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Thread: Tuesday 12-12-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

  1. #41
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    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.

    Race 5 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $22000 Class Rating: 83

    FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 12 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500.


    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    The Walker Group Picks

    # 6 TO BLAVE 3/1

    # 3 TOTALED THE BENZ 6/1

    # 7 SUNSHINE SPERRY 10/1

    I lean toward TO BLAVE here. Shows sound Equibase Speed Figures on average overall when matched with the rest of this field. Garnered a reliable speed figure in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this race. With a nice Equibase class rating average of 93, has one of the strongest class advantages in this group. TOTALED THE BENZ - Machado has him trained very well to break rapidly out of the starting gate. Could beat this group given the 73 speed figure recorded in his last outing. SUNSHINE SPERRY - He looks respectable in this spot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the midpoint. Is a contender - given the 70 speed fig from his most recent race.

  2. #42
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    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington Park

    Remington Park - Race 3

    Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum) / Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5)


    Maiden Special • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3-5 • CR: 75 • Purse: $33,000 • Post: 3:56P
    FOR MAIDEN, FILLIES AND MARES THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEAR OLDS. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS.
    Contenders

    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line

    Accept
    Odds


    Race Type: Dominant Stalker. SERIOUS I CANDY is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SERIOUS I CANDY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. DIASTOLE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the la st 30 days.
    8
    SERIOUS I CANDY
    6/5

    5/2
    3
    DIASTOLE
    15/1

    4/1




    P#

    Horse (In Running Style Order)

    Post

    Morn
    Line

    Running Style

    Good
    Class

    Good
    Speed

    Early Figure

    Finish Figure

    Platinum
    Figure
    2
    WILY
    2

    9/5
    Front-runner
    72

    67

    65.0

    52.6

    46.6
    8
    SERIOUS I CANDY
    8

    6/5
    Stalker
    74

    69

    95.5

    66.9

    64.9
    3
    DIASTOLE
    3

    15/1
    Alternator/Stalker
    76

    67

    63.4

    62.5

    57.0
    1
    VAL'S LEMON DROP
    1

    8/1
    Alternator/Stalker
    71

    56

    25.9

    47.1

    39.1
    5
    KORN FLAKE GIRL
    5

    6/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    62

    56

    77.4

    43.2

    35.2
    7
    TOBRAH
    7

    30/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    0

    0

    65.3

    33.2

    21.2
    6
    SUNDANCE SEVEN
    6

    30/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    0

    0

    55.7

    27.4

    14.4








    Unknown Running Style: RISQUEY BIDNESS (20/1) [Jockey: Sanchez III Andres - Trainer: Fullerton Kris].

  3. #43
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    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Turf Paradise

    Turf Paradise - Race 5

    $1 Exacta / $1 Quinella / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1 Double (Races 5-6) / $.50 Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8)


    Claiming $8,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 95 • Purse: $9,500 • Post: 2:42P
    (PLUS UP TO 10% PLUS 10%) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE OCTOBER 12, 2017 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000, IF FOR $7,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (CLAIMING RACES FOR $6,250 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES). ARIZONA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
    Contenders

    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line

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    Odds


    Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * L 'S CHOICE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. TRIBAL MONEY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. NUTTY FUTTY: Horse's average win ning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). ARAQEEL: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. BE MY SHADOW: Horse ranks in the top three in Trac kMaster Power Rating.
    8
    L 'S CHOICE
    7/2

    5/1
    5
    TRIBAL MONEY
    9/2

    6/1
    9
    NUTTY FUTTY
    15/1

    7/1
    2
    ARAQEEL
    5/2

    9/1
    6
    BE MY SHADOW
    5/1

    9/1




    P#

    Horse (In Running Style Order)

