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Thread: Service Plays Super Bowl LII Sunday 2/4/18

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    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Service Plays Super Bowl LII Sunday 2/4/18


    February 4, 2018 at 6:30 pm ET | U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, Minnesota | NBC




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    Micah Roberts Eagles +5
    Stephen Oh Eagles +5.5 and +200

    Sportsline computer prediction Patriots 24 Eagles 21

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    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Marc Lawrence

    Super Bowl Website Play - Eagles + 5

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    Madden 18 Super Bowl Sim

    Pats 24 eagles 20

    Since 2004 Madden has picked 10 out of 14 winners

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    Brandon Lang Super Bowl

    My 200 Dime Super Sunday move is the Eagles over the Patriots. The current line is +4 1/2 in Vegas and offshore as of 3:00 AM Eastern Monday morning. Be sure to shop around for the best price available. Now if this price drops to +4 (or +3 1/2, which is unlikely) I want you to buy up the 1/2-point on Philadelphia.

    Brandon Lang Prop Bets:
    Coin Toss - Tails
    National Anthem - Under
    1st score field goal - (+120)
    Team to record 1st sack - Eagles (Even)
    Eagles score in every quarter - Yes (+140)
    Rushing attempts by Nick Foles - 1 1/2 - Over -130
    Zack Ertz receptions - 5 1/2 - Over -110
    Will Tom Brady throw an INT - Yes (+130)
    First player to score - Torrey Smith (18-1)
    Super Bowl MVP - Nick Foles (4-1)
    Free Heber! Heber Carl Jentzsch, 82, President of the Church of Scientology International, is believed to be held in a Scientology prison (RPF). He has not been seen since 2005.

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    Good Fella

    3* NE (ML)

    Add

    Top Prop Bets (play for smaller size plays. Toss a 1/2* or a 1* on these)

    Longest Field Goal OVER 47 yards (-120)

    Chris Hogan scores 1st TD +1500

    few more coming
    Last edited by bmd1803; 02-02-2018 at 09:34 PM.

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    Spartan

    3* Eagles

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    Buster Sports

    5% Total Over 48.0 (+102)

    Our selection is on the Eagles/Patriots OVER 48
    We just love the idea of giving Tom Brady and Bill Belichick two weeks to come up with a game plan to exploit the Eagles pass defense. There is no doubt the Eagles who have the number one rushing defense will be able to stop NE on the ground but we doubt very much that they will be able to stop them through the air. Philadelphia was ranked 17th in passing defense this year and although that is very decent, Jacksonville was number 1 and Brady and Co put up 273 on them. We believe Brady will have a big passing game, as this might be his last time getting to a Super Bowl and he should be able to put some big yards against the Eagles.
    The Eagles come into this game off a HUGE domination of the Minnesota Vikings. QB Nick Foles has not been receiving the respect that we believe he deserves. The journeyman has played excellent in the two Eagles playoff games going against some very tough defenses in Atlanta and Minnesota. Now he gets his chance to go up against the 30th ranked pass D of the Patriots. We know that Brady has all the experience when it comes to this game but we also know Foles is paid a lot of money to do what he is doing and although he might have some early nerves we totally believe he will help the Eagles offense put up a bunch of points today. The Eagles averaged 28.6 points in the regular season, which was good for second in the NFL in scoring tying them with the Patriots. We know most of that damage was done with QB Carson Wentz but nothing tells us any different that QB Foles will not have his way with this porous New England defense.
    Backing our selection is the fact that the Over is 12-2 in Eagles last 14 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game and the fact that the Over is 8-2 in Patriots last 10 playoff games. We had this total when it came out on Monday at 51. Now that Gronkowski has been cleared to play come game time on Sunday you will see this total at 49 1/2 and maybe 50.
    So let’s get the job done with the New England/Philadelphia game OVER 48.

    We have two Prop selections that we played and still have great value. When betting props you should shop around as we all know 1 yrd or point can be the difference in a winner or a loser.
    These are from Pinnacle and Bet 365 as of Friday Morning


    Number 1 Prop Bet James White OVER 3 1/2 receptions plus 114

    Number 2 Prop Bet Total Rushing yards game UNDER 200.5 minus 110


    Good Luck with all your plays
    Don Buster
    Last edited by bmd1803; 02-02-2018 at 03:33 PM. Reason: Add write up

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    SportsInsights

    over 48

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    The Prez

    4% Philadelphia Eagles +4.5


    The following 10 Props can be wagered on at most all Vegas and Offshore Sportsbooks. The following prices used in this Super Bowl analysis were provided by BET365.


