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Thursday 1-25-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
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Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct
RACE #3 - AQUEDUCT - 1:18 PM EASTERN POST
The Busanda Stales
9.0 FURLONGS DIRT THREE YEAR OLD FILLIES STAKES $100,000.00 PURSE
#5 HAIL
#1 MIDNIGHT DISGUISE
#3 WEALTH EFFECT
#2 OLDFASHIONED STYLE
Well folks ... this race is named after Busanda, who won the Alabama stakes in 1950. The race is also a prep race for the Kentucky Oaks. Here in the 45th running of The Busanda (which was originally scheduled for January 21st (frozen/snowed out) ... #5 HAIL has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in both of her two career starts to date, including a "POWER RUN WIN" to break her maiden in her last start. Jockey Dylan Davis was in her irons for that win, 25 days ago here at "The Big-A." and is back this afternoon here in Ozone Park for his 2nd ride, gunning for back-to-back "Circle Trips!" #1 MIDNIGHT DISGUISE has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in each of his respective three career starts to date, including back-to-back, "POWER RUN WINS" in his first two outings.
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Charles Town
Charles Town - Race 7
Daily Double (7-8) / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta
Claiming $8,000 • 4 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 65 • Purse: $12,500 • Post: 9:47P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 25 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 25 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000, IF FOR $7,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $6,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN WEIGHT ALLOWANCES)(W V A RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY) (WINNERS PREFERRED).
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * JEFFERSON BOP: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five poin ts lower than the Class Rating of its last race. ROCKET BID: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. HEAD FOR THE HILLS: Horse is dropping into a race which has an C lass Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. RETURNTASENDA: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. LIKE THAT: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equi base Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
4
JEFFERSON BOP
6/1
6/1
1
ROCKET BID
8/1
6/1
9
HEAD FOR THE HILLS
12/1
8/1
2
RETURNTASENDA
3/1
8/1
7
LIKE THAT
5/1
8/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
3
DADDY'S HEIRESS
3
9/2
Front-runner
55
48
70.6
34.5
22.5
2
RETURNTASENDA
2
3/1
Front-runner
67
57
59.1
50.5
39.5
4
JEFFERSON BOP
4
6/1
Front-runner
69
68
51.4
63.6
57.1
7
LIKE THAT
7
5/1
Alternator/Stalker
72
67
71.4
54.6
48.6
9
HEAD FOR THE HILLS
9
12/1
Alternator/Stalker
73
86
71.1
41.7
35.7
6
REAL CATCHY TUNE
6
4/1
Alternator/Stalker
67
59
60.0
56.0
46.0
1
ROCKET BID
1
8/1
Alternator/Stalker
77
63
46.6
58.2
53.7
5
WARRIOR'S BATON
5
10/1
Alternator/Non-contender
60
54
64.0
44.4
26.9
8
FURRFIELD FURRST
8
15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
62
51
46.8
41.0
26.0
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 7 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $15000 Class Rating: 67
FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 3 STRAHAN 3/1
# 9 FIRST TO SCORE 5/1
# 1 ELLERBE 7/2
I think STRAHAN is a strong choice. Facing a much less demanding lot than last time out. Recent figures for the jockey - 21 win percent - make this gelding stand out in this field. This gelding gets a boost with Thornton in the irons. FIRST TO SCORE - Posted a competitive Equibase Speed Figure last time out. The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Hurley running at this distance are the most respectable in this group. ELLERBE - Has put up reliable Equibase Speed Figures in dirt route races in the past. He has a good opportunity in this race as conditioner, Burress, has very strong win rate with horses going this distance.
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Gulfstream Park - Race #3 - Post: 1:33pm - Maiden Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $21,000 Class Rating: 81
Rating: 4
#4 X Y RUNNER (ML=2/1)
X Y RUNNER - You always have to be on the watch for money generating rider/trainer teams; we have it right here. Have to make this colt a solid contender; he comes off a nice effort on Dec 31st. Just look at his most recent speed fig, 81. That one fits in this field. Ranks uppermost in earnings per start. A strong outing right here can augment that bankroll.
Vulnerable Contenders: #5 FRANK THE BUTCHER (ML=7/5), #8 RUN FOR THE CUP (ML=9/2), #3 FULLBACK FOYE (ML=8/1),
FRANK THE BUTCHER - This colt hasn't had any recent success in short distance contests. Tough to play him in this race. RUN FOR THE CUP - Hasn't hit the board in any sprint affairs lately. Doubtful to see him doing it this time either. Unlikely for this vulnerable equine to do much today. The very long layoff is a troublesome sign. This closer will probably be closing much too late to make an impression in this event. FULLBACK FOYE - You think this animal is going to win just because he's always close. Just doesn't finish on top often. Won't be easy for this thoroughbred to beat this group off of that last fig. Improbable to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's Equibase class figure, so put him on the likely underlays list.
Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - X Y RUNNER - Racing pattern would suggest this racer is in good shape for today's race. I'd calculate a good performance.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#4 X Y RUNNER to win at post-time odds of 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
None
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
None
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Oaklawn Park
Oaklawn Park - Race 1
First Half Daily Double / Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 10 Cent Superfecta
Maiden Claiming $25,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 54 • Purse: $26,000 • Post: 1:30P
FOR ARKANSAS BRED (WHICH QUALIFY UNDER RULES GOVERNING ARKANSAS-BREDS) MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Dominant Stalker. MISS D IRISH is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SASSY OLIVIA ANN: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distanc e/surface. MISS D IRISH: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. ENDLESS BLOOM: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
3
SASSY OLIVIA ANN
8/1
7/2
6
MISS D IRISH
7/2
7/2
1
ENDLESS BLOOM
15/1
7/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
4
SWEET SWEET KIM
4
8/1
Alternator/Front-runner
54
50
52.3
43.9
33.4
10
SUZY JONES BURROW
10
20/1
Alternator/Front-runner
51
26
49.4
27.6
12.6
13
TRINTRIN
13
12/1
Stalker
59
60
39.0
36.7
28.7
1
ENDLESS BLOOM
1
15/1
Stalker
56
52
35.4
44.4
37.4
6
MISS D IRISH
6
7/2
Alternator/Stalker
0
0
76.8
46.5
41.5
3
SASSY OLIVIA ANN
3
8/1
Alternator/Stalker
81
73
55.2
45.5
42.0
9
WILBURN'S ANGEL
9
30/1
Trailer
0
0
23.1
32.1
21.1
7
SATIN SUPRISE
7
20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0
0
40.6
24.6
6.6
12
BUTTON MUSHROOM
12
6/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0
0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Unknown Running Style: CINDERELLA'S GOLD (10/1) [Jockey: Mcmahon Cj - Trainer: Caldwell J R], MICHELLE'S GRACE (4/1) [Jockey: Thompson Terry J - Trainer: Martin William N], SKYLAR'S KISS (9/2) [Jockey: Morales Edgar - Trainer: Cates Al], SOPHIE'S POC
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Penn National
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 1 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $15400 Class Rating: 78
FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE DECEMBER 25, 2017 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 25, 2017 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000, IF FOR $9,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 10 MAJESTIC BLOOM 10/1
# 8 GIA ALEXA 5/1
# 5 G. I. GIRL 12/1
MAJESTIC BLOOM is the best bet in this race and is a competitive value wager given the line. A solid 88 avg Equibase class figure may give this mare a distinct class edge versus this field. She has been running quite well and the speed figures are among the strongest in this group. If you gander closely, this one has some longshot potential. GIA ALEXA - With a reliable 67 average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's contest. Solid rider with trainer figures make this horse a strong selection. G. I. GIRL - Is a solid contender based on figures garnered recently under today's conditions. The average class figure of 64 makes this horse difficult to beat.
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Santa Anita - Race #3 - Post: 2:02pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $28,000 Class Rating: 112
Rating: 3
#9 SOUTHERN FREEDOM (ML=5/1)
#2 CROWN THE KITTEN (ML=3/1)
#8 STREET MOXIE (ML=7/2)
SOUTHERN FREEDOM - Bejarano should be able to place this horse right behind the front runners. Ideally, Bejarano will rate behind the leaders, then surge on the turn. I wouldn't worry too much about the layoff; this horse is ready to run today. The 107 most recent race speed fig looks sound in the TrackMaster PPs. CROWN THE KITTEN - In this race here, this pony has clearly shown signs that he likes the grass. His speed figures are the highest in the field for this dist/surf. STREET MOXIE - Wong will try adding blinks today in hopes of an improved performance.
Vulnerable Contenders: #7 CONQUEST DADDYO (ML=6/1), #6 PREACHER ROE (ML=6/1), #1 CLEVER ROYAL (ML=6/1),
CONQUEST DADDYO - This less than sharp equine will probably need at least one more run after the lackluster showing following the long breather. Not likely that the speed figure he notched on January 13th will hold up in this race. PREACHER ROE - Last viewed on September 22nd at Los Alamitos (Thoroughbre. Probably needs to race into form.
Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - CROWN THE KITTEN - This horse is a very strong wagering opportunity. He has been claimed each time off his last two starts.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #9 SOUTHERN FREEDOM on the win end if we get at least 4/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Skip
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [2,8,9] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[2,8,9] with [2,8,9] with [2,5,6,8,9] with [2,5,6,8,9] Total Cost: $36
SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
[2,8,9] with [2,8,9] with [2,5,8,9] with [2,4,5,6,8,9] with [2,4,5,6,8,9] Total Cost: $72
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Mike Wynn
Free Play: Free Pick Long Beach St -2 Over Cal Poly
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Free Selection from Jim Feist
Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Thursday, January 25, 2017
1/25 04:35 PM PT / 7:35 PM ET
NBA (501) SACRAMENTO KINGS VS (502) MIAMI HEAT
TAKE : MIAMI HEAT
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Jeff Allen Sports
Thursday's Free Selection is on the Boston Bruins
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Razor Sharp
YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR THURSDAY: Take JAMES MADISON +3 over NC-Wilmington
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Totals4U
Thursday's Free Selection: Utah/Arizona State under 156 1/2
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John Anthony Sports
Thursday's Free Selection: Pacific Tigers + 5
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Atlantic Sports
Thursday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Georgia State - 3
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#1 Sports
Thursday's Free Selection: San Diego Toreros - 9
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Easy Money Sports
Lee's Free Thursday Selection Is
SMU -6
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Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Thursday: Take TROY -3½ over UL-Monroe
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Huddle Up Sports
Free Play: S Florida +15
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Hawkeye Sports
Thursday's Free Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning - 120
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