Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!
NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football
College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football
Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball
College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball
NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball
NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey
Fezzik
3* NFl playoff GOY
Minnesota ml
Goodfella
3* NFL Minn -3 -145
Warren Sharp
Minnesota money line -210
Tony Finn
PLAY: Total UNDER 41.5 (good to 41)
5% rating (305) Jacksonville Jaguars at (306) Pittsburgh Steelers
SSI Wins Picks for the week in nfl
Risked 5 units to win 4.17*Jacksonville Jaguars +7.5 -120*vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Risked 5 units to win 4.76*New Orleans Saints +4.5 -105*vs Minnesota Vikings
Norm Hitzges DOUBLE PLAYS: Atlanta---Philadelphia UNDER 41
Pittsburgh -7 Jacksonville
SINGLE PLAYS:
Philadelphia +3 Atlanta
New England -13 Tennessee
New England---Tennessee UNDER 48
Pittsburgh---Jackson ville UNDER 41
Minnesota -4 New Orleans
Randall The Handle
Jaguars (11-6) at Steelers (13-3)
LINE: PITTSBURGH -7½
Quickly now, who scored more points this season between the Steelers and Jaguars? If you said Steelers, and we’re pretty sure you did, you might be as surprised as us to know that Jacksonville actually outscored Pittsburgh this season by a few points. Not many would be shocked to know that the Jags also allowed fewer points (40 to be exact) than their host today after the Jaguars’ rugged defence finished first in passing yards allowed and second in both total yards and points allowed. Those that remember back to early October of this season can also recall Jacksonville defeating the mighty Steelers by a 30-9 count on this very field in one of Pittsburgh’s two home losses. Ignore it all if you choose to but we think you’re either being foolish or pigheaded to refuse the large allotment of points being offered here. We understand those that believe, “Pittsburgh will kill them”. After all, Pittsburgh is the sexier team with its huge fan base and multiple Super Bowl championships while Jacksonville is barely on the football map. The Steelers have Ben and LeVeon and Antonio Brown. The Jaguars have punchline Blake Bortles and receivers you’ve never heard of. But with such perception and stature comes a price tag. Let’s also not ignore that in most situations, defence trumps offence. Jacksonville was able to pick off Ben Roethlisberger five times in the first meeting. Expecting a repeat performance that bad is unreasonable but one or two turnovers (Jaguars 2nd overall with 33 takeaways) in this one will be enough for a Jacksonville cover. We also have our concerns with Pittsburgh’s defence as it’s been a suspect unit to begin with and the loss of leader and top defender Ryan Shazier heightens concerns. No matter how you cut it, Pittsburgh is being overvalued here. Since that loss to the Jaguars in Week 5, the Steelers have won just three of 11 games by more than five points. None were against a defence as good as this one. Win or lose, Jags are the prudent play here.
TAKING: JAGUARS +7½
Saints (12-5) at Vikings (13-3)
LINE: MINNESOTA by 4½
Good matchup to close out the Divisional Round as two of the NFC’s top teams will square off in order to obtain entry into the Conference Finals next Sunday. The Saints emerged from a very competitive NFC South division while the Vikings toppled their tattered NFC North foes. After losing its first two games, New Orleans turned things around by winning eight straight and establishing itself as a conference contender. One of those early losses was at this venue to Minnesota on opening day after the Vikes emerged with a 29-19 decision. While it is clear that things subsequently improved for the Saints from that point on, the Vikings continued to roll all season long with hardly a hiccup. After splitting its first four games, Minnesota went on to win 11 of 12 before capturing the NFC’s top seed and home field throughout these playoffs. If so lucky, the Vikings can become the first team to ever host the Super Bowl on its home field. There’s reason to believe they can do it. Mike Zimmer’s team plays outstanding defence. His squad ranked first in total yards and points allowed before finishing second in both rushing and passing yards allowed. This stingy squad gave up an average of just 12.5 points per game on this field. The most any visitor was able to tally was the 19 that the Saints earned in that opener. After that, no team reached 18 and that included the league’s top scoring Rams, who managed just seven points here. There are reservations discounting Drew Brees’ savvy and ability while he’s up against a first-time playoff quarterback in Case Keenum and refusing points with Brees who is 21-12 ATS when getting 3½ or more but we also cannot ignore that New Orleans was a sub .500 team on the road this season and have lost three straight away games entering this one. Minny is rested. Zimmer’s group has covered eight of 10 after extra rest. The Vikes are 25-8 past 33 as hosts. Too much points their way.
