BIG AL
Our complimentary selection for Sunday, Dec 10 is:
Houston Texans -2.5 over SF 49ers.
BIG AL
Our complimentary selection for Sunday, Dec 10 is:
Houston Texans -2.5 over SF 49ers.
NFL opening line report: Focus is on the NFC in Week 14 with several key matchups
Patrick Everson
"We anticipate Saints money from the public, and this line could head south sooner than later."
Without question, the best Week 14 NFL games are in the NFC, as the playoff picture continues to evolve. Patrick Everson checks in on the opening lines for a handful of matchups, with insights from Scott Cooley, odds consultant for offshore sportsbook Bookmaker.eu.
New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons (-2)
New Orleans had a one-game hiccup, then got right back to its winning ways and now stands atop the NFC South. The Saints (9-3 SU, 8-4 ATS) saw their eight-game win streak end in Week 12 at the Los Angeles Rams, but came home Sunday and beat Carolina 31-21 as a 5.5-point chalk.
Defending NFC champion Atlanta is making things tough for itself to even get back to the playoffs, let alone the Super Bowl. The Falcons (7-5 SU, 5-7 ATS) had a nice little three-game SU and ATS win streak, then had a dismal offensive showing and lost at home to Minnesota 14-9 as a 2-point favorite in Week 13.
“Our team was anywhere from a pick ‘em to -3 for this matchup,” Cooley said. “The deuce felt like a fair number. We can see where the bettors are leaning early and adjust from there. We anticipate Saints money from the public, and this line could head south sooner than later.”
Minnesota Vikings at Carolina Panthers (+1)
Minnesota just keeps on rolling behind a top-notch defense that ranks No. 2 in the league in scoring, allowing just 17 points per game. On Sunday, the Vikings (10-2 SU, 9-3 ATS) went to Atlanta as a 2-point underdog and won a defensive slog 14-9.
Carolina (8-4 SU, 7-5 ATS) won and cashed four straight heading into Sunday’s showdown with New Orleans. But the Panthers couldn’t keep it going, losing 31-21 catching 5.5 points.
“No matter how many wins, the Vikings don’t get any love from the general betting public,” Cooley said. “Sharps were on them again (against the Saints), and likely will be here, but the squares aren’t hopping aboard, so these spreads are kept somewhat at bay. Of course, you have to think Minnesota is going to stumble at some point.”
Philadelphia Eagles at Los Angeles Rams (no line)
Philadelphia has been the class of the NFC this season, but its impressive winning streak of nine games SU and eight games ATS finally ended Sunday night. The Eagles (10-2 SU, 9-3 ATS) went off as 3.5-point road chalk against Seattle and lost outright, 24-10.
Los Angeles is red-hot of late, going 6-1 SU and ATS in its last seven outings. The NFC West-leading Rams (9-3 SU, 8-4 ATS) doubled up Arizona 32-16 giving 7.5 points on the road Sunday.
With Philly having played in the Sunday nighter, Bookmaker.eu won’t post the line on this game until Monday.
“Depending on how Sunday night plays out, we could make this anywhere from a pick to L.A. a small ‘dog,” Cooley said. “If the latter happens, the Rams feel like a very live ‘dog at home. Despite the two prolific offenses, I expect to see sharp players on the under.”
Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs (-4.5)
Kansas City started the season 5-0 SU and ATS and was 6-2 SU and ATS through eight weeks. The Chiefs (6-6 SU and ATS) haven’t won since then, dumping four in a row to fall into a three-way logjam atop the AFC West with Oakland and San Diego. On Sunday, K.C. blew a 14-0 lead by the end of the first quarter and ultimately lost to the New York Jets 38-31 as a 4-point road fave.
Oakland has also played far below expectations this season, but has won three of its last four (1-2-1 ATS). In Week 13, the Raiders (6-6 SU, 4-7-1 ATS) held off the New York Giants 24-17 giving 10 points at home.
“Early action from the pros has been on Oakland, which prompted a 1-point move. They really don’t like this K.C. squad right now, and it’s obvious why,” Cooley said of sharp Raiders action forcing Bookmaker down to K.C. -3.5. “That said, you know this losing streak is going to end soon, and this is a season-defining type of game for the Chiefs. Expect their best effort here.”
NFL's biggest betting mismatches: Week 14
Monty Andrews
Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs (-4, 47.5)
Raiders' ragged secondary vs. Chiefs' elite ball security
The AFC West is officially the craziest division in the NFL, with three teams tied for the division lead as we enter the final four weeks of the regular season. This week's encounter between the streaking Raiders and the tumbling Chiefs will have a significant impact on how the final standings play out - and despite Kansas City having squandered what was a comfortable lead just a month ago, it has a sizeable edge in this one when it comes to retaining possession on offense.
The Oakland pass defense is a major reason why the Raiders are sitting at .500 through 13 weeks rather than leading the division by several games. By any measure, Oakland has struggled mightily to contain opposing signal callers, surrendering 20 pass touchdowns with just one interception; only one other team, the Atlanta Falcons (three), have fewer than five INTs. In addition, Oakland's 108.2 passer rating against is easily the worst in football.
Despite Kansas City's recent struggles, don't expect the Raiders secondary to suddenly look like world beaters against Alex Smith. The Chiefs have perennially been one of the lowest-turnover offenses in football with Smith at the helm, and 2017 is no exception - Kansas City has thrown just six interceptions, tied for the fourth-fewest in the league. Look for Smith to pick apart Oakland's pass defense, which should at least give the Chiefs a fighting chance of ending their four-game losing skid.
Green Bay Packers at Cleveland Browns (+3.5, 40.5)
Packers' red-zone proficiency vs. Browns' broken defense
No Aaron Rodgers? No problem - okay, several problems, but not as many as fans and bettors thought after the Packers lost their franchise quarterback to a collarbone injury in a Week 6 loss to the Minnesota Vikings. Green Bay evened its record at 6-6 with an impressive 26-20 overtime win over Tampa Bay, and with Rodgers due back later this month, a postseason spot remains in play. The Packers will look to improve their chances this week by exploiting a major edge in red-zone play against winless Cleveland.
If there is one area where Green Bay has remained as potent as ever, it is in turning red-zone opportunities into six points. The Packers come into Week 14 with a success rate of nearly 65 percent inside the opponents' 20-yard line, the third-best rate in the league. That red-zone proficiency was on full display in last week's victory over the Buccaneers, when Aaron Jones ran in his only carry from the Tampa Bay 20-yard line to give the Packers a critical victory.
The Browns have been halfway decent at limiting opponent yardage (327.2, 10th in NFL), but are lagging behind in just about every other defensive metric. That includes red-zone points against, with Cleveland having allowed a touchdown on 68.6 percent of foes' trips inside their 20 - the second-worst rate in the NFL. The Browns' chances of earning win No. 1 will likely hinge on their ability to hold Green Bay to field goals - and if that's the case, bettors shouldn't hold their breath.
San Francisco 49ers at Houston Texans (-3, 43)
49ers' third-down troubles vs. Texans' punt-forcing prowess
A two-game losing skid and a date with a suddenly improving San Francisco team has the host Texans staring at a minuscule edge in the Vegas line this weekend. Yet, despite having lost four of its past five games to guarantee a non-winning season, Houston is still in good position heading into Week 14. Not only have the Texans prevailed in two of their previous three home games, but they have been a force on third downs - and the 49ers, for lack of a more eloquent turn of phrase, have not.
Perhaps the switch at quarterback from C.J. Beathard to Jimmy Garoppolo will mean great things for the 49ers on third down - after all, they went a stunning 10-for-18 in such situations in Garoppolo's first start in the red and gold. But one game is just that - and if you look at the season, San Francisco is still converting just 36.3 percent of third downs, good for 26th out of 32 teams. And getting to third down 18 times against the Texans probably won't turn out nearly as well for Garoppolo and the visitors.