    1. Total Rushing Yards Under 200.5 -110
    2. Total Sacks Under 4.5 +100
    3. Dion Lewis Under 14.5 -125
    4. Dion Lewis Under 55.5 -110
    5. Jay Ajayi Over 14.5 +100
    6. Jay Ajayi Over 62.5 -120
    7. Total Pass Yards – Under 537.5 -120
    8. Total FGs – Exactly 3 +280
    9. Results Score and Total – Phi and Under +333
    10. Total Touchdowns Over 4 -200

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    King Creole


    2* New England / Philadelphia over 48

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    Raphael Esparza (VSI)


    4 Unit Play. Take #101 Under 48 Philadelphia vs New England (6:30p.m., Sunday February 4 NBC)


    I do believe Sunday night in Minnesota at the U.S. Bank Stadium we will see a close and hard fought Super Bowl with a low scoring game. The Super Bowl loser in the past 12 years has scored no more then 17 points and the Eagles defense in their last two-playoff games have given a total of 17 points. The Patriots defense has also played really well coming into this game Sunday night and the Pats have been trending UNDER games going 2-5 OU in their last 7 games. No matter who wins this Super Bowl Sunday night I see a close game with the winners winning by 4-points or less and I see this game flying UNDER the total. New England last 14 games 10 of them have gone UNDER and the Eagles are 4-10-1 O/U in their last 15 playoff games.



    NFL SUPER BOWL PROP PLAYS



    3 Unit Play. Take Philadelphia +7.5 -180 (Pointspread Proposition) over New England (6:30p.m., Sunday February 4 NBC)


    Like I said in the write-up up above this will be a close game and the winner will win by 4-points or less. Patriots won last year in the Super Bowl 34-28 and the Patriots won in Super Bowl 49 28-24 and if the Pats win this game they won't win by a touchdown. The Eagles impressed me both playoff games and we hit two big unit plays in both playoff games and Sunday night we hit a nice 3-Unit Point Spread prop with the Philadelphia Eagles.


    2 Unit Play. Take Philadelphia Total Points in SB -180 over Total Goals in Sunday's 3 NHL Games (6:30p.m., Sunday February 5 FOX)


    Three NHL games are going on Sunday before the Super Bowl kicks off and I'm seeing anywhere from 16-19 goals being scored. I do see the Eagles scoring around in the low 20's against the Patriots defense and if Nick Foles gets hot then I see us having no problem winning this Super Bowl prop.


    6 Unit Play. Take Giannis Antetokounmpo -1/2 -110 over New England Total Points in Super Bowl (6:30p.m., Sunday February 5 FOX)


    The Milwaukee Bucks star the Greek Freak is on the road Super Bowl Sunday in Brooklyn and I see him having a big day in Brooklyn. The Greek Freak is averaging 28.5ppg and the Nets as a team is giving an average of 108.8ppg. The Eagles in their last two NFL playoff games they held the Falcons and Viking to a total of 17 points and the Eagles defense is one of the main reasons why I see the Greek Freak having more points then the New England Patriots on Super Bowl Sunday.

    These are all the plays Super Bowl Sunday and at this time I would like to say Thank You for your purchases and next year we go for three straight winning NFL/NCAAF seasons. Your next update will be in August 2018. Be sure to check out the L.V. Informs on my profile page for daily updates and free picks.

    Good Luck to All - Raphael Esparza (The Vegas Sports Informer)
    Last edited by New York Knight; 02-01-2018 at 09:12 PM.

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    E.K. Sports Associates NFL Playoffs (0-4) College Bowls (9-14)


    SUPER BOWL - February 4, 2018

    6:30 pm ET 3 unit Best Bet - Philadelphia Eagles +4.5 -110

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    Tom Stryker

    15-0 ATS & 14-0 ATS SUPER BOWL BEST BET

    Patriots

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    Norm Hitzges


    Double Play - Eagles +5

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    Greg Shaker


    3* Philadelphia + 5.5


    When this season began the clear strength of the Philadelphia Eagles was their defensive line. Then Wentz became their biggest strength. Now it's their defensive line again. NOBODY has been able to stop this crew from reeking havoc with QB's. This is a deep team on the line and they are going to get to Brady. Brady does not do well when he is pressured so we think this is absolutely the key to the win and we do think Philly will win the game outright. Yes I will have some money line money on this one. We saw how they Pats barely beat the Jags and it was not all about "The Hand." Jacksonville's D had a lot to do with the Narrow Patriots win. Foles may not be Wentz but he's not that bad and is getting better and better with each game. The Eagles, unli™ke the Jags are a team that is built to play with the lead. They are not likely to fold on Sunday. We are also expecting Philly to create some turnovers as well, just like they have all year. This was an easy selection for us and is a 3* Play at any number you can get...Props hitting all week and should be played for 1% each unless otherwise noted. Your Lines on these will vary from Book to Book. I am going to post what I think are Consensus Lines..


