Friday 12-15-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct

RACE #7 - AQUEDUCT - 3:50 PM EASTERN POST
6½ FURLONGS DIRT FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $40,000.00 OPTIONAL CLAIMING $59,000.00 PURSE

#4 COURT DANCER
#3 PALLADIAN BRIDGE
#2 ALABAMA BOUND
#5 ZEALOUS SCHOLAR

#4 COURT DANCER drops in class (-7), is the overall speed leader, and also has nice early speed abilities to compliment for this sprint. She's coming off a "POWER RUN PLACE" finish facing better company in her last start, missing a "Circle Trip" in that race by just a "photographed neck" at the wire. Jockey Irad Ortiz and Trainer Rudy Rodriguez send her to the post this afternoon ... they've "whacked the tote board" with 56% of more than 360 entries saddled as a team to date. #3 PALLADIAN BRIDGE, a 4-1 shot, has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in each of her last three outings, including back-to-back, "POWER RUN WINS" in her 2nd and 3rd races back.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Charles Town - Race #1 - Post: 7:00pm - Claiming - 4.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 69

Rating: 4

#5 ONEMORESWEETKISS (ML=5/2)


ONEMORESWEETKISS - Rodriguez was aboard this mare in the last race and was impressed enough to take the horse right back. Coram drops her down to this class. You don't need too much more data to figure that this thoroughbred will be one to beat at this level. That 75 fig this mare garnered in her last race tells me she's a chief player this time. Recent Equibase speed figs show powerful pattern of improvement.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 IDENTITY THEFT (ML=2/1), #6 FLASH TIPS (ML=4/1), #3 CRIME BUZZ (ML=5/1),

IDENTITY THEFT - If you keep betting these sort of 'hanger' types, you're going to be frustrated most every time. FLASH TIPS - The fig last out doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the class figure of today's race. Mark this thoroughbred as a possibly overvalued contestant. CRIME BUZZ - This less than sharp equine showed very little last time finishing seventh. Don't see any hint of improvement in today's event.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - ONEMORESWEETKISS - My analysis says it usually takes a pony one or two races after a layoff to get back into proper racing shape. That's just what we have here, so I expect a lot for this horse.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#5 ONEMORESWEETKISS is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Skip

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fair Grounds

Fair Grounds - Race 9

Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta $0.50 Super Hi-5


Claiming $5,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 73 • Purse: $15,000 • Post: 5:05P
FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 15 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * OUTBACK JACK: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Hor se has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. PHIL UP DA BANK: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. IL EST VITE: Today is a sprint and this is the hor se's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. TOOTH: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Cla ss Rating at the distance/surface.
3
OUTBACK JACK
7/2

5/1
2
PHIL UP DA BANK
8/1

6/1
12
IL EST VITE
9/2

7/1
5
TOOTH
12/1

7/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
3
OUTBACK JACK
3

7/2
Front-runner
84

74

89.8

68.6

62.6
6
SO NILSSON
6

20/1
Front-runner
73

64

79.6

47.6

26.6
12
IL EST VITE
12

9/2
Alternator/Front-runner
75

75

67.2

70.6

65.1
1
GOOD ENOUGH SAID
1

6/1
Alternator/Front-runner
76

69

64.6

59.4

45.9
8
FINAL DEED
8

6/1
Stalker
65

66

66.4

55.4

41.4
9
VICKS FIRST PICK
9

12/1
Stalker
64

63

52.0

62.2

43.2
5
TOOTH
5

12/1
Alternator/Stalker
73

71

51.0

67.4

61.9
13
BET ON BLACK
13

10/1
Alternator/Stalker
77

74

45.6

61.8

49.8
2
PHIL UP DA BANK
2

8/1
Trailer
75

76

50.0

66.2

56.7
4
UNK'S RED MAN
4

20/1
Trailer
72

67

28.4

55.0

37.5
11
CALEB HAWK
11

8/1
Alternator/Non-contender
67

68

59.4

55.8

35.8
15
CANADIAN MAXIMUS
15

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
67

66

56.4

56.6

30.1
7
ROBERT E. LEE
7

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
68

61

54.2

39.6

19.1
10
IDOL MCARTNEYVALUE
10

12/1
Alternator/Non-contender
64

63

44.5

59.0

41.0
14
SUPER CHASE
14

30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
63

56

38.6

50.8

25.3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Maiden Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $22000 Class Rating: 72

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 5 HERESURLAMAMAMA 8/5

# 3 SONG OF MELODY 6/1

# 9 COSITA RICA 7/2

My selection in this competition is HERESURLAMAMAMA. Make a note that this one runs with second time Lasix today. Her 62 average has this filly with among the top speed figures here. Recently Gaffalione has been sizzling which may give the edge to this filly. SONG OF MELODY - Can't overlook the connections here, a 24 winning percentage, one of the best at getting into the winner's circle. Well above average win clip at this distance/surface. COSITA RICA - Has very strong Equibase Class Figures relative to this field - worth a look. Has to be considered based on the very strong speed figure put up in the last race.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Thoroughbred)

