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Thread: Service Plays Sunday 1/7/18

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    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Stephen Nover

    2* Jacksonville -7.5

    1* Jacksonville/ Buffalo under 40.0

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    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    PhillyGodFather

    SAINTS -6 ICYMI

    Pgf
    106 jax jags -8
    3% burial $300

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    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Stephen Nover

    2* Jacksonville-7.5

    1* Jacksonville/ Buffalo under 40.0

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    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    CLIENT SOLUTION SPORTS by David

    Football selections are released through 1/8

    NFL (40-45-7 -10.77)

    1/7
    New Orleans Saints -7 +100 Carolina Panthers (430pm)

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    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    1/7 (released 1/4) Larry
    Jacksonville Jaguars -9 -105 Buffalo Bills (1pm)

    PATRICK- Season Record (17-18-3 -.21)
    1/7 (released 1/4)
    Carolina Panthers +7 New Orleans Saints (430pm)


    Jeff
    1/7 (released 1/4)
    Buffalo Bills/Jacksonville Jaguars OVER 39-105 (1pm)

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    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    SSI Wins Picks for NFL Playoffs
    Risked 5 units to win 4.76*Buffalo Bills +8.5 -105*vs Jacksonville Jaguars
    Risked 5 units to win 4.46*New Orleans Saints -6.5 -112*vs Carolina Panthers

    SSI Wins Parlays Lifestyle
    Bills +9/Saints -6.5 (10 UNITS

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    WHAT DOES ICYMI MEAN...THANKS.

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    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Can'tPickAWinner View Post
    PhillyGodFather

    SAINTS -6 ICYMI

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    106 jax jags -8
    3% burial $300
    PGF
    2 TM 7 POINT TEASER
    Jags -1
    Saints PK

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    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Hank Goldberg in the LVRJ
    KC -8.5. Best Bet
    Atlanta +6
    Carolina +7
    Buffalo +9

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    Randall The Handle
    Titans (9-7) at Chiefs (10-6

    Bills (9-7) at Jaguars (10-6)
    LINE: JACKSONVILLE by 8½
    We’ll cut to the chase here. This is a ridiculous pointspread. The Jaguars are not worthy of this kind of respect. Maybe against the Browns or Colts of the world but not against another playoff team. Yes, their statistics suggest that they are a top defensive team. However, when you play the league’s second easiest schedule (opposition .438 winning percentage) and hail from the crummy AFC South, it’s not difficult to pad those stats. Have you seen the Jags play lately? Better yet, why would you want to? Maybe you wanted to have a peek when they went on a three-game ‘tear’ to start December? If so, let us remind you that those were consecutive home games against the Colts, declining Seahawks (missing five defensive starters) and Texans. Jacksonville didn’t finish as well, now entering these playoffs on a two-game slide. Sure the Bills were fortunate to make these playoffs but let’s not penalize them for that. They won four of final six games with both losses occurring against mighty Patriots. Tyrod Taylor keeps proving that he’s a decent leader. He’s careful with the ball and he’s a proficient runner when he has to be. Would rather have a cautious Taylor than an error-prone Blake Bortles in a game of this magnitude. Buffalo’s defence, particularly it’s secondary, can rattle Bortles who threw 13 picks this season while fumbling nine times. This game is a toss-up, making the bulky pointspread offered an easy take.
    TAKING: BILLS +8½
    Panthers (11-5) at Saints (11-5)
    LINE: NEW ORLEANS by 7
    Perhaps the Saints are the sexier choice here as they have a legendary quarterback who continues to play at a high level and they have already defeated Carolina twice this season. However, the less prolific Panthers offer something that we’re not sure the Saints can match and that would be defence. While Drew Brees can pass the ball, a key element of his team’s success this season has emerged from a strong ground game which features dynamo rookie Alvin Kamara and veteran Mark Ingram. As effective as that tandem is, facing the league’s No. 3 run stoppers will have its challenges. Brees does not possess the downfield threats of yesteryear and that has been evident in New Orleans recently with the star QB throwing for a conservative 10 touchdowns in his past eight games. Obviously, the Saints will score some points and Carolina’s ability to counter with its pop-gun offence is a concern. QB Cam Newton being the team’s leading rusher with 754 yards is an issue as is the Panthers lack of downfield playmakers. However, Newton can be dangerous when roaming free and he can ignite his guys as we saw in wins over New England (33-30) and Minnesota (31-24). Ultimately though, defence will make the difference here and with strong linebacker play and Carolina’s familiarity with this foe, the points offered here are attractive enough to give the visitor the nod. Also note that Cam Newton has covered 8 of 12 as an underdog of 6+ since his second season in the league and that the underdog is 6-1 vs. spread in past seven between these two.
    TAKING: PANTHERS +7

