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Wednesday 12-27-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta Downs
Delta Downs - Race 5
Daily Double (Races 5-6) / Exacta / Trifecta (.50 min.) / Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) Superfecta (.10 min.)
Claiming $5,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 71 • Purse: $12,000 • Post: 7:31P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Lone Front-runner. STRAHAN is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * STRAHAN: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. CRISTIANSTORM: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. FLORENCIO: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance /surface. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
10
STRAHAN
7/2
3/1
9
CRISTIANSTORM
4/1
8/1
5
FLORENCIO
3/1
8/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
10
STRAHAN
10
7/2
Alternator/Front-runner
74
68
70.4
55.5
52.5
5
FLORENCIO
5
3/1
Stalker
73
62
44.8
58.4
51.9
9
CRISTIANSTORM
9
4/1
Alternator/Stalker
68
61
63.2
62.6
57.6
8
FIRST TO SCORE
8
15/1
Alternator/Stalker
46
51
56.0
54.2
37.7
4
INTERNAL STORM
4
9/2
Alternator/Stalker
63
60
33.2
33.2
26.2
3
BANKROLL BEN
3
8/1
Trailer
64
62
54.3
59.1
47.6
6
LUCAME
6
15/1
Trailer
60
59
29.8
53.6
35.1
7
V DOUBLE U
7
30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
62
61
53.6
44.6
28.6
12
FIREMAN ISAAC MAX
12
10/1
Alternator/Non-contender
67
58
52.8
50.6
34.6
1
CLUTCH CITY
1
8/1
Alternator/Non-contender
75
63
51.4
51.4
41.9
2
MORDECAI MAN
2
20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
61
53
49.0
51.0
32.5
11
JACKSON T.
11
30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
61
47
34.3
36.4
13.4
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mahoning Valley Race Course
Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race 9
Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / Daily Double
Claiming $4,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 71 • Purse: $9,400 • Post: 3:58P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 27. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000 (OHIO REGISTERED FOALS PREFERRED).
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Lone Front-runner. POP OF COLOR is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * POP OF COLOR: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class R ating at the distance/surface. SIENA SLEW: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. FAIR ASTRONOMER: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the hig hest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
6
POP OF COLOR
6/1
4/1
1
SIENA SLEW
10/1
5/1
11
FAIR ASTRONOMER
10/1
8/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
6
POP OF COLOR
6
6/1
Front-runner
79
73
89.2
44.2
30.7
10
LITTLE MISS MORGAN
10
2/1
Stalker
74
56
60.8
46.2
33.2
8
WOLVERINA'S WILLA
8
8/1
Alternator/Stalker
0
0
57.0
58.6
51.6
9
CALCUTTA CAT
9
15/1
Alternator/Stalker
73
56
54.2
55.0
42.0
3
NASHA NADEZHDA
3
15/1
Trailer
70
65
20.0
56.2
44.7
11
FAIR ASTRONOMER
11
10/1
Alternator/Trailer
75
63
54.8
56.2
48.2
1
SIENA SLEW
1
10/1
Alternator/Trailer
80
77
42.6
53.6
51.1
4
ALEXIS ROAD
4
5/2
Alternator/Non-contender
73
59
59.2
52.0
42.0
2
SUNDAY DINNER
2
20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
62
56
55.0
32.8
14.3
7
LEATHER AND LACEY
7
20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
64
41
50.0
35.8
19.8
5
RIMFOX
5
20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0
0
14.6
40.4
22.4
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Penn National - Race #4 - Post: 7:22pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,400 Class Rating: 58
Rating: 4
#6 CONTRADANCE (ML=8/1)
#2 ROSIE BELLE (ML=8/5)
CONTRADANCE - The last time I saw this horse was at Penn National in a race with an Equibase class figure of 65. Dropping significantly in Equibase class figure today puts her in a solid position right here. When the real racing starts, this filly should be flying down the lane. Carrying 7 pounds less this race. Trainer has her in a good spot. ROSIE BELLE - This horse coming off a nice race in the last 30 days is a solid contender in my book. Corujo is up for another contest today after sitting atop this equine for the 1st ride on December 9th and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. This racer wins a lot of money per start. I believe she will add to the lifetime earnings in this race. This filly registered a good rating of 46 in her last affair. That speed figure should be good enough to win this time. Took a significant drop in class rating last out at Penn National. Returning to a similar class level in this race. I'd expect a good performance.
Vulnerable Contenders: #8 MARILYN'S PASSION (ML=4/1), #3 ALPHA FORCE (ML=5/1),
MARILYN'S PASSION - Speed figs tell a narrative of deteriorating condition. Difficult to put any money on this filly on the win end. Likes to hit the board though. ALPHA FORCE - Didn't finish in the money on November 10th at Penn National. Followed it up with another less than stellar try. No picnic to wager on this vulnerable equine this time around. Make her show you something in a sprint affair before you play her in a race of 6 furlongs.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #6 CONTRADANCE on top if we're getting at least 2/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Tampa Bay Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 5 - Claiming - 8.2f on the Dirt. Purse: $10700 Class Rating: 79
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE NOVEMBER 27 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 6 NICO'S ON THE RUN 2/1
# 7 BAREFOOT COVE 4/1
# 5 FARMERS CHOICE 15/1
NICO'S ON THE RUN is the strongest wager in this race. Must be given a chance as he drops to compete against this less demanding field of horses. Spieth's ROI over the last 30 days automatically makes this horse a very solid contender. He should be given a chance given the respectable speed numbers. BAREFOOT COVE - He has been running well and the speed figs are among the best in this group. Reason to like this gelding as he has in the saddle one of the best jocks using winning percentages over the last month. FARMERS CHOICE - Has raced soundly in dirt route races. The speed rating of 71 from his latest contest looks decent in here.
