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Thread: Thursday 1-18-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

  1. #41
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    Brandon Lee

    Jan 18 '18, 7:05 PM in 13m
    NBA | 76ers vs Celtics
    Play on: 76ers +5 -108 at 5Dimes

    10* FREE NBA PICK (76ers +5)
    I'm willing to take a shot here with the 76ers on the road catching a decent number here against the Celtics in Thursday's TNT showdown. Not only does Philadelphia have short-term revenge, having just lost to Boston in London last week, but they have lost all 3 meetings so far this season. I think the motivation edge here clearly favors the 76ers.
    Boston might also be without two key pieces, as Kyrie Irving is listed as questionable with a shoulder injury and Marcus Smart is questionable with an illness. I think given where the Celtics are in the standings and a big 4-game west coast trip looming, it would make sense for them to be cautious and not push either of these guys. If Irving doesn't play, this could get ugly. Note when he sat out last month's home game against Chicago, Boston proceeded to lose 85-108. Even if he does play, I think the 76ers are more than capable of winning this game and at least keeping it close enough to cover. Give me Philadelphia +5!

  2. #42
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    John Martin

    Jan 18 '18, 7:05 PM in 13m
    NBA | 76ers vs Celtics
    Play on: 76ers +5 -108 at 5Dimes

    1 Unit FREE PLAY on Philadelphia 76ers +5
    The 76ers have gone 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall. Their only loss came in London against these same Boston Celtics by a final of 103-114. They will be out for revenge now, especially after blowing a 22-point lead in the first half to the Celtics in that game. They will also be trying to avoid the season sweep after losing each of their first three meetings to the Celtics. The 76ers will be max motivated tonight to say the least. Philadelphia is 20-6 ATS after having won three of its last four games over the past two seasons. The 76ers are 27-14 ATS when revenging a home loss vs. opponent over the last two seasons. The road team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Give me the 76ers.

  3. #43
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    Jack Jones

    Jan 18 '18, 9:00 PM in 2h
    NCAA-B | St. Mary's vs Gonzaga
    Play on: UNDER 149½ -103

    Jack’s Free Pick Thursday: St. Mary’s/Gonzaga UNDER 149.5
    In such a huge rivalry here with St. Mary’s and Gonzaga, I expect the defensive intensity to be at an all-time high. These teams play each other basically three times a year every season, so they couldn’t be more familiar with one another. Familiarity also favors defense.
    Just taking a look at recent meetings, it’s easy to see that there’s value with the UNDER 149.5 tonight. The UNDER is 11-2 in the last 13 meetings. Gonzaga and St. Mary’s have combined for 138 or fewer points in 12 of the last 13 meetings.
    The UNDER is also 18-4 in the last 22 meetings at Gonzaga. The UNDER is 11-2 in Gaels last 13 games vs. a team with a winning record. The UNDER is 36-16-1 in Gaels last 53 road games. The UNDER is 11-2 in Bulldogs last 13 games vs. a team with a. Winning record. Bet the UNDER in this game Thursday.
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  4. #44
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    Teddy Davis

    Jan 18 '18, 9:00 PM in 2h
    NCAA-B | Michigan vs Nebraska
    Play on: Nebraska +4½ -105 at 5Dimes

    Let's take Nebraska here in the home underdog role tonight. They are 10-1 at home with their only loss being a by 1 point to Kansas. Nebraska right now is a team outside looking in so they do need some marquee wins here at home to boost them. Not saying they win SU but taking the points I like.
    Also Michigan is coming off back to back emotional games upsetting their rival Michigan St then followed that up by beating Maryland by 1 in the final seconds. I do like this Michigan team, but don't like situation here.

