Caesars Palace ...
Early Super Bowl coin flip betting
1.5 times more bets on heads ... Money is even.
Caesars Palace ...
Early Super Bowl coin flip betting
1.5 times more bets on heads ... Money is even.
Sports Insights ...
Public continues to bet Eagles (57%) and the Over 48 (63%)
49,218 total bets tracked
In-game trends ...
The team that scored first has won 8 of the last 10 Super Bowls.
Teams who are scoreless at the end of the 1st quarter and whose opponents are not are 6-20 SU.
Teams leading by more than 3 points at the end of the 3rd are 40-6 SU.
Vegas Gambling Steam ...
Eagles +4 (55%)
NFL: 71-56 Season
William Hill expects 2 more million dollar bets and one could be today.
Expected to be on the Eagles plus the points.
That would be (4) $1 million+ bets on Eagles. None reported on Patriots to this point.
CG Technology ...
2.6 times as much money has been bet on Philly plus the points as has been bet on New England
Pinnacle ...
Spread
Eagles (+4.5) 51%
Patriots (-4.5) 49%
ML
Eagles 69%
Patriots 31%
Total (48)
Over 79%
Under 21%
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of the Patriots' last 14 games. The average combined score in these games was 42.14.
Patriots and Eagles have combined to allow just 35.6 points per game this season.
Wynn sportsbook director John Avello ...
"We saw a lot of Patriots money yesterday"
"We took three-quarters of a million on them between the point-spread and money-line. We also got a lot more action on the Over as well. We hadn't seen too much on the total yet until yesterday."
Avello hasn't moved the spread despite the action. He's been at -4.5 since Friday after opening -6.5 following the championship games. He also hasn't moved the total off 48 since then. However, he did move the Patriots money-line up to -185/+165.
Despite the Patriots money, things still aren't even yet.
"We're still high on the Eagles right now, but's it's evening out," Avello said.
The Patriots money is encouraging, but Avello is working his 31st Super Bowl behind the counter in Las Vegas and never assumes or expects anything.
"We've got 90% of our action still to come and I can't begin to tell you who we'll need by the time this game kicks off," he said. "I just don't know yet, I could be $2 million high on the Pats by then."
The clientele at Wynn is completely different from the average visitor staying throughout town. Some of these guys flow into town with a few million to get some thrills with and most of the time they don't even care what the number is when betting. These guys were laying -4.5 when they could have laid -4 at multiple bet shops. They did, however, get the best of the money-line. Several books were showing -180.
So what can we expect in the next 36 hours? Has the lowest number flat-lined at -4? Will we see sharper action jump in now on the Pats as it could be the lowest it'll get? This story is going to really heat up on Thursday and Friday as more of these whales start arriving from the long line of private jets streaming into town.
Boyd Gaming ...
had the first sports books in Vegas dropping down to -4 (-110) on Friday and after a full weekend of action they raised the juice on the Eagles to + 4 -115 (Patriots -4 -105).
Going to -3.5 is surely not an option book director Bob Scucci wants to entertain at this juncture, but the rising risk is obviously causing some uneasiness. Scucci has had the best number in two different moves on two separate days and didn't get the Patriots money desired.
Atlantis Reno ...
"It's been steady so far," said Atlantis Reno sports book director Marc Nelson. "Most of the big bets we've taken we're just following the Eagles move."
The Atlantis opened Patriots -6 -105 and a total at 48 just before the conference championship games were over. They dropped to -5.5 two days later and Saturday dropped to -4.5. On Thursday, they attached a small piece of extra juice to the Eagles +4.5 -115 (Patriots -4.5 -105).
"We've had a smattering of some Over money, but we haven't had to get off 48 the entire time," said Nelson, who previously ran books in Las Vegas for most of his 25-year career.
"I don't see this ending up being too big of a decision for us," he said. "I know the Patriots money is eventually coming and we're in good shape with futures."
Nelson admitted he was currently long on the Eagles and asked why anyone would bet the Patriots right now as the number and money-line is dropping. He's not alarmed yet saying that 90 percent of his overall Super Bowl action has yet to arrive.
The Atlantis posted its Super Bowl props on Saturday and a couple of them have stood out with bettors placing limit wagers.
"They bet a lot of 'NO' in whether or not there will be a score in last 2 minutes of the game," Nelson said. "It started at +175 and its all the way down to +115 now. They also liked Jay Ajayi getting Over 1.5 receptions."
Originally Posted by New York Knight
A bettor just placed a total of $1,600,000 on the Eagles to cover the Point Spread +4.5.
The bettor placed $1,100,000 on the Eagles +4.5 (-110) and $500,000 on the Eagles +4.5 (-115).
The wagers were placed at the William Hill Sports Book inside the Baha Mar Casino (Nassau, The Bahamas).
If the dog covers on Sunday, the bettor will net $1,434,782
Updated action charts ... Wednesday 1/31
South Point ...
"70% of all parlays are connected to the over"
BetOnline ...
Happens first:
Either Patriots or Eagles score a TD (+125) ... "Dilly dilly" said in a commercial (-155)
82% of bets on Dilly Dilly
Most popular MVPs at Bovada
Brady 22% of handle
Foles 16%
Ajayi 6%
Lewis 4%
Amendola 4%
The price for the national anthem to go OVER 2 minutes was just raised to -175.
Steam coming in on the OVER.
In 7 Super Bowls with Brady/Belichick, the Patriots have scored 0 points in the 1st quarter
70% of 1H tickets are taking the Eagles (+3) at Sports Insights contributing offshore books
Posting Permissions
Reply With Quote
