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Thursday 2-8-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
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Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct
RACE #7 - AQUEDUCT - 3:58 PM EASTERN POST
The Biogio's Rose Stakes
8.0 FURLONGS DIRT FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $100,000.00 PURSE
#1 FROST WISE
#3 HOLIDAY DISGUISE
#2 NO HAYNE NO GAYNE
#5 DECORATOR JENN
Here in just the 3rd running of "The Rose," who was an accomplished New York bred and multiple graded stakes winner, #1 FROST WISE,takes a slight class drop (-1), qualifies as a TrackMaster PLUS "PowerPony," and has hit the board in four of her last five outings, winning three times in this recent streak of racing consistency, including back-to-back "POWER RUN WINS" in her last two outings. Jockey Kendrick Carmouche was in her irons for that last win, 9 days ago here at "The Big A," producing a +140% return on investment in the process, and is back this afternoon here in Ozone Park for his 2nd ride, gunning for back-to-back "Circle Trips!" #3 HOLIDAY DISGUISE has won three straight, including back-to-back "POWER RUN WINS" in his last two starts, however, I did not consider this entry for my "top slot," since she has not raced in some 254 days.
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 6 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $6000 Class Rating: 82
FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JUNE 8, 2017 AND WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS. WEIGHT, 121 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 5 NOBLE QUEST 10/1
# 4 AWESOME TRAUM 3/2
# 2 BECKY'S KITTEN 2/1
I think NOBLE QUEST is a quite good choice and is a formidable value-based bet given the 10/1 line. Has to be carefully examined versus this group of animals displaying quite good figs lately and an average speed figure of 85 under similar conditions. Will more than likely be one of the early speedsters of the group going into the midpoint of the race. Has to be considered - I like the numbers from the last outing. AWESOME TRAUM - Is tough not to examine based on Equibase Speed Figs which have been quite good - 78 avg - of late. Handler has solid win rate (25 percent) at this distance and surface. BECKY'S KITTEN - His 79 average has this gelding with among the strongest speed figures in this competition. The average Equibase class figure of 79 makes this entrant tough to beat.
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Charles Town - Race #5 - Post: 8:51pm - Maiden Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 37
Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar
#8 NEVER CROSS A DIVA (ML=6/1)
#6 HOPE'S CORK (ML=3/1)
NEVER CROSS A DIVA - Batista was aboard this mare last out and was impressed enough to take the animal right back. The rest of the group may trail this thoroughbred all the way around the track. HOPE'S CORK - This filly is sent through the entry box right back into a race in less than 10 days; this is a positive sign. This should be an easier task than what she was asked last time out against 'open' company. Shanley gets a break on this thoroughbred carrying 7 pounds less than last out. Its possible this could make the difference right here.
Vulnerable Contenders: #7 SMARTY PLEASE (ML=8/5), #1 THESLEEPYBEAUTY (ML=5/1), #2 LADY BIDDER (ML=8/1),
SMARTY PLEASE - The morning-line favorite is shaky here with the lack of workouts. THESLEEPYBEAUTY - You figure that this equine is going to win today just because she's always close. Just doesn't finish first regularly. Last effort was too strong. Not too far of a reach to expect a 'performance bounce' today. This mare recorded a speed figure in her last affair which likely isn't good enough in today's event. LADY BIDDER - Would have to advance off that sixth place finish last time out of the box to make an impact here. The speed fig last out doesn't fit very well in this event when I look at the class figure of today's contest. Mark this horse as a likely underpriced contender.
Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - HOPE'S CORK - This horse is meeting a much easier group than in the last contest on February 1st. Worth a prime wager today.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#8 NEVER CROSS A DIVA is going to be the play if we are getting 3/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [6,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Fair Grounds - Race #4 - Post: 2:34pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $15,000 Class Rating: 74
Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar
#3 MEDLIN (ML=3/1)
MEDLIN - Margolis brings her right back. I recommend you stick with this hot filly. I cannot ignore the fact that this filly is working extremely well.
