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Thread: Monday 1-15-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

  1. #41
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    Illinois vs. Nebraska Preview and Predictions

    By Gracenote for Scores and Stats
    by Gracenote on 01/14/2018

    Nebraska will look to bounce back from a tough overtime loss on Friday when it hosts Illinois in a Big Ten Conference contest Monday. The Cornhuskers fell by two at Penn State to drop to .500 in league play, while the Illini are looking for their first conference victory after five losses.

    Illinois is coming off its own excruciating loss, blowing a 20-point lead against Iowa before falling in overtime at home on Thursday. Freshman guard Trent Frazier (10.6 points) is the second-leading scorer on the Illini for the season but he's coming off a career-high 27-point effort against Iowa and has averaged 16.5 points over the last eight games. Junior guard James Palmer Jr. leads Nebraska in scoring at 15.2 points a game, though he's coming off a season-worst five-point effort in the loss to Penn State, going 1-of-9 from the field. The Cornhuskers also have junior forward Isaac Copeland (12.8 points, team-high 6.5 rebounds) and junior guard Glynn Watson Jr. (12.1 points, team-high 3.3 assists) to rely on if Palmer's slump continues.

    TV: 9 p.m. ET, Big Ten Network

    ABOUT ILLINOIS (10-8, 0-5 Big Ten): Illinois coach Brad Underwood has been getting some good contributions from his freshman class, and he's hoping for more as forward Matic Vesel has been improving in practice and may find some more time in games in the future. The 6-foot-10 Slovenian has played in just six games this season, failing to get off the bench in 10 of the last 12 contests, but his height would certainly help against some of the deeper front lines in the Big Ten. Still, Underwood may not be inclined to use Vesel until the team's postseason fate is clearer simply because fellow forwards Greg Eboigbodin and Kipper Nichols are in front of Vesel in terms of needing minutes off the pine.

    ABOUT NEBRASKA (12-7, 3-3): As Nebraska coach Tim Miles tries to get his team more consistent in its play to move up the Big Ten standings, he has to deal with a fluctuating lineup thanks to the absence of starting center Jordy Tshimanga. Tshimanga, who started the first 18 games of the season, has reportedly asked Miles for a scholarship release so he can transfer and didn't make the trip to Penn State or attend the team's practice on Saturday. The 6-foot-11 sophomore is averaging 3.5 points and 5.1 rebounds and was replaced in the starting lineup by senior Duby Okeke, who played just 12 minutes and had no points or rebounds against the Nittany Lions.

    TIP-INS

    1. Illinois made a season-high 14 3-pointers on 46.7 percent shooting from beyond the arc against Iowa, compared to the 24.7 shooting it had in its first four Big Ten contests.

    2. Nebraska sophomore F Isaiah Roby had a career-high 12 points off the bench in the loss to Penn State.

    3. The Cornhuskers have held their last six opponents to a combined .390 field-goal percentage and 65.7 points per game.

    PREDICTION: Nebraska 80, Illinois 72

  2. #42
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    Oklahoma State vs. Baylor Preview and Predictions

    By Gracenote for Scores and Stats
    by Gracenote on 01/14/2018

    Oklahoma State's roller-coaster week began with head coach Mike Boynton calling his team "gutless" in a loss at Kansas State. The Cowboys responded by rallying for a unlikely home win over Texas to move into a three-way tie for fifth place in the Big 12 Conference and they now move on to Monday night's road game at slumping Baylor.

    Oklahoma State is 0-2 in true road games this season and Wednesday night's 86-82 loss at Kansas State could very well prove to be a turning point for the Cowboys after Boynton called out his team's mettle. The Cowboys' season appeared to be on verge of collapse on Saturday against visiting Texas which led virtually the entire game, including 62-50 with just six minutes to go. But Oklahoma State closed the game out with a 15-2 run and pulled it out on a tip-in by junior swingman Tavarius Shine -- the third shot and of the possession -- with six seconds remaining. "I'm really proud of our fight," Boynton said. "That's what I was talking about the last couple of days. I think my word choice kind of went a different route than what it should be, and that's on me. I have to be smarter than that, but at the same time, my kids got the message and I knew they would because they're good kids. They know I love them, care about them and I'm proud of the way they fought today."

    TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPNU

    ABOUT OKLAHOMA STATE (12-5, 2-3 Big 12): Senior swingman Jeffrey Carroll, a member of the preseason All-Big 12 squad, fueled the late comeback against the Longhorns with five of his team-high 17 points and leads the team in scoring (16.3 points per game) and is second in rebounds (6.3). Shine, a 6-6 junior guard, scored the final four points for the Cowboys and is second in scoring (11.4) to go along with 4.1 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game. Guard Kendall Smith, a grad transfer from Cal State Northridge who began his career at UNLV, also is averaging in double figures (10.7) while 7-foot senior forward Mitchell Solomon leads the team in rebounds (6.6) and to go along with 8.9 points and 1.2 blocks per game.

    ABOUT BAYLOR (11-6, 1-4): After a 10-2 start that saw them climb as high as 17th in the national rankings, the Bears have dropped four of their last five including back-to-back losses at No. 2 West Virginia (57-54) and Saturday at Iowa State (75-65). Baylor, perhaps experiencing a little bit of a hangover after almost pulling the upset over the Mountaineers four days earlier, shot just 34.3 percent in the loss to the Cyclones and are a shooting a conference-worst 39.7 percent from the floor in league play, including just 19-of-75 (25.3 percent) from 3-point range. Senior point guard Manu Lecomte leads the team in scoring (16.1) with 7-foot senior Jo Lual-Acuil Jr. (15.6) and junior guard King McClure (10.2) also averaging in double figures and Lual-Acuil also pulling down a team-best 9.6 rebounds per game.

    TIP-INS

    1. Oklahoma State leads the Big 12 and ranks eighth nationally in free throw shooting percentage (78.3).

    2. Baylor 6-9 freshman F Tristan Clark had 16 points and a career-high 15 rebounds in the Iowa State loss, his second double-double of the season.

    3. Baylor leads the Big 12 in rebound margin at plus-7.7.

    PREDICTION: Baylor 66, Oklahoma State 63

  3. #43
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    Dunkel

    Monday, January 15


    Dallas @ Boston

    Game 51-52
    January 15, 2018 @ 1:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Dallas
    11.245
    Boston
    13.712
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Boston
    by 2 1/2
    4
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston
    -150
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Boston
    (-150); Under

    Anaheim @ Colorado


    Game 53-54
    January 15, 2018 @ 3:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Anaheim
    12.209
    Colorado
    10.313
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Anaheim
    by 2
    4
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Anaheim
    -115
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Anaheim
    (-115); Under

    San Jose @ Los Angeles


    Game 55-56
    January 15, 2018 @ 4:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    San Jose
    10.429
    Los Angeles
    12.036
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Los Angeles
    by 1 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Los Angeles
    -135
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Los Angeles
    (-135); Over

    NY Islanders @ Montreal


    Game 57-58
    January 15, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    NY Islanders
    10.214
    Montreal
    11.743
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Montreal
    by 1 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Montreal
    -125
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Montreal
    (-125); Over

  4. #44
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    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Monday, January 15