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $15000 Class Rating: 98

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000, IF FOR $7,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 4 UCANTHANKMELATER 7/2

# 6 FREDDIES DREAM 5/2

# 1 SOUTH TEXAS LINGO 3/1

UCANTHANKMELATER looks to be the bet in here. I like the rider on this gelding - very strong chance to win the race. Could best this field based on the Equibase Speed Figure - 97 - of his last effort. He has been running soundly and the speed figures are among the top in this group. FREDDIES DREAM - He has been running solidly recently while recording sharp Equibase Speed Figures. With a strong 82 Equibase Speed Figure last time out, will clearly be a factor in this contest. SOUTH TEXAS LINGO - He has a good opportunity in this race as handler, Cerin, has solid win clip with horses going this distance. Has been running soundly lately and ought to be on or close to the front end early on.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Sunland Park

Sunland Park - Race 2

2nd Half Daily Double $1 Grand Slam(Races 2-3-4-5)/.50 Pick 3(Races 2-3-4) $1 Exacta/Trifecta/.10 Superfecta


Claiming $7,500 • 300 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 72 • Purse: $12,200 • Post: 12:55
QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * NEMOS TREASURE: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. HEZA WINNING VERSION: Horse ranks in the top three i n average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. DAMSELS CHARMER: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. MAGICAL MUSHROOM: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it g ets out of the gate fast. FIRST LLUVIA RUNAWAY: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating.
5
NEMOS TREASURE
10/1

6/1
9
HEZA WINNING VERSION
15/1

6/1
11
DAMSELS CHARMER
8/1

7/1
3
MAGICAL MUSHROOM
4/1

8/1
1
FIRST LLUVIA RUNAWAY
5/1

8/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
FIRST LLUVIA RUNAWAY
1

5/1
Slow
75

71

6.6

0.0

0.0
2
BLUE MOON FLASH
2

7/2
Average
76

72

4.8

0.0

0.0
3
MAGICAL MUSHROOM
3

4/1
Fast
76

70

3.0

0.0

0.0
4
MAS RONPOPE
4

8/1
Average
77

68

3.9

0.0

0.0
5
NEMOS TREASURE
5

10/1
Fast
75

72

0.0

0.0

0.0
6
LIL BOOM BOOM
6

12/1
Average
67

61

5.9

0.0

0.0
7
EYE FOUND IT
7

20/1
Average
78

65

5.8

0.0

0.0
8
GO RO SHAM BO
8

6/1
Average
73

68

5.0

0.0

0.0
9
HEZA WINNING VERSION
9

15/1
Average
79

77

5.7

0.0

0.0
10
DD MIRACLE MOUNTAIN
10

8/1
Average
69

61

5.3

0.0

0.0
11
DAMSELS CHARMER
11

8/1
Average
73

78

4.7

0.0

0.0
12
WHATSNOTTALUV
12

15/1
Slow
83

67

6.7

0.0

0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Turfway Park - Race #5 - Post: 8:15pm - Maiden Special - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,500 Class Rating: 76

Rating: 4

#13 CAT WALK (ML=8/1)
#4 BUTTER UP KATIE (ML=5/1)
#14 BRILLIANT MISSY (ML=5/1)


CAT WALK - This jock and handler have a profitable return on investment when they join forces. BUTTER UP KATIE - Is ranked totally uppermost in EPS (earnings per start). A dominant outing in this event will boost the lifetime total. This steed broke from the outside at Churchill Downs last time out, racing 1 mile, but is getting a low post position in this race, which should help her chances today. BRILLIANT MISSY - Was in a Maiden Special race at Turfway Park last out. That contest had a class rating of 84 and she is moving down in this event. A certain win candidate. Burchell brings her right back. I propose you stay with this strong filly.

Vulnerable Contenders: #11 KAY TWO (ML=3/1), #8 SPICE DROP (ML=9/2), #1 MISS SPOT ON (ML=5/1),

KAY TWO - Hasn't been doing anything at all recently. SPICE DROP - Doesn't appear to have enough good qualities to support the value. MISS SPOT ON - This animal just hasn't looked sharp recently. This animal doesn't have a conquering mental state. Regularly finishes in the place or show hole.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #13 CAT WALK to win if we can get at least 7/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,13,14]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [4,13,14] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[4,13,14] with [4,13,14] with [3,4,5,13,14] with [3,4,5,13,14] Total Cost: $36