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turfway Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6100 Class Rating: 60
FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 9 REAGANIZE 9/5
# 5 CASH TICKET 5/1
# 6 DR SPAULDING 6/1
REAGANIZE is the best wager in this race. He has earned competitive numbers under today's conditions and should fare well versus this group of animals. Ran a solid last race. Demonstrates the look of a money-making play, averaging a solid 56 speed rating which is one of the best in this group. CASH TICKET - Kennedy will almost certainly be able to get this gelding to break out sharply for this event. DR SPAULDING - In this field, this horse is prominent in earnings per start in dirt sprint events.
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Turf Paradise - Race #3 - Post: 1:42pm - Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,000 Class Rating: 89
Rating: 3
#5 SWISS WAGER (ML=6/5)
#1 MR CATY (ML=9/5)
SWISS WAGER - The December 1st clash at Golden Gate Fields was at a class level of (95). Dropping to a lower class level considerably, so he should be in a good spot to take this race. You always have to be on the prowl for money generating jock/trainer teams; we have an instance right here. This gelding likes to be near the lead. Today's clash is a shorter distance and should enhance his likelihood of winning. Is ranked highest in earnings per start. A strong performance in this event can add to the lifetime bankroll. MR CATY - Gelding's last workout should have him fit for today's effort. PP lines show this racer with three improving speed figs. Esquilin should be on a live horse in this race. This gelding is rounding his way back into shape. Should compete well today.
Vulnerable Contenders: #7 FRISKY RICKY (ML=5/1), #4 SLAM A COCKTAIL (ML=6/1),
FRISKY RICKY - This entrant didn't go to the lead and didn't make up ground in the lane last time he ran. Extended layoff, then came back and finished eighth. Hard to expect much better this time. SLAM A COCKTAIL - This gelding hasn't had any recent good results in sprint events. No picnic to play him in this race.
Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - SWISS WAGER - Recording Equibase speed figures of 89, 96, 89 in the last three races, this mount is ready to defeat these thoroughbreds today.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #5 SWISS WAGER on the nose if you can get odds of 7/5 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
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When: 1:30 PM ET, Wednesday, December 27, 2017
Where: Independence Stadium, Shreveport, Louisiana
Walk-on's Independence Bowl preview: Southern Miss vs. Florida State
Gracenote
Dec 13, 2017
WALK-ON'S INDEPENDENCE BOWL STORYLINES
1. Odell Haggins will continue to serve as interim head coach, keeping the seat warm for the newly hired Willie Taggart, when Florida State meets Southern Mississippi in the Independence Bowl at Shreveport, La., on Dec. 27. Haggins and Taggart are the first two African-American coaches in Seminoles football history, and Taggart - a Bradenton, Fla., native and lifelong Florida State fan - aspires to be the first African-American coach to win a national championship. “When we looked at a number of candidates, we knew Willie would rise to the top because of his passion about Florida State, and (having) the same vision that I have about the athletics department that he runs within his football program,” Seminoles athletic director Stan Wilcox, also an African-American, told the Orlando Sentinel. "The fact he happens to be an African-American is just icing on the cake. … It really is heartwarming to know over my career in fighting to open the doors for more minority head coaches in football and basketball, I finally got an opportunity to do that.”
2. Florida State needed to win its last three games, including a 38-22 victory at Florida on Nov. 25, to become bowl-eligible for the 36th straight season. The Seminoles erupted for 157 points during that span with wins over Delaware State 77-6 on Nov. 18 and Louisiana Monroe 42-10 on Dec. 2 after scoring 163 in their first nine games. Haggins ran the team against ULM after Jimbo Fisher resigned Dec. 1 to take the job at Texas A&M and the $75 million for 10 years that came with it, while Taggart will continue to evaluate the coaching staff since leaving his post as Oregon coach.
3. Southern Miss, which defeated ULM 28-17 on Sept. 16, is riding a three-game winning streak after a 28-27 victory over Marshall on Nov. 25. The Golden Eagles are led by senior running back Ito Smith, who has rushed for 453 of his 1,321 yards and six of his 13 touchdowns this season during the winning streak. Southern Miss will play in a bowl game for the third straight season, defeating Louisiana 28-21 in the 2016 New Orleans Bowl and losing to Washington 44-31 in the 2015 Heart of Dallas Bowl.
TV: 1:30 p.m. ET, ESPN. LINE: Florida State -15.5
ABOUT SOUTHERN MISS (8-4, 6-2 Conference USA): Junior quarterback Kwadra Griggs (15 touchdowns, two interceptions) matched a career high with three TD passes versus Marshall. Griggs' favorite target is junior wide receiver Korey Robertson, whose 1,070 yards and 11 touchdowns lead C-USA. Smith accounted for 58.2 percent of the Golden Eagles rushing yards and 72.2 percent of their ground TDs.