    Super Bowl LII Prop Bets

    1) Under 9.5 Points 1st Quarter -110
    2) Will Zach Ertz will Score a TD. YES +145
    3) Total Sacks by Both Teams Over 4.5 -115
    4) Patriots Over 1.5 Field Goals -140

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    Quote Originally Posted by bmd1803 View Post
    Spartan

    3* Eagles


    Well here we are. This is the one game each year that ends up being the poster child for the term paralysis of analysis. You will, over the time leading up to kick off hear so many varying opinions you will get dizzy. There will be legitimate football insiders who will clash in their predictions. Happens every year. So welcome to this guys opinion. While I have the absolute utmost respect for Tom Brady and Coach B. I cannot get past the stubborn fact that their defense simply is not in reality all that good this time around. They finished 29th overall in the league in total defense and that is simply not an ideal recipe for winning another Lombardi trophy. On the flip side this Eagles defense seems to be peaking at the exact right time. They basically abused the Vikings in that title game. They also held on against a very explosive Falcons team. The Patriots have a proven knack for coming from behind and have proven it. I will not be shocked if they pull the win out but no way am I comfortable laying these points to a red hot Eagles team playing with a swagger right now. Lets take just a moment and look at the Patriots history in the super bowl. And let's go back away's and check the good and bad. Yes, last year they won by 6 over the Falcons but it took a miracle to do it. In my view a combination of gritty play from Brady and company along with some choking by the Falcons. Sorry. In 2015 they beat Seattle by four points when they held up on the goal line, remember that. I stand by my opinion had Lynch gotten the ball on the last play that would have ended differently. In 2012 they lost to the Giants outright 21-17. In 2008 they also lost to the Giants. In 2005 they beat the Eagles but only by 3 points 24-21. In 2004 they beat the Panthers but by only 3 points 32-29. In 2002 theÚy beat the Rams but only by 3 points 20-17. There is a common theme here, they play close games fellas. No reason in the world against this Eagles team we should anticipate anything different in my own view. Nick Foles has stepped in under tough circumstances and improved game by game. Doug Pederson has worked some magic with Foles. I could go on and on but the bottom line here is I do think the Eagles will have success moving the chains on this Patriots defense and I am very confident the Eagles defense will hound Brady all game long. A lot of these games turn into blow outs but nothing here suggests that to me. I expect a close battle that will likely go down to the wire. I am going Triple on the Eagles plus the points.

    Now, I have won 10 of my last 12 super bowl plays. That is very solid but it is not 100%. My long term clients know I don't deal in BS like locks. Never have. PLEASE do not wager more than you can afford on any one event, super bowl or not. Not trying to preach, quite the opposite. Trying to help. Please also check back as I likely will add some props as well as we draw closer to game day.

    Many thanks as always and best of luck to all of us. Enjoy the big game.


    Prop Wager: Bovada, Will both teams make a field goal of 33 yards or more in the game. I say play the No at +125.

    Prop Wager: Will a special teams or defensive touchdown be scored? Yes, +180

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    GC: NCAAB

    Super Bowl Highest Rated release is up with 4 Perfect systems and Multiple Power Angles and Historical data up now along with all the props. In Hoops we have the PAC 12 Play of the Month and a 5* NBA Side. NCAAB Total of the year cashes on Saturday. NCAAB Comp play below.


    The NCAAB Comp play for Super Bowl Sunday is on Tulane plus the 2-3 points. Tulane is much better this year then in years past and already stunned Temple on the road as a 10 point dog. The Green Wave are 3-0 straight up a as home dogs and 3-0 at home with a 140-145 point total. They have won 9 of 12 here this year. Temple is off their biggest win in Years shocking Wichita St last out. Temple may bounce big here and even with Home loss revenge they have failed to cover 4 of 5. They are 0-2 on he road with a 140 to 145 point total and have failed to cover 14 of 19 as a favorite. This line shoots up to +3.5 and we will unit rate this play. Ride the Green Wave tonight. On Super Sunday we have a Huge Highest Rated Release going with 4 amazing perfect systems and over a dozen angles and historical Super Bowl specific indicators. In Hoops we have the PAC 12 Game of the Month and a 5* Perfect system NBA Play. Congrats to those with us on Saturday cashing our NCAAB Total of the Year. Message or see us on facebook to jump on now. For the NCAAB Free pick. Play on Tulane plus the 2-3 points. Rob V- GC Sports

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    From Teyas Sports.

    2/4/2018

    GUARANTEE NFL PATRIOTS -4 MUST WIN OR ALL MONDAYS PLAYS ARE FREE

    BONUS PLAYS NFL PATRIOTS UNDER 48 1/2 CBB OHIO ST OVER 143 MARYLAND -8 1/2 ARIZONA ST -8

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