TAKING: MINNESOTA –4½
Stephen Nover
3* GOY
Minnesota -3.5
Double Dragon Sports!
7-UNIT SUPERS
JAGUARS +7.5 (-120) at steelers (Sun. 1:05pm)
SAINTS +5 at vikings (Sun. 4:40pm)
Big AL
Total of the Year
NO-Minny over
From Huddle Up Sports.
Milwaukee/Miami over 205
Best Bet Totals:
Portland/Minnesota over 213
Jacksonville/Pittsburgh over 41'
New Orleans/Minnesota under 46'
High Roller Total goes over or Monday Totals are free
Sunday Headliner is the 2018 NFL Playoff Game of the Year leading a 3 game NFL Card that has both sides and a 34-0 Totals system as well as a 5* Late NBA Play and NCAAB. NBA Comp play below.
The NBA Comp play for Sunday is on New Orleans at 3:05 eastern. The Pelicans have home loss revenge on NY and did win by 14 here last season. They are 10-5 vs losing teams while the Knicks are 5-12 vs winning teams and 1-5 in January. From the database we are playing on rested road favorites that won and covered as a home favorite and scored and allowed 110 or more in that win vs a team like NY that comes in off a road dog loss while scoring 100 or more. These road favorites cover over 80% long term. Look for the Pelicans to take this one. On Sunday we have 3 big NFL Plays up including the highest rated 2018 Playoff Game of the Year and a totals system that has cashed 34 straight times.. There is also a perfect system NBA Play and NCAAB. Message or see us on facebook to jump on. For the NBA free play. Take New Orleans. RV- GC Sports
Greg Shaker
3* Pittsburgh / Jacksonville under 41
Northcoast
4 1/2* Playoff Game of the Year - Vikings -5
Top Opinion - Jags UNDER 41
Regular Opinion - Steelers -7
Had To Pick 'em - Vikings UNDER 47
Dave essler
2* Minnesota-3
Analysis:
This is for the FIRST HALF - yes, it's Brees and the Saints which is why I cannot lay the points for the game because the back door could be wide open. People have been knocking Keenum, but he's had basically the whole season, and he's thrown 22 TD's with only 7 picks. That's more than adequate, and for many of the same reasons I took the Panthers last week, I am not overjoyed at backing New Orleans' defense. They've had way too many injuries this season, they're now on the roa›d in an atmosphere that's going to be tough, given that the Vikings fan base do know what it's like to be in the playoffs and that should carry Minnesota for a while. Minnesota has far and away the best third-down defense in the NFL, which is something I'll rarely fade. The Saints' third down defense is 27th in the league, and that's something I'll rarely back, especially on the road - and obviously not here.
3*Jacksonville +7
Analysis:
There are still plenty of +7.5's out there - this is a classic "just take the better defense" bet for me. I will concede that Bortles isn't the second coming of anyone, but I will give him a bit of an upgrade in the Playoffs for now having actually played in a playoff game. We know what J'ville wants to do, and it's likely that Pittsburgh will commit to stopping the run - but so many other teams have tried that. When Bortles doesn't HAVE to throw he's actually above average, and in that first game the Steelers had Shazier and they won it with Bortles throwing exactly 14 times. J'ville had five picks and of course Ben wants to improve on that, but the J'ville corners are for real - it's not just their pass rush. Bouye and Ramsey are probably more equipped to handle the Steelers wideouts than anyone. The very fact that they've already played in Pittsburgh is also a huge plus. There's also what people are referring to as the impending New England game, but they've got to win this one, first. And if Pittsburgh isn't 100% focused on this one, they may not be playing the Patriœots at all. The same can be said of New England against the Titans. But, I'll take my chances that Pittsburgh doesn't run away with this one - especially in the playoffs because this truly IS a "just win" situation where piling it on and/or taking needless chances just doesn't happen that often.
From Huddle Up Sports.
