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Thread: Service Plays Saturday 1/13/18

  1. #61
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    Saturday 13th of January 2018 10:41:15 AM CST

    New - Allen Eastman's Picks For College Basketball

    3-Unit Play. Take #558 Drake (-2) over Evansville (5 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 13)
    This Drake teams already has a few solid wins on their resume. The Bulldogs have taken down both Southern Illinois and Wake Forest. This Drake team has a ton of experience and it will be crucial in this game. Evansville has not had success versus Drake lately as they are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 meetings and 1-7 ATS in their last eight trips to Drake. Take the home team here as they are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games versus teams with winning percentages of .600 or better.

    3-Unit Play. Take #635 Wichita (-12) over Tulsa (7:30 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 13)
    This Wichita State team hasn't been tested much in conference and tonight won't be much different. The Shockers have won 10-straight road games and most of them have been a breeze, including their most recent effort (a 45-point win over ECU). Many teams will let down a bit after a lopsided win, but not Wichita State as they are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a 20+ point win in their previous contest. Lay this big number as the Shockers continue to roll on the road.

    3-Unit Play. Take #526 Minnesota (+8.5) over Purdue (noon, Saturday, Jan. 13)
    This game will be closer than people think. Minnesota is going to play the Boilermakers tough this afternoon. This early tip is going to pay dividends to the Golden Gophers. The underdog has typically been the play in this series as they have had a lot of success at the betting window. Take the points here as the underdog has gone 15-5-1 ATS in the last 21 meetings between the two teams. Purdue wins, but Minnesota covers 74-69.
    Allen Eastman

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    Strike Point Sports

    Saturday's College Basketball Plays

    3-Unit Play. #679 Take Weber State (-2) over North Dakota (3 p.m., Saturday, January 13)
    Weber State got a good road win last time out at Northern Colorado, and they get another one here. Six of their last seven wins overall for Weber while North Dakota is going the other way with eight out of nine losses. Six of those losses haven't been close, so take the road favorite to cash here.

    3-Unit Play. #578 Take Wyoming (-7) over Colorado State (4 p.m., Saturday, January 13)
    Five of Wyoming's seven losses have come away from Laramie, but the Cowboys have earned two very good wins their last two home games over San Diego State and Boise State. Colorado State isn't a good team this year. CSU is 9-9 and already have seven losses away from home by 10+ points, and here is another against Wyoming. Another good win for the home team. Lay the points with them over the Rams.

    3-Unit Play. #582 Take William Mary (-2) over Towson (4 p.m., Saturday, January 13)
    As I've said before, if it ain't broke, don't fix it. William Mary are a perfect 5-0 in CAA play and don't show any signs of slowing down. Towson has lost four straight road games. The Tribe are one of the best offensive teams in the country, and I'm quite content backing them at home until they prove otherwise. Tribe continue their successful push in league play.

    3-Unit Play. Take Delaware/James Madison 'Over' 141 (4 p.m., Saturday, January 13)
    Here's an under the radar play that is pretty indicative of the way both are playing. Delware has either scored or allowed 90 or more in three of their last four. James Madison has allowed 80 or more in five straight. This one will be played into the high 70s and low 80s. This totals number would have been cleared in ten of the previous 11 results for the Dukes. Play the 'over' between these two CAA teams.

    4-Unit Play. #587 Take Kentucky (-2) over Vanderbilt (4 p.m., Saturday, January 13)
    This young Wildcats team has been slowly coming along all year. And I think they are ready to hit their stride. UK has three losses on the year to teams with a combined 37-11 record. Vanderbilt has ten losses to themself. And one major advantage Kentucky has here is their athletes and length. Vandy is 1-10 against teams in the RPI Top 100. They haven't faired well against better competiton this season. Kentucky ranks fifth in that ranking, and in Nashville its more of the same with a UK win by eight.

    3-Unit Play. #558 Take Drake (-2) over Evansville (5 p.m., Saturday, January 13)
    The Bulldogs have been much improved from a season ago with ten wins to this point in the season compared to just seven all of last year. After a 4-0 start in MVC play, Drake dropped their first league game at Valpo earlier in the week. Good bounce back spot for them at home we they are 6-0 and have won five of these gams by double digits. Evansville is 1-4 on the road this year and three games they failed to even score 60 points. Lay the modest number with the home Bulldogs.

    3-Unit Play. #620 Take Charlotte (+13.5) over Western Kentucky (7 p.m., Saturday, January 13)
    The 49ers are just 5-10, but Thursday was their first home game in more than a month. And while WKU have been playing great, this is a look ahead spot for them. Charlotte does a good enough job scoring the ball to make me confident they can cover this number on their own floor. Let's go with the home underdog here and look for a closer game than oddsmakers are projecting.