ABOUT FLORIDA STATE (6-6, 3-5 ACC): The Seminoles' winning streak coincides with the improved play of freshman quarterback James Blackman (57.2 percent completion rate, 15 touchdowns, 11 interceptions), who has thrown six TDs and three INTs while completing 60.3 percent of his passes during that span. Running back Cam Akers (930 yards, seven TDs) needs 79 yards to break the school record for rushing yards by a true freshman set by Dalvin Cook in 2014. Junior running back Jacques Patrick (687 yards, six TDs), who rushed for a season-high 155 yards and two touchdowns versus ULM, is another strong threat out of the backfield.
PREDICTION: Florida State 31, Southern Miss 17
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Trends - Southern Mississippi vs Florida State
ATS Trends
Southern Mississippi
Golden Eagles are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Golden Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
Golden Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Golden Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Golden Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
Golden Eagles are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
Golden Eagles are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall.
Golden Eagles are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games.
Golden Eagles are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
Golden Eagles are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 Bowl games.
Florida State
Seminoles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Seminoles are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
Seminoles are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 Bowl games.
Seminoles are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 bowl games.
Seminoles are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Seminoles are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Seminoles are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Seminoles are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Seminoles are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win.
Seminoles are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Seminoles are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games in December.
Seminoles are 3-7-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
Seminoles are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games.
Seminoles are 2-7-2 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Seminoles are 0-4-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
OU Trends
Southern Mississippi
Under is 5-0-1 in Golden Eagles last 6 non-conference games.
Under is 11-3 in Golden Eagles last 14 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Florida State
Over is 6-1 in Seminoles last 7 neutral site games.
Under is 4-1 in Seminoles last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 8-2-1 in Seminoles last 11 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 8-2 in Seminoles last 10 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Under is 4-1-1 in Seminoles last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 17-5 in Seminoles last 22 games following a ATS win.
Over is 3-1-1 in Seminoles last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 8-3-1 in Seminoles last 12 games overall.
Under is 5-2 in Seminoles last 7 Bowl games.
Under is 9-4 in Seminoles last 13 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Head to Head
No trends available.
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When: 5:15 PM ET, Wednesday, December 27, 2017
Where: New Yankee Stadium, New York, New York
New Era Pinstripe Bowl Preview: Iowa vs. Boston College
Gracenote
Dec 13, 2017
NEW ERA PINSTRIPE BOWL STORYLINES
1. Boston College enters its second straight bowl game and fourth in five years under coach Steve Addazio with loads of momentum as it takes on Iowa in the Pinstripe Bowl at Yankee Stadium on Dec. 27. The Eagles finished the regular season with five wins in their last six games, scoring at least 35 points in each victory, and freshman running back AJ Dillon was the catalyst with 1,432 yards and 13 touchdowns on the ground. Addazio, whose 1-2 bowl record includes a loss in the Pinstripe Bowl in 2014, is aiming for his first eight-win campaign after finishing with seven victories in three of his first four seasons at the helm.
2. Addazio has a long way to go to match Iowa coach Kirk Ferentz, whose 142 victories leaves him one shy of matching Hayden Fry on the all-time list at the school. Ferentz's current unit scored a mammoth victory over then-No. 3 Ohio State with a 55-24 triumph at home Nov. 4, but the Hawkeyes followed that up with back-to-back losses to sink to the middle of the pack in the Big Ten West. Ferentz is 6-8 in bowl games and has dropped five in a row.
3. Iowa has a 1,000-yard rusher of its own in senior Akrum Wadley, a New Jersey native who has reached that plateau in consecutive seasons and owns 34 career touchdowns - 27 on the ground. "Akrum is our marquee player from this area, and he is really excited, and he's had about 120 ticket requests," Ferentz told the media. Sophomore quarterback Nathan Stanley has 25 touchdowns against just six interceptions for the Hawkeyes, while the Eagles will be relying on senior Darius Wade, who took over under center after starter Anthony Brown suffered a season-ending injury Nov. 11 against North Carolina State and had his best game (16-of-20, 248 yards) in a 42-14 victory at Syracuse to end the regular season.
TV: 5:15 p.m. ET, ESPN. LINE: Iowa -3
ABOUT IOWA (7-5, 4-5 Big Ten): The Hawkeyes feature a dynamic duo on defense in senior linebacker Josey Jewell and junior cornerback Josh Jackson, who are piling up the postseason accolades. Jewell, a three-time captain, led the Big Ten in tackles with 123 while Jackson is tied with Boston College's Lukas Denis and one other for the national lead with seven interceptions. Iowa has been outscored 75-19 in its last two bowl games.
ABOUT BOSTON COLLEGE (7-5, 4-4 ACC): Although most of the roster has turned over since the Eagles lost 31-30 in overtime to Penn State in the 2014 Pinstripe Bowl, Addazio thinks that result can provide some motivation this time around. "They'll get a chance to enjoy the atmosphere of the city during the holiday season and we come back to the Pinstripe Bowl with a little added motivation," he told reporters. "We were part of one of the most exciting bowl games that season, but it didn't end the way we wanted. We have some unfinished business." Boston College piled up 581 yards of total offense in the win over the Orange and enters bowl season ranked 24th in the nation in rushing with 224.2 yards per game.