    Post

    Morn
    Line

    Running Style

    Good
    Class

    Good
    Speed

    Early Figure

    Finish Figure

    Platinum
    Figure
    3
    A P PHANTOM
    3

    10/1
    Stalker
    94

    89

    81.0

    84.6

    73.6
    9
    NUTTY FUTTY
    9

    15/1
    Stalker
    95

    92

    80.8

    85.0

    78.0
    1
    STRATTON
    1

    4/1
    Stalker
    93

    84

    61.2

    83.0

    71.0
    6
    BE MY SHADOW
    6

    5/1
    Stalker
    91

    91

    52.1

    82.5

    73.0
    5
    TRIBAL MONEY
    5

    9/2
    Trailer
    95

    92

    78.6

    89.4

    78.9
    8
    L 'S CHOICE
    8

    7/2
    Trailer
    95

    93

    70.0

    90.0

    83.5
    2
    ARAQEEL
    2

    5/2
    Alternator/Trailer
    92

    80

    67.6

    85.0

    81.0
    7
    ELECTION VOW
    7

    15/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    83

    84

    84.4

    76.0

    59.0
    4
    THREE RED SEVENS
    4

    20/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    87

    83

    79.2

    80.2

    69.7

  4. #44
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    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

    Bar

    Zia Park - Race #6 - Post: 2:26pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,000 Class Rating: 64

    Rating: 4

    #7 PROUD MANES (ML=6/1)


    PROUD MANES - Lower weight of -5. In my opinion, a movement of 5 is important, so this gelding falls into this category. Horse has improved at least two Equibase speed fig points in last two races. I look for that to continue to trend in a positive direction in this event.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #6 DANNY'S BAD ROY (ML=3/2), #1 STORMIN NAVARONE (ML=9/2), #8 MO ED WHO (ML=5/1),

    DANNY'S BAD ROY - You think this animal is going to be first just because he's always close. Just doesn't get the job done frequently. STORMIN NAVARONE - This racer will probably need at least one more start after the lackluster showing following the long layoff.



    STRAIGHT WAGERS:
    #7 PROUD MANES to win at post-time odds of 1/1 or better

    EXACTA WAGERS:
    Pass

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    None

    SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
    Pass

  5. #45
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    John Martin

    Dec 12 '17, 10:05 PM in 3h
    NBA | Suns vs Kings
    Play on: Kings -4 -105 at 5Dimes

    1 Unit FREE PLAY on Sacramento Kings -4
    The Phoenix Suns lost one of their two best players when they traded away Eric Bledsoe. Now they are without their other best player in Devin Booker due to a groin injury. Booker is their leading scorer at 24.3 points per game and is irreplaceable. It’s no surprise that they have lost three straight coming in without him. I think we are getting a discount with the Kings as only 4-point home favorites tonight. The Kings are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games overall. The Suns are 7-20-1 ATS in their last 28 games when playing on 2 days rest. The Kings are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games off a loss. Sacramento is 4-0 ATS in its last four vs. Western Conference. The Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last five trips to Sacramento. Phoenix is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games vs. a team with a losing record. Give me the Kings.

  6. #46
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    Brandon Lee

    Dec 12 '17, 10:05 PM in 3h
    NBA | Suns vs Kings
    Play on: Kings -4½ -105 at BMaker

    10* FREE NBA PICK (Kings -4.5)
    The Kings aren't a team that I will be looking to lay points with often this season, but I think it's worth a shot here to back Sacramento at home against the Suns. As far as records are concerned these are two equally bad teams, as Phoenix comes in at 9-19 and the Kings are 8-18. The big key here is that the Suns are without their best player in Devin Booker. However, they were at least competitive in their first two games without Booker, losing to the Wizards by just 10 and by a mere 3-points last time out against the Spurs. I think that has people a lot higher on this team than they should be. Keep in mind both of those games were at home, where the role players are going to help out a lot more. I think we see Phoenix really struggle here on the road without Bookie. Kings aren't a great team, there's no getting around that, but they are much better at home and I think we get a big effort here off an ugly 25-point home loss last time out to the Raptors. Give me Sacramento -4.5!

  7. #47
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    Doug Upstone

    Dec 12 '17, 7:00 PM in 13m
    NCAA-B | Green Bay vs Indiana State
    Play on: Indiana State -11 -105 at 5Dimes

    UW-Green Bay just lost to Missouri 100-77, in which the closing total was 143. Next, the Phoenix are at Indiana State and December road underdogs like UW-Green Bay having gone over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game are 7-32 ATS in next contest since 2013.

