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Indian Cowboy
**4-UNIT TUESDAY: CAVS/BLAZERS
#501. Take Under 212.5 Portland vs. Cleveland (Tuesday @ 7:05pm est)
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Dr. Bob - NBA
Tuesday, January 2
**NEW YORK (+5) over San Antonio
Rotation #504 – 4:35 pm Pacific
New York is an average team as long as Kristaps Porzingis is playing and the Spurs’ average game rating this season is +1.5 points. The Spurs are an overrated team because the market assumes that they’ll be much better with Kawhi Leonard back, and will probably be true eventually that is not the case now. San Antonio is just 2-4 straight up and 2-4 ATS when Leonard plays and he has a plus-minus of -5 points so far. The Spurs have also been significant worse on the road this season and I eagerly took 5 points with Detroit at home in the Spurs’ most recent game (they lost by 14 to the Pistons). There is similar value in this game. Even if I assume that San Antonio is 4 points better than average, instead of their season rating of +1.5 points, I’d still get Spurs by just 1 point in this game and the Spurs’ recent 12 point home win over the Knicks is a bit misleading given their 45% 3-point shooting and 88% foul shooting in that game. I’ll take New York in a 2-Star Best Bet at +5 points and for 1-Star down to +4 points.
**Charlotte (-4) over SACRAMENTO
Rotation #507 – 7:05 pm Pacific
Charlotte has had a disappointing season so far but the Hornets’ 13-23 record is misleading given that they’ve only been outscored by an average of 2.0 points per game. Sacramento, by contrast, is only one game worse in win-loss record at 12-24 but the Kings have been outscored by an average of 8.7 points per game this season and they are going to be worse than that with Frank Mason injured. Mason has done a really good job leading the second team and the Kings have been outscored by just 1.0 points per 48 minutes in the 539 minutes when Mason has been on the court this season. Early in the season when Mason wasn’t in the rotation the Kings were absolutely horrible and I think that’s likely to be the case again until Mason can return. I favor Charlotte by 7 ½ points in this game and I’ll take Charlotte in a 2-Star Best Bet at -5 points or less.
**L.A. CLIPPERS (-5.5) over Memphis
Rotation #510 – 7:35 pm Pacific
I’ve been riding the Clippers lately, as I have them pegged as an underrated team based on my player-specific ratings. LAC is 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games and the Clippers are clearly a better than average team right now. The Grizzlies have played a little better lately but I still rate Memphis at about 4 points worse than an average team and my ratings favor LAC by 9 points with current rotations. I’ll play the Clippers in a 2-Star Best Bet at -6 points or less.
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HCPicks
NBA
Over Charlotte/Sacramento
Over LA Clippers/Memphis
CBB
Maryland
Bowling Green
Under Kent State/Northern Illinois
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Brandon Lang
20 DIME
COLLEGE BASKETBALL
BANKROLL BUILDER
Arkansas Razorbacks -1.5
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Exodus to Black
47-22 run
NBA
Hawks+2
CBB
Butler+7
Depaul -4
Ind Purd +3
Vandy-2.5
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NFAC Hoops
CBB
Florida 1h Under 67 600
Florida +3 500
JMU 1h over 76 500
Depaul -4 500
NBA
Clippers -6 750
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Root
Inner Circle Butler
Perfect Play Florida
Millionaire Michigan
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JR Tipps
Clev over
aub over
vandy under
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Vegas Killers
1/2/2018
Game: Spurs/Knicks
Pick: Over 200 (-110)
Recommended
Unit Play (Risk)
2.2 Units
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Millionaires club
strong
auburn
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Sports bank
strong
spurs over
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The coach
strong
northwestern
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MAXWELL
regular
wisc green bay -2
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Top consensus
lock
wisc green bay -2.5
strong
northern illinois -2.5
suns -1.5
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