New Orleans +5'
Best Bets:
Pittsburgh -7
Pittsburgh/Jacksonville over 41'
New Orleans/Minnesota under 45
Milwaukee +2
NY Knicks +1'
Indiana -4' College Basketball
Lock covers or Monday is free
King Creole
PLAYOFF GAME OF YEAR
Sunday, Jan. 14th - 4:40pm ET / 1:40pm PT
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS @ MINNESOTA VIKINGS
3*** BEST BET on: OVER THE TOTAL
We are posting this Best Bet as early in the week as possible, as the OU line has already gone UP by 2-3 full points since the openers last Sunday Night. We got our play in at the line of 44.5. As we type this on Wednesday afternoon, the line for this SAINTS / VIKINGS game has risen to 46 to 46.5. There’s still plenty of value left. But again, you want to get your action in as soon as possible. As long as you can cash a WINNER just in case this game finishes right on one of the ‘key numbers’ of 47 or 48 points. With all due respect to the Minnesota defense, our database models suggest a final score of: VIKINGS 31 - SAINTS 27. This Minnesota / New Orleans SERIES has gone 10-3-1 O/U in the last 14 meetings. And that includes a PERFECT 6-0-1 O/U for the seven games that were played IN Minnesota. One of those games was the opening weekend Monday Night double-header in this 2017 season. The Saints’ offense was not in mid-season form as they scored only 19 points on 344 total yards. They couldn’t convert numerous red zone trips into TD’s in that game. In fact they had only ONE touchdown to go with FOUR field goals. From a ‘law-of-averages’ standpoint, they should be able to get multiple TD’s in the rematch. What IS revealing is that New Orleans allowed the mysterious Vikings to score 29 points on 470 total offensive yards. That game did INDEED end up going Over the Total. The SAINTS have gone 8-1 O/U in the last three years in ALL road game in which the OU line is 50 or LESS points And in the controlled environment of a DOME, a high-scoring shootout is indeed a likely possibility. More on Dome ‘OVERS’ below…
In the DIVISION Round of the NFL post-season:
In the last 7 years, DIVISION ROUND games in which the OU line is in the range of > 41 and > 52 points (SAINTS @ VIKINGS) have gone 15-3 O/U. That includes a PERFECT 7-0 O/U when the pointspread in the game is 7 or less points,
Yes, Minnesota held Green Bay to 10 points in their last regular season game…
9-1 O/U last 7 years: All PLAYOFF teams WITH REST after allowing 10 or LESS points in their last game (VIKINGS).
In ALL Playoff games:
Yes, we’re aware that Minnesota has allowed 10 points, ZERO points, and 7 points in their last three games…
13-2 O/U ALL-TIME in our database: All PLAYOFF teams who allowed 10 or less points in EACH of their last three games (VIKINGS). These teams have gone a PERFECT 6-0 O/U when favored by > 3 points (VIKINGS are currently -4).
In Minnesota’s last game, the OU Line was a LOW 38 points…
7-1 O/U last 9 years: All PLAYOFF teams with an OU line of 45 or MORE points after a game in which their OU line was LESS than (<) 40 points (VIKINGS)t.
In their home win last week, the SAINTS scored 31 points against division rival Carolina. What was also revealing is that fact that BOTH teams had more than 400 yards of total offense in that one…
14-2 O/U last 3 years / 9-1 O/U LAST year: All PLAYOFF teams who scored 31 or more points in their last game (SAINTS), when the OU line is > 44 points.
That win in the Big Easy for the Saints last Sunday went OVER the Total, but New Orleans failed to ‘get the cash’ (ATS loss)…
9-1-1 O/U since 1994: All PLAYOFF teams off a SU Playoff win BUT an ATS loss, in a game that also went ‘Over the Total’ (SAINTS) when the OU line is in the range of > 43 and < 52 points.
New Orleans’s GREAT rushing offense (#6 on the season with 124 yards per game on the ground) was held in check by the Panthers. They had only 41 yards rushing on 22 carries (only 1.86 yards per rush). What excites us OVER bettors is that future Hall-of-Fame quarterback Drew Brees threw for a whopping 376 yards. It was his HIGHEST passing total of the season, meaning it’s a good time to rely on him to once again AIR it out. And in regards to New Orleans’ poor rushing numbers last week:
9-1-1 O/U since 2003: All PLAYOFF teams off a Playoff WIN in which they RUSHED for LESS than (<) 65 yards (SAINTS).
