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Wednesday 1-17-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Charles Town
Charles Town - Race 9
Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta
Maiden Claiming $12,500 • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 48 • Purse: $14,500 • Post: 10:42
FOR ACCREDITED WEST VIRGINIA-BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500, IF FOR $10,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * FALSE PROPHET: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. IM A TRI CKY ONE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. JACKY'S CORK: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days.
10
FALSE PROPHET
4/1
7/2
8
IM A TRICKY ONE
7/2
6/1
12
JACKY'S CORK
5/1
7/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
5
HATTA DOUBLE
5
5/1
Alternator/Stalker
39
37
24.6
29.5
14.5
8
IM A TRICKY ONE
8
7/2
Trailer
55
37
13.3
35.1
27.6
10
FALSE PROPHET
10
4/1
Alternator/Trailer
52
45
34.2
37.4
31.9
6
WORKPANSOMETHINGS
6
10/1
Alternator/Trailer
0
0
24.6
32.4
22.9
7
GAB'S LIL LEAGUER
7
8/1
Alternator/Trailer
0
0
12.8
38.5
28.5
12
JACKY'S CORK
12
5/1
Alternator/Trailer
0
0
12.0
38.0
34.0
1
ALLEGHENY MACGRAW
1
3/1
Alternator/Non-contender
55
37
49.6
29.8
19.8
2
BLOWN AWAY BABY
2
15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
50
24
39.3
23.0
4.5
9
MIRACLE PRINCESS
9
15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0
0
21.4
12.7
0.0
4
K. RENEE
4
12/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0
0
19.8
26.6
12.1
11
CLASS OF CONCERN
11
12/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0
0
1.8
23.7
7.2
3
FOREST CAFE
3
20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0
0
0.0
0.0
0.0
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 8 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $16000 Class Rating: 74
FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JANUARY 17, 2017. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE DECEMBER 17, 2017 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 7 NORTH LIGHT RIDGE 9/2
# 2 SALUTETHEPRINCE 7/2
# 10 RUNNIN SKY 5/2
I lean toward NORTH LIGHT RIDGE here. May best this field here, showing strong figures of late. With a respectable 68 Equibase speed fig last time out, will clearly be a factor in this affair. Pedigo has this gelding running well and is a solid choice based on the very good Equibase Speed Figures put up in route races recently. SALUTETHEPRINCE - The Equibase class figure of today's affair is much lower than his last race. RUNNIN SKY - Has been racing admirably and has among the most competitive speed in the race for today's distance. This group is much less demanding than the last one he ran against.
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 - Optional Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $51000 Class Rating: 89
FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR RESTRICTED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $25,000. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 17, ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 4 LUZ MIMI 8/5
# 3 BELLA BAILAR 2/1
# 5 THREE ILLUSIONS 7/2
LUZ MIMI is my choice. Is difficult not to consider based on Equibase speed figs which have been quite good - 88 avg - of late. Englehart has a formidable 29 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface. Had one of the top Speed Figures of this group in her last contest. BELLA BAILAR - Castellano has been on fire the last month, winning at a nifty 15 percent clip. Looks quite good to be up near the front end at the first call. THREE ILLUSIONS - Bezara has a very solid winning percentage with horses racing in dirt sprint races. Garnered a decent speed fig last time out.
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #9 - Post: 4:31pm - Maiden Special - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $29,600 Class Rating: 50
Rating: 4
#5 STRONGHAMMER (ML=7/2)
STRONGHAMMER - I like to wager on this handicapping angle, a pony coming back off a strong effort within the last month. I think Cowans is making a good move here. This gelding can only profit from the shorter distance. Early speed is always important in horse racing, but the lone speed horse is always dangerous. This one has increased his speed ratings in each of the last two races. That kind of progress is worth taking a look at.
Vulnerable Contenders: #3 ANOTHER SUNRISE (ML=3/1), #6 CHILLICOTHE (ML=4/1), #10 GRAND KITTEN (ML=6/1),
ANOTHER SUNRISE - This vulnerable equine will in all probability be pulling up the rear as this field crosses the finish. CHILLICOTHE - I don't have a good sensation about this pony in this affair. GRAND KITTEN - Hasn't been getting close at all of late. Finished seventh in his most recent performance with a pedestrian speed rating. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this field.
Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - STRONGHAMMER - A tried and true angle. Take a sprinter in the third and fourth start after a mini 'vacation'. That's the time when they peak.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #5 STRONGHAMMER on top if we're getting at least 1/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
5 with [7,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Penn National
Penn National - Race 4
W-P-S / Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / Daily Double $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6)
Claiming $25,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 74 • Purse: $19,000 • Post: 7:22P
(PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 121 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE DECEMBER 17, 2017 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000, IF FOR $22,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * HAIL'S STATEMENT: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Jockey/ Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. PARADE OF FREEDOM: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. WONITBYLAND: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. OLD DUDE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
4
HAIL'S STATEMENT
6/1
5/1
8
PARADE OF FREEDOM
9/2
6/1
3
WONITBYLAND
8/1
6/1
6
OLD DUDE
12/1
9/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
8
PARADE OF FREEDOM
8
9/2
Front-runner
76
71
84.7
57.5
52.0
4
HAIL'S STATEMENT
4
6/1
Front-runner
75
75
67.0
67.0
58.5
2
PAT AND RON
2
10/1
Alternator/Stalker
66
64
81.5
41.7
28.7
1
RAPHAEL'S PROMISE
1
7/2
Alternator/Stalker
70
64
66.9
61.4
48.4
6
OLD DUDE
6
12/1
Alternator/Stalker
83
69
55.0
57.8
52.3
7
EVERY STEP
7
4/1
Alternator/Stalker
77
65
54.3
53.8
44.8
3
WONITBYLAND
3
8/1
Trailer
79
71
68.7
65.3
59.3
5
DRUMMER DON
5
6/1
Trailer
67
54
52.0
52.0
37.5
9
HOLIDAY ICE
9
8/1
Alternator/Non-contender
68
58
54.8
54.8
40.8
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Turf Paradise - Race #2 - Post: 1:12pm - Maiden Optional Claiming - 7.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $12,500 Class Rating: 70
Rating: 4
#1 CHEAP O CHARLIE (ML=4/1)
CHEAP O CHARLIE - Always watch out for the longer priced animal when a trainer has an 'uncoupled' entry in a race. The most dangerous animal in racing is the lone speed horse. If they let him get away early they probably won't catch him. Whitehouse brings him right back. I advise you stay with this strong gelding. (EPS) earnings per start is something that I feel can be a very key handicapping aspect. This thoroughbred is ranked number 1 in this group.
Vulnerable Contenders: #6 COCKTAILS AT SIX (ML=3/1), #5 SO BE IT (ML=7/2), #2 JUST MISUNDERSTOOD (ML=9/2),
COCKTAILS AT SIX - Today's race is 7 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't finished in the money in a sprint clash in the last sixty days. Not the greatest of signals. SO BE IT - No success for this less than sharp equine in a short distance contest over the last couple months tells me that this colt is in a difficult spot won't be easy for this racer to beat this field off of that last speed figure. Unlikely to improve enough to run a figure close to today's Equibase class figure, so put him on the vulnerable competitors list. JUST MISUNDERSTOOD - Didn't finish in the money on December 27th after the long turnout. Be doubtful of this animal this time out. This gelding finished out of the money on Sep 9th and wasn't even close last time out either.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #1 CHEAP O CHARLIE on the win end if we get at least 1/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Skip
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
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Mike Wynn
Free Play: Free Pick Missouri St -7½ Over Valparaiso
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Jeff Allen Sports
Wednesday's Free Selection is on the Boston Bruins
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Razor Sharp
YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR WEDNESDAY: Take XAVIER -12½ over St Johns
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Totals4U
Wednesday's Free Selection: Tennessee/Missouri over 142 1/2
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John Anthony Sports
Wednesday's Free Selection: Cal-Riverside - 9
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Atlantic Sports
Wednesday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Missouri State - 7 1/2
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#1 Sports
Wednesday's Free Selection: Cal-Riverside - 9
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Easy Money Sports
Lee's Free Wednesday Selection Is
Alabama +1½
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Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Wednesday: Take HOUSTON -7 over Tulane
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Huddle Up Sports
Free Play: Arizona -14
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Hawkeye Sports
Wednesday's Free Pick: Boston Bruins - 200
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Golden Dragon Sports
Free Pick New Orleans -2'
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Arthur Ralph Sports
FREE play: WED TCU -10
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