PREDICTION: Iowa 28, Boston College 24
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Trends - Iowa vs Boston College
ATS Trends
Iowa
Hawkeyes are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Hawkeyes are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.
Hawkeyes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 bowl games.
Hawkeyes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
Hawkeyes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Bowl games.
Hawkeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Hawkeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Hawkeyes are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games.
Hawkeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Hawkeyes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Boston College
Eagles are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
Eagles are 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win.
Eagles are 4-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Eagles are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Eagles are 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
Eagles are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games.
Eagles are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Eagles are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Eagles are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games.
Eagles are 40-19-2 ATS in their last 61 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Eagles are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 bowl games.
Eagles are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 Bowl games.
Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big Ten.
Eagles are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games in December.
OU Trends
Iowa
Under is 6-1 in Hawkeyes last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Hawkeyes last 6 non-conference games.
Over is 4-1 in Hawkeyes last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 9-3 in Hawkeyes last 12 neutral site games.
Under is 11-4 in Hawkeyes last 15 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Over is 7-3-1 in Hawkeyes last 11 games on grass.
Boston College
Under is 9-2-1 in Eagles last 12 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 4-1-1 in Eagles last 6 games following a straight up win.
Under is 18-5-3 in Eagles last 26 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Under is 7-2 in Eagles last 9 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Under is 38-14-2 in Eagles last 54 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Under is 31-12 in Eagles last 43 non-conference games.
Under is 5-2 in Eagles last 7 vs. Big Ten.
Under is 24-10-1 in Eagles last 35 games overall.
Under is 35-16-2 in Eagles last 53 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 32-15-2 in Eagles last 49 games following a ATS win.
Under is 53-26-2 in Eagles last 81 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Head to Head
No trends available.
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When: 8:30 PM ET, Wednesday, December 27, 2017
Where: Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, California
Foster Farms Bowl Preview: Arizona vs. Purdue
Gracenote
Dec 13, 2017
FOSTER FARMS BOWL STORYLINES
1. Purdue and Arizona didn't figure to be in contention for a bowl game at the start of the season, but they'll go head-to-head in the Foster Farms Bowl on Dec. 27 at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, Calif. Arizona was picked to finish last in the Pac-12 South, but ended up third after winning five of six conference games from Oct. 7 to Nov. 11. Purdue lost its final seven games last year for its fifth consecutive losing season, and then lost starting quarterback David Blough to a knee injury Nov. 4 against Illinois, but the Boilermakers rallied to win their final two games and qualified for a bowl game for the first time since 2012.
2. Arizona has one of the most exciting players in the nation in sophomore quarterback Khalil Tate, who finished the regular season with 1,353 rushing yards at a nation-leading 10.17 yards per carry. Tate didn't take over full time until the fifth game against Colorado, when starter Brandon Dawkins was injured on a late hit on the opening drive of the game, and the California native proceeded to rush for 327 rushing yards in the 45-42 victory - an FBS rushing record by a quarterback. Tate would total 1,207 rushing yards and 11 touchdowns over a six-game span before Oregon and Arizona State found ways to contain him during the final two games, resulting in losses by the Wildcats.
3. Injuries in the Purdue offensive backfield have opened the door for junior Markell Jones to emerge as the primary ball carrier, and he was exceptional in the final regular-season game, rushing for a career-high 217 yards on 31 carries in the 31-24 victory against Indiana. Jones surpassed D.J. Knox as the leading rusher on the season, and Knox is expected to be limited against Arizona after undergoing thumb surgery shortly after the Indiana game. Tario Fuller and Richie Worship have also played big roles in the running game at various times during the season, but Fuller (ankle) and Worship (knee) are both out for the season, further solidifying Jones as the clear-cut No. 1 ball carrier.
TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Arizona -3.5
ABOUT ARIZONA (7-5, 5-4 Pac-12): Colin Schooler wasn't a big-time recruit out of Mission Viejo High School in Southern California last year, and didn't receive a Pac-12 scholarship offer until the Wildcats came forward on Dec. 14, 2016. Schooler has rewarded the Wildcats with a fantastic season that resulted in him earning Pac-12 Defensive Freshman of the Year honors. Schooler finished 13th in the conference tackles and second among freshmen at 7.3 a game, and his 13.5 tackles for loss also tied for fourth in the Pac-12.
ABOUT PURDUE (6-6, 4-5 Big Ten): The Boilermakers will count on senior linebackers Ja'Whaun Bentley and Danny Ezechukwu to help contain Tate, and they should be especially motivated in their first bowl-game experience. Bentley, who was fifth in the Big Ten and tops on Purdue at 8.1 tackles a game, sat out the final regular-season game against Indiana with a bad ankle, but is expected to be 100 percent against Arizona. Ezechukwu was second on the team with five sacks and tied for the Big Ten lead with three fumble recoveries.
PREDICTION: Arizona 42, Purdue 35
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Trends - Arizona vs Purdue
ATS Trends
Arizona
Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Wildcats are 21-45 ATS in their last 66 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Wildcats are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 games overall.
Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
Wildcats are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Big Ten.
Wildcats are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Wildcats are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 bowl games.
Wildcats are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Bowl games.
Wildcats are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games in December.
Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games.
