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Tuesday 1-23-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mahoning Valley Race Course
Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race 2
Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / 50 cent Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4)
Claiming $7,500 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 86 • Purse: $13,100 • Post: 12:42
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 23, 2017 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * BEACHTOWN BENNY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highes t TrackMaster Power Rating. MISTBINDER: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. SURTAP: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. REPLAY: Hors e has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
5
BEACHTOWN BENNY
5/2
4/1
2
MISTBINDER
15/1
7/1
7
SURTAP
8/1
7/1
3
REPLAY
6/1
9/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
5
BEACHTOWN BENNY
5
5/2
Front-runner
84
83
89.6
77.6
73.6
10
WHISKEY CURES UGLY
10
20/1
Front-runner
82
80
75.8
66.0
48.5
2
MISTBINDER
2
15/1
Stalker
80
83
77.8
79.2
70.2
7
SURTAP
7
8/1
Alternator/Stalker
85
81
45.8
75.6
67.6
1
SHOOTOUT
1
12/1
Trailer
84
76
59.6
75.0
61.5
3
REPLAY
3
6/1
Trailer
84
85
58.8
74.2
66.2
8
ZIPPLES
8
20/1
Alternator/Trailer
81
74
78.2
76.8
66.3
6
RICH E Z
6
3/1
Alternator/Trailer
87
81
57.2
64.2
52.7
4
UNCORKED SPIRIT
4
5/1
Alternator/Non-contender
88
78
69.4
65.2
54.7
9
DOUBLE ONTHE ROCKS
9
10/1
Alternator/Non-contender
76
77
53.0
71.2
55.7
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #8 - Post: 3:30pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,000 Class Rating: 67
Rating: 4
#4 MY SWEET REWARD (ML=4/1)
#7 SPANISH CANDY (ML=10/1)
MY SWEET REWARD - Good win percentage this jockey and handler twosome have been putting together. Have to like the way West has raced this filly back into shape off the layoff. Horse is well spotted in this sprint and I think she'll run well today. That 58 fig this filly recorded in her last event tells me she's a major player today. 'Blinkers On' is a time-honored positive angle in handicapping the races. SPANISH CANDY - I think the shorter distance will help this mare stay the distance. Coming off a fourth place finish at Mahoning Valley Race Cour, some may pass this horse. I'm not. She just missed hitting the show spot, and has respectable morning line odds today.
Vulnerable Contenders: #3 MT HAYNESFIELD (ML=3/1), #5 PORT MARIA (ML=5/1), #12 REWARD'S GIRL (ML=6/1),
MT HAYNESFIELD - This filly has already lost as the favorite in back to back races. Hard to give her another chance. Should be difficult for this thoroughbred to beat this group off of that last speed rating. Unlikely to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's Equibase class figure, so put her on the likely underpriced equines list. PORT MARIA - This filly finished off the board on June 6th and wasn't close to victory in the last race either. Most unsatisfactory speed figure in the last race at Mountaineer Park at 7 furlongs. Don't feel this pony will improve too much in today's event. REWARD'S GIRL - In any affair of 6 furlongs, I like to play a contender that has been sharp in sprint events lately. Run-of-the-mill speed rating last out at Mahoning Valley Race Cour at 5 1/2 furlongs. Don't believe this questionable contender will improve too much in today's event.
Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - MY SWEET REWARD - A pace study shows this animal should have the pace to wire this field.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #4 MY SWEET REWARD to win if you can get at least 3/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Portland Meadows
Portland Meadows - Race 8
$1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / $1 Late Daily Double (Races 8-9)
Claiming $2,500 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 85 • Purse: $5,500 • Post: 3:16P
FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE APRIL 23, 2017 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * JENSEN: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Eq uibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SEATTLE STONE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. SEMPER GUMBY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. MY BOY RUDY: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
2
JENSEN
7/5
7/2
7
SEATTLE STONE
8/1
7/1
6
SEMPER GUMBY
12/1
9/1
4
MY BOY RUDY
4/1
10/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
7
SEATTLE STONE
7
8/1
Front-runner
76
74
75.2
70.8
61.8
5
R LOREN
5
6/1
Front-runner
78
72
72.0
59.8
49.8
4
MY BOY RUDY
4
4/1
Stalker
70
76
68.2
69.8
59.8
6
SEMPER GUMBY
6
12/1
Alternator/Stalker
82
68
65.4
69.8
60.8
3
JUSTA GUSTA
3
9/2
Alternator/Stalker
75
75
64.8
63.6
53.6
2
JENSEN
2
7/5
Alternator/Stalker
88
85
57.7
84.2
82.2
1
OUR POWER SURGE
1
10/1
Alternator/Non-contender
79
72
52.8
62.8
57.8
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 8 - SA - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $30000 Class Rating: 97
FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $10,000 OR LESS SINCE JULY 1, 2016. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE DECEMBER 23 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 23 ALLOWED 4 LBS.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 4 IREDELL 7/5
# 5 STONE BANDIT 5/1
# 1 LONG MAY YOU RUN 9/2
I've got to go with IREDELL. Could best this group of horses based on the speed figure - 103 - of his last outing. Has to be given consideration versus this group displaying very strong figures lately and an average speed rating of 91 under similar conditions. STONE BANDIT - This pony has some longshot handicapping angles going for him. Is a definite contender - given the 94 Equibase speed fig from his most recent race. LONG MAY YOU RUN - Vaunts sound speed figures on average overall when measured up against the rest of this field. Must be given a chance given the class of races run lately.
