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Monday 1-29-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Louisiana Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 7 - Claiming - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $6800 Class Rating: 73
QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 5 THIS BABE ZOOMS 6/1
# 8 BJS THUNDERSTRUCK 2/1
# 9 IMA QUICK DOC 10/1
THIS BABE ZOOMS looks very good to best this field. Is worth a look and may be a bet - strong speed figures (59 average) at today's distance and surface recently. Had one of the top Equibase Speed Figures of this group in her last affair. With a nice class rating average of 74, has one of the most respectable class advantages in this group of animals. BJS THUNDERSTRUCK - Has performed quite well lately in short races, posting a nifty 63 avg Equibase Speed Figure. Has formidable speed figures and has to be considered for a wager in this competition. IMA QUICK DOC - Had one of the most respectable Equibase Speed Figures of this group in his last contest.
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #3 - Post: 1:40pm - Maiden Special - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $29,600 Class Rating: 56
Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar
#5 THELOVEOFMUNNINGS (ML=4/1)
#8 FLY AWAY FLO (ML=15/1)
THELOVEOFMUNNINGS - Quite frequently, I play a maiden that finished 2nd easily ahead of the third place finisher in her last outing. I am keen on that recent effort on Dec 30th at Mahoning Valley Race Cour where she finished second. The most recent speed rating of 56 is the best last race speed rating in the field. FLY AWAY FLO - This filly is rounding her way back into shape. Should perform well today. It looks like the race should set up for a closer. This filly's running style fits the bill nicely. Last race at Mahoning Valley Race Cour on December 30th was a big class drop for this horse. Facing similar foes in this event. She should do well this time around.
Vulnerable Contenders: #1 THE LADY FACTOR (ML=8/5), #2 EVEN ON THE RUN (ML=5/2), #6 JERU (ML=5/1),
THE LADY FACTOR - I usually try to beat these types of morning-line favorites off the long layoff. August 28th is the last time we've seen this filly around. Have to be a little bit leery. When looking at today's Equibase class figure, she will have to register a better speed figure than last out to battle in this dirt sprint. EVEN ON THE RUN - On a downward moving sequence. Speed ratings keep dropping. JERU - Difficult to bet on any horse in a short distance race at 5/1 when she hasn't shown any successful endeavors in sprints in the last 60 days. The result of sixth in the last race shows me that this equine may be tailing off. Don't believe this entrant will make an impact in today's race. That last speed figure was disappointing when compared with today's class rating.
Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - THELOVEOFMUNNINGS - Took a drop in class last time around the track at Mahoning Valley Race Cour. Stays at the same class level today. Look for a strong showing.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#5 THELOVEOFMUNNINGS to win at post-time odds of 7/5 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [5,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Portland Meadows
Portland Meadows - Race 2
$1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / $1 Daily Double (Races 2-3)
Claiming $2,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 66 • Purse: $5,500 • Post: 12:58
FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED AT THE CURRENT PORTLAND MEADOWS MEET AND NOT FINISHED 1ST, 2ND OR 3RD AT THE CURRENT MEET. HORSES THAT HAVE STARTED IN THIS CONDITION AT THE CURRENT MEET AND HAVE NOT WON THIS CONDITION REMAIN ELIGIBLE. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,000.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Dominant Stalker. ISLAND STORM is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ISLAND STORM: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a lay off. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. PARKERS GIBSONGIRL: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse's average winning d istance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
5
ISLAND STORM
4/5
5/2
2
PARKERS GIBSONGIRL
8/1
5/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
1
SINGING YANKEE
1
4/1
Front-runner
65
68
59.8
50.0
45.0
5
ISLAND STORM
5
4/5
Alternator/Stalker
64
64
65.0
54.2
52.2
2
PARKERS GIBSONGIRL
2
8/1
Alternator/Stalker
71
60
59.0
48.4
41.9
6
MANOS ARRIBA
6
15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
67
52
36.5
26.9
17.4
4
GAGA GIRL
4
7/2
Alternator/Non-contender
77
69
35.6
37.6
29.1
3
ALLTHEWAY HEATHER
3
15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
75
60
27.4
23.4
15.4
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Parx Racing
Parx Racing - Race 1
First Half Daily Double / Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3) Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta
Maiden Claiming $10,000 • 1 Mile 70 yards • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 62 • Purse: $18,000 • Post: 12:25
(PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Lone Front-runner. PRINCESS ROSE is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * PRINCESS ROSE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distanc e/surface. A PRINCESS SHE IS: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Maiden finished second in its last race and finished three lengths or more ahead of the third place horse.
