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Thread: Wednesday 1-31-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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    Wednesday 1-31-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc


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    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta Downs

    Delta Downs - Race 9

    Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta (.50 min.) / Superfecta (.10 min.)


    Claiming $10,000 • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 74 • Purse: $21,000 • Post: 9:22P
    FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
    Contenders

    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line

    Accept
    Odds


    Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. WORTHY is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * WORTHY: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the high est average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
    2
    WORTHY
    8/5

    2/1




    P#

    Horse (In Running Style Order)

    Post

    Morn
    Line

    Running Style

    Good
    Class

    Good
    Speed

    Early Figure

    Finish Figure

    Platinum
    Figure
    2
    WORTHY
    2

    8/5
    Front-runner
    74

    85

    87.8

    71.4

    68.9
    5
    I'M A C LOOKER
    5

    4/1
    Front-runner
    73

    72

    71.0

    52.2

    41.2
    4
    CONFEDERATE YELL
    4

    5/1
    Front-runner
    68

    61

    66.6

    60.6

    51.1
    9
    RAVENGAFF
    9

    20/1
    Front-runner
    58

    51

    57.6

    44.6

    27.6
    3
    WILD BANDIT
    3

    8/1
    Stalker
    76

    72

    46.0

    66.2

    59.7
    1
    MOB POSSE
    1

    5/1
    Alternator/Stalker
    50

    66

    39.0

    56.4

    47.9
    6
    MY NEW GUITER
    6

    30/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    61

    58

    62.6

    44.6

    31.6
    8
    MR RED SENSATION
    8

    8/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    69

    67

    57.5

    54.1

    46.1
    7
    CALMACK
    7

    12/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    51

    55

    40.0

    50.4

    36.9

  3. #3
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    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

    Bar

    Gulfstream Park - Race #1 - Post: 12:35pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $24,000 Class Rating: 84

    Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

    #8 MAHVELOUS KITTEN (ML=3/1)


    MAHVELOUS KITTEN - Speed ratings on the turf point to this racer as a legit contender. Has the best in the field for this distance-surface. Have to watch for this animal on the turf. Last race at Gulfstream Park, scored a big turf number. Have to think she can do it again in this event. Filly looks like the lone speed here. She may turn the race into a procession. I like horses that return to a similar class level after dropping at least five class rating pts like this one did last race out. I believe she'll be competitive at this class. A definite class advantage goes to this horse. What that tells me is she will be very competitive in this turf race. That 79 fig this filly garnered in her last clash tells me she's a main player today. Came home fast in the last race at Gulfstream Park. That type of move bodes well for her chances in today's race.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #6 SOLDAT THE TOP (ML=7/2), #5 THANKS MOM (ML=4/1), #1 MICHELLE'Z LAUGH (ML=6/1),

    SOLDAT THE TOP - Really had to give me a whole lot more last time out. Never made much of an impact. THANKS MOM - The speed rating last time out doesn't fit very well in this clash when I look at the class rating of today's contest. Mark this thoroughbred as a possibly overvalued equine. MICHELLE'Z LAUGH - A stretch-runner like this one needs an early speed duel to set things up and she isn't likely to get one this time. Finished fifth in her most recent race with a run-of-the-mill speed fig. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this field.

    Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - MAHVELOUS KITTEN - I always look at the horse that is tops in earnings per start. If she meets my qualifications I make a play.





    STRAIGHT WAGERS:
    Putting our cash on #8 MAHVELOUS KITTEN to win. Have to have odds of at least 1/1 or better though

    EXACTA WAGERS:
    8 with [5,6]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    8 with [5,6] with [1,4,5,6] Total Cost: $6

    SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
    8 with [1,5,6] with [1,3,4,5,6] with [1,3,4,5,6] Total Cost: $36

    SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
    8 with [5,6] with [1,4,5,6] with [1,3,4,5,6] with [1,3,4,5,6] Total Cost: $36

  4. #4
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    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

    Bar

    Sam Houston - Race #4 - Post: 1:53pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $6,000 Class Rating: 81

    Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

    #1 CATFEINATED (ML=5/2)
    #1A CACTUS SON (ML=5/2)


    CATFEINATED - Looking at today's class rating, this thoroughbred is meeting an easier bunch than last race out at Sam Houston. Diego and Asmussen have had fantastic success together over this last year. A pony coming back this promptly after a strong effort is a good sign. Just look at his recent fig, 74. That one fits in this bunch. CACTUS SON - This gelding is back in a race very quick. This is a great angle - Sprinters that come back in less than 10 days after a race. A good sign of a sharp and ready racehorse. Gelding's finish positions keep getting better with each race. Maybe today's the day. I think Sam Houston players know a good thing when they see the jock/conditioner tandem of Diego and Asmussen. Their win percentage together has been positive. Another way to assign class is earnings per start. This animal has the uppermost in the field. I think he'll be close at the finish line.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #8 LOTTO CAT (ML=2/1), #6 RUN LIKE ELLE (ML=4/1), #7 PURE CHROME (ML=5/1),

    LOTTO CAT - This mount just hasn't looked fit lately. RUN LIKE ELLE - Didn't show much last time. Probably won't make an impact in today's race. Pedestrian speed figure in the last race at Delta Downs at 6 1/2 furlongs. Don't think this vulnerable equine will improve too much in today's race. PURE CHROME - Not probable for this one to make an impact with no recent good showings in a sprint event. This racer hasn't shown much life in the last couple of contests. Not probable that the speed rating he earned on January 19th will be enough in this clash.

    Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - CACTUS SON - Consider this. Finished fourth on a track listed as good last time out. With better footing today, I'd expect a 30 pct improvement in form.





    STRAIGHT WAGERS:
    #1 Entry to win at post-time odds of 1/1 or better

    EXACTA WAGERS:
    Skip

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Skip

    SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
    Skip

    ** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **

  5. #5
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    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mahoning Valley Race Course

    Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race 7

    Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / Daily Double


    Claiming $8,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 86 • Purse: $16,000 • Post: 3:33P
    FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 31 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $6,250 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN WEIGHT ALLOWANCES) (OHIO REGISTERED FOALS PREFERRED).
    Contenders

    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line

    Accept
    Odds


    Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. BANK ACCOUNT is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * BANK ACCOUNT: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's d istance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). TEPU WAR: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). SK Y PILOT: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
    3
    BANK ACCOUNT
    8/1

    4/1
    6
    TEPU WAR
    4/1

    5/1
    1
    SKY PILOT
    6/1

    9/1




    P#

    Horse (In Running Style Order)

    Post

    Morn
    Line

    Running Style

    Good
    Class

    Good
    Speed

    Early Figure

    Finish Figure

    Platinum
    Figure
    3
    BANK ACCOUNT
    3

    8/1
    Front-runner
    87

    85

    83.0

    79.4

    65.9
    6
    TEPU WAR
    6

    4/1
    Alternator/Front-runner
    94

    81

    66.2

    78.8

    66.8
    1
    SKY PILOT
    1

    6/1
    Stalker
    92

    86

    68.4

    77.2

    68.7
    8
    SIGHTS AND SOUNDS
    8

    7/2
    Stalker
    87

    82

    66.4

    72.2

    57.7
    10
    RED ALE
    10

    10/1
    Stalker
    90

    68

    52.4

    69.0

    55.5
    9
    CHAIRMAN GAREY
    9

    12/1
    Alternator/Stalker
    86

    85

    63.8

    74.0

    67.0
    11
    WHERE'S WOODY
    11

    3/1
    Trailer
    89

    82

    66.2

    79.4

    76.4
    7
    FEE WAIVER
    7

    10/1
    Trailer
    77

    70

    55.5

    69.2

    53.2
    2
    CHARITABLE
    2

    12/1
    Trailer
    86

    80

    33.6

    78.6

    66.1
    5
    HAPPY TO BE HERE
    5

    20/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    87

    79

    63.4

    71.2

    53.7
    4
    FOREST BREEZE
    4

    20/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    94

    90

    58.8

    73.2

    63.2

  6. #6
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    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Penn National

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.

