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Thread: Wednesday 2-7-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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    Wednesday 2-7-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc


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    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta Downs

    Delta Downs - Race 6

    DD (Races 6-7) / Exacta / Trifecta (.50 min.) / Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) Pick 5 (.50 min.) (Races 6-10) / Superfecta (.10 min.)


    Claiming $5,000 • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 72 • Purse: $18,000 • Post: 7:59P
    FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
    Contenders

    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line

    Accept
    Odds


    Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * TAPSTER: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. SHAMBOLIC: Toda y is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. LANIES CHOICE: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. FREEONTECHNICALITY: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. ARCH MADNESS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
    2
    TAPSTER
    5/2

    7/2
    8
    SHAMBOLIC
    6/1

    7/1
    4
    LANIES CHOICE
    6/1

    9/1
    5
    FREEONTECHNICALITY
    10/1

    9/1
    3
    ARCH MADNESS
    3/1

    10/1




    P#

    Horse (In Running Style Order)

    Post

    Morn
    Line

    Running Style

    Good
    Class

    Good
    Speed

    Early Figure

    Finish Figure

    Platinum
    Figure
    8
    SHAMBOLIC
    8

    6/1
    Front-runner
    75

    63

    79.8

    54.6

    48.6
    4
    LANIES CHOICE
    4

    6/1
    Front-runner
    67

    70

    78.6

    59.8

    48.8
    5
    FREEONTECHNICALITY
    5

    10/1
    Front-runner
    66

    58

    71.8

    46.6

    32.1
    6
    LOVE ALLEY
    6

    20/1
    Front-runner
    63

    53

    67.4

    47.4

    33.4
    2
    TAPSTER
    2

    5/2
    Front-runner
    74

    69

    61.0

    72.0

    70.0
    9
    RED KINGDOM STAR
    9

    20/1
    Front-runner
    63

    58

    61.0

    42.9

    30.4
    7
    REBEL GENTLEMAN
    7

    5/1
    Alternator/Stalker
    56

    67

    48.4

    56.2

    50.2
    3
    ARCH MADNESS
    3

    3/1
    Trailer
    68

    64

    50.0

    61.6

    55.6
    1
    CAYENNE
    1

    8/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    55

    52

    49.4

    43.6

    26.6

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    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.

    Race 5 - Maiden Claiming - 8.5f on the Turf. Purse: $35000 Class Rating: 86

    FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $50,000.


    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    The Walker Group Picks

    # 5 RATE OF RETURN 7/2

    # 6 MIRACULOUSLY 6/1

    # 1 TROPICAL GOLD 20/1

    RATE OF RETURN is my choice. Put up a strong speed figure in the last race. Can run another good one in this contest. Casse has this filly running well and is a strong selection based on the very strong Equibase Speed Figures posted in route races lately. MIRACULOUSLY - With a strong 79 average speed figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's affair. Ran a strong last race. TROPICAL GOLD - This filly could improve with second time Lasix.

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    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

    Bar

    Sam Houston - Race #3 - Post: 1:18pm - Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,000 Class Rating: 76

    Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

    #3 DUCA'S BLING (ML=7/2)
    #8 VICIOUSGRASSHOPPER (ML=15/1)


    DUCA'S BLING - This horse's last race was at Sam Houston in a race with a class number of 83. Dropping a significant amount in class rating in today's event puts him in a solid position in this event. The fact that this gelding is entered right back into a race so quickly means he's fit and ready. You should ignore that last race at Sam Houston on a sloppy track where he finished off the board. Should do well in this event on a fast track. VICIOUSGRASSHOPPER - His win on Sep 23rd in a $6,250 Claiming race, at 5 furlongs, is a big plus for this gelding. Ran last time around the track against a much better field at Woodbine. The move down the ladder based on class rating points should suit him well.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #5 DOCTOR VALENTINE (ML=4/5), #4 TEXAS FIRE (ML=9/2), #6 OSIOTTO (ML=5/1),

    DOCTOR VALENTINE - Unlikely for this one to make an impact with no success lately in a short distance contest. Somewhat easily forgotten fig last out at Remington Park at 6 furlongs. Don't think this steed will improve too much today. TEXAS FIRE - I find it hard to wager on any mount in a short distance event at 9/2 when he hasn't shown any on the board results in sprints in the last two months. Awfully tough to bet on this questionable contender when he hasn't been showing any indications of eagerness of late. OSIOTTO - This gelding finished outside the top 3 on Dec 30th and wasn't close to victory in the last race either. This gelding notched a speed rating in his last event which probably isn't good enough in today's event.



    STRAIGHT WAGERS:
    Bet on #3 DUCA'S BLING to win if we can get at least 6/5 odds

    EXACTA WAGERS:
    Box [3,8]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Pass

    SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
    Skip

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    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

    Bar

    Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #2 - Post: 1:12pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,000 Class Rating: 76

    Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

    #1 ABSOLUTE PARADISE (ML=7/2)
    #3 RAISE YOUR L UP (ML=8/1)
    #7 BLACK SHERRY (ML=6/1)


    ABSOLUTE PARADISE - Gonzalez and Torres partnered with one another are a horse gambler's friend. This mare is in nice condition. Finished first on Jan 23rd. RAISE YOUR L UP - Changes tracks from last out at Turfway Park to here. Multiple wins at different tracks tell me this horse likes to switch it up, so that's a good sign. Is ranked totally at the top in earnings per start. A dominant try in this event can add to the lifetime total. BLACK SHERRY - I'm expecting this magnificent animal to run a big one this time.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #5 AD LUTEM (ML=2/1), #8 QUEEB (ML=3/1),

    AD LUTEM - This chalk horse ran on January 3rd and hasn't had a workout after that. QUEEB - Doesn't seem to have enough good aspects to justify the reward.



