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Bookmaker ... on MIN-PHI
Vikes open -3, hit 3.5 early, back at 3 most of week.
"We haven't moved off the key number since an early adjustment to -3.5. Sharp and square bettors are pretty split on the side."
"We have just over 50% of (ATS) action on Philadelphia, while nearly 60% of tickets are on the home dog. ... It doesn't look like we'll have much exposure on this game from a total or side standpoint."
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CG Technology ... on MIN-PHI
Line at Vikes -3 pretty much all week. Pointspread betting is Pros vs. Joes.
"4X more Philly money on account, while 3X more Minnesota money over the counter."
Moneyline betting "1.5X more Minn. money on account, 2X more Philly money over counter, Sharps on Minnesota, public on Philadelphia." CG has also taken 4 mid-5-figure ATS bets on Eagles.
Book rooting for Vikings cover.
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72.1% ... That is what the New England Patriots with Tom Brady at quarterback are versus the point-spread the past 5 seasons when playing at home.
64% of those games have went OVER the total.
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Since 2003, NFL favorites have been profitable ATS during the regular season in: 2005, 2007, 2013 and 2017.
Underdogs are 27-13-1 ATS in the playoffs of those four seasons.
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The Action Network ...
Updated Championship spreads and public ticket %
Jaguars at Patriots (-7.5, 45.5)
NE: 64%
Vikings at Eagles (+3, 39)
MIN: 55%
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Beautiful football day in Foxboro.
Partly cloudy skies, temperatures in the mid-40's, very light winds (2-4 mph).
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Net scoring per game this season (pts scored minus pts allowed):
Jags: +8.8
Patriots: +10.8
Vikes: +7.9
Eagles overall: +9.8
Eagles w. Foles: +3.3
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Since 2003, when the line moves against a favorite in the playoffs, like the Patriots -9.5 to -7.5 ... teams are 11-29-2 (27.5%) ATS
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CG Technology ... on JAX-NE
Patriots open -9, got to -7 Friday on Brady injury news. Now. 7.5. On pointspread betting
"2.5X more Jacksonville money on account, 1.5X more New England money over the counter. Sharps on Jags, public on Pats."
On moneyline, "6X more Jacksonville money on account." Over-the-counter moneyline betting is split"
Total opened 46.5, dipped to 45, now 46
"2X more over money on account, 2.5X more under money over the counter. Sharps on over, public on under."
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Blake Bortles Passer Rating ... 2017 regular season
When leading game: 103.8
Tied: 82.3
Trailing: 66.1
1st Down: 103.7
3rd Down: 66.1
3rd Down (10+ yards to go): 46.1
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EARLY MARKET UPDATE ... NFC Championship
TIX-COUNT = VIKINGS 1.5 to 1 ... TOTAL : EVEN
$$$-BET = EAGLES 1.25 to 1 ... OVER 2 to 1
Result from AFC game will increase / lessen exposure for books.
Still very early, as majority of money bet hasn't reached the window.
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EARLY MARKET UPDATE ... AFC Championship
TIX-COUNT = PATRIOTS 2 to 1 ... OVER 2 to 1
$$$-BET = PATRIOTS 1.25 to 1 ... OVER 2.5 to 1
Books pleasantly surprised to not be too one-sided...
That's very rare when the Patriots are playing at home.
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Caesars Palace books ...
Patriots -7.5 (46)
53% of bets, 54% of the money wagered on point spread is on New England
Majority of action was on Jacksonville as of yesterday.
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Beautiful football evening in Philadelphia.
Partly cloudy skies, temperatures in the mid-40's, very light winds (2-5 mph).
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Patriots beginning to move to -8
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