Only five teams have been stingier on third down than the Texans, who have forced a punt or fourth-down try on 65.9 percent of opponent opportunities. Houston has been even tighter over the previous three games, allowing teams to extend drives or score on just 31.4 percent of third-down chances. And with opponents converting just 32.4 percent of their third-down opportunities at NRG Stadium, it could be a long afternoon for Garoppolo and the rest of the San Francisco offense.
Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers (-6, 44)
Ravens' ball-hawking skills vs. Big Ben's interception troubles
The Ravens still have a shot at the NFC North title - albeit a small one - as they prepare to visit Ben Roethlisberger and the division-leading Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday night. Baltimore did its part to remain in the hunt with a 44-20 drubbing of the Detroit Lions - its third consecutive victory - and will be looking to atone for a 26-9 loss to the Steelers in their previous meeting Oct. 1. Even though Heinz Field is Big Ben's personal playground, the Ravens have the secondary to make life miserable for him.
The Ravens continue to lead the NFL in interceptions with 20 - four more than the runner-up Philadelphia Eagles and Jacksonville Jaguars. And while it's fair to note that eight of those picks came in Baltimore's first two games - specifically, four each against the Cincinnati Bengals and Cleveland Browns - the Ravens are still a top-six interception unit even if they hadn't recorded an INT in either of those contests. Opponents throw a pick on 5.14 percent of passing plays vs. Baltimore.
Roethlisberger escaped with just one interception in the Steelers' Week 4 triumph in Baltimore, but that was largely because his team ran the ball an unbelievable 42 times in the victory. Pittsburgh passers - yes, plural, thanks to Robert Golden's 44-yard completion in a Week 7 win over Cincinnati - come into this weekend with (12) interceptions, the seventh-most of any team. And with the Ravens looking to make up for their earlier loss, Pittsburgh might want to fire up 35 more carries for Le'Veon Bell.
NFL
Long Sheet
Week 14
Sunday, December 10
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DETROIT (6 - 6) at TAMPA BAY (4 - 8) - 12/10/2017, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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CHICAGO (3 - 9) at CINCINNATI (5 - 7) - 12/10/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 13-33 ATS (-23.3 Units) in road games in December games since 1992.
CHICAGO is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in road games in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
CHICAGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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INDIANAPOLIS (3 - 9) at BUFFALO (6 - 6) - 12/10/2017, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 1-0 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 1-0 straight up against INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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SEATTLE (8 - 4) at JACKSONVILLE (8 - 4) - 12/10/2017, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 67-37 ATS (+26.3 Units) in December games since 1992.
JACKSONVILLE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) against NFC West division opponents since 1992.
JACKSONVILLE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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OAKLAND (6 - 6) at KANSAS CITY (6 - 6) - 12/10/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 33-59 ATS (-31.9 Units) in December games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 32-56 ATS (-29.6 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 3-2 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 4-1 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MINNESOTA (10 - 2) at CAROLINA (8 - 4) - 12/10/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 112-83 ATS (+20.7 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
CAROLINA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 56-35 ATS (+17.5 Units) in December games since 1992.
CAROLINA is 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
MINNESOTA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 this season.
MINNESOTA is 32-13 ATS (+17.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 32-13 ATS (+17.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-0 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 1-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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GREEN BAY (6 - 6) at CLEVELAND (0 - 12) - 12/10/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 186-131 ATS (+41.9 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 66-38 ATS (+24.2 Units) in December games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 61-36 ATS (+21.4 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
CLEVELAND is 6-21 ATS (-17.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 6-21 ATS (-17.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points this season.
CLEVELAND is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
CLEVELAND is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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SAN FRANCISCO (2 - 10) at HOUSTON (4 - 8) - 12/10/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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WASHINGTON (5 - 7) at LA CHARGERS (6 - 6) - 12/10/2017, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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NY JETS (5 - 7) at DENVER (3 - 9) - 12/10/2017, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY JETS are 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
DENVER is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all games this season.
DENVER is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
DENVER is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points this season.
DENVER is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
DENVER is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
DENVER is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses this season.
DENVER is 58-83 ATS (-33.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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TENNESSEE (8 - 4) at ARIZONA (5 - 7) - 12/10/2017, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 48-27 ATS (+18.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
ARIZONA is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points this season.
ARIZONA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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PHILADELPHIA (10 - 2) at LA RAMS (9 - 3) - 12/10/2017, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
LA RAMS is 183-228 ATS (-67.8 Units) in all games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 183-228 ATS (-67.8 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 131-180 ATS (-67.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS is 142-180 ATS (-56.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LA RAMS is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) against NFC East division opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS is 62-93 ATS (-40.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
LA RAMS is 67-96 ATS (-38.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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DALLAS (6 - 6) at NY GIANTS (2 - 10) - 12/10/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 37-60 ATS (-29.0 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 4-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 3-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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BALTIMORE (7 - 5) at PITTSBURGH (10 - 2) - 12/10/2017, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 104-74 ATS (+22.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 51-30 ATS (+18.0 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 91-63 ATS (+21.7 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 3-1 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 3-2 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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Monday, December 11
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NEW ENGLAND (10 - 2) at MIAMI (5 - 7) - 12/11/2017, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 24-7 ATS (+16.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 24-7 ATS (+16.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 23-7 ATS (+15.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 62-39 ATS (+19.1 Units) in December games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 65-44 ATS (+16.6 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 17-3 ATS (+13.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 60-36 ATS (+20.4 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
MIAMI is 70-98 ATS (-37.8 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 4-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 4-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NFL
Week 14
Trend Report
Sunday, December 10
SAN FRANCISCO @ HOUSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games
San Francisco is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games at home
Houston is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games at home
OAKLAND @ KANSAS CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Oakland's last 9 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Oakland is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oakland
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland
INDIANAPOLIS @ BUFFALO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 6 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Buffalo's last 14 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
MINNESOTA @ CAROLINA
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
CHICAGO @ CINCINNATI
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games
Chicago is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games
GREEN BAY @ CLEVELAND
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Green Bay's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cleveland's last 11 games at home
Cleveland is 4-16-1 ATS in its last 21 games at home
DETROIT @ TAMPA BAY
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games at home
Tampa Bay is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
DALLAS @ NY GIANTS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Dallas's last 22 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Giants's last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants's last 7 games
WASHINGTON @ LA CHARGERS
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Washington's last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Chargers's last 7 games
LA Chargers is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
TENNESSEE @ ARIZONA
Tennessee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games when playing Arizona
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Arizona's last 18 games at home
NY JETS @ DENVER
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Jets's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Jets's last 6 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing at home against NY Jets
Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Jets
SEATTLE @ JACKSONVILLE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games
Jacksonville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 6 games
PHILADELPHIA @ LA RAMS
Philadelphia is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Philadelphia is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
LA Rams is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
LA Rams is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
BALTIMORE @ PITTSBURGH
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games on the road
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
NFL
Week 14
Sunday's games
Lions (6-6) @ Buccaneers (4-8)— Stafford hurt his hand late in loss to Ravens LW; check status. Untested Iowa alum Rudock is his backup. Lions allowed 74 points in losing last two games (turnover ratio of -5); they’re 4-2 on road, losing by 14 in Superdome, 24 in Baltimore. Tampa Bay lost seven of last eight games; they got QB Winston back last week, and are 3-2 at home, losing 19-14 to Patriots, 17-3 to Carolina. Detroit won three of last four series games, winning 27-20/23-20ot in last two visits here, with last visit here in ’11. NFC South non-divisional home teams are 7-10 vs spread; NFC North road teams are 7-6. Last five Detroit games went over total; four of Buccaneers’ five home games stayed under.