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    Marc Lawrence

    100% ATS Amazing Awesome Angle NFL Playoff Payoff

    Carolina

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    GC: NCAAB

    Sunday card has a rare 6* NFL 100% system side, and a Top totals play, in the NBA the Game of the Week and another NCAAB RPI Scale power play and NHL. Late PAC 12 Play below.

    The NCAAB PAC 12 Play is on USC at 10:00 eastern. The Trojans are ranked 37 in the RPI scale and have played the 14th toughest schedule. They are 5-1 vs teams like Stanford that are ranked between 100 and 200. The Cardinal is ranked 179 and have a 167 SOS. They are 0-3 vs top 50 schools and are 1-6 ats if the total is 150 to 160, 1-4 ats vs teams who average 77 or more, and 3-10 ats after allowing 80 or more. USC has covered 15 of 20 on the road if the total is 150 to 155 and they are 19-2 vs losing teams so we will lay the points here. On Sunday in NFL Action we have a top level highest rated 6* side release backed with an exclusive 100% system. There is also a top play total, the NBA Game of the week and a 5* NHL Play along with another top NCAAB RPI Scale system winner. Message or see us on facebook to jump on. For the NCAAB Free pick. Play on USC. RV- GC Sports

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    Stephen Nover's NFL High Roller Playoff Parlay

    Jaguars -8 -103

    It's a nice story that the Bills finally made the playoffs for the first time since 1999. But, truth be told, the Bills have no business in the postseason. Buffalo was minus 57 in point differential. The Chargers, by contrast, were plus 83 in scoring differential but failed to make the playoffs. If LeSean McCoy doesn't play, the Bills will have the worst set of skill position players I've ever seen for a playoff team. Even if McCoy plays, he will be extremely limited by an ankle injury. It's not a surprise Buffalo ranked 31st in passing. Tyrod Taylor is more runner than thrower. The Bills thought so little of Taylor they benched him for Nathan Peterman in Week 11. Taylor has no decent wide receiving options. If McCoy is a no-go, the Bills' running backs will be plodding third-stringer Mike Tolbert and Marcus Murphy, who was just called up from the practice squad when second-string running back Travaris Cadet was lost for the season with a broken ankle in Week 16. The Jaguars give up the second-fewest points and yards per game in the league. They rank No. 1 in pass defense. I can't see the Bills putting up many points - if any - against the home Jaguars. Blake Bortles had a strong December with the exception of his last game. If you discount that performance on the road against the Titans in Week 17, Bortles had thrown nine touchdowns in his past four games. He has 1,000-yard rusher Leonard Fournette to do the heavy lifting. There's also the Doug Marrone factor. He coached the Bills from 2013-14 and so is extra familiar with Buffalo. Marrone's stay in Buffalo didn't end well so he won't be reluctant to run up a score.


