points.
The only times when you should pass on betting on a team is when they have already been eliminated from the playoff race. If a team cannot statistically make the playoffs regardless of your performance for the remainder of the season, then don’t wager on them. You can check to see what teams are still alive for the playoffs, and which teams have been eliminated from the playoffs race each season by going to:

http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/standings/playoffrace

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tiger

2% carolina +3

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Rainman Members,

December 10th

NFL
**Bet 24 Units to WIN 20 Units: #120 Houston Texans -2 HAMMER PLAY 1pm est
Bought 1/2 point

*Bet 11 Units to WIN 10 Units: #105-106 OVER 45 Total Detroit/Tampa Bay 1pm est

*Bet 11 Units to WIN 10 Units: #114 KC Chiefs -4 1pm est

*Bet 11 Units to WIN 10 Units: #124 Denver Broncos +1 4:05pm est

*Bet 11.5 Units to WIN 10 Units: #132 Pittsburgh Steelers -4 8:30pm est

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

7-Unit Play. #127. Take Under 48.0 LA Rams vs. Philadelphia Eagles (Sunday @ 4:25pm est)
We roll with the Under here as most expect these high powered offenses to put up a lot of points, but we think the public is overlooking the fact that these are two very good defenes. One of the reasons why they have made this year in the year is because they have a high quality defense as the Rams Defense is led by legendary Defensive Coordiantor Wade Phillips and the Eagles are led by Jim Schwartz (yes, the same Schwartz that used to coach for the Lions). So, you have two fantastic Defensive Minds hooking up here against two competent offenses. The Eagles are the 3rd best defense in the league and #1 against the Rush and and as they come off a 10-24 loss to the Seahawks, they will likely be even more focused on the defensive end. On the road, the Eagles have had a tendency to struglge scoring 10 against Seattle and 20 against Kansas City (though they did have success against a terrible Washington Defense and the lowly Cowboys). The Rams are 9th in passing yards allowed and 7th in overall points allowed and are the same team that held the Saints to 20 points at home and have given up 20 points or less for 8 straight weeks. Look for both these defenses to step up to the challenge in what should be a highly competitive game that will be relatively low scoring.


4-Unit Play. #122. Take LA Chargers -6 over Washington Redskins (Sunday @ 4:05pm est)
The Chargers could not have played worse last week against the lowly Browns as they failed to cover the nearly 2 touchdown spread as they won by 9 and it took some late work to win by that margin as well. The Redskins were simply sucker punched in their last game losing 14-38 at Dallas and we think essentially they will go through the motions as that was a must win game for them. Washington is 30th in points allowed and 23rd in rushing yards which will allow an underrated Chargers defense to focus on the pass and therefore the difference should be solid here to get the number covered.


2-Unit Play. #130. Take New York Giants +4 over Dallas Cowboys (Sunday @ 1pm est)
The Giants will rally behind Eli here as he likely takes the helm once again for New York. This will be a feel good story for the Giants as they come together for a big home win as they will play well against a division rival and for Eli in general. This is a Giants team that still has an elite defense and a Cowboys team that is notorious for let downs after a big win at home on national television but now has to face a division rival on the road who will have an emotional game with their QB back at the helm. We like the Giants to come together and possibly win this game outright but we will take the points.

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Stephen Nover

2* Oral Roberts / sw mo under 142

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Hackman

Carolina 2.5
Carolina +120

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Virgobbi Sports NFL Week 14

Ind +3 (-110)
nyg +3.5 (-110)
sf +2.5 (-110)
gb -3 (-110)
cin -6.5 (-105)

[hagball52]

Villanova Over 141 (-110)
$550 to win $500
This is a noon start... I have this total at 150, a full 9 pts above the posted total..
I'll look at the afternoon and evening games later, if we have another play, I'll email it later..
Dec 6: Edmonton Over 5.5 (win $500)
Dec 7: Tampa Over 5.5 (win $500)
Dec 8: Chicago Over 5.5 (loss $525)
Dec 9: Dayton Over 136 (win $500)
Dec 9: BYU Under 145 (win $500)
Falcon Sports

[Fireman334]

FOOTBALL LOCK CLUB: (BUY ½ POINTS)
8 Minnesota -2.5 vs Carolina 1:00pm
7 LA Chargers -5.5 vs Washington 4:05pm
7 NY Jets +1 vs Denver 4:05pm
6 Oakland +4 vs Kansas City 1:00pm

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MTi

4-Star Colts at Bills OVER 39.5 - The Bills are starting Nathan Peterman which is a contributing factor to this low total. Buffalo, however, should not be passive on offense. If they are, they might lose to the Colts and drop below 500. The line value is with the OVER.

The Bills are 17-0 OU as a FG-plus favorite facing an opponent that is off three consecutive losses and the total is 47 points or less, zooming over the number by an average of 14.06 ppg. They played three games in this spot last season and the final scores were 45-16 over the Niners, 28-21 over the Jaguars and 33-13 over the Browns.