Bears (3-9) @ Bengals (5-7)— Last week, Bears were first team in NFL history to run a punt back for a TD, not allow a TD, win turnover battle and still lose the game. Last two weeks combined, Bears have run 85 plays for 287 yards- not good. Short week for Bengals after blowing 17-0 lead in Monday night loss to hated Steelers. Since 2005, Cincy is 5-9-1 vs spread in game the week following loss to Pittsburgh. Bengals covered their last four games; they’re 3-3 SU at home, 2-3 as home favorites. Chicago lost its last five gamesBengals won four of last six series games; teams split four meetings played here. AFC North non-divisional home favorites are 5-5-1 vs spread; NFC North road underdogs are 6-6. Over is 4-2-1 in last seven Bengal games.
Colts (3-9) @ Bills (6-6)— Bills QB Taylor hurt his knee LW, would be replaced here by rookie Peterman who threw five picks in one dreadful half vs Chargers in his only NFL start. Buffalo lost four of its last five games; they’re 4-2 at home, 2-0-1 as home favorites. Indy lost six of its last seven games; they’re 2-4 as road underdogs, with only win 20-14 (+7) in Houston. Colts won seven of last nine series games, but most of that was in Manning era for Colts; Indy lost 30-7/27-14 in last two visits here. AFC East non-divisional home favorites are 3-4-1 vs spread; AFC South road underdogs are 4-4-1. Bills are -8 in turnovers their last five games; they were +14 in their first seven. Last four Indy games stayed under the total.
Seahawks (8-4) @ Jaguars (8-4)— Seahawks won seven of their last nine games; they won last four road games, after losing first two- Seattle is 1-2 as road underdogs. Jacksonville won five of its last six games; they’re 4-2 at home, 2-2 as home favorites, losing to Titans/Rams. Jaguars allowed 23+ points in their four losses; they’re 8-0 when they allow 17 or less. Seahawks scored 22+ points in six of their last seven games. Seattle is 5-2 against the Jaguars; home side won last four series games. Teams split four games played here. NFC West non-divisional road underdogs are 4-7 vs spread; AFC South home favorites are 5-4-1. Under is 6-2 in Seattle’s last eight games, 5-1 in Jaguars’ last six.
Raiders (6-6) @ Chiefs (6-6)— Teams are in 3-way tie with Chargers atop AFC West. Chiefs lost six of last seven games after a 5-0 start; KC is 3-2 as home favorites, winning by 7-9-8 points, losing to Steelers/Bills. Chiefs have only one takeaway (-4) in their last four games. Raiders won three of last four games; they’re 2-3 in true road games, 1-2 as road underdogs, losing away games by 17-6-20 points, with wins in Nashville, Miami. Chiefs (-3) lost 31-30 in Oakland in Week 7; Raiders gained 505 yards, threw for 417 as they snapped 5-game series skid. Oakland lost its last four games in Arrowhead, by 17-18-6-8 points. Last three Raider games stayed under total, as did three of last four Chief games. KC is 0-4 in games decided by less than 7 points.
Vikings (10-2) @ Panthers (8-4)— Minnesota is on road for third week in a row; they won their last eight games, covered last seven. Vikings are 4-1 in true road games, with only loss 26-9 in Pittsburgh. In their last four games, Minnesota is 27-51 (52.9%) on 3rd down, their opponents 12-46 (26.1%). Carolina won four of its last five games; they’re 3-2 at home, losing to Saints, Eagles, winning by 6-3-24 points. Panthers are 8-4 despite a -7 turnover ratio; they have only 11 takeaways. Carolina scored 11 TD’s on its last 30 drives; eight of them were 75+ yard drives. Vikings won three of last four series games; they won 22-10 in Charlotte LY. Four of last six Viking games went over the total, as have last three Carolina games.
Packers (6-6) @ Browns (0-12)— Winless Cleveland is 3-9 vs spread, 2-3 at home, losing games on Lake Erie by 3-24-3-3-12 points. Browns are -20 in turnovers because in part because Kizer isn’t an NFL-caliber QB; in their last nine games, Cleveland scored 63 points on 21 red zone drives, which is really poor. Green Bay lost five of its last seven games; they’re 2-3 on road, 0-1 as road favorite. Packers have been outscored in 2nd half in six of last seven games. Green Bay is 3-1 against the Browns, winning by 23-28-18 points, winning 31-3 in its last visit here, in ’09. All five Cleveland home games stayed under the total; four of last five Packer games went over. Last two weeks, Green Bay opponents converted 17 of 29 third down plays.
49ers (2-10) @ Texans (4-8)— 49ers won Garoppolo’s first start LW, despite not scoring a TD; they were first team in NFL history to allow punt return for a TD, not score a TD, lose turnover battle and still win the game. Niners won two of last three games; they’re 4-2 vs spread as road underdogs, losing away games by 3-3-3-2-23 points, with win in Chicago. Texans lost five of their last six games; they’re 3-3 at home, 2-2 as home favorites, with wins by 43-16-10 points. In their last three games, Houston lost field position by 13-13-14 yards; they haven’t led at halftime since Watson got hurt. Home side won all three series games; 49ers lost 24-21 in last visits here, in ’09. Despite their win last week, Niners had no TD’s (five FG’s) in five red zone drives.
Redskins (5-7) @ Chargers (6-6)— Chargers are 6-2 in last eight games, winning last three, by 30-22-9 points- they were +10 in turnovers in those games. Bolts won last three home games after losing first three- they’re 1-2 as home favorites. Redskins lost five of last seven games; they are 2-4 on road, beating Rams/Seattle, losing by 9-10-3-24 points. Washington is 7-3 against the Chargers; five of last six series games were decided by 5 or less points or in OT. Teams split four series games that were played in California. Over is 6-2 in last eight Washington games; six of last seven Charger games stayed under. NFC East non-divisional road underdogs are 9-3 against the spread; AFC West home favorites are 4-9 vs spread.
Jets (5-7) @ Broncos (3-9)— Denver is horrible, losing last eight games (0-8 vs spread); their offense was outscored 9-0 by the Miami defense last week. Broncos are 1-4 vs spread as a dog this year- they lost last three home games, by 13-25-3 points. In its last six games, Denver lost field position by 11+ yards five times. Jets lost five of their last seven games; they’re 1-4 on road, with only win by FG in Cleveland. Jets are 3-1 when allowing 20 or less points. 2-6 if they allow more than 20. Denver won four of last five series games; this is Jets’ first visit here since 2011. Four of last six Denver games went over the total, as did three of last four Jet games. AFC East non-divisional underdogs are 10-8-1 vs spread, 6-5 on the road.
Titans (8-4) @ Cardinals (5-7)— Tennessee won six of its last seven games; four of their last five wins were by 4 or less points. Titans are 3-3 on road, 2-2 as road favorites; they’re 7-0 when they score 20+ points, 1-4 if they score less than 20. Arizona was outscored 55-24 in 2nd half of its last three games; they’re at home for 3rd week in row. Cardinals lost three of last four games, are 3-3 at home, 2-2-1 as home underdogs. Arizona leads series 6-4; they won last meeting in OT in Nashville in 2013- this is Titans’ first visit to the desert since ’05. Over is 7-4 in Titans’ last 11 games, 3-0 in Arizona’s last three. Tennessee outscored its last two opponents 28-6 in 2nd half; in their last six games, Titans allowed an average of only 66.5 rushing yards/game.
Eagles (10-2) @ Rams (9-3)— Eagles have 4-game lead with four weeks left; Rams lead by game in NFC West, and visit Seattle next week. Philly had 9-game win streak snapped LW; Eagles are 4-2 on road, 1-1 as road underdogs. Iggles turned ball over five times in last two games, after turning it over only five times in previous seven games. Last week was first time since Week 1 that Philly ran for less than 100 yards. Rams won six of their last seven games; they’re 3-2 as home favorites. LA won field position battle in last seven games; they’re only 9-36 on 3rd down in last three games. Eagles won last four series games; last meeting was in ’14. Rams’ last win was in ’04. Four of last five Eagle games stayed under, as did three of Rams’ last four games.