    2-Unit Play. #626 Take Fresno State (-8.5) over New Mexico (7 p.m., Saturday, January 13)
    New Mexico has lost all seven games this year away from their comfy home digs, and Fresno State has a strong enough team to make this one a lopsided affair. The Bulldogs have five players averaging double figure points, while the Lobos are potentially missing their top scorer tonight. Even if Sam Longwood does play, New Mexico doesn't have enough in the stables to stay within ten of Fresno at home.

    3-Unit Play. #656 Take UC Fullerton (Pk) over UC Davis (9 p.m., Saturday, January 13)
    This line is short. Fullerton has had a wave of success this season and its clear oddsmakers haven't adjusted with the winning ways of this Titans team. UC Davis hasn't faired that well in road games, 4-4 this year. And in this match-up, the home team has had all the success in recent years, winning six straight and eight of the past nine between these two. The favorite is also 4-0-1 ATS in the last five in this series. Fullerton has gone 8-2 ATS in their last ten home games and are 6-1 ATS in their last seven lined games. The home team keeps up its winning ways betwen these two Californian programs. Fullerton over Davis.

    7-Unit Play. #715 Take Montana State (-1) over Sacramento State (10:05 p.m., Saturday, January 13)
    There is no two ways about it, this is a lopsided match-up in favor of Montana State. And coming off their first Big Sky loss of the season, this play makes even more sense. The Bobcats were expected to be one of the league's top teams with all five starters returning, and so far they really haven't disappointed. The Big Sky's top player Tyler Hall continues to perform on an A level, while Sacramento State, already a poor team to begin with, is even worse minus their best playmaker Marcus Graves. It shows with with 4-13 record and losers of their last three conference games. Montana State won both games last year, and this season there is an even bigger talent gap between these two, and that's why they are going in opposite directions this year. Sacramento State ranks 324th in the country in scoring at 65.9 per game, have an RPI of 298 and is just 1-4 ATS at home this year. There is no home court edge here. The Bobcats have been averaging 81.8 points since conference play started, while Sac State haven't scored more than 80 points in each of their last eight games. The better team is Montana State and we're not going to overthink this one or look past the obvious. The Bobcats have more true road wins than Sacramento State even has D-I victories. Minus the small number its the road Bobcats that takes this one comfortably by 14 as the favorite.

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    Alan Harris

    2 Unit Play. Take #517/518 Wake Forest vs Duke Over 164 (12:00 PM, Saturday, January 13, ESPN)
    Two teams that have been trending to the over will meet when the Wake Forest Demon Deacons hit the road to take on the Duke Blue Devils at Cameron Indoor Stadium in Durham, NC on Saturday afternoon. Wake has posted a 9-3 record to the over in their last twelve road games where they faced a team with a home winning % of .600 or higher and they have gone an excellent 17-4 to the over in their last 21 ACC games. Duke has been an over team as well in the spot they are in here tonight as they have gone up and over the total in six straight games following a straight up win by 20 points or more and they are a lights out 7-1 to the over in their last eight home games. Throw in the fact that the Demon Deacons are 9-4 to the over in their last thirteen off an ATS loss while Duke is 7-2 to the over in their last nine conference games and that's where we'll have our play as we expect both teams to run and gun for the full 40 minutes in Durham on Saturday afternoon.

    4 Unit Play. Take #531/532 TCU vs Oklahoma Over 174 (1:00 PM, Saturday, January 13, ESPN U)

    Two teams that have been trending to the over will meet when the TCU Horned Frogs hit the road to take on the Oklahoma Sooners at the Lloyd Noble Center in Norman, OK on Saturday afternoon. TCU has posted a perfect 4-0 record to the over in their last four games where they faced a team with a winning % of .600 or higher and they are also a perfect 5-0 to the over in their last five games played on a Saturday for whatever reason. They have also gone up and over the number in six of their last seven road games and they are 7-0 to the over in their last seven Big 12 contests. The Sooners have been an over team as well in the spot they are in here today as they have gone an impressive 7-2 to the over in their last nine home games and they have that same 7-2 record to the over in their last nine games versus a team with a winning % of .600 or higher. Throw in the fact that the Sooners are 19-7 to the over off a straight up win while the Horned Frogs are 20-8 to the over in their last 28 overall going back to the middle of last season and that's where we'll have our play as we expect both teams to push the pace in Norman on Saturday afternoon.