  8. #48
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    Andre Ramirez

    Dec 12 '17, 7:05 PM in 18m
    NHL | Oilers vs Blue Jackets
    Play on: Blue Jackets -179 at 5Dimes

    NHL 75 DIME GAME
    The Blue Jackets have won six of their last eight meetings with the Oilers. Also trending in the wrong direction for the Oilers is that they’ve lost seven of their last nine trips to Columbus, including five in a row. In their last eight meetings overall, six games have gone over the posted total, which has been 5.5 goals for all eight games.

  9. #49
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    Totals Guru

    Dec 12 '17, 7:05 PM in 18m
    NBA | Lakers vs Knicks
    Play on: OVER 212 -110

    Free Total Annihilator On Lakers vs Knicks over 212 -110

  10. #50
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    Jack Jones

    Dec 12 '17, 7:05 PM in 18m
    NBA | Lakers vs Knicks
    Play on: Knicks -3½ -102 at 5Dimes

    Jack’s Free Pick Tuesday: New York Knicks -3.5
    The New York Knicks have been grossly underrated when playing at home this season. They are 12-5 SU & 12-5 ATS at Madison Square Garden in 2017, outscoring opponents by 6.6 points per game on average. I think there is value with them as only 3.5-point home favorites over the Los Angeles Lakers tonight.
    The Lakers are getting a lot of love after back-to-back road wins over Philadelphia and Charlotte. But this team is still just 4-8 SU & 5-7 ATS on the road this season, getting outscored by 5.0 points per game on average. Plays against any team (LA Lakers) - off two more more consecutive road wins, in December games are 71-33 (68.3%) ATS over the last five seasons.
    Now the Lakers are in a tough spot here as this is their 3rd straight road game. And who do they have on deck? A road game against the Cleveland Cavaliers Thursday night, followed by a home game against Golden State. Don’t be surprised if the Lakers are overlooking the Knicks here tonight and looking ahead to those two huge showdowns with the Cavs and Warriors.
    New York is 7-0 ATS in home games after having won two of their last three games this season. The Knicks are 6-1 ATS in their last seven vs. Western Conference opponents. The Lakers are 17-36-1 ATS in their last 54 games following a straight up in by more than 10 points. Bet the Knicks Tuesday.

  11. #51
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    John Ryan

    Dec 12 '17, 8:05 PM in 1h
    NHL | Lightning vs Blues
    Play on: OVER 5½ -110

    The Play and How to Play it:
    The Play: OVER TB-STL (13-14)
    The Matchup: TAMPA BAY (21-6-0-2, 44 pts.) at ST LOUIS (21-8-0-2, 44 pts.)
    Start Time: Tuesday, 12/12/2017 8:05 PM
    SIM grading: 3 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale.
    Recommended Strategy: Place a 3 star wager on the ‘over’ using the total line.
    Advanced and Predictive Analytics
    The following database system query has gone 67-38 hitting 64% winners and has made $2,640 wagering $100 per game since 2013.
    Play ‘Over’ with home teams against the total (ST LOUIS).
    After having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games.
    And is a good team (60% to 70% win percentage).
    And playing a team with a winning record in the first half of the season.
    SIM Matching Game Situations
    TB is a solid 9-2 OVER (+6.8 Units) when their opponents get 4 to 5 power play opportunities this season.
    TB is 21-10 OVER (+10.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

  12. #52
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    Bobby Conn

    Dec 12 '17, 7:05 PM in 18m
    NBA | Lakers vs Knicks
    Play on: OVER 212 -110

    1* Free Play on Lakers/Knicks over 212 -110

  13. #53
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    Info Plays

    Dec 12 '17, 10:05 PM in 3h
    NBA | Suns vs Kings
    Play on: Kings -4 -110 at Bovada

    1* Free Play on Kings -4 -110

  14. #54
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    Hunter Price

    Dec 12 '17, 10:05 PM in 3h
    NBA | Suns vs Kings
    Play on: Kings -4 -110 at Bovada