Cowboys (6-6) @ Giants (2-10)— McAdoo is gone, Manning is back at QB for Giants team that is 1-4 at home, with only win 12-9 in OT over the Chiefs. New York is 1-4 as home underdogs this season. In their last three games, Giants are 10-41 on 3rd down. Cowboys had extra prep time after playing on Thursday LW; they’ve lost three of last four games, are 3-2 on road, losing in Denver, Atlanta, both by 20+ points. Cowboys are 5-3 vs spread as favorites this year, 3-1 on road. Dallas (-4) beat the Giants 19-3 at home in season opener; outrushing them 129-35, winning despite scoring only 16 points in four visits to red zone. Cowboys are 6-3 in last nine series games, but lost 27-20/10-7 in last two visits here.
Ravens (7-5) @ Steelers (10-2)— Shazier/Smith-Schuster are both out for Steelers, after tough win in Cincy Monday night. Steelers won their last seven games; four of their last five wins were by 5 or less points. Pitt is 4-1 at home, 3-2 as home favorites. Ravens won four of last five games, allowing 11.8 ppg; they’re 2-1-1 as road underdogs. Pitt (-3) spanked Ravens 26-9 in Baltimore in Week 4, running ball for 172 yards; Baltimore turned ball over three times (-2), averaged 3.9 ypp. Ravens are +20 in turnovers in their wins, -6 in losses- they have 11 takeaways in their last three games. Baltimore won four of last five series games; they won two of last three visits here, with an OT win, playoff win. Over is 2-0-1 in last three Steeler games, 7-1 in Ravens’ last eight.
NFL
Dunkel
Week 14
Sunday, December 10
Detroit @ Tampa Bay
Game 105-106
December 10, 2017 @ 1:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
130.415
Tampa Bay
131.446
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
N/A
Chicago @ Cincinnati
Game 107-108
December 10, 2017 @ 1:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
127.650
Cincinnati
136.908
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 9 1/2
34
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
by 5 1/2
37 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(-5 1/2); Under
Indianapolis @ Buffalo
Game 109-110
December 10, 2017 @ 1:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Indianapolis
125.223
Buffalo
132.786
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 7 1/2
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
N/A
Seattle @ Jacksonville
Game 111-112
December 10, 2017 @ 4:25 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
139.476
Jacksonville
138.642
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 1
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Jacksonville
by 3 1/2
39 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(+3 1/2); Over
Oakland @ Kansas City
Game 113-114
December 10, 2017 @ 1:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
131.558
Kansas City
130.226
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 1 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
by 4 1/2
47
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(+4 1/2); Over
Minnesota @ Carolina
Game 115-116
December 10, 2017 @ 1:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
141.224
Carolina
136.786
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 4 1/2
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 1
42
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-1); Under
Green Bay @ Cleveland
Game 117-118
December 10, 2017 @ 1:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Green Bay
132.655
Cleveland
125.519
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Green Bay
by 7
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Green Bay
by 3 1/2
41
Dunkel Pick:
Green Bay
(-3 1/2); Under
San Francisco @ Houston
Game 119-120
December 10, 2017 @ 1:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
130.332
Houston
129.498
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 1
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 3
43
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(+3); Under
Washington @ LA Chargers
Game 121-122
December 10, 2017 @ 4:05 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Washington
134.238
LA Chargers
137.698
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Chargers
by 3 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Chargers
by 7
46
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+7); Over
NY Jets @ Denver
Game 123-124
December 10, 2017 @ 4:05 pm
Dunkel Rating:
NY Jets
123.410
Denver
127.227
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 4
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 1
41
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(-1); Under
Tennessee @ Arizona
Game 125-126
December 10, 2017 @ 4:05 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Tennessee
136.312
Arizona
131.224
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tennessee
by 5
40
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tennessee
by 3
44
Dunkel Pick:
Tennessee
(-3); Under
Philadelphia @ LA Rams
Game 127-128
December 10, 2017 @ 4:25 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
137.247
LA Rams
140.685
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Rams
by 3 1/2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Rams
by 1
51
Dunkel Pick:
LA Rams
(-1); Under
Dallas @ NY Giants
Game 129-130
December 10, 2017 @ 1:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
134.776
NY Giants
127.213
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 7 1/2
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 4
41
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-4); Over
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh
Game 131-132
December 10, 2017 @ 8:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
137.221
Pittsburgh
140.309
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 3
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 6
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(+6); Over
NFL
Wednesday, December 6
CB Marcus Peters has been suspended by the team for one game for trying out for the Olympic flag tossing team and leaving the sidelines and going to the locker room during Week 13's game @ Jets. He will miss Sunday's contest vs Raiders.
Line: Chiefs -4
Essential Week 14 betting tidbits and odds for NFL Sunday
Pittsburgh Steelers All-Pro wide receiver Antonio Brown averages just 5.5 catches and 62 receiving yards with just three total touchdowns in his 14 career games against the Baltimore Ravens.
Chicago Bears at Cincinnati Bengals (-6.5, 38.5)
The Bengals became only the third team leading by 10 or more points entering the fourth quarter to lose a game outright. NFL teams taking a 10-point or greater lead into the final frame are still 87-3 on the season.
Having trouble putting up points on the board in the second half isn’t a new problem for the Bengals. Cincinnati ranks 30th in third quarter scoring (2.5 points) and 31st in fourth quarter scoring (3.4 points).
LINE HISTORY: Most books opened with the Bengals favored by six points although a few spots in Vegas went with 5.5 instead. The spread seems to be holding at 6.5 at most locations. The total opened at 37 and has been bet up to 38.5.
TRENDS:
*The Bears are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.
*The Bengals are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.
Minnesota Vikings at Carolina Panthers (+2.5, 40.5)
The Vikings’ stopper unit ranks second in scoring defense and total defense after its smothering of the Atlanta Falcons last weekend. Julio Jones caught just two passes for 24 yards a week after hauling in 12 catches for 253 yards and two touchdowns against the Bucs. Atlanta quarterback Matt Ryan totaled his fewest passing yards in a game (173) since 2013 and the Vikings kept the Falcons from hitting double digits.
Minnesota’s offense isn’t as prolific but the unit is being efficient with its scoring opportunities. The Vikings have scored touchdowns in 14 of their last 15 trips inside the red zone.
LINE HISTORY: Sportsbooks opened with the Vikings listed as 1-point away faves and the line has crept up to a 3-point spread at many shops. The total opened as high as 42 and has moved down to 40.5.
TRENDS:
*The Vikings are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games.
*The over is 7-3 in the Panthers’ last 10 games.
San Francisco 49ers at Houston Texans (-2.5, 44.5)
It’s not a huge sample but Jimmy Garoppolo improved to 3-0 straight up and against the spread in the three games he’s started as a pro quarterback in the NFL. He would have started against the Texans last season as a member of the Patriots but picked up an injury the previous week against Dolphins. He would have studied the Pats’ game plan for attacking Houston’s defense. That might help him in his preparation for this weekend’s game.
LINE HISTORY: Houston opened as a 1.5-point home fave and has been bet up to 3-point chalk. The total has also moved up from 42.5 to 44.
TRENDS:
*The under is 4-1 in the Niners’ last five games.
*The over is 4-1 in the Texans’ last five home games.
Green Bay Packers at Cleveland Browns (+3, 40.5)
The Browns front-office shakeup shouldn’t affect much on the field – only that head coach Hue Jackson now knows he’s not coaching for his job the rest of the season. Cleveland Browns owners Jimmy and Dee Haslam assured the media Jackson would be the team’s head coach in 2018 despite his abysmal win-loss record (1-27) over the past two years.
LINE HISTORY: The Packers opened as large as 4-point favorites but the spread has dropped in favor of the home team. The total opened at 41 and has come down to 40 at some locations.
TRENDS:
*The Browns are 6-21-1 ATS under head coach Hue Jackson.
*The over is 8-1 in the Packers’ last nine road games.
Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs (-4, 48.5)
The Chiefs will not have their top cornerback for an important interdivision game against the Oakland Raiders. Kansas City suspended DB Marcus Peters for his late-game antics when he tossed a flag thrown by a game official into the stands.