Purdue
Boilermakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
Boilermakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Boilermakers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Boilermakers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Pac-12.
Boilermakers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Boilermakers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
Boilermakers are 9-19-2 ATS in their last 30 games following a ATS win.
Boilermakers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win.
Boilermakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in December.
Boilermakers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 bowl games.
Boilermakers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Bowl games.
Boilermakers are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
OU Trends
Arizona
Over is 4-0 in Wildcats last 4 Bowl games.
Over is 6-0 in Wildcats last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Wildcats last 4 bowl games.
Over is 5-1 in Wildcats last 6 games on grass.
Over is 5-1 in Wildcats last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 4-1 in Wildcats last 5 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Wildcats last 5 games in December.
Over is 4-1 in Wildcats last 5 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 7-2 in Wildcats last 9 vs. Big Ten.
Over is 16-5 in Wildcats last 21 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Wildcats last 8 games overall.
Over is 8-3 in Wildcats last 11 non-conference games.
Purdue
Under is 4-0 in Boilermakers last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 6-1 in Boilermakers last 7 games overall.
Under is 5-1 in Boilermakers last 6 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Boilermakers last 6 games following a ATS win.
Under is 8-2 in Boilermakers last 10 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Boilermakers last 5 games following a straight up win.
Under is 4-1 in Boilermakers last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 19-7 in Boilermakers last 26 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 13-6 in Boilermakers last 19 games on grass.
Head to Head
No trends available.
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When: 9:00 PM ET, Wednesday, December 27, 2017
Where: NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas
Academy Sports + Outdoors Texas Bowl Preview: Texas vs. Missouri
Gracenote
Dec 14, 2017
ACADEMY SPORTS + OUTDOORS TEXAS BOWL STORYLINES
1. Former Big 12 rivals reconnect when Missouri faces Texas in the Texas Bowl on Dec. 27 in Houston. The Longhorns own a 17-6 record against the Tigers and have captured 15 of the last 17 meetings, but Missouri won the most recent clash 17-5 at home in 2011 – its last season in the Big 12. Both teams are back in bowl games for the first time in three years.
2. Missouri possessed one of the nation’s most prolific offenses this season, particularly during its current six-game winning streak. Quarterback Drew Lock has thrown an SEC-record 43 touchdown passes this season – the most in the country – and has helped the Tigers put up at least 45 points in six straight games. The big question is whether or not Missouri can sustain that success with someone else calling the plays after offensive coordinator Josh Heupel was named the new head coach at Central Florida.
3. Texas already knows it will be without one key player on each side of the ball, as safety DeShon Elliott and offensive tackle Connor Williams have announced they will skip the game to prepare for the NFL draft, and linebacker Malik Jefferson has yet to make a decision. Elliott ranked second on the team in tackles (63) and tackles for loss (8.5) and led the Longhorns with six interceptions and three forced fumbles while Williams is the team’s top offensive lineman. It would be an even bigger loss if Jefferson, the Big 12 Co-Defensive Player of the Year, elects to declare for the draft and skip the game.
TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPN. LINE: Missouri -3
ABOUT TEXAS (6-6, 5-4 Big 12): The Longhorns lean on an excellent defense that ranks 31st in the nation in scoring (21.7 points) and 42nd in total defense (363.6 yards) despite playing in the offense-dominated Big 12. The team's weakness is its secondary, particularly with Elliott leaving and cornerback Holton Hill suspended, so the Longhorns might have trouble with Lock and the Tigers’ potent passing game. The offense has been inconsistent, resulting in Shane Buechele and Sam Ehlinger splitting time at quarterback, and coach Tom Herman hasn’t committed to a starter for the bowl game.
ABOUT MISSOURI (7-5, 4-4 SEC): The Tigers are trying to join the 2008 Rutgers squad as the only teams in college football history to win eight games after starting 1-5. They emerged from their early-season struggles thanks to an offense that can hurt opponents in myriad ways – Missouri ranks 14th nationally in passing (311.9 yards) and 35th in rushing (199.6). The Tigers had their share of trouble on defense, especially against the pass, but they rank 13th in the country with 92 tackles for loss.
PREDICTION: Missouri 37, Texas 30
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Trends - Texas vs Missouri
ATS Trends
Texas
Longhorns are 5-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Longhorns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games.
Longhorns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
Longhorns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
Longhorns are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
Longhorns are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. SEC.
Missouri
Tigers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Tigers are 30-7 ATS in their last 37 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
Tigers are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Tigers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.
Tigers are 5-17 ATS in their last 22 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Tigers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games in December.
OU Trends
Texas
Under is 4-0 in Longhorns last 4 games in December.
Under is 8-1 in Longhorns last 9 games following a straight up loss.
Under is 5-1 in Longhorns last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 13-3 in Longhorns last 16 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Longhorns last 5 vs. SEC.
Under is 11-3 in Longhorns last 14 games on fieldturf.
Under is 25-7 in Longhorns last 32 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 6-2 in Longhorns last 8 neutral site games.
Under is 18-7-1 in Longhorns last 26 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 40-17 in Longhorns last 57 games overall.
Missouri
Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 Bowl games.
Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games in December.
Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 bowl games.
Over is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 neutral site games.
Over is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 vs. Big 12.
Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 6-2 in Tigers last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 6-2 in Tigers last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Under is 16-6-1 in Tigers last 23 games following a straight up win.
Under is 8-3-1 in Tigers last 12 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Tigers last 7 non-conference games.
Over is 7-3 in Tigers last 10 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Head to Head
Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
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NCAAF
Wednesday, December 27
Walk On's Independence Bowl betting preview and odds: Southern Miss vs. FSU
Florida State true freshman quarterback James Blackman showed some signs of improvement in the Seminoles' winning streak to end the season. Will he be the difference for FSU in the Independence Bowl?
Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles at Florida State Seminoles (-17, 49)
Game to be played at the Independence Stadium in Shreveport, Louisiana
Odell Haggins will continue to serve as interim head coach, keeping the seat warm for the newly hired Willie Taggart, when Florida State meets Southern Mississippi in the Independence Bowl at Shreveport, La., on Dec. 27. Haggins and Taggart are the first two African-American coaches in Seminoles football history, and Taggart - a Bradenton, Fla., native and lifelong Florida State fan - aspires to be the first African-American coach to win a national championship.
“When we looked at a number of candidates, we knew Willie would rise to the top because of his passion about Florida State, and (having) the same vision that I have about the athletics department that he runs within his football program,” Seminoles athletic director Stan Wilcox, also an African-American, told the Orlando Sentinel. "The fact he happens to be an African-American is just icing on the cake. … It really is heartwarming to know over my career in fighting to open the doors for more minority head coaches in football and basketball, I finally got an opportunity to do that.”
Florida State needed to win its last three games, including a 38-22 victory at Florida on Nov. 25, to become bowl-eligible for the 36th straight season. The Seminoles erupted for 157 points during that span with wins over Delaware State 77-6 on Nov. 18 and Louisiana Monroe 42-10 on Dec. 2 after scoring 163 in their first nine games. Haggins ran the team against ULM after Jimbo Fisher resigned Dec. 1 to take the job at Texas A&M and the $75 million for 10 years that came with it, while Taggart will continue to evaluate the coaching staff since leaving his post as Oregon coach.
Southern Miss, which defeated ULM 28-17 on Sept. 16, is riding a three-game winning streak after a 28-27 victory over Marshall on Nov. 25. The Golden Eagles are led by senior running back Ito Smith, who has rushed for 453 of his 1,321 yards and six of his 13 touchdowns this season during the winning streak. Southern Miss will play in a bowl game for the third straight season, defeating Louisiana 28-21 in the 2016 New Orleans Bowl and losing to Washington 44-31 in the 2015 Heart of Dallas Bowl.
TV: 1:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.
LINE HISTORY: FSU opened as low as a 14-point fave and the spread has grown a full field goal since. Some shops opened the total at 50 but just about all locations are dealing 49 as we inch closer to kickoff.
INJURY REPORT:
Southern Miss - LB Sherrod Ruff (Undisclosed, Questionable)
Florida State - LB Matthew Thomas (Undisclosed, Questionable), DB Ermon Lane (Undisclosed, Questionable), DE Josh Sweat (Left team, Out), DB Tarvarus McFadden (Left team, Out), DB Derwin James (Left team, Out), TE Alex Marshall (Hand, Questionable), OL Brady Scott (Foot, Questionable), DB Calvin Brewton (Knee, Questionable), DT Darvin Taylor II (Shoulder, Questionable), OL David Robbins (Undisclosed, Questionable), WR Malique Jackson (Hamstring, Questionable), LB DeCalon Brooks (Knee, Questionable), LB Delvin Purifoy (Ankle, Questionable).
WEATHER REPORT: Game-time temperature is expected to be around 41 degrees with overcast skies. The wind will be blowing 10 mph from the Northeast.
ABOUT SOUTHERN MISS (8-4 SU, 8-4 ATS, 6-6 O/U): Junior quarterback Kwadra Griggs (15 touchdowns, two interceptions) matched a career high with three TD passes versus Marshall. Griggs' favorite target is junior wide receiver Korey Robertson, whose 1,070 yards and 11 touchdowns lead C-USA. Smith accounted for 58.2 percent of the Golden Eagles rushing yards and 72.2 percent of their ground TDs.
ABOUT FLORIDA STATE (6-6 SU, 3-7-1 ATS, 3-8 O/U): The Seminoles' winning streak coincides with the improved play of freshman quarterback James Blackman (57.2 percent completion rate, 15 touchdowns, 11 interceptions), who has thrown six TDs and three INTs while completing 60.3 percent of his passes during that span. Running back Cam Akers (930 yards, seven TDs) needs 79 yards to break the school record for rushing yards by a true freshman set by Dalvin Cook in 2014. Junior running back Jacques Patrick (687 yards, six TDs), who rushed for a season-high 155 yards and two touchdowns versus ULM, is another strong threat out of the backfield.
TRENDS:
*FSU is 9-2-1 ATS in its last 12 bowl games.
*Southern Miss is 1-3-1 ATS in its last five postseason appearances.
*The under is 5-0-1 in the Golden Eagles' last six non-conference games.
*FSU is 0-4-2 ATS in its last six games against teams with winning records.