Vulnerable Contenders: #7 TIMUQUANA PLACE (ML=2/1), #8 MALIBU SONG (ML=9/2), #9 N. D. FREE (ML=6/1),
TIMUQUANA PLACE - This filly has already tasted defeat as the public's choice the last two times. Hard to give her another chance. MALIBU SONG - Doesn't look to be in a cozy spot this time. N. D. FREE - In any race of 6 furlongs, I like to wager on a contender that has been looking good in short distance events of late.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#3 MEDLIN to win at post-time odds of 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
3 with [6,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Golden Gate Fields
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 7 - SA - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $17000 Class Rating: 100
FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. FOUR YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE DECEMBER 1, 2017 ALLOWED 2 LBS.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 8 SECRET TOUCH 8/5
# 7 TUNE TO WIN 6/1
# 6 MONSAJEM PERVADE 8/1
SECRET TOUCH has a competitive shot to take this race. He has decent class ratings, averaging 96, and has to be considered for this event. Formidable average Speed Figures in dirt route races make this equine a contender. Earnings per start in dirt route races is solid for this equine. TUNE TO WIN - Hernandez has been hot the last month, winning at a nifty 24 percent clip. Looks very strong against this group and will probably be one of the front-runners. MONSAJEM PERVADE - Is difficult not to consider based on Equibase Speed Figs which have been respectable - 87 avg - of late. Strong jockey with trainer figures make this horse a sharp choice.
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Penn National
Penn National - Race 4
W-P-S / Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / Daily Double $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6)
Claiming $15,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 95 • Purse: $18,100 • Post: 7:22P
(PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE AUGUST 8. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JANUARY 8 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000, IF FOR $13,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $12,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * MIDNIGHT RUMBLE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the dis tance/surface. WINNING SHOT: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. COLORADO GRANDSLAM: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. RICK'S BOY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
4
MIDNIGHT RUMBLE
6/1
6/1
7
FLIGHT CREW
9/2
7/1
3
WINNING SHOT
12/1
7/1
1
COLORADO GRANDSLAM
3/1
7/1
6
RICK'S BOY
7/2
8/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
7
FLIGHT CREW
7
9/2
Front-runner
99
92
94.5
76.0
71.5
1
COLORADO GRANDSLAM
1
3/1
Front-runner
93
86
84.4
87.2
75.2
4
MIDNIGHT RUMBLE
4
6/1
Stalker
95
91
79.8
87.2
81.7
6
RICK'S BOY
6
7/2
Stalker
94
94
79.6
83.2
74.2
3
WINNING SHOT
3
12/1
Trailer
96
95
62.6
85.4
78.9
2
FIRE ALARM
2
5/1
Trailer
92
88
61.0
83.2
74.7
8
VEGAS STRIP
8
12/1
Alternator/Non-contender
89
84
76.8
77.7
61.7
9
ACT OF MADNESS
9
10/1
Alternator/Non-contender
94
87
74.6
80.4
65.4
5
SHEIKINATOR
5
12/1
Alternator/Non-contender
96
87
71.6
83.0
71.5
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Mike Wynn
Free Play: Free Pick North Texas +10 Over UAB
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Free Selection from Jim Feist
Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Thursday, February 8, 2017
2/08 04:35 PM PT / 7:35 PM ET
NBA (503) NEW YORK KNICKS VS (504) TORONTO RAPTORS
Take: UNDER
Reason: Your free play for Thursday, February 8, 2018 is in the NBA scheduled contest between the New York Knicks and Toronto Raptors. Not sure how the Knicks will replace the scoring of their best player in Kristaps Porzingis, who will miss the rest of the season with a ACL tear. This kind of injury can take year or more to come back from. This likely means another year without making the playoffs for the Knicks as any chance they had went down with that injury. That also means they will have lots of problems scoring here tonight. I'm taking the UNDER as the Knicks are likely in shock.
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Jeff Allen Sports
Thursday's Free Selection is on the Tampa Bay Lightning
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Razor Sharp
YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR THURSDAY: Take MARSHALL -11 over Florida-International
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Totals4U
Thursday's Free Selection: Wisconsin/Illinois over 137
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John Anthony Sports
Thursday's Free Selection: Clemson Tigers - 19
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Atlantic Sports
Thursday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Southern Mississippi + 6
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Easy Money Sports
Lee's Free Thursday Selection Is
Oregon State -9
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Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Thursday: Take USC +3½ over Arizona St
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Huddle Up Sports
Free Play: Utah -4'
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Hawkeye Sports
Thursday's Free Pick: Middle Tennessee State - 20 1/2
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Golden Dragon Sports
Free Pick SMU +8
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Arthur Ralph Sports
FREE play: THURS UCLA + 9
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