The Chiefs own one of the worst pass defenses in the league and their second cornerback, Darrelle Revis, was a street free agent a few weeks ago. The Raiders accumulated 417 passing yards in their home win against KC earlier this season.
LINE HISTORY: This spread is kind of in no-man’s land. Offshore and Vegas sportsbooks all opened above the key number (3) but some went high (4.5) and others went low (3.5). The spread is still hopping between 3.5 and 4.5, and it’s hard to tell whether the steam is moving the line up or down.
TRENDS:
*The Raiders are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
*The Chiefs are 0-4 ATS in their last four games.
*The under is 18-7 in the last 25 matchups between these two sides.
Tennessee Titans at Arizona Cardinals (+3, 44)
Arizona’s offense is struggling finding reliable receiving targets outside of future Hall of Famer Larry Fitzgerald. The 34-year-old leads the Cards in catches with 82 – which is five more than the rest of the team’s receivers combined. Game planning to slow down a passing attack becomes much easier for opposing teams when there’s only one pass-catching threat on the field.
LINE HISTORY: The Titans opened as 3-point away faves and the spread hasn’t moved since. The total opened at 44 and has moved down a half or full point depending on where the book.
TRENDS:
*The Titans are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 road games.
*The Cards are 5-15-1 ATS against teams with winning records.
Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants (+3.5, 41.5)
Cowboys QB Dak Prescott didn’t seem to be bothered by the hand he injured last Thursday against the Redskins. More good news for Dallas backers: Linebacker Sean Lee is expected to his return on Sunday after missing the last three games with a sore hamstring. The Cowboys are 18-4 straight up and 15-7 ATS in the last 22 games he’s suited up and played.
LINE HISTORY: Books opened with the Giants getting six points when it was still thought Geno Smith would be under center for New York. The spread shrunk by 2.5 points once Eli Manning was renamed the starting quarterback.
TRENDS:
*The under is 4-1 in the Cowboys’ last five games.
*The Giants are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games.
New York Jets at Denver Broncos (+1.5, 41.5)
The Broncos can’t make up their mind as to who their starting quarterback should be moving forward and it’s easy to tell why they are so confused. Denver is second last in pass completion percentage (57.5), third last in yards per attempt (5.7) and second last in interceptions thrown per game (1.5).
LINE HISTORY: The Broncos opened as 1-point faves but the line flipped to Jets -1. The total opened at 40.5 and moved up to 41.5.
TRENDS:
*The Jets are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
*The Broncos are 0-8 ATS in their last eight games.
Washington Redskins at Los Angeles Chargers (-6, 46.5)
The Chargers opened the season 0-4 and were as large as 50/1 longshots to win the AFC West after Week 4. But thanks to the Bolts’ 6-2 bounce back and the Chiefs’ collapse they’re now +150 to win their division. LA plays at KC next Saturday in a game that could decision who wins the AFC West.
LINE HISTORY: Sportsbooks opened with the Chargers installed as 6.5-point home chalk and the spread has come down a half point at most shops.
TRENDS:
*The Chargers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall.
*The over is 25-8 in Washington’s last 33 games.
Seattle Seahawks at Jacksonville Jaguars (-2.5, 40)
The Seahawks are the most penalized team in the league this season with a good chunk of those flags coming by way of offensive holding (19) and false starts (18). The Jags own the league’s best pass rush 45 sacks despite blitzing on only 17.9 percent of their defensive snaps according to the Florida Times-Union.
LINE HISTORY: The Jags opened as 3-point home faves but have dropped down a half point to 2.5. The total opened 39 and has gone as high as 40.
TRENDS:
*The Seahawks are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four road games.
*The under is 5-1 in Jacksonville’s last six games.
Philadelphia Eagles at Los Angeles Rams (-1.5, 48)
The Rams had to alter their practice schedule this week because of the wildfires in surrounding areas. The wind blew smoke in the direction of the Rams’ practice facility on Wednesday forcing the team to do a light walkthrough at a gym on Cal Lutheran University’s campus.
“This time of the year, it actually served us well,” Rams coach Sean McVay told reporters. “We got a lot of good work in, got more reps than we would’ve otherwise than when you just do your walk-through and your normal practice.”
LINE HISTORY: The Rams opened as 1-point faves and many books now list them as 2-point chalk. The total opened as high as 51 and has moved down three points to 48.
TRENDS:
*The Rams are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games.
*The over is 14-4 in the Eagles’ last 18 road games.
Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers (-4.5, 43.5)
The Ravens are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games against the Steelers. Keeping All-Pro wideout Antonio Brown in check is a big reason why Baltimore fares so well against its division rival.
Brown is averaging just 5.5 catches for 62 yards in 14 career games against the Ravens – and he’s only found pay dirt three times against the Ravens. That being said, Baltimore will not have its top cornerback, Jimmy Smith, on the field on Sunday because of a PED suspension and an injury.
LINE HISTORY: The Steelers opened as 6-point faves but the line dropped to 4.5. The total seems to be settling around 43 and 43.5.
TRENDS:
*The Ravens are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 AFC North games.
*The Steelers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games against teams with winning records.
NFL
Sunday, December 10
Sunday Night Football Betting Preview and Odds: Ravens at Steelers
Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers (-4.5, 43.5)
After rallying for a dramatic win to knock off one bitter division rival, the Pittsburgh Steelers return home to face another when they host the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday night. Winners of seven in a row, the Steelers can maintain their tenuous grip on the No. 1 seed in the AFC and wrap up the AFC North Division title with a victory.
Pittsburgh will be without a key player on both sides of the ball -- injured linebacker Ryan Shazier and suspended wide receiver JuJu Smith-Schuster -- as it vies for a season sweep of the Ravens. "We embrace the challenges of playing in this division -- how tough it is and the intentions of those we compete against," Steelers coach Mike Tomlin said. "We'll be energized by game time on Sunday. We'll be excited about defending our turf against a very good football team." Baltimore, which was dominated at home by Pittsburgh 26-9 in Week 4, has won three in a row and holds a one-game edge for the sixth and final playoff spot in the AFC. "It's a great rivalry," Ravens coach John Harbaugh said of facing the Steelers. "We love playing in it. It's the most physical game we play every single year. It's always tough coming out of the game in that you're going to have a lot of bumps and bruises for sure. We have respect for them."
TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, NBC.
POWER RANKINGS: Ravens (-0.5) - Steelers (-4) + home field (-3) = Steelers -6.5.
LINE HISTORY: The Steelers opened this AFC North battle as 6-point home chalk at most shops and money coming in on the road team dropped that number to -4.5. The total hit the betting board at 43.5 and briefly went up to 44 before returning to the opening number late in the week.
WEATHER REPORT: Kickoff will see 29 degrees and mostly cloudy - winds at 9mph with a 2% chance of precipitation
INJURY REPORT:
Ravens - LB C.J. Mosley (Probable, Neck), RB Alex Collins (Probable, Migraine), WR Jeremy Maclin (Questionable, Back), LB Za'Darius Smith (Questionable, Shoulder), G Jermaine Eluemunor (Questionable, Shoulder), CB Jimmy Smith (I-R, Achilles).
Steelers - WR Antonio Brown (Probable, Toe), TE Vance McDonald (Probable, Ankle), S Mike Mitchell (Probable, Ankle), LB T.J. Watt (Questionable, Knee), LB Tyler Matakevich (Questionable, Shoulder), LB James Harrison (Questionable, Back), LB Ryan Shazier (Out For Season, Spine), WR JuJu Smith-Schuster (Eligible Week 15, Suspension), OT Marcus Gilbert (Eligible Week 16, Suspension).