CONSENSUS: Players are split on this matchup with a slight 51 percent backing the Golden Eagles. Bettors seemed to like the Seminoles when the spread was at 14 and now like Southern Miss with the spread up to 17. There isn't the same type of division on the total. Close to 65 percent of players like the game to go over the 49-point total.
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NCAAF
Wednesday, December 27
New Era Pinstripe Bowl betting preview and odds: Iowa vs. Boston College
Freshman running back AJ Dillon is the engine behind Boston College's offense. He piled up 1432 yards and 13 touchdowns on the ground during the regular season for the Eagles.
Iowa Hawkeyes at Boston College Eagles (+2.5, 45.5)
Game to be played at the Yankee Stadium in New York, New York.
Boston College enters its second straight bowl game and fourth in five years under coach Steve Addazio with loads of momentum as it takes on Iowa in the Pinstripe Bowl at Yankee Stadium on Dec. 27. The Eagles finished the regular season with five wins in their last six games, scoring at least 35 points in each victory, and freshman running back AJ Dillon was the catalyst with 1,432 yards and 13 touchdowns on the ground. Addazio, whose 1-2 bowl record includes a loss in the Pinstripe Bowl in 2014, is aiming for his first eight-win campaign after finishing with seven victories in three of his first four seasons at the helm.
Addazio has a long way to go to match Iowa coach Kirk Ferentz, whose 142 victories leaves him one shy of matching Hayden Fry on the all-time list at the school. Ferentz's current unit scored a mammoth victory over then-No. 3 Ohio State with a 55-24 triumph at home Nov. 4, but the Hawkeyes followed that up with back-to-back losses to sink to the middle of the pack in the Big Ten West. Ferentz is 6-8 in bowl games and has dropped five in a row.
Iowa has a 1,000-yard rusher of its own in senior Akrum Wadley, a New Jersey native who has reached that plateau in consecutive seasons and owns 34 career touchdowns - 27 on the ground.
"Akrum is our marquee player from this area, and he is really excited, and he's had about 120 ticket requests," Ferentz told the media.
Sophomore quarterback Nathan Stanley has 25 touchdowns against just six interceptions for the Hawkeyes, while the Eagles will be relying on senior Darius Wade, who took over under center after starter Anthony Brown suffered a season-ending injury Nov. 11 against North Carolina State and had his best game (16-of-20, 248 yards) in a 42-14 victory at Syracuse to end the regular season.
TV: 5:15 p.m. ET, ESPN.
LINE HISTORY: Iowa opened as a 3-point favorite but the line has come down to 2.5 as the game date approaches. There hasn't been much movement on the total. It's gone as high as 46 and as low as 45. Most shops are dealing 45.5.
INJURY REPORT:
Iowa - DB Miles Taylor (Leg, Probable), OL Alaric Jackson (Undisclosed, Out), OL Cole Banwart (Undisclosed, Questionable), DB Michael Ojemudia (Undisclosed, Questionable), WR Nick Easley (Undisclosed, Questionable), DB Nick Easley (Knee, Probable).
Boston College - DE Harold Landry (Out, Ankle), RB Doroland Dorceus (Undisclosed, Questionable), DB Jonathan Cook (Undisclosed, Questionable), DB Josh Perry (Undisclosed, Questionable), DL Ernest Suttles (Suspension, Out).
WEATHER REPORT: 25 degrees and partly cloudy at kickoff - 10 mph winds throughout the game
ABOUT IOWA (7-5 SU, 5-6-1 ATS, 5-7 O/U): The Hawkeyes feature a dynamic duo on defense in senior linebacker Josey Jewell and junior cornerback Josh Jackson, who are piling up the postseason accolades. Jewell, a three-time captain, led the Big Ten in tackles with 123 while Jackson is tied with Boston College's Lukas Denis and one other for the national lead with seven interceptions. Iowa has been outscored 75-19 in its last two bowl games.
ABOUT BOSTON COLLEGE (7-5 SU, 8-3-1 ATS, 4-7-1 O/U): Although most of the roster has turned over since the Eagles lost 31-30 in overtime to Penn State in the 2014 Pinstripe Bowl, Addazio thinks that result can provide some motivation this time around. "They'll get a chance to enjoy the atmosphere of the city during the holiday season and we come back to the Pinstripe Bowl with a little added motivation," he told reporters. "We were part of one of the most exciting bowl games that season, but it didn't end the way we wanted. We have some unfinished business." Boston College piled up 581 yards of total offense in the win over the Orange and enters bowl season ranked 24th in the nation in rushing with 224.2 yards per game.
TRENDS:
*Boston College is 8-0-1 ATS in their last nine games overall.
*The under is 24-10-1 in BC's last 35 games.
*The under is 5-1 in Iowa's last six non-conference games.
*Iowa is 1-4 ATS in its last five bowl games.
CONSENSUS: About 63 percent of players are betting the Hawkeyes to cover as 2.5-point chalk while 54 percent are on the under.
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NCAAF
Wednesday, December 27
Academy Sports + Outdoors Texas Bowl Betting Preview and Odds: Texas vs Missouri
Missouri quarterback Drew Lock has thrown an SEC-record 43 touchdown passes this season – the most in the country – and has helped the Tigers put up at least 45 points in six straight games.