8
PRINCESS ROSE
5/2
5/2
4
A PRINCESS SHE IS
7/5
4/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
8
PRINCESS ROSE
8
5/2
Front-runner
66
50
63.6
41.6
35.1
4
A PRINCESS SHE IS
4
7/5
Trailer
68
60
47.2
46.0
41.0
1
GEORGIA BONNET
1
15/1
Trailer
62
45
24.4
33.0
22.5
6
SASSY HUMOR
6
20/1
Alternator/Trailer
0
0
45.5
39.8
24.8
3
WITH WINGS
3
6/1
Alternator/Trailer
0
0
41.8
45.2
37.2
5
SWEET SUMMER STAR
5
10/1
Alternator/Non-contender
72
60
62.0
34.3
29.8
2
HOPEFUL ANGEL
2
8/1
Alternator/Non-contender
63
53
53.0
40.4
30.9
7
SARA'S LAST DANCE
7
20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0
0
49.3
37.9
25.9
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Parx Racing - Race #1 - Post: 12:25pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 62
Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar
#8 PRINCESS ROSE (ML=5/2)
#4 A PRINCESS SHE IS (ML=7/5)
PRINCESS ROSE - Atop this mount on December 19th and Sanchez is back again in the irons today. As the only front-runner in the race, I expect this mare to be long gone. A PRINCESS SHE IS - Have to make this mare a solid contender; she comes off a good outing on Jan 9th. Finished in the place spot, but easily runner-up over the third horse. Those types usually run well next time out. The 65 latest race figure looks good on paper.
Vulnerable Contenders: #3 WITH WINGS (ML=6/1), #2 HOPEFUL ANGEL (ML=8/1),
WITH WINGS - A closer like this one needs an early battle to set things up and she isn't likely to get one this time out. HOPEFUL ANGEL - This filly finished off the board on December 2nd and wasn't near the winner last time around the track either.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #8 PRINCESS ROSE to win if you can get at least 5/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turf Paradise
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 1 - Maiden Optional Claiming - 7.5f on the Turf. Purse: $12500 Class Rating: 61
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 121 LBS. OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE $30,000 RAIL SET AT 28 FEET.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 11 LUNA'S EMPIRE 6/1
# 6 CONFED 10/1
# 7 FILM ACTRESS 2/1
I've got to go with LUNA'S EMPIRE. The average class figure alone makes this one a solid choice. CONFED - Formidable average Equibase Speed Figures in turf sprint races make this equine a solid choice. FILM ACTRESS - Earned a reliable speed figure in the latest race. Can run another good one in this contest.
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NBA
Long Sheet
Monday, January 29
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CHARLOTTE (20 - 28) at INDIANA (27 - 23) - 1/29/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 54-69 ATS (-21.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 5-2 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 5-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MINNESOTA (32 - 20) at ATLANTA (14 - 35) - 1/29/2018, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 52-78 ATS (-33.8 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 37-59 ATS (-27.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in non-conference games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 4-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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PHOENIX (17 - 33) at MEMPHIS (17 - 31) - 1/29/2018, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 5-4 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 5-4 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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PHILADELPHIA (24 - 22) at MILWAUKEE (26 - 22) - 1/29/2018, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 5-3 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 5-3 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MIAMI (28 - 21) at DALLAS (16 - 34) - 1/29/2018, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 400-326 ATS (+41.4 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MIAMI is 72-57 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 41-25 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 220-177 ATS (+25.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 4-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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BOSTON (35 - 15) at DENVER (26 - 23) - 1/29/2018, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 29-19 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
BOSTON is 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-1 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 3-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NBA
Monday, January 29
Charlotte won five of its last seven games with Indiana; home side won last five. Hornets are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Indy. Charlotte lost three of its last five games; they’re 5-2-1 in last eight games as road underdogs. Five of their last seven games went over the total. Pacers won three of last four games, are 3-6 vs spread in last nine games as home favorites. Over is 2-0-1 in their last three games.
Minnesota won its last four games with the Hawks; they covered their last three visits to Atlanta. Last three series games stayed under the total. Timberwolves are 3-4 in their last seven games, 6-4-1 vs spread as road favorites. Four of their last five games went over. Hawks lost four of their last five games; they’re 5-2 in last seven games as home underdogs. Five of their last seven games stayed under the total.
Home side won last four Phoenix-Memphis games; Suns are 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Tennessee. Three of last four series games stayed under. Phoenix lost its last five games; they’re 9-5 vs spread in last 14 games as road underdogs. Under is 9-2 in their last 11 games. Grizzlies lost three of their last four games; they covered last three games as home favorites. Five of their last seven games went over. Suns are 2-3 vs spread on road if they played night before.
Bucks won seven of last ten games with Philly; road team won five of last six series games. 76ers are 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Wisconsin. Sixers won seven of their last ten games; they’re 4-8 in last 12 games as road underdogs, 1-4 vs spread if they played night before. Bucks won their last three games; they’re 6-4-1 in last 11 tries as home favorites. Eight of their last ten games stayed under total.
Heat won eight of last ten games with Dallas; they covered three of last four visits to this arena. Six of last seven series games stayed under total. Miami is 3-4 in its last seven games; they’re 3-5 vs spread as road favorites. Four of last five Heat games stayed under total. Mavericks lost six of their last seven games; they’re 5-2 in last seven games as home underdogs. Eight of their last ten games stayed under the total.
Boston won five of its last seven games with Denver; Celtics are 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Denver. Three of last four series games went over the total. Boston lost five of its last six games; they’re 7-1 vs spread as road underdogs. Three of their last four road games went over the total. Nuggets won their last three games, all at home; they’re 11-6 in last 17 games as home favorites. Eight of last nine Denver games stayed under the total.
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