ABOUT THE RAVENS (7-5 SU, 6-5-1 ATS, 7-5 O/U): Baltimore has registered three shutouts this season and is allowing an average of 12 points during the three-game winning streak behind an opportunistic defense that leads the league in takeaways (29) and a turnover differential (plus-14). That defense will be missing starting cornerback Jimmy Smith, who was lost for the season after suffering an Achilles injury in last week's 44-20 romp over Detroit. The Ravens have the 31st-ranked passing game in the league, but Joe Flacco threw for a season-high 269 yards and a pair of touchdowns as the team rolled up a season-high point total last week. Running back Alex Collins, who ran for 82 yards on nine carries versus Pittsburgh in Week 4, has rushed for four TDs over the past three games.
ABOUT THE STEELERS (10-2 SU, 6-6 ATS, 4-8 O/U): Pittsburgh will be without Shazier, who leads the team in tackles and interceptions but underwent surgery Wednesday night for a spinal injury suffered in the last-second win at Cincinnati. "We send our thoughts and prayers to Ryan and his family, obviously, but we have a game to prepare for. And we know that's what Ryan wants," said quarterback Ben Roethlisberger, who struggled in the first meeting against the Ravens but has 10 touchdowns versus three interceptions in his last three games. Running back Le'Veon Bell, the NFL's leading rusher, gouged Baltimore for 144 yards and two scores on the ground on Oct. 1. Wideout Antonio Brown tops the league in receptions (88) and has six TDs in a streak of three straight 100-yard games.
TRENDS:
* Ravens are 3-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
* Over is 5-1 in Ravens last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
* Over is 4-1 in Steelers last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
* Ravens are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
CONSENSUS: The public is siding with the road dog Ravens at a rate of 54 percent and the Under is getting 57 percent of the totals action
When: 3:30 PM ET, Sunday, December 10, 2017
Where: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, California
Matchup Edge
TOR Edge in: SAC Points Per Game Field Goal % Free Throw % Defense Rebounding Turn Overs Bench
Preview: Raptors at Kings
Gracenote
Dec 9, 2017
The Toronto Raptors are now the owners of the longest winning streak in the Eastern Conference at five straight and kicked off a four-game road trip by sprinting past the Memphis Grizzlies 116-107 on Friday. The Raptors will try to make it six in a row when they visit the Sacramento Kings on Sunday.
Toronto, which does not play a team with a winning record on the four-game excursion, outscored the Grizzlies 24-14 in the fourth quarter and totaled 41 fast break points in the victory. The Raptors are averaging 120 points during their five-game streak and lead the East in scoring average at 111.7 points behind the All-Star backcourt of DeMar DeRozan and Kyle Lowry, who combined for 42 points and 14 assists on Friday. The Kings have more trouble putting the ball through the rim and rank last in the NBA in scoring average (96.4 points) but did manage to top the century mark in a 116-109 overtime victory at New Orleans on Friday. Sacramento ended up 2-2 on the four-game trip and gets only two at home before heading out on another four-game excursion.
TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, Sportsnet One (Toronto), NBCS California (Sacramento)
ABOUT THE RAPTORS (16-7): Power forward Serge Ibaka is finding his shooting stroke of late and matched a season high with 21 points on 7-of-12 shooting on Friday. The 28-year-old is 21-of-35 (60 percent) from the floor in three games this month after slumping to 45.5 percent in November. Ibaka is also 9-of-14 from 3-point range in the last three games to help improve the overall team effort of the Raptors, who entered play on Saturday sixth in the league in average 3-point attempts (31.9) but 21st in 3-point percentage (35.7).
ABOUT THE KINGS (8-17): Sacramento's young roster has yet to blossom, leaving veteran Zach Randolph to shoulder the load. Randolph, who leads the team in scoring at an average of 15 points, put up a season-high 35 on 14-of-22 shooting to go with 13 rebounds while battling Pelicans star DeMarcus Cousins on Friday. The Kings are fourth in the NBA in 3-point percentage (.382) heading into Saturday and once again Randolph was around to help his young team improve while making a career-high five from beyond the arc in nine attempts, including a pair in overtime, in the latest victory.
BUZZER BEATERS
1. Raptors SF CJ Miles is 6-of-24 from 3-point range over the last four games.
2. Kings C Willie Cauley-Stein (back) sat out the last two games and is day-to-day.
3. Sacramento swept the two-game series in each of the last two seasons.
PREDICTION: Raptors 120, Kings 101
Trends - Toronto at SacramentoATS TRENDS
OU TRENDS
Toronto
- Raptors are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Raptors are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Raptors are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. Western Conference.
Sacramento
- Kings are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Kings are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Kings are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Kings are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Kings are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
- Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Kings are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Kings are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.
- Kings are 3-8-2 ATS in their last 13 vs. Eastern Conference.
- Kings are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Kings are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Atlantic.
HEAD TO HEAD
Toronto
- Over is 4-0 in Raptors last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Raptors last 4 games following a straight up win.
- Over is 7-0 in Raptors last 7 vs. Western Conference.
- Over is 4-0 in Raptors last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 7-1 in Raptors last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Under is 4-1 in Raptors last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-2 in Raptors last 7 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Under is 7-3 in Raptors last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 27-12 in Raptors last 39 road games.
Sacramento
- Over is 4-0 in Kings last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Under is 4-0 in Kings last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Under is 11-1 in Kings last 12 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Over is 6-1 in Kings last 7 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1 in Kings last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Kings last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 8-2 in Kings last 10 vs. Eastern Conference.
- Over is 4-1 in Kings last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Under is 13-5 in Kings last 18 games following a straight up win.
- Under is 5-2 in Kings last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Under is 18-8 in Kings last 26 games following a ATS win.
- Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
- Raptors are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Sacramento.
- Raptors are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
- Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
When: 4:00 PM ET, Sunday, December 10, 2017
Where: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, Michigan
Matchup Edge
BOS Edge in: DET Points Per Game Field Goal % Free Throw % Defense Rebounding Turn Overs Bench
Preview: Celtics at Pistons
Gracenote
Dec 9, 2017
The Detroit Pistons are losers of five straight and have the misfortune of following the defending NBA champions with the team with the best record in the Eastern Conference. The Pistons, who dropped a 102-98 decision to the Golden State Warriors at home on Friday, will try to snap the slide when they host the Boston Celtics on Sunday.
Detroit is averaging 97 points during the five-game slide -- down from a season mark of 104 -- and shooting guard Avery Bradley believes both sides of the ball are to blame. "I think it's both (offense and defense)," Bradley told reporters. "I believe that our offense gets off and on, so the more stops that we're able to get, and get out in transition, I feel like is beneficial for us. Our defense at times isn't good. We exchange baskets with teams and we can't be a team like that. We have to be a team that gets three or four stops throughout the game in order for us to give ourselves a chance to be in the game or win games." The Celtics had a four-game winning streak come to an end with a 105-102 loss in San Antonio on Friday to begin a three-game road trip. Boston's previous loss came at home to the Pistons, 118-108 on Nov. 27 -- a game in which the Celtics allowed the Pistons to shoot 51.8 percent from the field.
TV: 4 p.m. ET, NBCS Boston, FS Detroit
ABOUT THE CELTICS (22-5): Kyrie Irving scored 36 points in Friday's loss and continued a trend of strong fourth-quarter performances, though he was just off the mark on a 3-point attempt that could have sent the game to overtime. "I thought it was cash money," Irving told reporters of the attempt. "I thought it was going to hit the bottom of the net, but obviously I didn't put enough on it." Irving was held to 18 points on 6-of-16 shooting in the Nov. 27 loss to the Pistons but averaged 29.2 points on 57.1 percent shooting over the next five games.
ABOUT THE PISTONS (14-11): Detroit's problems scoring points on Friday had a lot to do with the fact that they had 15 shots blocked by the Warriors. "You get
five or six blocked, that's just great defense," Pistons coach Stan Van Gundy told reporters. "You get 16 blocked against Milwaukee (on Nov. 15), 15 blocks, that's bad decision making. We've just got to make better decisions. They're blocking threes -- guys flying at you -- you've got to be able to shot fake. Go to the basket, help's coming, you've got to be able to find people. We've got to do a better job of making those plays." Detroit only had four shots blocked in the Nov. 27 meeting with Boston.