    1* Free Pick on Kings -4 -110

  15. #55
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    Mike Lundin

    Dec 12 '17, 7:05 PM in 18m
    NHL | Oilers vs Blue Jackets
    Play on: Blue Jackets -166 at betonline

    #NHL FREE PICK FROM MIKE LUNDIN
    The Columbus Blue Jackets are winners of two in a row and 10 of their last 13. They shut out the Coyotes Saturday night their last time out and have conceded just 1.88 gpg home at Nationwide Arena on the season. Columbus has won each of the last three meetings with the Edmonton Oilers who have alternated wins and losses through their last six games.
    Tough spot for the Oilers who will be playing their third game in four nights and on one days rest while the Blue Jackets have had an extra day off. Blue Jackets are 22-6 in their last 28 games playing on two days rest and I think they'll turn up the intensity to run away with this game.
    My free pick is on Columbus Blue Jackets.

  16. #56
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    Dave Price

    Dec 12 '17, 7:00 PM in 13m
    NCAA-B | Fordham vs Rutgers
    Play on: Rutgers -10½ -105 at BMaker

    Dave’s Tuesday Free Play:
    1* on Rutgers -10.5
    The Key: The Rutgers Scarlet Knights are one of the most improved teams in the country this season. They are off to an 8-3 start with their only 3 losses coming to Florida State, Minnesota and Michigan State. Six of their eight wins have come by 14 points or more. That should be the case against Fordham tonight, whose 4 wins this season have come against Long Island, Manhattan, Maine and St. Francise. This is a big step up in class for Fordham, and it will be their first true road game of the season. Rutgers beat Fordham 68-53 on a neutral court last season. These teams have a common opponent in Florida State. Rutgers only lost to FSU 78-73, while Fordham was crushed 43-67 by the Seminoles. Take Rutgers.

  17. #57
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    Vic Duke

    Dec 12 '17, 7:00 PM in 13m
    NCAA-B | Fordham vs Rutgers
    Play on: UNDER 125½ -105

    Fordham/Rutgers 7:00: Rutgers is inching its way back to respectability with HC Pikiell after Eddie Jordan nearly killed it. The Scarlett Knights are one of the top defensive teams in the nation allowing just 57.3 PPG. Fordham enters this game as one of the worst offensive teams in the nation (340th) and should get worked on the boards. However, Fordham does play good defense too as evidenced in their 34th ranking in points allowed. Rutgers is clearly offensive challenged with top scorer Corey Sanders averaging 13 PPG and little scoring support. Heavy "under" trends" on both teams going in to this one. Still value at 125.5 total. Under the call.

  18. #58
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    Sal Michaels

    Dec 12 '17, 7:05 PM in 18m
    NBA | Lakers vs Knicks
    Play on: Knicks -3 -105 at betonline

    Free Play on Knicks -3 -105

  19. #59
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    Jimmy Boyd

    Dec 12 '17, 7:05 PM in 18m
    NBA | Nuggets vs Pistons
    Play on: Nuggets +6 -110 at Bovada

    Free Pick on Nuggets +
    I like the value here with Denver as a decently priced road dog against the Pistons on Tuesday. Detroit is not playing well right now. The Pistons come in having lost 6 straight games, yet they are being overvalued here by the books because the Nuggets are without two of their best players in Nikola Jokic and Paul Millsap. Those are two big losses, but Denver's got some other nice pieces in place and I look for them to give the Pistons a scare here and maybe even win this game outright.
    Detroit is really struggling with their shot right now. They shot a mere 33.3% at home in their last game against the Celtics and have gone 6 straight games where they have shot 44% or worse from the floor. When the shots aren't falling that really makes it hard to blow teams out and I think we see those struggles keep them from covering here.
    Last time out the Nuggets fell 116-126 at Indiana, but that actually is a positive for backing them here, as they are 22-10 ATS in their last 32 off a road loss. They are also 23-9 ATS in their last 32 road games when they come in having failed to cover 3 of their last 4 games. Take Denver!

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    Mike Williams

    Dec 12 '17, 7:05 PM in 18m
    NBA | Nuggets vs Pistons
    Play on: Pistons -6 -115 at BMaker

    1* on Pistons -6 -115

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