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Thread: Service Plays Saturday 12/23/17

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    Marco D'Angelo/sports unlimited

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    Quote Originally Posted by Bettenguy View Post
    So does this mean play Toledo
    No, it would mean the “sharps” are on App St and to take them. Having only 27% of the tickets, but 85% if the money means that basically all the big bets are backing App St.

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    1101) INDIANAPOLIS +7.5 (-120) – 1st HALF…($900) – BIG MOVE


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    Drop Dimes, I was always curious as to how "that specific angle" works. I have seen it many times in college and pro's but never really tracked it.


    Is it your 'OPINION' that when you see one % on the ticket sales, yet the money wagered % is higher, seems to SHARPS & WHALES are on the "CASH" side.


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    Yeah, I've never really tracked it, but that's pretty much the "fade the public" angle. If theres a drastic disparity like that between the % of tickets and the % of money, your looking at a TON of very large bets on one side, and a lot of small public bets on the other. Not trying to tell anyone what side to bet, but what you're likely seeing is the public reacting to seeing an 11-2 conference champion being a short(ish) fav (-6), against an 8-4 Sun Belt team. I'm guessing very few of those public bettors know that it's a rematch of last years bowl, and App St won outright.

    Sorry for the clutter, all.
    Last edited by DropDimes; 12-23-2017 at 05:55 PM.

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    Quote Originally Posted by DropDimes View Post
    Yeah, I've never really tracked it, but that's pretty much the "fade the public" angle. If theres a drastic disparity like that between the % of tickets and the % of money, your looking at a TON of very large bets on one side, and a lot of small public bets on the other. Not trying to tell anyone what side to bet, but what you're likely seeing is the public reacting to seeing an 11-2 conference champion being a short(ish) fav (-6), against an 8-4 Sun Belt team. I'm guessing very few of those public bettors know that it's a rematch of last years bowl, and App St won outright.

    Sorry for the clutter, all.




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    Strike Point Sports

    3-Unit Play. #531 Take Tennessee (+1.5) over Wake Forest (12:30 p.m., Saturday, December 23)The better team is getting points here. UT let a win get away from them last time out at home. That was UNC. They've had some great success in the non-conference so far, and they wrap up that portion of their schedule here with a victory before SEC play next week.

    3-Unit Play. #552 Take North Carolina (-7.5) over Ohio State (1:30 p.m., Saturday, December 23)The Buckeyes are going to get a pissed off North Carolina team here. After losing to Wofford in Chapel Hill, UNC gets a great opportunity to bounce right back and not let that loss stew too much with a quick turnaround. Ohio State has been an underdog just twice in 13 games this season. It's justified here. Carolina has Cam Johnson now in the rotation, and that's one more weapon for Roy Williams' team. The Tar Heels cash minus the number in New Orleans.

    6-Unit Play. #550 Take Missouri (-4) over Illinois (8 p.m., Saturday, December 23)In this year's version of Bragging Rights, its showing two teams slowly starting to go in opposite directions. Illinois come into tonight's game in St. Louis losers of five of their last seven, and its clear this team is struggling more as the competiton improves. Missouri is riding a five-game winning streak entering tonight's contest and winning by a dominant margin of 16 points during their streak. The Tigers have just two losses on the year, Utah and West Virginia, but these two teams have a combined record of 18-4. Illinois is 0-4 in games this season as an underdog and are also 0-4 in their four games away from Champaign this season. So while this game isn't a distinct advantage for either side location wise, it's clear who has the edge. Consider that Illinois also won this game last year by nine and its another tick toward Missouri when you factor in revenge. Simply put, the Tigers are the better team also playing better right now. Mizzou shoots nearly 50 percent from the field as a team and nearly 40 percent as a team from the three-point line. Cuonzo Martin has his team playing confident basketball with the results showing. Here is another one, as the Tigers come through with a double digit victory in the Show Me State.

    3-Unit Play. #566 Take Hawaii (+5.5) over Davidson (12:30 p.m., Sunday, December 24)This is a good Hawaii team. 7-3 on the year, and all three losses have been to very good competition. Coming off a loss last night to undefeated Miami, give me the Warriors plus the points to bounce back with an outright win over Davidson here.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Gmoney121 View Post

    Well said Gmoney!!!

  20. #100
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    Quote Originally Posted by DropDimes View Post
    Yeah, I've never really tracked it, but that's pretty much the "fade the public" angle. If theres a drastic disparity like that between the % of tickets and the % of money, your looking at a TON of very large bets on one side, and a lot of small public bets on the other. Not trying to tell anyone what side to bet, but what you're likely seeing is the public reacting to seeing an 11-2 conference champion being a short(ish) fav (-6), against an 8-4 Sun Belt team. I'm guessing very few of those public bettors know that it's a rematch of last years bowl, and App St won outright.

    Sorry for the clutter, all.
    Well said Drop!!

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