BUZZER BEATERS
1. Celtics C Al Horford scored a season-low two points on 1-of-6 shooting at San Antonio.
2. Pistons SF Stanley Johnson is 1-of-13 from the field over the last two games and is shooting 25 percent from the floor over the last five.
3. Boston is making its first trip to Detroit's new downtown arena after winning its last four visits to the Palace at Auburn Hills.
PREDICTION: Celtics 108, Pistons 101
Trends - Boston at DetroitATS TRENDS
OU TRENDS
Boston
- Celtics are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
- Celtics are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Sunday games.
- Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Celtics are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Celtics are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 road games.
- Celtics are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Celtics are 19-7-2 ATS in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Celtics are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall.
- Celtics are 24-9-1 ATS in their last 34 vs. Eastern Conference.
- Celtics are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Celtics are 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Celtics are 27-11-2 ATS in their last 40 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Detroit
- Pistons are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Pistons are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 Sunday games.
- Pistons are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss.
- Pistons are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Pistons are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Pistons are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Pistons are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Pistons are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Pistons are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 home games.
- Pistons are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
- Pistons are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Atlantic.
- Pistons are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.
- Pistons are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
HEAD TO HEAD
Boston
- Over is 7-0 in Celtics last 7 road games.
- Over is 8-1 in Celtics last 9 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Over is 7-1 in Celtics last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.
- Over is 9-2 in Celtics last 11 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Celtics last 5 vs. NBA Central.
- Under is 17-5 in Celtics last 22 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Over is 6-2 in Celtics last 8 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-2 in Celtics last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 11-4 in Celtics last 15 games following a straight up loss.
- Under is 11-4-1 in Celtics last 16 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 15-7-2 in Celtics last 24 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Detroit
- Under is 3-0-1 in Pistons last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pistons last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Pistons last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pistons last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Under is 7-1 in Pistons last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Pistons last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.
- Under is 4-1 in Pistons last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Under is 7-2-1 in Pistons last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Under is 20-7-1 in Pistons last 28 games following a straight up loss.
- Under is 5-2-1 in Pistons last 8 Sunday games.
- Over is 5-2 in Pistons last 7 home games.
- Under is 10-4 in Pistons last 14 vs. NBA Atlantic.
- Under is 35-16-1 in Pistons last 52 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Celtics are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Detroit.
- Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
- Road team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
When: 5:00 PM ET, Sunday, December 10, 2017
Where: Bankers Life Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, Indiana
Matchup Edge
DEN Edge in: IND Points Per Game Field Goal % Free Throw % Defense Rebounding Turn Overs Bench
Preview: Nuggets at Pacers
Gracenote
Dec 9, 2017
The Indiana Pacers just cooled off the hottest team in the NBA on Friday with a 106-102 win over Cleveland, snapping the Cavaliers' 13-game winning streak. The Pacers will try to win their fourth straight game and 10th in the last 13 contests when they host the Denver Nuggets on Sunday.
Indiana managed to take down Cleveland and superstar LeBron James on Friday but is not getting too high off one strong performance. "We haven't done anything," Pacers shooting guard Victor Oladipo told reporters. "We just win games, take it one day at a time. It was just another game that we had to go out there and compete and win. We did a great job going out there and playing as a team, working hard, and getting a win. We'll have to do the same thing again Sunday. It's basketball, it's the NBA, it's a lot of games." The Nuggets snapped a four-game road losing streak and improved to 1-2 on a six-game trip with a 103-89 win at Orlando on Friday. "It's just one (road win)," forward Kenneth Faried told the Denver Post. "We need to put them together like we do at home. But it does feel good to finally get a road win, for once."
TV: 5 p.m. ET, Altitude (Denver), FS Indiana
ABOUT THE NUGGETS (14-11): Denver allowed Dallas and New Orleans to average 122.5 points in back-to-back losses to begin the road trip before holding the Magic to 39.8 percent shooting in Friday's win. "It is more of a (mindset of), 'OK, I'm not going to allow this man to beat me continuously that easily,'" Nuggets coach Michael Malone told reporters. "If we are going to get beat, it has to be hard and (we have to) make them feel us. ... We embraced the challenge and realized for us to get back on the winning track, we have to start defending a lot better." Denver also got a strong performance from its bench with three players in double figures, led by Faried's 20 points and 10 rebounds.
ABOUT THE PACERS (15-11): Oladipo is averaging a team- and career-high 23.6 points and went off for 33 on Friday, including a key 3-pointer with just over a minute remaining that left Indiana up six points. "He's been playing with a great deal of confidence and tonight was no different," Pacers coach Nate McMillan told reporters of Oladipo. "He struggled at the free throw line (5-of-10), but remained aggressive. But he's still learning about what he's capable of doing. And tonight was an example of us putting the ball in his hands in the fourth quarter, late in the game and then he has to make the reads as far as if he has an advantage, creating opportunities for us and he was able to do that." Oladipo is averaging 28 points on 53.9 percent shooting, seven rebounds and 4.3 assists in four games this month.
BUZZER BEATERS
1. Nuggets SF Wilson Chandler went 4-of-5 from the floor on Friday after going 4-of-22 in the first two games of the road trip.
2. Pacers PG Darren Collison (knee) left Friday's game and is day-to-day.
3. Denver averaged 132.5 points in sweeping the two-game season series from Indiana in 2016-17.
PREDICTION: Pacers 115, Nuggets 103
Trends - Denver at IndianaATS TRENDS
OU TRENDS
Denver
- Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Central.
- Nuggets are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Nuggets are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
- Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.
- Nuggets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
- Nuggets are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
Indiana
- Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Pacers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Pacers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
- Pacers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.
- Pacers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Pacers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Pacers are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 Sunday games.
- Pacers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Northwest.
HEAD TO HEAD
Denver
- Over is 7-0 in Nuggets last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Over is 8-1 in Nuggets last 9 vs. NBA Central.
- Under is 7-1 in Nuggets last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 7-3 in Nuggets last 10 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
- Under is 9-4 in Nuggets last 13 games following a ATS win.
Indiana
- Over is 4-0 in Pacers last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Under is 5-1 in Pacers last 6 games following a straight up win.
- Over is 5-1 in Pacers last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Pacers last 5 Sunday games.
- Under is 5-2 in Pacers last 7 vs. Western Conference.
- Over is 20-8 in Pacers last 28 vs. NBA Northwest.
- Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
- Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Indiana.
- Nuggets are 18-7-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings.
- Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Indiana.
- Underdog is 12-3-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings.
When: 7:00 PM ET, Sunday, December 10, 2017
Where: Target Center, Minneapolis, Minnesota
Matchup Edge
DAL Edge in: MIN Points Per Game Field Goal % Free Throw % Defense Rebounding Turn Overs Bench
Preview: Mavericks at Timberwolves
Gracenote
Dec 9, 2017
The Dallas Mavericks looked like they were taking a step forward with a pair of strong performances in wins at home, but the road is proving to be a more difficult challenge. The Mavericks will try to avoid being swept on a three-game road trip when they visit the Minnesota Timberwolves on Sunday.
Dallas, which goes home for one game on Tuesday against the Spurs before hitting the road again for two at Golden State and San Antonio, could not find its way around Boston or Milwaukee to begin the trip. "It doesn't matter where we were playing," Mavericks guard Wesley Matthews told reporters after Friday's 109-102 loss to the Bucks. "It's disappointing to not get that win. We've just got to put 48 minutes together." The Timberwolves traded wins and losses over the last 10 games and are hoping to break that cycle and earn back-to-back victories. "The important thing is, are we making the right play? If we're making the right play, that's all we can ask," Minnesota coach Tom Thibodeau told reporters. "Some nights we shoot it better. Offensively, we're fifth best in the league, but we have a lot of work to do defensively if we want to be the team we say we want to be."