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Sunland Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 9 - Maiden Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $10100 Class Rating: 58
FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED MAIDENS, FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. FOUR YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,500.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 1 THE GHOST OF DIXIE 4/1
# 2 JUST PLUMB BOB 8/1
# 9 DEVONAS PROSPECTOR 2/1
THE GHOST OF DIXIE looks to be a respectable contender. Earnings per start at the distance/surface is a strong angle. This one ranks at the top in this bunch. This pony has some longshot angles going for him. With a nice class fig average of 61, has one of the strongest class advantages in this field. DEVONAS PROSPECTOR - Will most likely compete soundly in the early pace battle which bodes well with this group. Put up a reliable speed rating in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this race.
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Turf Paradise - Race #8 - Post: 4:14pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,000 Class Rating: 82
Rating: 4
#8 ROSIE'S RENAGADE (ML=8/1)
#2 DUPLICATE COPY (ML=6/1)
#10 STAX ON STACKS (ML=5/1)
ROSIE'S RENAGADE - Took a big class drop last out, and I think he may have needed it. Mendoza enters him at a similar class today. I'd expect an improved performance. You have to expect a better performance out of this gelding in today's race. He put in a good effort on the backstretch on December 11th only to run evenly in the stretch drive. Personally, I wouldn't worry about where he finished in his last race (fifth). Should improve right here in this race, with some decent odds. DUPLICATE COPY - Look at this gelding's PP lines. With each contest he keeps getting closer. Have to make this gelding a solid contender; he comes off a good effort on Jan 9th. STAX ON STACKS - I have to like this gelding's chances of winning at the shorter distance. This gelding won at this distance on Oct 16th and was at a higher class than today. I like the way this gelding's finish positions have gotten better with each start recently. A sign of a thoroughbred coming into top form.
Vulnerable Contenders: #5 SILVER JESTER (ML=3/1), #3 AWESOME IMAGE (ML=7/2), #7 STORM REVELER (ML=9/2),
SILVER JESTER - Not much value on this entrant at the probable odds of 3/1. AWESOME IMAGE - Generally I need a sprinter to have some recent success in sprint races in order to back him. STORM REVELER - This thoroughbred likes to land in the top three, but doesn't usually win. Keep out of the top spot.
Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - STAX ON STACKS - Don't look at the finish position last out, but take a look at how many lengths back he was from the victor. Should improve enough to grab the brass ring this time out.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #8 ROSIE'S RENAGADE on the win end if we get at least 5/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
8 with [2,10]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [2,8,10] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[2,8,10] with [2,8,10] with [2,3,4,8,10] with [2,3,4,8,10] Total Cost: $36
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Mike Wynn
Free Play: Free Pick Orlando -6½ Over Sacramento
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Free Selection from Jim Feist
Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Tuesday, January 23, 2017
01/23 07:35 PM PT / 10:35 PM ET
NBA (509) BOSTON CELTICS VS (510) LOS ANGELES LAKERS
Take: UNDER
Reason: Your free play for Tuesday is in the NBA schedule contest between the Boston Celtics and LA Lakers. Second half of the TNT doubleheader has the Celtics laying points here at LA Lakers tonight. The Celtics had a great start to the season, however they have fallen on hard times of late. The Celtics have lost three straight games, all at home. The Celtics have the 2nd best team scoring defense in the league, allowing 98 ppg. They need that defense since their offense scores just 102.6 ppg (24th in NBA). Boston has gone under in five of their last seven games and is 3-14-1 O/U their last 18 vs the Pacific division. The Lakers have gone under in five of their last seven games and 2-5 O/U playing on one day rest. The last four meetings between these clubs has gone UNDER. I look for that trend to continue here today. Play the UNDER.
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Jeff Allen Sports
Tuesday's Free Selection is on the Boston Bruins
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Razor Sharp
YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR TUESDAY: Take VIRGINIA -8½ over Clemson
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Totals4U
Tuesday's Free Selection: Virginia Commonwealth/St Louis under 138 1/2
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John Anthony Sports
Tuesday's Free Selection: Virginia Cavaliers - 8 1/2
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Atlantic Sports
Tuesday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Bowling Green + 2
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#1 Sports
Tuesday's Free Selection: Bradley Braves pick 'em
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Easy Money Sports
Lee's Free Tuesday Selection Is
Davidson -1
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Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Tuesday: Take SAN ANTONIO +1½ over Cleveland
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Huddle Up Sports
Free Play: Creighton -4
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Hawkeye Sports
Tuesday's Free Pick: Pittsburgh Penguins - 155
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Golden Dragon Sports
Free Pick Iowa -1
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