Texas Longhorns vs. Missouri Tigers (-2.5, 60.5)
Game to be played at NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas
Former Big 12 rivals reconnect when Missouri faces Texas in the Texas Bowl on Dec. 27 in Houston. The Longhorns own a 17-6 record against the Tigers and have captured 15 of the last 17 meetings, but Missouri won the most recent clash 17-5 at home in 2011 – its last season in the Big 12. Both teams are back in bowl games for the first time in three years.
Missouri possessed one of the nation’s most prolific offenses this season, particularly during its current six-game winning streak. Quarterback Drew Lock has thrown an SEC-record 43 touchdown passes this season – the most in the country – and has helped the Tigers put up at least 45 points in six straight games. The big question is whether or not Missouri can sustain that success with someone else calling the plays after offensive coordinator Josh Heupel was named the new head coach at Central Florida.
Texas already knows it will be without one key player on each side of the ball, as safety DeShon Elliott and offensive tackle Connor Williams have announced they will skip the game to prepare for the NFL draft, and linebacker Malik Jefferson has yet to make a decision. Elliott ranked second on the team in tackles (63) and tackles for loss (8.5) and led the Longhorns with six interceptions and three forced fumbles while Williams is the team’s top offensive lineman. It would be an even bigger loss if Jefferson, the Big 12 Co-Defensive Player of the Year, elects to declare for the draft and skip the game.
TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPN.
LINE HISTORY: Missouri opened as one-point favorites and heading into game day that number is up to 2.5. The total hit betting boards at 60 and is up slightly to 60.5.
INJURY REPORT:
Texas - OL E. Rodriguez (Probable, Ankle), DB P. Locke III (Probable, Ankle), OL P. Vahe (Probable, Knee), DB B. Jones (Questionable, Head), LB J. McCulloch (Questionable, Undisclosed), LB M. Jefferson (Questionable, Toe), TE G. Gray (Out, Suspension), RB T. Carter (Out, Suspension), WR L. Humphrey (Out, Suspension), DL C. Nelson (Out, Elbow), OL C. Williams (Out, Draft Prep), DB D. Elliott (Out, Draft Prep), TE C. Brewer (Out For Season, Knee), WR D. Leonard (Out Indefinitely, Foot), DB H. Hill (Out For Season, Suspension), RB K. Johnson (Out Indefinitely, Hamstring), OL P. Hudson (Out For Season, Knee), TE A. Beck (Out For Season, Foot).
Missouri - RB D. Crockett (Probable, Shoulder), TE J. Reese (Questionable, Back), DB C. Holmes (Out Indefinitely, Shoulder), DL N. Howard (Out Indefinitely, Suspension), WR O. Clark (Out Indefinitely, Suspension).
WEATHER REPORT: Dome.
ABOUT TEXAS (6-6 SU, 7-4-1 ATS, 3-9 O/U): The Longhorns lean on an excellent defense that ranks 31st in the nation in scoring (21.7 points) and 42nd in total defense (363.6 yards) despite playing in the offense-dominated Big 12. The team's weakness is its secondary, particularly with Elliott leaving and cornerback Holton Hill suspended, so the Longhorns might have trouble with Lock and the Tigers’ potent passing game. The offense has been inconsistent, resulting in Shane Buechele and Sam Ehlinger splitting time at quarterback, and coach Tom Herman hasn’t committed to a starter for the bowl game.
ABOUT MISSOURI (7-5 SU, 7-5 ATS, 7-5 O/U): The Tigers are trying to join the 2008 Rutgers squad as the only teams in college football history to win eight games after starting 1-5. They emerged from their early-season struggles thanks to an offense that can hurt opponents in myriad ways – Missouri ranks 14th nationally in passing (311.9 yards) and 35th in rushing (199.6). The Tigers had their share of trouble on defense, especially against the pass, but they rank 13th in the country with 92 tackles for loss.
TRENDS:
* Longhorns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games.
* Tigers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
* Under is 4-0 in Longhorns' last 4 games in December.
* Over is 4-0 in Tigers' last 4 bowl games.
* Favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
CONSENSUS: The public is siding with the underdog Texas Longhorns at a rate of 54 percent and the Over is getting 66 percent of the totals action.
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NCAAF
Long Sheet
Wednesday, December 27
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SOUTHERN MISS (8 - 4) vs. FLORIDA ST (6 - 6) - 12/27/2017, 1:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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BOSTON COLLEGE (7 - 5) vs. IOWA (7 - 5) - 12/27/2017, 5:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 79-55 ATS (+18.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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MISSOURI (7 - 5) vs. TEXAS (6 - 6) - 12/27/2017, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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PURDUE (6 - 6) vs. ARIZONA (7 - 5) - 12/27/2017, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 19-37 ATS (-21.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
ARIZONA is 57-89 ATS (-40.9 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
ARIZONA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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NCAAF
Bowl Season
Trend Report
Wednesday, December 27
SOUTHERN MISS @ FLORIDA STATE
Southern Miss is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Southern Miss is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games
Florida State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Florida State is 3-8-1 ATS in its last 12 games
BOSTON COLLEGE @ IOWA
Boston College is 8-0-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Boston College is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
ARIZONA @ PURDUE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games
Arizona is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Purdue's last 7 games
Purdue is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
TEXAS @ MISSOURI
Texas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Missouri
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas's last 7 games
Missouri is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Missouri is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
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