    STRAIGHT WAGERS:
    Go with #1 ABSOLUTE PARADISE on top if we're getting at least 4/1 odds

    EXACTA WAGERS:
    Box [1,3,7]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Box [1,3,7] Total Cost: $6

    SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
    Pass

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    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Penn National

    Penn National - Race 3

    W-P-S / Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / Daily Double $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5) / $0.20 Penn Pick 6 (Races 3-8)


    Claiming $10,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 84 • Purse: $15,400 • Post: 6:54P
    (PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JANUARY 7 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 7, 2017 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000, IF FOR $9,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.
    Contenders

    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line

    Accept
    Odds


    Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * HIGH FIVE COTTON: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse h as the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. AWESOME FIVE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. PHONE MY POSSE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start aft er a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. FLEET GIZMO: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). Today is a sprint and the horse is carryin g at least 120 lbs.
    4
    HIGH FIVE COTTON
    9/2

    9/2
    3
    AWESOME FIVE
    5/2

    6/1
    1
    PHONE MY POSSE
    5/1

    6/1
    2
    FLEET GIZMO
    2/1

    9/1




    P#

    Horse (In Running Style Order)

    Post

    Morn
    Line

    Running Style

    Good
    Class

    Good
    Speed

    Early Figure

    Finish Figure

    Platinum
    Figure
    4
    HIGH FIVE COTTON
    4

    9/2
    Front-runner
    82

    84

    90.2

    73.0

    70.5
    1
    PHONE MY POSSE
    1

    5/1
    Front-runner
    76

    77

    82.8

    71.0

    65.0
    3
    AWESOME FIVE
    3

    5/2
    Alternator/Stalker
    80

    81

    87.8

    76.0

    71.5
    2
    FLEET GIZMO
    2

    2/1
    Alternator/Stalker
    71

    82

    65.4

    74.0

    66.0
    5
    VALID REDEEMER
    5

    6/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    69

    71

    59.6

    47.8

    36.3
    6
    MYSTICAL PRINCE (BRZ)
    6

    8/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    73

    71

    43.4

    65.9

    56.4

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    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Tampa Bay Downs

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.

    Race 3 - Optional Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $22500 Class Rating: 88

    FOR THREE YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $75,000. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JANUARY 7 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 7 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $75,000


    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    The Walker Group Picks

    # 2 LONE SENTRY 7/2

    # 6 THE X 3/1

    # 1 SELLING OUT 12/1

    LONE SENTRY supports the wager in here. Is hard not to consider based on speed figures which have been competitive - 82 avg - of late. The average Equibase class rating alone makes this one a definite contender. Has to be carefully examined against this field displaying decent figs recently and an average speed rating of 82 under similar conditions. THE X - Could best this group based on the speed rating - 88 - of his last outing. Is a strong contender based on figures earned recently under today's conditions. SELLING OUT - He has posted very good numbers under today's conditions and ought to fare well versus this group of animals. He looks quite good in this slot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the halfway point.

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    Mike Wynn

    Free Play: Free Pick Creighton -6½ Over DePaul

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    Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Wednesday, February 7, 2017

    02/07 05:05 PM PT / 8:05 pM ET

    NBA (707) MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES VS (708) CLEVELAND CAVALIERS

    Take: over

    Reason: The Cleveland Cavaliers have been a very strange team. On one hand, you have the team with the third best record in the Eastern conference at 30-22. On the other hand, you have a team that is horrible at covering spreads this year. The Cavs had to play last night at Orlando. They led 43-31 after one quarter and 67-51 at the half. In the second half, the Cavs scored a total of 31 of points and lost 116-98 to the Magic, a blowout loss. There is turmoil on this Cleveland team and they had better fix it before the postseason. Tonight, though, I'm looking at the over. The last five meetings between these teams have gone OVER. The Cavs are also 18-6-2 O/U the last 26 games at home vs a team with a losing road record. Play the OVER.

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    Razor Sharp

    YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR WEDNESDAY: Take VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH Pick'em over Richmond

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    Totals4U

    Wednesday's Free Selection: Georgia/Vanderbilt over 132 1/2

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    John Anthony Sports

    Wednesday's Free Selection: Iowa State Cyclones + 14

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    #1 Sports

    Wednesday's Free Selection: Duquesne Dukes + 8

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    Nevada Sharpshooter

    Your free winner for Wednesday: Take NEVADA -9½ over UNLV

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    Huddle Up Sports

    Free Play: Texas Tech -14

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    Hawkeye Sports

    Wednesday's Free Pick: NC State Wolfpack + 5

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    Golden Dragon Sports

    Free Pick Florida -8

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    Arthur Ralph Sports

    FREE play: WED: Penn St -4

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    Platinum Plays

    Free Pick: Free Pick Virginia Tech Hokies -5 over NC State

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    The Vegas Steam Line

    Your free winner for Wednesday: Take IOWA ST +14 over Texas Tech

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