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DALLAS (24-17-0-3, 51 pts.) at BOSTON (24-10-0-7, 55 pts.) - 1/15/2018, 1:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DALLAS is 10-30 ATS (+41.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
    DALLAS is 10-18 ATS (-12.9 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.
    DALLAS is 4-15 ATS (-11.3 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
    DALLAS is 42-21 ATS (+16.3 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
    DALLAS is 210-142 ATS (+35.3 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
    DALLAS is 205-221 ATS (+470.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
    BOSTON is 23-25 ATS (-18.8 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
    BOSTON is 16-23 ATS (-25.4 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
    BOSTON is 99-102 ATS (-58.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
    BOSTON is 25-34 ATS (-22.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON is 3-1 (+1.7 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    BOSTON is 3-1-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.9 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ANAHEIM (20-15-0-9, 49 pts.) at COLORADO (23-16-0-3, 49 pts.) - 1/15/2018, 3:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    COLORADO is 23-19 ATS (+42.0 Units) in all games this season.
    COLORADO is 7-1 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
    ANAHEIM is 533-427 ATS (+38.5 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
    ANAHEIM is 39-26 ATS (+8.2 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    ANAHEIM is 131-127 ATS (+275.7 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
    ANAHEIM is 428-432 ATS (+887.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
    ANAHEIM is 35-21 ATS (+12.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    COLORADO is 3-4 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
    ANAHEIM is 4-3-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.2 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SAN JOSE (22-13-0-6, 50 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (24-14-0-5, 53 pts.) - 1/15/2018, 4:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LOS ANGELES is 13-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
    SAN JOSE is 211-219 ATS (+469.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
    LOS ANGELES is 65-77 ATS (-47.3 Units) in home games in January games since 1996.
    LOS ANGELES is 22-27 ATS (-17.8 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    LOS ANGELES is 17-26 ATS (-22.7 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    LOS ANGELES is 2-7 ATS (-8.2 Units) in home games after a division game this season.
    LOS ANGELES is 4-13 ATS (-14.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN JOSE is 12-6 (+6.9 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
    SAN JOSE is 12-6-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.4 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NY ISLANDERS (22-18-0-4, 48 pts.) at MONTREAL (18-20-0-5, 41 pts.) - 1/15/2018, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NY ISLANDERS are 10-3 ATS (+6.5 Units) after a division game this season.
    MONTREAL is 18-25 ATS (+18.0 Units) in all games this season.
    MONTREAL is 19-25 ATS (-8.5 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MONTREAL is 4-2 (+1.1 Units) against the spread versus NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
    MONTREAL is 4-2-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.4 Units)

  5. #45
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    Monday, January 15


    Boston won five of last seven games with Dallas; road team won seven of last eight series games. Stars won three of last four games in Beantown. Dallas Stars won six of their last nine games; they lost their last three road games. Six of last eight Dallas games went over total. Bruins won eight of their last ten games; they won last four home games, outscoring foes 17-4. Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Boston games.

    Ducks won four of last five games with Colorado; they’re 3-2 in last five visits to Denver. Under is 6-3-1 in last ten series games. Anaheim won six of last nine games overall, four of last six on road; six of Ducks’ last eight games stayed under the total. Avalanche won their last six games, outscoring foes 26-9; Colorado won its last five home games. Three of their last four games stayed under the total.

    Sharks won seven of their last ten games with Los Angeles; they won four of last five games in Staples Center. Under is 3-0-2 in last five series games. Sharks lost three of last four games overall, five of last six road games. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games. Kings lost five of their last seven games overall, three in row at home. Four of last five Lo Angeles games went over the total.

    Islanders won last two games with Montreal, after losing previous seven series games; under is 4-2-1 in last seven series games. New York lost three of last four games in this building. Islanders won their last two games 5-4/7-2, after losing previous five games; they lost three of last four road tilts. Canadiens lost six of last eight games overall; they split last four home tilts. Under is 7-2 in last nine Montreal games.

  6. #46
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    Monday, January 15


    Trend Report

    DALLAS @ BOSTON
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Boston
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 8 games
    Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Boston is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games

    ANAHEIM @ COLORADO
    Anaheim is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Anaheim is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

    SAN JOSE @ LOS ANGELES
    San Jose is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
    San Jose is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Los Angeles's last 13 games at home

    NY ISLANDERS @ MONTREAL
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Islanders's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of NY Islanders's last 14 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Montreal's last 9 games
    Montreal is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing NY Islanders

  7. #47
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    NHL Betting Cheat Sheet and Odds: An Avalanche of goals piling up in Denver
    Monty Andrews

    The Avalanche have played themselves into the periphery of the Western Conference playoff race thanks in large part to an electrifying offense that has produced 26 goals over its previous six games.

