Sports Insights ...
Eagles continue to get the majority of bets. ... Now up to 60% at our contributing books.
25,335 bets and counting
Sports Insights ...
Eagles continue to get the majority of bets. ... Now up to 60% at our contributing books.
25,335 bets and counting
Orange has been the Gatorade bath color of choice in four of the last eight Super Bowls.
Yet, somehow, it is only the 2nd fave this year at +250. Yellow is favored at +225 (Bovada).
CG Technology ...
Pats open -6, now -5
"On the pointspread, we've taken 2.5X more bets on the Eagles, and the money is 1.6X more on the Eagles."
Moneyline opened NE -220 / PHI +180 ... Now -200 / +175
"Moneyline is an even bigger spread, which is not surprising, because fewer people want to lay the favorite on the moneyline."
Moneyline betting ... "Tickets are running 4X more on the Eagles. The money is slightly more on the Patriots, but that still means our liability is significantly more on the Eagles, because of the plus price.”
William Hill's 108 sports books across Nevada including their phone wagering ...
69% of all the cash taken on the point spread coming on the Patriots, who they have favored by 5-points
Only 51% of the tickets written are slanted to the Eagles.
Boyd Gaming / Westgate SuperBook & Station Casinos all join MGM Resorts by dropping Patriots to -4.5 today
Peter Childs, director of trading for offshore shop Sportsbook.ag.
“We opened New England a solid 6.5-point favorite, figuring Tom Brady and the Patriots would garner most of the action in their eighth Super Bowl appearance. Boy, were we wrong,” Childs said. “All the early money was on the Eagles and for the most part continues to be on the Eagles.”
Childs said it took about 30 minutes Sunday night to move from 6.5 to 6. The line dropped to 5.5 early Monday morning.
“While we started to see some Patriots money at -5.5, it wasn't nearly enough, as we continued to see more money on the Eagles at that price. On Monday evening, we got to Pats -5, which is our current number. At 5, we're seeing some real nice two-way action, and I believe we'll be holding at 5 for a good while.”
It’s not just pointspread betting drawing concern at Sportsbook.ag. Childs said major moneyline liability is building up on the underdog Eagles.
“We're seeing tons of Eagles money, from the opener of +185 to what we're currently dealing, +170,” Childs said. “We're seeing a good 2/1 ratio of Eagles moneyline, and since all that money is at a plus payout, our liability has gotten a bit out of hand. At this point, I believe we'll go lower on this moneyline as we get closer to game day, but for now, we're going to hold tight at -200/+170.
“One thing we've seen and expect to see more of as we get closer to game day is that, while the amount of tickets is very much in favor of the Eagles, the bigger wagers have been laying the big lumber on the Pats moneyline.”
Sportsbook.ag opened 47.5, went to 48 in a matter of minutes Sunday night, then went to 48.5 on Monday. The total was still at 48.5 Thursday afternoon.
“We were hit with all over money on that opener,” Childs said. “So far, 65 percent of the money is on the over, and it's our belief that as we get closer to game day, we're just going to see more and more over money. So we want to be a bit high (with where our total is) on this game.”
South Point ...
"A player just played $500,000 on Eagles moneyline at 4 different numbers to win just over $800,000"
South Point is now the 5th Vegas book to drop Patriots down to -4.5
Originally Posted by New York Knight
$100K / $150K / $150K and $100K at +175, +170, +160, and +150, respectively.
(Average of +164)
Here's a way too early action report on the opening coin toss from Will Hill ...
Only two quarterbacks have started in a Super Bowl after having fewer regular season starts that season than Nick Foles (3)
Redskins Doug Williams (1987) and Giants Jeff Hostetler (1990) both started two games during the regular season and both won the Super Bowl
The first Patriots -4 showed up in Vegas at Boyd Gaming properties this morning
-4 (-120)
ML prices continue to drop
Best NE price is -180 at South Point and Boyd Gaming
Best PHI price is +180 at Caesars Palace
Over/Under averages 48.5 with low of 48 at Westgate / CG Technology / MGM / Caesars / Wynn / Golden Nugget ... high of 49 at Boyd Gaming
Eagles possibly the best of the 8 Patriots Super Bowl opponents in the Brady/Belichick era ...
Only opponent with a top 5 scoring offense and top 5 scoring defense
Only opponent to win conference championship by 30+ points
Only opponent with a defense top 5 in PPG, YPG, and takeaways
Teams that won the conference championship by 20 or more points have gone 7-11 SU and ATS in the Super Bowl
Will there be a safety?
Last 5 years ... 92.6% of games did NOT feature a safety
Here are the latest trends from Will Hill's 108 Nevada Sports Books and on the Mobile Sports app as of Friday 2:45PM EST ...
CG Technology ...
"We took a $700,000 bet on Eagles moneyline today and now have well into 7-figure liability on Eagles moneyline as of now"
O/U 3.5 sacks has gone OVER 3 straight and 6 of the last 7 Super Bowls
The team to score first wins the game is 5-1 the last 6 years
The shortest TD UNDER 1.5 yards is 4-1 the last 5 years
Either team 3 unanswered scores is 5-1 the last 6 years
No Overtime (-800) ... 88.9% implied chance
In last 5 years, 94.1% of games have NOT gone to OT
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