-
Saturday 1-27-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
-
Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct
RACE #3 - AQUEDUCT - 1:18 PM EASTERN POST
The Toboggan Stakes
7.0 FURLONGS DIRT GRADE III FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $100,000.00 PURSE
#2 TAKAFUL
#3 VULCAN'S FORGE
#5 LIFE IN SHAMBLES
#4 GREAT STUFF
Well folks ... before 1896, this race was called the Toboggan Slide because it took place on the downhill Eclipse course at Morris Park Racecourse in the Bronx. Here in the 128th running of The Toboggan, #2 TAKAFUL, takes as class drop (-13) has excellent early speed abilities to compliment for this sprint at today's "specialized distance" of 7.0 furlongs on the dirt, is the pace profile leader, and has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in three of his last four outings, including "POWER RUN WINS" in both his 2nd and 4th races back, which is indicative of a "Bounce Pattern" folks ... and the BoUnCe will be UP/POSITIVE this afternoon if this pattern continues. #3 VULCAN'S FORGE, a 4-1 shot, has turned in "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" in five straight, hitting the board in four of those outings, with a pair of "POWER RUN WINS" found in both his last start, as well as in his 5th race back.
-
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Charles Town
Charles Town - Race 1
Daily Double (1-2) / Pick 4 (Races 1-2-3-4) / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3)
Claiming $5,000 • 4 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 57 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 7:00P
FOR ACCREDITED WEST VIRGINIA-BRED FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 27 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 27 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000, IF FOR $4,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (WINNERS PREFERRED).
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. MORE ABUNDANCE is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MORE ABUNDANCE: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. H orse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. TRUE MAGIC: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. BEDTIME FOR BONZO: Today is a sprint, horse is a F ront-runner with an inside post position. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
5
MORE ABUNDANCE
8/5
4/1
2
TRUE MAGIC
7/2
9/2
1
BEDTIME FOR BONZO
4/1
7/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
2
TRUE MAGIC
2
7/2
Front-runner
60
56
60.0
47.8
42.8
1
BEDTIME FOR BONZO
1
4/1
Front-runner
55
48
54.0
43.0
35.5
6
EARLY BOP
6
15/1
Front-runner
42
43
53.0
37.8
26.8
5
MORE ABUNDANCE
5
8/5
Alternator/Front-runner
61
52
68.2
48.2
43.7
3
FIBER OPTIC TECH
3
3/1
Alternator/Stalker
51
54
53.4
46.2
41.7
4
LIL LULU
4
8/1
Alternator/Non-contender
47
38
46.9
40.3
31.3
-
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 6 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $15500 Class Rating: 85
FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE DECEMBER 27, 2017 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 6 K ONE KOBRA 15/1
# 7 ERIK THE RED 3/1
# 3 BOB'S GONE WILD 4/1
K ONE KOBRA is my choice and could score at a price in here. Could go off at a decent number and has some positive attributes going for him. ERIK THE RED - In this field, this one is in the upper half of earnings per start in dirt route events. Has been running in the most competitive company of the field recently. BOB'S GONE WILD - Handler has strong win rate (24 percent) at this distance and surface. Ran a sharp last race.
-
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Fair Grounds - Race #7 - Post: 4:03pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 73
Rating: 4
#12 LA FLOR (ML=5/1)
#15 HENRY'S HONEY (ML=9/2)
#6 SHACKIRA SHACKIRA (ML=8/1)
LA FLOR - Have to give this filly a good chance. Ran a sharp contest last time around the track within the last month or so. This rider and trainer have a beneficial ROI when they unite. I like horses that return to a similar class level after dropping at least 5 class rating points like this one did last time out. I believe she'll be competitive at this class. HENRY'S HONEY - Jockey hops up atop after getting to know the horse by riding last time out. That's always a helpful angle. Took a class drop last out at Fair Grounds. Hartman keeps her at the same level in this field. I think that's a good move. Finished out of the money last out at Fair Grounds, but was within 5 lengths of the winner. Opening at 9/2 makes me think she's got a chance. SHACKIRA SHACKIRA - This animal didn't run well on a sloppy track in her last start at Fair Grounds. You probably want to discount that effort. Filly will add blinkers to the equipment package today. That often leads to an improved performance.
Vulnerable Contenders: #1 DOT NOTATION (ML=7/2), #2 SPLASHING (ML=9/2), #13 MISS MERCKEN (ML=9/2),
DOT NOTATION - This filly hasn't been showing me anything positive in the last two efforts. SPLASHING - Tough to bet on any horse to turn things around if there is no reward to taking the chance. Hard to bet this pony the way she ran inconsistently last time out. MISS MERCKEN - Trying to beat this horse this time at the price of 9/2.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #12 LA FLOR to win if you can get at least 9/5 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
12 with [6,15]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [6,12,15] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[6,12,15] with [6,12,15] with [2,6,7,12,15] with [2,6,7,12,15] Total Cost: $36
-
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Gulfstream Park - Race #10 - Post: 4:14pm - Stakes - 5.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $175,000 Class Rating: 115 Gulfstream Park Turf Sprint S.