    An Avalanche of Goals

    The goals are piling up in the Mile High City as the Colorado Avalanche look to extend their winning streak to seven games Monday afternoon against the visiting Anaheim Ducks. The Avalanche have played themselves into the periphery of the Western Conference playoff race thanks in large part to an electrifying offense that has produced 26 goals over its previous six games. But Colorado still has plenty of work to do, sitting at the bottom of the Central Division despite riding the longest active winning streak in the league. The Ducks have also been playing some solid hockey, going 6-2-1 in their last nine games.

    Vengeance vs. Vegas?

    More than a few teams would like to gain their revenge on the Western Conference-leading Vegas Golden Knights - and the defending conference-champion Nashville Predators get next crack as the two teams do battle Tuesday night at Bridgestone Arena. The Predators are holding down second place in the incredibly competitive Central Division, three points back of the Winnipeg Jets. And they'd love nothing more than to improve their 13-4-2 home mark against a Golden Knights team that blanked them 3-0 in their previous encounter Jan. 2. Vegas has points in 16 of its last 17 games dating back to the beginning of December.

    Original Six Rematch

    The next chapter in one of the NHL's most storied rivalries goes Wednesday night at the Bell Centre as the Montreal Canadiens duel with the host Boston Bruins. The Canadiens hit the road for the first time in 2018 - and they'll be looking to make up for a lackluster showing in their last trek away from Montreal, when they went 2-5-0 while scoring fewer than two goal in all five of their losses. They also have revenge on their minds after dropping a 4-3 shootout decision to the Bruins on Saturday night - and if they don't atone Wednesday, they'll get another crack at the Bruins when they meet again this Saturday in Montreal.

    Injury Updates

    * The Lightning - and their fans - are regrouping after learning that defenseman Victor Hedman will miss the next three-to-six weeks with a knee injury. That timetable will prevent Hedman from playing in front of the home crowd at the All-Star Game.

    * Jaromir Jagr's NHL career might be winding down. The 45-year-old has been placed on injured reserve by the Calgary Flames with a groin injury; Jagr has just one goal and six assists in 22 games, with the Flames going 5-1-0 SU when Jagr records a point.

    * The Avalanche will be without the services of netminder Semyon Varlamov for another two weeks as he continues to recover from a groin ailment. But Colorado hasn't missed a beat with Jonathan Bernier in goal, winning each of his previous five starts.

    Player News

    * There's a new name atop the rookie scoring table, after New York Islanders forward Matthew Barzal roasted the rival Rangers for five points in a 7-2 victory. That puts Barzal at 44 points through 44 games, ranking inside the top 20 among league scorers.

    * The Penguins' legendary 1-2 center duo has been lighting up the scoreboard in recent games. Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin have combined for 21 points through six games in January - a major reason why Pittsburgh is 5-1-0 SU so far this month.

    * Oliver Ekman-Larsson's nightmare season continues. The star defenseman carries a minus-8 rating through the first four games of January, and is already an incredible minus-40 on the season - far and away the worst rating in the league.

    Stanley Cup Futures

    * The defending Stanley Cup finalists still have decent odds of a repeat appearance in the NHL championship. The Predators are installed at +1,300 on Bet365 - the fifth-best odds in the league - while the Penguins aren't far back at +2,200.

    * The Islanders' recent tailspin has driven their Stanley Cup odds down to true longshot range. The Isles are now +2,500 to win their first championship since 1983; only five Eastern Conference teams have worse odds.

    Over/Under Trends

    * Losing their defensive anchor in Hedman might make the Lightning a target for over bettors. Tampa Bay has already been one of the stronger over plays this season, going 26-18 O/U so far - including 15 overs through its first 22 home games.

    * St. Louis spent the majority of the season as a top-flight under option - but recent lapses in defense and goaltending might have bettors thinking otherwise. The Blues come into the week having played three straight overs, allowing 17 goals in that span.

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