    UNDER 40 -115

    First off, I don't see the Bills scoring many points here - if any. The Bills rank 31st in passing. Their best skill position player is LeSean McCoy and he will be severly hampered by an ankle injury if he even plays. Tyrod Taylor can't attack downfield. He doesn't have the necessary talent to do that, nor does he have the wide receiving weapons. Buffalo has the worst wide receivers in the AFC. If McCoy is ruled out, Taylor's running backs will be overweight, over-the-hill third-stringer Mike Tolbert and practice squad player Marcus Murphy. Making this far worse for the Bills is they are on the road against maybe the premier defense in football. The Jaguars rank No. 2 in fewest yards per game and scoring defense giving up of 16.8 points per game. They led the NFL with 55 sacks and set a franchise-record with 21 interceptions in leading the NFL in pass defense. Defensive lineman Calais Campbell, linebacker Telvin Smith and cornerback Jalen Ramsey rank among the best at their respective positions. Buffalo's strength is a bend-but-don't-break defense. If you discount their games against the powerful Patriots, the Bills held their last four opponents to 12.2 points a game. The Jaguars aren't going to do anything that would jeopardize winning this game such as attacking downfield with erratic Blake Bortles. They are going to play a conservative, field-position game with lots of running plays. The Jaguars have three good running backs. Bortles can be turnover prone and he has inexperienced receivers. Jacksonville coach Doug Marrone is not a moron. He won't take chances attacking downfield. The Jaguars' offensive line isn't outstanding at run blocking. The Jaguars averaged fewer than four yards a carry in five of their last seven games. But the Bills ranked 29th in run defense. So that's where the Jaguars will attack while not risking any Bortles' interceptions. Lots of running eats up lots of clock.



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    Raphael Esparza (VSI)

    7 Unit Play. Take #107 Under 48.5 Carolina at New Orleans (4:30p.m., Sunday January 7)

    The Crescent City will see an outstanding NFC South playoff battle in the Mercedes-Benz Superdome in New Orleans and Sunday night defense will be key for both teams. The New Orleans Saints have already beaten the Panthers twice this year (@Carolina 34-13 & @New Orleans 31-21) and yes I know both meetings went over the total but defense will be key to this game. The Panthers last two games both of them went UNDER the total and the Panthers last 5 road games 3 of them have gone UNDER. The Saints defense at home has been impressive all season long and their last home game the Saints held the Falcons to 13 points and that game stayed under the total. Both Drew Brees and Cam Newton will have key moments in this NFC Wild Card battle on Sunday but again the defense from both sides will make key stops and I would be shocked to see this Wild Card game go over. The Carolina Panthers last 5 division games 4 of them have gone UNDER and the Panthers are also 2-5 O/U following a SU loss.
    Last edited by bmd1803; 01-06-2018 at 11:55 PM.

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    Tony Finn
    BIG TICKET NFL SUN 5% WILD CARD

    Buffalo Bills at Jacksonville Jaguars

    5%
    Total Under 40.0 (-110)

    If there is a case of nerves in the NFL it comes with being a rookie during training camp and in a first playoff setting with the entire world watching. Two teams that have not seen postseason play for over a decade take the field in Jacksonville on Sunday afternoon. The Jaguars make their first postseason appearance since the 2007 while Buffalo hasn't played an important January game since 1999.

    With a healthy McCoy the Bills are the least capable team in the 2018 field. Jacksonville has succeeded and failed this season with old school football and a scheme that is historically reliable in playoff ball, running the football and stopping the run. The Jags were a top-10 DVOA club in 2017. Buffalo was in the bottom-10.

    Once Buffalo lost the health of their top receiver and running back, LeSean McCoy, the offense shutdown and the Bills came close to giving away a 22-3 lead.

    The Bills defense is the one variable that allows Taylor and company to succeed. But the only way the Bills come out of this game a winner on Sunday is a low scoring event in which they stack the box and force Bortles to beat them through the air. This is an issue for the Jags seeing that their best receiver, Lee, isn't healthy and may not play. Additionally, Buffalo has to be willing to sacrifice the health of their best player, McCoy, who was limited in practice this week with an ankle injury.