Rating: 3
#6 RAINBOW HEIR (ML=6/1)
#7 RICHARD'S BOY (ML=7/2)
#2 CONQUEST ENFORCER (ML=12/1)
RAINBOW HEIR - Last two speed figures (116, 124) were strong. Anything close to that in this event and this one could win easily. Comparing how the horses in this field have fared under similar conditions, I see this one has the highest speed fig for the dist/surf. RICHARD'S BOY - Miller is strong in turf sprints. This horse should have no allowances if he doesn't win. I believe that this shorter trip should help this gelding. In this race here, this horse has clearly shown signs that he likes the grass. His speed figures are the highest in the field for this dist/surf. Miller brings him right back. I advise you stick with this strong gelding. CONQUEST ENFORCER - Have to make this horse a strong challenger; he comes off a nice effort on Dec 30th. This jock and trainer have a lucrative return on investment when they unite. A little change in scenery has got to do this horse well. Reading the PPs, it seems like he likes to visit the winner's circle at different racing venues. He has the highest (EPS) earnings per start. Take a good look at this animal.
Vulnerable Contenders: #8 PAY ANY PRICE (ML=3/1), #9 TOMBELAINE (ML=9/2),
PAY ANY PRICE - This steed hasn't been on the track since Dec 30th. Not even any morning blow outs. It appears like too much early zip is signed up in this event. This speedball will probably get roasted up front. TOMBELAINE - Can't wager on this less than sharp equine in today's sprint of 5 furlongs. Hasn't even finished in the money in a short distance affair lately. The finish of seventh in the last race shows me that this horse may be going out of form. Unlikely that the speed rating he notched on Nov 25th will hold up in this affair.
Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - RICHARD'S BOY - This gelding fits nicely here against these horses. His average class figure is tops in the field.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#6 RAINBOW HEIR is the play if we get odds of 7/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,6,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [2,6,7] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[2,6,7] with [2,6,7] with [1,2,6,7,10] with [1,2,6,7,10] Total Cost: $36
SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
[2,6,7] with [2,6,7] with [1,2,6,7] with [1,2,6,7,10,11] with [1,2,6,7,10,11] Total Cost: $72
-
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Louisiana Downs
Louisiana Downs - Race 2
Daily Double / Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / .50 Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4)
Maiden Claiming $10,000 • 300 Yards • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 65 • Purse: $3,800 • Post: 1:24P
QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * BLAZIN PRIZE DOC: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. TDZ JES LEAVING YOU: Horse ranks in the to p three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. ONE GUTSY EAGLE: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast . Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
4
BLAZIN PRIZE DOC
4/1
5/2
6
TDZ JES LEAVING YOU
2/1
6/1
5
ONE GUTSY EAGLE
3/1
6/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
1
FAST GAME WOMAN
1
10/1
Slow
0
0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2
DASHINGEAGLESFLY
2
5/1
Slow
0
0
9.3
0.0
0.0
3
SUPERMAN BELL CARTEL
3
15/1
Slow/Trouble-prone
0
0
9.2
0.0
0.0
4
BLAZIN PRIZE DOC
4
4/1
Slow/Trouble-prone
78
62
8.6
0.0
0.0
5
ONE GUTSY EAGLE
5
3/1
Fast
64
51
3.1
0.0
0.0
6
TDZ JES LEAVING YOU
6
2/1
Average/Trouble-prone
64
56
0.0
0.0
0.0
7
FLAMING QUICK FLASH
7
6/1
Fast
0
0
2.9
0.0
0.0
-
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 5 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $22000 Class Rating: 73
FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 27 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 8 REFUNDED 6/1
# 3 FAMILY CREST 3/1
# 2 SIGHT LINE 10/1
I lean toward REFUNDED here. Has respectable Equibase Class Figures relative to this group of horses in this race - worth a look. Is a strong contender based on figures put up as of late under today's conditions. FAMILY CREST - Shows evidence of the look of a profitable play, averaging a solid 64 speed rating which is one of the most respectable in this field. Guerrero has one of the top winning percentages in this group of animals with entries running at this distance and surface. SIGHT LINE - He has been racing strongly recently while recording strong Speed Figures. This conditioner has the best return on investment in this group with entries racing at this distance and surface.
Posting Permissions
- You may not post new threads
- You may not post replies
- You may not post attachments
- You may not edit your posts
-
Forum Rules
Reply With Quote