  5. #45
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    Larry Ness

    Jan 18 '18, 7:05 PM in 13m
    NBA | Magic vs Cavs
    Play on: Cavs -10½ -110 at BMaker

    My 1* Free Play is on the Cleveland Cavaliers (7:05 EST).
    Orlando broke a seven game slide with a 108-102 victory at home over the Wolves on Tuesday (I had the Magic in that one) and suffice it to say, I believe an immediate return to mediocrity is in store for the visitors today, facing what has now become a “must win” game for the scuffling Cavaliers. So far these teams have split a pair of games this year, with the Cavs winning just 131-127 on the road in the most recent in early January.
    The Magic average 105.3 PPG and concede 110.9. Evan Fournier averages 18 PPG, while Aaron Gordon leads the nightly charge with 18.6 points and eight boards per contest.
    The Cavaliers average 109.5 PPG and concede 108.7. LeBron James averages 27.3 points, eight boards and 8.8 assists per game, while Kevin Love adds 19.2 points and 19.6 boards per game.
    I’ll point out thought that Orlando is just 1-6 ATS this year off an upset win as an underdog and only 3-5 ATS in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while Cleveland is 2-1 ATS in its last three after four or more consecutive SU losses.
    The Magic are just 5-19 on the road this year. Despite their recent struggles the Cavs are still 15-5 at home. As mentioned off the top, I believe this has become an almost “must win” game for Cleveland after four straight losses, including to Toronto, Boston and Golden State.
    Orlando is in the wrong place at the wrong time. Consider laying the points in this one.
    Good luck…Larry

  6. #46
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    Bobby Conn

    Jan 18 '18, 9:00 PM in 2h
    NCAA-B | USC vs Oregon
    Play on: USC +3½ -110 at betonline

    1* Free Play on USC +3½ -110

  7. #47
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    John Ryan

    Jan 18 '18, 10:05 PM in 3h
    NBA | Pacers vs Blazers
    Play on: Pacers +3½ -110 at 5Dimes

    The Play and How to Play it:
    The Play: Indiana (507)
    The Matchup: INDIANA (24 - 20) at PORTLAND (23 - 21)
    Start Time: Thursday, 1/18/2018 10:05 PM
    SIM grading: 5 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale.
    Recommended Strategy: Place a 5 star wager on Indiana using the line.
    Game Intelligence Analytics
    Play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PORTLAND).
    After failing to cover the spread in 4 or more consecutive games.
    Playing 6 or more games in 10 days.
    26-6 over the last 5 seasons for 81.2% and making $1940.00 per $100 wager.
    45 percent of these plays covered the spread by 7 or more points.
    SIM Matching Game Situations
    Indiana
    208-115 ATS (+81.5 Units) when they score 100 to 105 points in a game.
    Portland
    5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when they grab 10 to 15 offensive rebounds in a game this season.
    Methodologies and Subscriptions
    If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several analytical tools using machine learning techniques - some of which have been around since the 1950's. Also, have deployed AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 46-24 ATS record in 2017 and also 14-6 ATS in College Hoops.

  8. #48
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    Doug Upstone

    Jan 18 '18, 9:00 PM in 2h
    NCAA-B | St. Mary's vs Gonzaga
    Play on: Gonzaga -7 -105 at 5Dimes

    This Thursday on college basketball, Play On home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Gonzaga, who are scoring 76 or more PPG, against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 65 points or less in two straight contests. This extremely rare system is 30-7 ATS, 81.1%, the last 20 years!

  9. #49
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    Sal Michaels

    Jan 18 '18, 8:00 PM in 1h
    NCAA-B | Virginia vs Georgia Tech
    Play on: Georgia Tech +8 -110 at Bovada

    Free Play on Georgia Tech +8 -110

  10. #50
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    Vic Duke

    Jan 18 '18, 8:00 PM in 1h
    NCAA-B | Virginia vs Georgia Tech
    Play on: Virginia -7½ -108 at 5Dimes

    Virginia/Georgia Tech 8:00: The Cavaliers are one of the most well coached teams in the nation under Bennett; consequently, they sport the 8th ranked turnover margin in the nation, #1 in points allowed, and #2 in FG% defense; at the same time, their offense flows efficiently shooting 47% from the floor and 40% from 3 point range; moreover, they shoot an outstanding 77% from the free throw line! The Cavaliers have their weaknesses and not a lot of depth but it shouldn't come in to play tonight. They'll eventually choke out the offensively challenged Engineers who average just 67 PPG. Yes, GT is playing a good stretch of basketball and can play defense; however, sustaining good play for the duration against the Cavaliers will be an uphill battle that I believe they'll lose. We'll look for Hall, Wilkins and Guy to continue their assault on yet another ACC victim.