    3 Unit Play. Take #538 Georgia -4.5 over South Carolina (1:00 PM, Saturday, January 13, SEC Network)

    The Georgia Bulldogs will look to bounce back from their loss to Missouri on Wednesday night when they take on the South Carolina Gamecocks at the Stegeman Coliseum in Athens, GA on Saturday afternoon. The Bulldogs have posted a perfect 4-0 ATS record in their last four home games and they have gone an excellent 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up loss going back to the 2016/17 season. The Gamecocks, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here today as they have gone an awful 0-4-1 ATS in their last five road games and they have failed to cover the number in twelve of their last fifteen SEC games. Throw in the fact that Georgia has gone 13-3 ATS in their last sixteen home games against South Carolina and 22-5 ATS in the last 27 meetings between the two schools overall and we're going to lay the points with them here to get the home win and cover in Athens on Saturday afternoon.

    1 Unit Play. Take #553 Georgia Tech -5.5 over Pittsburgh (2:00 PM, Saturday, January 13, ESPN Extra)

    Georgia Tech has posted a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last four games where they faced a team with a losing record and they have gone an excellent 19-7 ATS in their last 26 ACC games going back to the 2016/17 season. The Panthers, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here today as they have gone just 3-7 ATS in their last ten games following a straight up loss and they have failed to cover the number in eight of their last nine ACC games. Throw in the fact that Tech is a perfect 6-0 ATS in the last six head to head meetings between the two schools and we're going to lay the points with them here to get the road win and cover in Pittsburgh on Saturday afternoon.

    3 Unit Play. Take #573/574 Virginia Tech vs Louisville Over 148 (4:00 PM, Saturday, January 13, ESPN 2)

    Two teams that have been trending to the over will meet when the Virginia Tech Hokies hit the road to take on the Louisville Cardinals at the KFC Yum Center in Louisville, KY on Saturday afternoon. The Hokies have posted a 5-2 record to the over in their last seven road games and they have that same 5-2 record to the over in their last seven road games versus a team with a winning record at home. The Cardinals have been an over team as well in the spot they are in here today as they have gone up and over the total in four of their last five games following a straight up win and they are an impressive 7-2 to the over in their last nine games following a game where they covered the spread. Throw in the fact that Tech is 10-4 to the over in their last fourteen games overall while the Cardinals are 9-4 to the over in their last thirteen ACC games and that's where we'll have our play as we expect both teams to push the pace and take a bunch of three pointers in Louisville on Saturday afternoon.

    7 Unit Play. Take #577/578 Colorado St vs Wyoming Over 148.5 (4:00 PM, Saturday, January 13, CBS Sports Network)

    Two teams that have been trending to the over will meet when the Colorado St Rams hit the road to take on the Wyoming Cowboys at the Arena-Auditorium in Laramie, WY on Saturday afternoon. The Rams have posted a perfect 8-0 record to the over in their last eight road games where they faced a team with a winning record at home and they have gone an excellent 6-1 to the over in their last seven Mountain West Conference games. They have also gone up and over the number in nine of their last eleven games following a straight up win and they are an impressive 20-7 to the over in their last 27 games following a game where they covered the number going back to the 2016/17 season. The Cowboys have been an over team as well in the spot they are in here today as they have gone 40-17 to the over in their last 57 games following a straight up loss and they are a lights out 45-20 to the over in their last 65 conference games. They have also gone over the number in six of their last seven games overall and they are 49-23 to over in their last 72 home games. Throw in the fact that these two teams have gone a perfect 4-0 to the over in their last four head to head meetings and that's where we'll have our play as we expect both teams to try and push the pace a bit in Laramie on Saturday afternoon.

    1 Unit Play. Take #608 Arkansas -4.5 over Missouri (6:00 PM, Saturday, January 13, ESPN 2)

    The Razorbacks have posted a 5-2 ATS record in their last seven games following a straight up loss and they have gone an excellent 13-5 ATS in their last eighteen games following a game where they failed to cover the spread. The Tigers, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here tonight as they have gone just 2-5 ATS in their last seven games versus a team with a winning % of .600 or higher and they have failed to cover the number in five of their last six games following a straight up win. Throw in the fact that Arkansas is 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games and that we expect them to bounce back in a big way after their blowout loss to LSU and we're going to lay the points with them here to get the home win and cover in Fayetteville on Saturday night.

    1 Unit Play. Take #640 Nevada -13.5 over Utah St (8:00 PM, Saturday, January 13, ESPN 3)

    Nevada has posted a 10-3 ATS record in their last thirteen Mountain West Conference games and they have gone an excellent 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games following an ATS loss. They have also gone a lights out 30-11-1 ATS in their last 42 home games and they are an impressive 38-18-2 ATS in their last 58 games overall. The Aggies, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here tonight as they have failed to cover the number in thirteen of their last nineteen road games. Throw in the fact that the Wolfpack are 4-1 ATS in the last five head to head meetings between the two schools and we're laying the points with them here to get the blowout home win in Reno on Saturday night.

