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Super Bowl Betting Info
Playoff betting stats
Favorites: 1-9 ATS
Home Teams: 3-7 ATS
Home Favorites: 1-7 ATS
Home Underdogs: 2-0 ATS
Over/Under: 5-5
Over/Under Outdoors: 3-5
Over/Under Indoors: 2-0
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Bill Belichick is the most profitable coach in the Bet Labs database (2003) with 8 or more days between games:
40-28-3 ATS (+10.42 units)
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Eagles are 9th team to win Conference Champ Game by 30+ points in Super Bowl Era.
Previous 8 teams went 2-6 in Super Bowl.
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Playoffs included, the Patriots and Eagles are both 12-6 ATS, which ties them for 1st as the best bets this season.
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Eagles points allowed at home: 12.4
Eagles points allowed on the road: 23.5
That's the biggest disparity in the NFL
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The Super Bowl has gone to the dogs in the past 16 years with underdogs paying out at a profitable 12-4 ATS clip. In fact, five of the past six Super Bowls have been won outright by dogs, and eight of the past 10 have gone the same way at the betting window.
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The last Super Bowl favorite of more than a field goal to cover the spread?
Colts -7 vs the Bears in 2007
SB favorites of -3.5 or higher are 1-4 SU, 0-5 ATS since Rex Grossman’s 4th quarter pick 6
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Early line action has bettors leaning Philadelphia +5.5. Per Sports Insights
52% of spread tickets on the Eagles.
No surprise 62% have Philly on ML, 61% on the OVER (48)
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The Patriots have covered the spread 10 straight times when favored by less than seven points.
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Brady in seven Super Bowls: 15 TDs / 5 INTs / 95.3 QB rating
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Taking a look at the OVER/UNDER total which is hovering in the 48-point range, the UNDER has been the way to go in Patriots games, as it’s hit in 10 of their last 14, including six of eight outside of New England. Given how stingy their defense has been lately, it shouldn’t come as a shock to hear that the Eagles have gone UNDER in three of their last four games. Of course, recent Super Bowl history inconveniently works against all these UNDER trends, as the total has gone OVER in four of the last five games.
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Offensively, the game matches up the New England Patriots' No. 2-ranked offense (28.72 PPG) against a Philadelphia Eagles defense that ranks No. 2 at 17.33 PPG. The Patriots passing attack has averaged 280.67 yards per game, more than the Eagles give up through the air (227.5 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Eagles feature the league's No. 2-rated road run defense, allowing 88.88 yards per game. The Patriots, meanwhile, rank No. 14 in rushing offense at home.
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Eagles are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games as an underdog of 5 points or more.
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Real advantage for the Patriots is special teams
NE has 3rd best special teams per Football Outsiders, Philly ranked 18th
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Eagles DEF was 17th in NFL vs. TEs and 19th in defending middle of field (per Football Outsiders)
Patriots need a healthy Gronk
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Brady and Patriots ranked in top 2 in points and yards/game in regular season
Eagles defense 4th against both
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Eagles trying to become first team since 2013 Ravens to win 3 straight playoff games as underdogs
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Random trend ...
The Winning Team in 12 of the last 13 Super Bowls has worn their White Game Jerseys
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Over the last 2 seasons, the Patriots failed to cover the spread in consecutive games just once, vs Houston and Carolina this season.
They're 9-1 SU and ATS in their last 10 games after an ATS loss.
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The national anthem over/under is set at 2 minutes but the OVER will cost you between -140 to -180
The average for the last 12 years ... 1:58.6
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