  11. #51
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    Hunter Price

    Jan 18 '18, 8:05 PM in 1h
    NHL | Coyotes vs Predators
    Play on: Predators -200 at 5Dimes

    1* Free Pick on Predators -200

  12. #52
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    Dave Price

    Jan 18 '18, 9:00 PM in 2h
    NCAA-B | St. Mary's vs Gonzaga
    Play on: St. Mary's +8 -107 at 5Dimes

    Dave’s Thursday Free Play:
    1* on St. Mary’s +8
    The Key: Gonzaga was one of the best teams in the country last year. They finished runners-up losing to UNC in the National Title game. So it was no surprise they went 3-0 against St. Mary’s in their three meetings last season. But now Gonzaga isn’t nearly as good as last year, especially defensively with all they lost. And St. Mary’s brought back its top 3 scorers from last year in Jock Landala (21.7 PPG, 10.3 RPG), Calvin Hermanson (12.2 PPG) and Emett Naar (11.2 PPG, 9.4 APG). The Gaels are absolutely loaded this season, which had many picking them to dethrone Gonzaga in the WCC. Now is their chance to prove themselves. The Gaels are catching too many points tonight as 8-point underdogs. They have won 12 straight coming in and have been flying under the radar. St. Mary’s is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 road games off two straight games with 19 or more assists. The Gaels are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. The Gaels are 21-5 ATS in their last 26 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game. Take St. Mary’s.

  13. #53
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    Bryan Leonard

    Jan 18 '18, 7:05 PM in 13m
    NBA | Magic vs Cavs
    Play on: Magic +10 -103 at 5Dimes

    501 Orlando at Cleveland
    Spending the first 36 years of our life as a Cleveland resident, we live and die with our hometown teams. We watch every game the Cavaliers play, and I have to tell you this team is severly flawed. Many times over the years the Cavs would turn it on when heeded, but that just hasn't been the case this year. The defense is the worst it has been and the players simply refuse to buy in to what the coaching staff is selling. Therefore there is no logical reason to change our thinking as this team doesn't deserve to be a favorite of this magnitude against anyone.
    PLAY ORLANDO

  14. #54
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    Mike Williams

    Jan 18 '18, 7:05 PM in 13m
    NBA | 76ers vs Celtics
    Play on: UNDER 209 -115

    1* on 76ers vs Celtics under 209 -115

  15. #55
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    Info Plays

    Jan 18 '18, 7:35 PM in 43m
    NHL | Blues vs Senators
    Play on: Blues -137 at 5Dimes

    1* Free Play on Blues -137

  16. #56
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    Scott Rickenbach

    Jan 18 '18, 7:35 PM in 43m
    NHL | Golden Knights vs Lightning
    Play on: Golden Knights +145 at BMaker

    Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Game #13 Thursday Free Pick Vegas Golden Knights Money Line (+) @ Tampa Bay Lightning @ 7:35 ET - Tampa Bay is the #1 team in the Eastern Conference Standings and they do have home ice for this game. However, Vegas is the #1 team in the Western Conference Standings and they hold a huge edge here that is not being properly factored into this line. The Golden Knights already had their bye week earlier this month while the Lightning are just coming back from theirs. That puts Vegas at a big advantage here as the Bolts could be rusty after not playing in a full week! Both teams are off of losses here but the Golden Knights are likely to be the sharper team as they are playing their 3rd game since their bye week while TB will be playing for the first time since last Thursday! Vegas is off of back to back losses but had won 14 of their last 16 games prior to this 2-game skid. Tampa Bay has lost 3 of its last 5 games and the Lightning have allowed 4 goals or more in 3 of their last 4 games. This is a fantastic road dog value spot. Free Pick VEGAS