TV: 7 p.m. ET, FS Southwest (Dallas), FS North (Minnesota)
ABOUT THE MAVERICKS (7-19): Dallas was missing some explosion on offense with rookie point guard Dennis Smith Jr. out of the lineup on Friday, and he is not expected to play on Sunday due to a hip injury. Smith, 20, is averaging 14.4 points and four assists but watched Yogi Ferrell get into early foul trouble while starting in his spot on Friday and finish with five points in 23 minutes. Matthews tried to make up for the loss and finished with a season-high 29 points on 11-of-15 shooting, including 5-of-7 from 3-point range.
ABOUT THE TIMBERWOLVES (15-11): Minnesota last played on Wednesday - a 113-107 home win over the Los Angeles Clippers - and the extended rest was probably a good thing for a team that has whittled its rotation down to eight players. Every starter logged at least 36 minutes in Wednesday's contest while Jimmy Butler was on the court for 43 minutes - the fourth straight game in which he played at least 40 minutes. The extended run doesn't seem to be hampering the production of Butler, who is averaging 26 points on 50.7 percent shooting, six assists and 5.3 rebounds in those four games.
BUZZER BEATERS
1. Dallas C Nerlens Noel will undergo thumb surgery and is expected to miss at least four weeks.
2. Timberwolves PF Taj Gibson recorded a double-double in five of the last seven games.
3. Minnesota breezed to a pair of wins over Dallas last month by a total of 37 points.
PREDICTION: Timberwolves 103, Mavericks 99
Trends - Dallas at MinnesotaATS TRENDS
OU TRENDS
Dallas
- Mavericks are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Mavericks are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Mavericks are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 road games.
- Mavericks are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Mavericks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.
- Mavericks are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Mavericks are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Mavericks are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
- Mavericks are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 Sunday games.
- Mavericks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Northwest.
Minnesota
- Timberwolves are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Southwest.
- Timberwolves are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. Western Conference.
- Timberwolves are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
- Timberwolves are 6-15-2 ATS in their last 23 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
- Timberwolves are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Timberwolves are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 Sunday games.
- Timberwolves are 8-22-3 ATS in their last 33 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Timberwolves are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
- Timberwolves are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Timberwolves are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
- Timberwolves are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
HEAD TO HEAD
Dallas
- Over is 4-0 in Mavericks last 4 Sunday games.
- Under is 5-1 in Mavericks last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Mavericks last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Under is 8-3 in Mavericks last 11 games following a straight up loss.
- Over is 5-2 in Mavericks last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-2 in Mavericks last 7 vs. Western Conference.
- Over is 7-3 in Mavericks last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 7-3 in Mavericks last 10 vs. NBA Northwest.
- Under is 27-12-2 in Mavericks last 41 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Minnesota
- Under is 6-0 in Timberwolves last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
- Under is 10-1 in Timberwolves last 11 games following a straight up win.
- Over is 5-1 in Timberwolves last 6 vs. Western Conference.
- Under is 5-1 in Timberwolves last 6 vs. NBA Southwest.
- Over is 4-1 in Timberwolves last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Timberwolves last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Under is 11-3 in Timberwolves last 14 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 9-3 in Timberwolves last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Under is 6-2 in Timberwolves last 8 games following a ATS win.
- Over is 13-5 in Timberwolves last 18 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 7-3 in Timberwolves last 10 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
- Under is 7-3 in Timberwolves last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 31-14-1 in Timberwolves last 46 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Under is 9-1-1 in the last 11 meetings.
- Favorite is 17-4 ATS in the last 21 meetings.
- Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
- Under is 18-6 in the last 24 meetings in Minnesota.
- Mavericks are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
When: 7:00 PM ET, Sunday, December 10, 2017
Where: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, Louisiana
Matchup Edge
PHI Edge in: NO Points Per Game Field Goal % Free Throw % Defense Rebounding Turn Overs Bench
Preview: 76ers at Pelicans
Gracenote
Dec 10, 2017
The New Orleans Pelicans look to end an uneven four-game homestand with a victory when they host the Philadelphia 76ers on Sunday. The Pelicans are 1-2 on the string at home, with losses to one of the best teams in the league (Golden State) and one of the worst (Sacramento) sandwiching a victory over Denver.
Star forward Anthony Davis returned from a groin injury to provide 18 points in the overtime loss to the Kings on Friday, a result that left a mark for a team that has designs on climbing the ladder in the Western Conference. "You can't give Knute Rockne speeches every night," Pelicans coach Alvin Gentry told reporters. "You know, as an athlete, it's your job. And it's our job as coaches (to get them ready). We have to have the energy to go out and play against a team like that and make sure we are getting the job done." The 76ers have lost three in a row after a 105-98 setback at Cleveland while star center Joel Embiid was rested. Embiid is expected back for this one, but forward Robert Covington left the loss with a back injury after tumbling into the stands.
TV: 7 p.m. ET, NBCSN Philadelphia Plus, FSN New Orleans
ABOUT THE 76ERS (13-12): Covington was 5-for-7 from 3-point range and recorded 19 points before his injury, and JJ Redick matched him in the scoring column in the loss to Cleveland. Coach Brett Brown did not have an immediate update after the game on Covington, who reportedly landed on a metal object behind the Cavaliers' bench. Embiid recorded 33 points, seven rebounds, six assists and five blocks in his most recent game, and the 7-footer is averaging 25.6 points on 53.8 percent shooting on the road compared to 22.2 and 45.5 at home.
ABOUT THE PELICANS (13-13): Davis was expected to play about 25 minutes Friday but was able to give his team 31, and the 24-year-old reported no issues with the groin. New Orleans will hope for Davis to provide a little more support for fellow big man DeMarcus Cousins, who scored 38 points against Sacramento and is averaging 39 in 40.5 minutes over the last two games. Point guard Rajon Rondo was rested on Friday after averaging 11.5 points on 58.8 percent shooting and 9.8 assists over the first four contests in December.
BUZZER BEATERS
1. The Pelicans have allowed seven straight opponents to score at least 110 points, going 2-5 in that span.
2. Sixers PG T.J. McConnell (shoulder) has missed four of the last five games.
3. Davis averaged 28.5 points and 13.5 rebounds as the teams split two meetings last season.
PREDICTION: Pelicans 114, 76ers 109
Trends - Philadelphia at New OrleansATS TRENDS
OU TRENDS
Philadelphia
- 76ers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- 76ers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 Sunday games.
- 76ers are 41-16 ATS in their last 57 vs. Western Conference.
- 76ers are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 vs. NBA Southwest.
- 76ers are 37-15 ATS in their last 52 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- 76ers are 20-9 ATS in their last 29 road games.
- 76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
- 76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
- 76ers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- 76ers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
New Orleans
- Pelicans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Sunday games.
- Pelicans are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Pelicans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
HEAD TO HEAD
Philadelphia
- Under is 5-0 in 76ers last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in 76ers last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in 76ers last 4 vs. Western Conference.
- Under is 4-0 in 76ers last 4 games following a ATS loss.
- Under is 5-0 in 76ers last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in 76ers last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Under is 10-2 in 76ers last 12 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes on the previous day.
- Under is 5-1 in 76ers last 6 games following a straight up loss.
- Over is 4-1 in 76ers last 5 Sunday games.
- Over is 8-3 in 76ers last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 15-7 in 76ers last 22 games playing on 0 days rest.
New Orleans
- Over is 4-0 in Pelicans last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Over is 6-0 in Pelicans last 6 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Pelicans last 4 home games.
- Over is 6-0 in Pelicans last 6 games following a straight up loss.
- Over is 7-0 in Pelicans last 7 games following a ATS loss.
- Over is 6-0 in Pelicans last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Pelicans last 4 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Pelicans last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Pelicans last 5 vs. NBA Atlantic.
- Over is 5-2 in Pelicans last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Over is 7-3 in Pelicans last 10 vs. Eastern Conference.
- Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
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