    You can count on the Jags being nothing short of uber-conservative on Sunday. They square off against a defense, the Bills front seven, that rank dead last versus the run in the second half of this year's regular season slate.

    Buffalo allows an average of 125 yards rushing per game and in the red zone has been porous allowing 22 rushing touchdowns on the year. The Bills, with nothing to lose and everything to gain, will be cheating in the box with the attempt of holding a rookie running back who has hit the first-year wall over the last month. Fournette has back-to-back games of 48 and 69 yards, respectively.

    Without a rushing game the final two weeks, Bortles had to try to win the games with his arm. To his credit, Bortles rallied after throwing three picks against the 49ers to bring the team back to within one score in final two minutes of that game, but faltered heavily last week against the Titans without any support. Get the running game back on track, and let Bortles find the confidence he had in early December.

    The Jags will be a bit more careful when rushing the passer on Sunday. Taylor, does have the feet to beat the "Sacksonville” charge, a unit that led the NFL with 55 sacks. The Bills, however, don't have a receiving corps that gain separation from the opposing secondary. The Jags also led the league with 21 interceptions. Taylor is, all things being equal, a run-first quarterback. He faces a defensive secondary that has allowed only six opposing wide outs to surpass 60-yards in a single game this season. Without a healthy McCoy and backup Travaris Cadet (out for the season to a broken ankle) depending on Mike Tolbert in an offensive scheme with no game-breaking wide outs, against the best defense in the league, makes the Bills desperately dependent on being defensive minded winning the field position battle in this contest.

    The Bills come into this Wild Card matchup a ridiculously poor, for a playoff team, a minus 57 in point differential. Like the Bills there is nothing special about the Jags offense. They won't put the game on the line with a pass-first scheme and in truth their offensive line is, pedestrian, at best. The bottom line truth is that Jacksonville's O-line became predictable and their formations became an open book for opposing defensive coordinators in the second half of the season. The Jags rushed for less than four yards a carry in five of its last seven games.

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    The Prez

    ****Buffalo Bills at Jacksonville Jaguar

    4%
    Buffalo Bills 8.5 (-100)

    In a game that figures to be defensive receiving a touchdown-plus offers solid value. Neither of these two teams have players that are postseason experienced to any significant degree and the Jags are being overvalued by the oddsmakers based on a regular season that saw the defense standout. Note that the AFC South is anything but a division that is strong on the offensive side of the ball.
    A big part of the Jags success, and defensive numbers, came against Houston, Indianapolis and Tennessee. Not one of the aforementioned trio of teams had a good offensive campaign and only Tennessee sports an NFL starting talent at quarterback. And in truth Mariota didn't have a strong season.
    In the eight games against AFC South this season the Jags gave up an average of 9.5 points.
    The Bills want you to believe that there is a question mark about the playing status of Shady McCoy but Tyrod Taylor will have his running back active and ready for Sunday's contest at EverBank Field.



    ***Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints

    3% Under 49.0 (-110)

    The Saints double-dipped this season winning both of their divisional battles with the Panthers. And while time and time again you will hear analysts scream that it is difficult to defeat a divinely opponent three times in a single season the historic results prove otherwise. The feat has been accomplished a lucky thirteen times in 20 games over the last 47 years.

    And in those matchups when league foes meet for the third time it more defensive than offensive and history repeats itself on Sunday afternoon under the SuperDome roof in the Big East.
    The Under has cashed at a 4-1 clip in the Panthers last five games against NFC South foes.

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    Goodfella

    "NFL Wild Card GOY"
    3* on NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -6(-120)

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    Wild Card Weekend ...

    Trends / Sportsbook needs / Bettiing %'s / Breakdowns / Market updates



    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...d-Betting-Info

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    Marc Lawrence

    NFL- Carolina + 7


    nfl wild card goy
    Jacksonville

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