  17. #57
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    Mike Lundin

    Jan 18 '18, 7:05 PM in 13m
    NHL | Stars vs Blue Jackets
    Play on: Blue Jackets -104 at betonline

    #NHL FREE PICK FROM MIKE LUNDIN
    The Columbus Blue Jackets are just 3-6 in their last nine games and coming off back-to-back defeats, the most recent an embarrassing 5-2 loss to the lowly Vancouver Canucks Friday night.
    I expect the Jackets to come out angry and motivated for this clash with the Dallas Stars Thursday night. Note that Columbus is 7-0 in its last seven games following a loss of three or more goals and 14-5 in its last 19 after scoring two goals or fewer in its previous game.
    The Stars have won four of their last five, but this is a tough spot playing their fourth game in six nights. They're just 3-11 in their last 14 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation and the Blue Jackets have claimed four straight head-to-head meetings.
    My free pick is on Columbus Blue Jackets.

  18. #58
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    Jesse Schule

    Jan 18 '18, 9:00 PM in 2h
    NCAA-B | Michigan vs Nebraska
    Play on: Michigan -3½ -107 at 5Dimes

    Michigan vs Nebraska Free Pick January 18, 2018.

    The Michigan Wolverines are sitting in third place in the BIG10, with a 5-2 conference record and a 16-4 overall record. They came out flat in their last game, trailing by 10 at halftime at home versus Maryland. They rallied in the second half, and led by seven with under two minutes to play. While they held on for the win, they didn't get the cover, perhaps falling victim to a classic let down spot after upsetting the Spartans in their previous game. Nebraska is just one game back of Michigan in the BIG10 standings, and the Huskers are 10-1 at home. All their wins in the BIG10 have come against conference bottom feeders (Wisconsin, Illinois, Minnesota and Northwestern). They are coming off a 64-63 win over Illinois, and they needed a three-pointer at the buzzer to avoid the upset. Michigan has won all eight meetings in this series dating back to 2012, and they covered the spread in five of those games. The Huskers have lost their last two home games against Michigan by a combined 49 points. The Wolverines are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 BIG10 games, and they have covered the spread in four straight road games.

    Take MICH.

    GL,

    Jesse Schule

  19. #59
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    Dustin Hawkins

    Jan 18 '18, 8:00 PM in 1h
    NCAA-B | Wake Forest vs NC State
    Play on: NC State -4½ -107 at 5Dimes

    Free Play on NC State -4½ -107

  20. #60
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    Jimmy Boyd

    Jan 18 '18, 8:00 PM in 1h
    NCAA-B | Tennessee Tech vs Eastern Kentucky
    Play on: Tennessee Tech +2 -110 at BMaker

    Free Pick on Tennessee Tech +
    I like the value here with the Golden Eagles catching points on the road against the Colonels. I just don't think home court means as much in this series and history would back that up. Tennessee Tech is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 trips to Eastern Kentucky. You also want to be on the team getting points in this series, as the underdog is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
    Adding to this is the fact that that the Colonels are just 4-14 ATS in their last 18 conference home games and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games off a contest where the two teams combined for 165 or more points.
    Simply put, the Golden Eagles are the better team. Not only do they have the better record, but they have also played the tougher schedule. This is also a great spot to back Tennessee Tech. Last time out they lost 45-71 to Murray State. They are 22-9 ATS in their last 31 road games off a loss by 10 or more
    We also have a strong system in play favoring the Golden Eagles. Road underdogs off a conference home loss vs an opponent that is off 2 or more road wins is 123-73 (63%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Tennessee Tech!

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