Service Plays Monday 1/22/18

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Steve Budin - CEO

Monday's Pick

The Brooklyn College Boys have a 50 DIME play on North Carolina at Virginia Tech. North Carolina is -3 1/2 as of 1:30 Eastern as I put my site live.

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Don Johnson Advantage One System (249-257)

2* Hawks +2.5
2* Suns +5
2* Wizards -1.5
2*TCU +3

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Vegas Sports Masters - Richie B. (Yesterday 1-2 -2 Units)

NCAA BK:
2* Indiana +1.5
1* Illinois +12

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Wayne Root
No Limit Ohio State
Millionaire Virginia Tech.

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Dr. Bob - NBA
**CHARLOTTE (-10) over Sacramento

Rotation #702 – 4:05 pm Pacific

Sacramento continues to struggle without backup PG Frank Mason, who has been great this season and is sorely missed. The Kings were only outscored by 11 points in the 538.6 minutes that Mason was on the court this season (-1.0 points per 48 minutes) and they’ve been outscored by 11.9 points per 48 minutes when he’s not in the game. Part of that is due to facing mostly other team’s second units but my analysis does rate Sacramento a couple of points worse without Mason and the Kings are just 6-15 ATS this season when Mason has played fewer than 10 minutes.

I also like Charlotte’s current rotation and I have the Hornets rated 1.3 points higher than their season rating. My current player-specific ratings favor the Hornets by 13 ½ points in this game and I’ll take Charlotte in a 2-Star Best Bet at -10 points or less and for 1-Star up to -11.

**ATLANTA (+3) over Utah

Rotation #704 – 4:35 pm Pacific

This will sound familiar, as I’ve gone against the Jazz in 3 of their last 4 games. The return of C Rudy Gobert does not make the Jazz any better, as taking minutes from the very effective Ekpe Udoh is not a good idea and Gobert has been less effective this season than Udoh, who did not play last night. Gobert has a plus-minus of -37 points this season while Udoh the Jazz have out-scored opponents by 55 points when Udoh has been on the court and the overall value of Udoh’s statistics are better too. Utah is probably no worse with Gobert instead of Udoh but having Gobert back supplies us with some line value against the Jazz, who are already overrated for two other reasons – Joe Johnson is back in the rotation and Thabo Sefolosha is now out for the season.

Sefolosha’s +47 plus-minus is best among Utah’s key players and Utah has been outscored by an average of 9.7 points per 48 minutes when the aging and defensively inept Joe Johnson is on the court this season (-112 points in 555.3minutes). Utah is just 6-12 straight up since Johnson returned from injury and the Jazz are a worse than average team with their current rotation.

I won two of my three recent games going against the Jazz in Utah (won with Indiana and New York and lost with the Clippers) and now the Jazz go on the road against a scrappy Hawks team that has played pretty well at home recently. Utah is just 5-18 straight up and 9-14 ATS on the road this season, including 1-2 straight up as a road favorite of more than 2 points (beating only the lowly Kings). Atlanta is currently a bit underrated and the Hawks have recent home wins over Dallas, Washington, Portland, San Antonio and New Orleans. I went against Atlanta in their most recent game versus Chicago and they lost that game by 16 points but the Hawks are 14-3 ATS following their last 17 losses and I expect them to play better than their norm tonight. My ratings favor the Hawks by 1 point and I’ll take Atlanta in a 2-Star Best Bet at +3 points or more and for 1-Star down to +2.

*Chicago (+6.5) over NEW ORLEANS

Rotation #705 – 5:05 pm Pacific

Chicago is now 13-7 straight up and 17-4 ATS with Nikola Mirotic playing and my ratings favor New Orleans by just 4 points in this game with current rotations for each team (Chicago being without Kris Dunn makes no difference). I am once again on the Bulls. I’ll take Chicago in a 1-Star Best Bet at +6 points or more.

*Phoenix (+5) over MILWAUKEE

Rotation #711 – 5:05 pm Pacific

The Bucks are not the same team without superstar Giannis Antetokounmpo, who is scheduled to miss his second consecutive game. Milwaukee has been outscored by an average of 7 points in the 3 games they’ve played without Antetokounmpo this season and the one victory was an overtime win against tonight’s opponent back in November. I think the Suns can compete with the Bucks without their star again tonight, as my ratings favor the Bucks by just 2 ½ points without Antetokounmpo. That may not seem right but consider that every key player on the Bucks has a plus-minus per 48 minutes of -10 points or worse when they are not on the court with Antetokounmpo. Bledsoe’s plus-minus without Antetokounmpo is -78 points in 232 minutes (-16.1 PM per 48). Henson is -36 in 162.4 minutes (-10.6 per 48). Middleton is -133 points in 509.1 minutes (-12.5 per 48). Snell is -107 in 310.2 minutes (-16.6 per 48). Maker is -119 points in 337.6 without Antetokounmpo (-16.9). Brogdon is -122 in 388 minutes (-15.1) and Dellavedova is -56 points in 213.8 minutes without Antetokounmpo (-12.6 per 48). I don’t actually think the Bucks are more than 10 points worse than an average team without Antetokounmpo but they are certainly significantly worse and I don’t think the line has been adjusted enough. I’ll take Phoenix in a 1-Star Best Bet at +5 points or more.

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Joey Juice
25 DIME
Inter-Conference Lock


Phoenix over Milwaukee.

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Exodus to Black

CBB
V Tech +3.5
Ohio St-11.5
Baylor-5
West Virginia-2

NBA
Kings+10.5
Hawks+2.5
Pelicans-6.5
Bucks-5

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Vegas Killers

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1/22/2018

Game: Suns/Bucks

Pick: Bucks -4 (-110)


Recommended

Unit Play (Risk)

3.3 Units

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JM
NBA system bets for January 22:


Sacramento {A} bet - Sacramento is currently a confirmed official bet at this current bet level. However, they are very close to being the bottom 10% of the worst road record teams in the league. If Sacramento continues to lose games on the road while other worse road teams improve their road records over the coming days, then there is a chance that by the {B} and/or {C} bet that Sacramento may possibly fall into the category of the bottom 10% of road teams in the league. Please note that a series is considered unofficial if the team's road record is in the bottom 10% of the league.


Utah {A} bet - This is an unofficial bet because Utah has the bottom worst 10% road record in the NBA.


All the best,
The "Champ" Team.

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Millionaire club
strong
kansas state over

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Sports bank
strong
indiana

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Blackman Sports NCAAB Baylor -4

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The coach
lock
tcu

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NFAC

NHL
Coyotes -110 750

NBA
Rockets under 213 750
Nuggets -3 500

CBB
MSU over 146 500
Kansas st under 135 500
Texas Under 139 500

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Brian Edwards NCAAB Under 147 Mich St Illinois

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Wilbur the Beard

CBB Monday:
1. W. Virginia -2 -110, 3 units
2. Mich St -12 -110, 2 units
3. Neb/Ohio St over 138.5 -110, 2 units

NBA Monday:
1. Philly -3 -115, 3 units
2. Min/LAC under 222 -110, 2 units

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Sports Coyote Picks for January 22

1/22:
Fox Pick:
None

Dog Pick:
None

Coyote Pick:
Dallas Mavericks +1.5 -110

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NFAC


Added

NBA
Kings over 212 500
Philly under 204

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CleInsidersports

NCAAB
Nebraska +11

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MARIO ROJAS
Best pick:
007 Tampa -115 *2000

705 Chicago over 226. *1500
725 Nebraska +12 *1000
007 Tampa -1.5 +230 *1000