    2 Unit Play. Take #641 Villanova -11.5 over St John's (8:00 PM, Saturday, January 13)

    The Villanova Wildcats will look for their third win in a row after losing their only game of the season to Butler when they take on the St John's Red Storm at Madison Square Garden in New York, NY on Saturday night. The Wildcats have posted a 7-1 ATS record in their last eight road games where they faced a team with a home winning % of .600 or higher and they have gone an excellent 9-3 ATS in their last twelve games overall. The Red Storm, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here tonight as they have gone just 5-11 ATS in their last sixteen games where they faced a team with a winning record and they have failed to cover the number in each of their last four home games. Throw in the fact that Nova is 11-5 ATS in the last sixteen head to head meetings between the two schools and we're going to lay the points with them here to get the road win and cover in New York on Saturday night.

    1 Unit Play. Take #659/660 Gonzaga vs San Francisco Over 142 (9:30 PM, Saturday, January 13, ESPN U)

    Gonzaga has posted a 7-3 record to the over in their last ten games following a straight up win and they have gone an excellent 9-4 to the over in their last thirteen games overall. The Dons have been an over team as well in the spot they are in here tonight as they have gone up and over the number in six of their last seven games versus a team with a winning % of .500 or higher and they are an impressive 5-2 to the over in their last seven West Coast Conference games. Throw in the fact that these two teams have gone 6-1 to the over in their last seven head to head meetings and that's where we'll have our play as we expect both teams to push the pace a bit in San Francisco on Saturday night.

    4 Unit Play. Take #668 Boise St -3 over San Diego St (10:00 PM, Saturday, January 13, ESPN 2)

    The Boise St Broncos will look for their fifth win in their last six games when they take on the San Diego St Aztecs at the Taco Bell Arena in Boise, ID on Saturday night. The Broncos have posted a 4-1 ATS record in their last four Mountain West Conference games and they have gone an excellent 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS win. They are also 4-1 ATS in their last five games played on a Saturday for whatever reason and they have that same 4-1 ATS record in their last five games overall. The Aztecs, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here tonight as they have failed to cover the number in six of their last eight games following a game where they allowed 50 points or less and they are an awful 4-9-2 ATS in their last fifteen road games where they faced a team with a home winning % of .600 or higher. Throw in the fact that the Broncos have gone a lights out 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games and we're going to lay the points with them here to get the home win and cover in Boise on Saturday night.

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    2:00 PM EST NCAAB

    CREIGHTON VS. XAVIER

    PICK: XAVIER -3.5 (-110)

    RISK: 11 UNITS

    4:35 PM EST NFL
    ATLANTA FALCONS VS. PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

    PICK: PHILADELPHIA EAGLES +3 (-120)

    RISK: 11 UNITS

    7:38 PM EST NBA
    GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS VS. TORONTO RAPTORS

    PICK: TORONTO RAPTORS +4.5 (-110)

    RISK: 11 UNITS

    8:15 PM EST NFL
    TENNESSEE TITANS VS. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS

    PICK: NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -13 (-115)

    RISK: 11 UNITS

    8:38 PM EST NBA
    DENVER NUGGETS VS. SAN ANTONIO SPURS

    PICK: SAN ANTONIO SPURS -7 (-110)

    RISK: 11 UNITS








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    JACK JONES

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    Saturday, Jan. 13

    NFL

    (3% play) OVER 48 (Titans/Patriots) - 8:15 pm ET (CBS) #303

    -Tennessee has scored 20 points or more in 7 of their last 10 games; need to score points here
    -offense averages 4.3 yards per rush; they’ll face a defense that allows 4.8 yards per rush at home
    -Titans' defense gives up 23.6 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average just 21.2 ppg

    -New England has scored 21 points or more in every home game this season; more of the same
    -offense is averaging 29.4 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow just 22.3 ppg overall
    -Patriots' defense gives up 6.3 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play

    Play OVER as a 3% play.

    -------------------

    Sunday, Jan. 14

    NFL

    (3% play) NEW ORLEANS +5 (at Minnesota) - 4:40 pm ET (FOX) #307

    -New Orleans is a terrific team inside the dome; big benefit playing inside a road dome here
    -offense is averaging 28.2 points per game vs. defenses that only allow 21.6 points per game
    -Saints' defense gives up just 18.2 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 22.0 ppg

    -Minnesota beat New Orleans 29-19 in Week 1, but Saints were just 20% (1-for-5) in the red zone
    -Vikings' offense only averages 5.5 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.5 yards per play
    -Minnesota defense has faced terrible offenses that only average 22 points per game; big step-up now

    Play SAINTS (+) as a 3% play.

    -------------------

    (6-point Teaser opinion)

    (2% Teaser opinion) EAGLES +9 / STEELERS -1

    NOTE: This is a 6-point Teaser recommendation only. I have no opinion on either game at the regular lines, but a 6-point Teaser presents value because it crosses all the key margins 3, 4, 6, 7 in each game.

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