    Race 3 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $15600 Class Rating: 78

    FOR REGISTERED PA-BRED FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 31 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 30 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000, IF FOR $7,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.


    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    The Walker Group Picks

    # 3 VENOMOUS STATE 3/1

    # 2 PURE SPRING 15/1

    # 6 FRONTPAGE BOLDTYPE 10/1

    VENOMOUS STATE looks to be a competitive contender. Kravets has him trained soundly to break sharply out of the starting gate. Overall the speed figures of this equine look quite good in this competition. He has a respectable distance/surface win record - 2 out of 8. PURE SPRING - Is a solid choice - given the 69 Equibase Speed Fig from his most recent race. Is hard not to consider given the company run in lately. FRONTPAGE BOLDTYPE - Has a strong shot in this race if you like back class. Sound average Equibase Speed Figures in dirt sprint races make this pony a solid choice.

  7. #7
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    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turf Paradise

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.

    Race 3 - SO - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $8200 Class Rating: 92

    FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $3,500 OR LESS IN 2017-2018 OR CLAIMING PRICE $5,000. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE NOVEMBER 30, 2017 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.


    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    The Walker Group Picks

    # 6 CARLSBAD MOUNTAIN 3/1

    # 4 CALL IT LUKE 9/2

    # 8 DEL RIO HARBOR 2/1

    CARLSBAD MOUNTAIN is my choice. Has to be given a shot here on the basis of the numbers in the speed department alone. Kauffmann has him trained admirably to break rapidly out of the gate. Is a contender - given the 91 speed rating from his most recent race. CALL IT LUKE - Gordon has well above average gains at this distance/surface. Could best this group of animals based on the Equibase Speed Figure - 89 - of his last race. DEL RIO HARBOR - Have to love when any horse makes a quick major improvement. His earnings per start in dirt route races alone makes you take a look at him.

  8. #8
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    Mike Wynn

    Free Play: Free Pick Alabama -5½ Over Missouri

  9. #9
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    Free Selection from Jim Feist

    Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Wednesday, January 31, 2017

    01/31 04:05 PM PT / 7:05 PM ET

    NBA (701) MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES VS (702) INDIANA PACERS

    Take: UNDER

    Reason: Your free play for Wednesday, January 31, 2018 is in the NBA scheduled contest between the Memphis Grizzlies and the Indiana Pacers. I'm looking at the UNDER here tonight. The Grizzlies are playing on one day rest here, when they have done that this year they are 6-13 O/U their last 19 tries. The Pacers have been a good under team. They are 1-8 O/U their last nine vs the West, 2-7-1 O/U their last 10 overall and 3-8 O/U their last 11 vs a team playing below 40%. In addition, the last 11 of 16 meetings between these teams in Indiana have gone UNDER. Take the UNDER here tonight.

  10. #10
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    Jeff Allen Sports

    Wednesday's Free Selection is on the San Jose Sharks

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    Razor Sharp

    YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR WEDNESDAY: Take TULANE -5½ over East Carolina

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    Totals4U

    Wednesday's Free Selection: Memphis/South Florida under 130

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    John Anthony Sports

    Wednesday's Free Selection: St Joseph's Hawks - 4 1/2

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    #1 Sports

    Wednesday's Free Selection: Marquette Eagles - 3

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    Nevada Sharpshooter

    Your free winner for Wednesday: Take GEORGE WASHINGTON -2 over Duquesne

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    Huddle Up Sports

    Free Play:Texas Tech -7

  17. #17
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    Hawkeye Sports

    Wednesday's Free Pick: New Mexico Lobos + 3 1/2

  18. #18
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    Arthur Ralph Sports

    FREE play: WED Central FLA -7

  19. #19
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    Platinum Plays

    Free Pick: Free Pick Wyoming Cowboys -3½ over Colorado St

  20. #20
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    The Vegas Steam Line

    Your free winner for Wednesday: Take WYOMING -3½ over Colorado St

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