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Friday, December 15, 2017

NBA (801) DETROIT PISTONS VS (802) INDIANA PACERS

Take: (802) INDIANA PACERS

Reason: Your home game for Friday, December 15, 2017 is in the NBA contest between the Detroit Pistons and Indiana Pacers. Both these clubs saw streaks come to an end their last game. Detroit saw it's seven game losing streak come to an end on Thursday with a win over the Atlanta Hawks, 105-91. The Pistons play in the second of a back-to-back spot here tonight in Indiana. The Pistons are just 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 in this spot. The Pacers saw their four game win streak come to an end on Wednesday at home vs the Thunder, 95-100. The Pacers still a very good home tea, going 9-6 ATS at home. The Pacers are also 10-4 ATS overall their last 14 games. The Pacers are 7-1 ATS their last eight vs the Pistons and 6-0 ATS their last six at Indiana. I'm taking Indiana tonight against the Pistons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph Sports

FRI Stanford CBB -11

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TOMMY BRUNSON

Friday NBA comp play is Boston at home over Utah.

The Celtics have been a money-burner to their backers, as they enter this Friday contest at just 1-3-1 against the spread their last 5 games, but they have also seen Irving, Brown and Horford miss time due to their various injuries, etc.

Tonight Boston will get their "A-Game" in gear, as they have been money at home this season winning 13 of 15 on the parquet floor straight up, and they have covered in 10 of those 15 home dates.

Utah enters play tonight riding a 4-game losing skid, and they have failed to cover in their last 3 losses. The Jazz is also on a 3-game series slide to the C's both straight up and against the spread.

Go ahead and lay the lumber with the Boston Celtics tonight at home.

4* BOSTON

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BIG AL

Our complimentary selection for Friday, Dec 15 is:

Milwaukee -8 over Chicago.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DUSTIN HAWKINS

Free Play on Celtics -5½ -108

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RAY MONOHAN

Los Angeles vs. New York Over 5.5

The Kings and Rangers are worth a flyer on the Over here.

Los Angeles has put in 3.13 goals per game on the road this year, while the Rangers 3.30 at home is one of the best marks in the NHL.

These two offenses just have so many weapons from top to bottom.

The pace of play is another huge thing to note here. These two teams really like to get up and down the ice and push the issue. On top of that, they like to let it fly and put shots on net, really looking for opportunities off the rebound.

Some trends to note. Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 vs. Pacific.Over is 5-1 in Rangers last 6 vs. Western Conference.

Expect a ton of back and forth action here, giving this Over some value.

Back Over.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Heat vs. Hornets Preview and Predictions

By Gracenote for Scores and Stats
by Gracenote on 12/14/2017

The Miami Heat coughed up a big lead against a struggling team at home in their loss to the Portland Trail Blazers on Wednesday. They will try to make amends for the defeat as they continue to pile up the road games with a visit to the Charlotte Hornets on Friday.

Miami is nearing the end of a stretch in which it plays 17 of 24 games on the road, but the 102-95 home loss to the Blazers - who had lost five in a row and trailed by 16 points in the second half - will sting for a bit. "These are tough to swallow," guard Wayne Ellington told reporters after the loss. "We played about 43 minutes of Miami Heat basketball. We've got to get better at finishing." The Heat were able to finish just fine in overcoming an early deficit and defeating the Hornets 105-100 earlier this month at home. That result is part of Charlotte's current 2-8 swoon, which includes a 108-96 loss at NBA-best Houston on Wednesday that dropped the squad to 2-11 on the road.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, FSN Sun (Miami), FSN Southeast (Charlotte)

ABOUT THE HEAT (13-14): Hassan Whiteside (knee) has missed seven straight games and coach Erik Spoelstra said Wednesday his star center was not ready to return to practice. Guard Tyler Johnson also missed the game against Portland with a migraine, halting a hot stretch in which he averaged 19.7 points over a three-game span. Ellington led seven players in double figures with a season-high 24 points and he has hit 11-of-16 3-pointers in the last two contests.

ABOUT THE HORNETS (10-17): Charlotte had little chance after falling behind by 15 in the first quarter against the mighty Rockets and there was no great comeback with a 4-for-21 showing from 3-point range. Dwight Howard recorded 26 points and 18 rebounds and Michael Kidd-Gilchrist added 18 and 11, while the Hornets' bench - at times a liability this season - had seven players combine for 26 points on 9-of-24 shooting. "All the things we were doing in the first part of the first quarter, [the second unit] didn't do [when we broke the lineup]," associate head coach Stephen Silas told reporters. "We were doing a good job of moving the ball, not getting turnovers, closing out to their 3-point shooters, getting back in transition, getting our defense set and they blitzed us."

BUZZER BEATERS

1. Heat SF Josh Richardson led all scorers with a career-high 27 points in the earlier win over the Hornets.

2. Charlotte PG Kemba Walker missed the first meeting with a shoulder injury but averaged 24.3 points in four games against Miami last season.

3. Hornets C Cody Zeller is out for about six weeks following surgery Tuesday to repair a torn meniscus in his left knee.

PREDICTION: Hornets 103, Heat 101