Also, Buffalo is 11-0 OU (9.45 ppg) at home after they were outgained by their opponent. The SDQL text is:

team=Bills and H and p:TY=20151018

This one is 4-0 OU THIS season.

The Colts are off a 30-10 loss to the Jaguars in which Brissett was picked off twice. This, however, does not compel the Colts to adopt a conservative attack; quite the opposite. Indianapolis is 19-0 OU on the road off a double-digit loss in which they committed two-plus turnovers and had at least 25 minutes of possession time. The SDQL text is:

team=Colts and A and p:margin<=-10 and 2<=p:TO and p:TOP>25*60 and season>=1992

The Colts' points scored has dropped steadily over their past four games (23, 20, 17, 16, 10). The public overplays the under in this situation. Over the past seven seasons, the league is 18-0-1 OU (+10.50 ppg) on the road on turf after a double-digit loss as a road when they scored fewer points than expected in each of their last two games.

The value is with the OVER.

MTi FORECAST: BILLS 27 Colts 24

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals 4 You NFL Selections for Early Sunday, Dec 10th

2017 NFL "UNDERS" Totals 3-Teamer of the Year!!!!!
Chicago/Cincinnati under 39 1/2
Oakland/Kansas City under 49
Green Bay/Cleveland under 39 1/2


Early NFL Best Bets
Detroit/Tampa Bay over 42
Minnesota/Carolina under 40
Dallas/New York over 41 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTS INSURANCE ADJUSTERS

Free Play: Buffalo -3 vs Indy

NFL Service Plays:

5* Carolina +2.5 vs Minnesota

Cincinnati -.5/Seattle +8.5 6 Point Teaser

Philadelphia +1 vs Rams

Washington vs Chargers Over 46.5

NCAA BB Plays

Arizona St +12.5 vs Kansas

JMU +6 vs Richmond

NBA Service Plays:

Philadelphia +6.5 vs New Orleans

NHL Service Plays

Edmonton vs Toronto Over 5.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sky Blue

Jax
Chi
Cle

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Sports cash system

Main (2) Pittsburgh-5

Extras

(1) Denver-1
(2) GB-3
(2) Dallas-3

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Steve Merril

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NFL

(4% play) CAROLINA +2.5 (vs. Minnesota) - 1:00 pm ET #116

-Minnesota is in a terrible scheduling spot; it will be their 3rd straight road game; 5th in 6 games
-offense is averaging just 5.2 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that allow 5.6 yards per play
-Vikings' defense gives up +6.4 points per game more (20.2-13.8) on the road than at home

-Carolina returns home off a road loss in New Orleans; first home game in a month; great spot
-offense has scored 121 total points in their last four games; in excellent current form overall
-Panthers' defense gives up just 19.8 points per game vs. offenses that average 23.0 ppg this year

Play PANTHERS (+) as a 4% play.

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(3% play) CLEVELAND +3 (vs. Green Bay) - 1:00 pm ET #118

-Green Bay hits the road after back-to-back draining games; terrible situational spot here
-offense is only averaging 5.3 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.4 yards per play
-Packers' defense is giving up awful 27.0 points per game on 6.0 yards per play on the road

-Cleveland returns home off back-to-back road games; expect their best game of the season
-team is +20 games ATS better with WR Josh Gordon in the lineup, he returned last week
-offense has faced a difficult slate of defenses that only allow 20.9 ppg; step-down in class now
-Browns' defense only gives up 20.0 points per game on 4.7 yards per play at home this season

Play BROWNS (+) as a 3% play.

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(3% play) ARIZONA +3 (vs. Tennessee) - 4:05 pm ET #126

-Tennessee hits the road again off back-to-back wins; 3rd road game in 4 weeks; letdown here
-offense is only averaging 18.3 points per game on 5.0 yards per play on the road this season
-Titans' defense is giving up 25.7 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 20.9 ppg

-Arizona will be playing their third straight home game, and off a loss, expect a strong effort here
-offense is scoring +7.5 points per game more at home than on the road this season (22.0-14.5)
-Cardinals' defense is giving up 5.2 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.6 yards per play

Play CARDINALS (+) as a 3% play.

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(additional TV opinion)

(1% opinion) OVER 43 (Ravens/Steelers) - 8:30 pm ET (NBC) #131

-Baltimore has scored 90 total points in their 3 games since they bye week; good current form
-offense is averaging 23.3 points per game vs. defenses that give up just 22.0 points per game
-Ravens' defense has given up 57 total points to the Steelers offense in their last two meetings

-Pittsburgh has scored 100 total points in their last three home games; scoring ways will continue
-offense is averaging 27.0 points per game at home vs. defenses that are only giving up 21.6 ppg
-Steelers' defense has given up 20 points or more to the Ravens in 8 of their last 9 meetings

[Duncan]

Picks2Play

Pick Of The Day

NFL: Cincinnati Bengals -6.5

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JR ODONNELL

3*GOW Carolina +2.5

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Dave essler

2* Villanova/ las alley over 140

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Kelso

100 Game of Month Packers