The pointspread in this game is not too low… or not too high (New Orleans -4). If the previous few seasons are any indication, we should get an ‘Over-EASY’ based on that pointspread…
In the last two years, ALL PLAYOFF games have gone 8-1 O/U when the HOME team is favored by > 3 points BUT less than 7 points (SAINTS).
Cementing our call on a high-scoring outcome is a database query based on the Day of the Week…
NFL Playoff games on a SUNDAY have gone a PERFECT 8-0 O/U in the last three seasons in All-NFC ONLY games (SAINTS @ VIKINGS) when the OU line is 41 or more points. ALL EIGHT of these games had 50 or more points scored in ‘em… and the average combined point total was 57.2.
We’ll finish it off with a query based in NFL Playoff games played INDOORS…
NFL Playoff DOME GAMES have gone 26-8-1 O/U since the 2003 season. That includes 10-2 O/U in the last 10 years when the HOST is favored by -4 or more points.
Mike Davis
6 Unit NFL : Saints +5
Tony Finn
- BIG TICKET 5% NFL DIV RD ROUT (14-6)
Game: (305) Jacksonville Jaguars at (306) Pittsburgh Steelers
Date/Time: Jan 14 2018 1:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Total Under 41.5 (-105)
View Analysis
PLAY: Total UNDER 41.5 (good to 41)
5% rating
(305) Jacksonville Jaguars at (306) Pittsburgh Steelers
While one game, early in the season, isn't the lone model nor example to use when accessing a postseason contest that is a rematch of the regular season --- the Week #5 contest between these two AFC franchises saw the Jags earn a 30-9 victory at Heinz Field -- an event in which Big Ben threw five interceptions.
The national media during the buildup of this Sunday event will project each team's success. They will point out each team's assets and liabilities and there will be little to no question that the ESPN, CBS and Fox analysis will mention that the Jaguars haven't played in the freezing temps that will huddle with each team in the Ketchup Bottle Sunday.
While the Jags offense might be more limited than playing in Florida their defense will travel.
The cold weather Heinz Field in a cold weather event won't deter Sacksonville. All things being equal the Jacksonville defense will excel in the expected conditions of Heinz Field -- be it warm or cold. The fact that the field is expected to be dry offers a large advantage to the Jags secondary versus the Steelers receivers, those healthy and those coming off injury (Brown).
Jacksonville rosters the top passing defense in the NFL and the unit has created 33 turnovers, second only to the Baltimore Ravens. The Jaguars were also one of two teams with 20 picks this season.
While Big Ben has won his share of big games it isn't a stretch to state that Roethlisberger is on the backside of a great career. His postseason performances of the past haven't been as pretty as his regular season efforts. Ben has been picked off on 23 occasions in 20 postseason games, with four of those coming last January.
Pitt RB LeVeon Bell, who had 357 rushing yards on 65 carries over three games in the postseason a year ago, will see plenty of touches today against the aggressive front seven of the Jags.
The soft spot in this good Jags team is the experience, lack of postseason experience of quarterback Blake Bortles. Bortles, who was intercepted five times in the final two regular-season games, wasn't asked to carry the load in their Wild Card win over Buffalo. Bortles threw for just 87 yards in last Saturday's victory over the Bills. Bortles did contribute to the win by rushing for 88 yards. Expect nothing short of 30 touches by RB Leonard Fournette as long as the Jags are ahead or in striking distance of the Steelers. Fournette ran for a season-high 181 yards, that included a 90-yard touchdown, in the first meeting and win against Pittsburgh this season.
The Jaguars permitted an NFL-low 169.9 yards per game passing, ranking No. 2 overall in the league, while surrendering just 16.8 points ppg.
Temperatures will be in the teens for the game with a high near 18 degrees at kickoff with light winds playing their typical role in a venue in which field goals beyond 45 yards are tricky, at the least.
Expect both coaches to play this close to the vest in the early stages and let the game situation dictate how it will play out in the second half. Running the football and winning the field position battle is critical for both franchises.
TOTAL UNDER 41.5 points
Posting Permissions
Reply With Quote