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Thread: Monday 2-12-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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    Monday 2-12-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc


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    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Louisiana Downs

    Louisiana Downs - Race 5

    Daily Double / Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / .50 Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7)


    Claiming $7,500 • 330 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 76 • Purse: $3,800 • Post: 2:36P
    QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.
    Contenders

    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line

    Accept
    Odds


    Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * FH TOCHIN: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. HEZ OUR VALENTINE: Horse ranks in the top three i n TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. COUNTRY CHICK PILOT: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top t hree in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. MY WHISKEY LADY: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
    1
    FH TOCHIN
    8/5

    5/1
    2
    HEZ OUR VALENTINE
    5/2

    5/1
    6
    COUNTRY CHICK PILOT
    5/1

    6/1
    3
    MY WHISKEY LADY
    6/1

    8/1




    P#

    Horse (In Running Style Order)

    Post

    Morn
    Line

    Running Style

    Good
    Class

    Good
    Speed

    Early Figure

    Finish Figure

    Platinum
    Figure
    1
    FH TOCHIN
    1

    8/5
    Average
    70

    69

    4.1

    0.0

    0.0
    2
    HEZ OUR VALENTINE
    2

    5/2
    Average
    76

    71

    5.0

    0.0

    0.0
    3
    MY WHISKEY LADY
    3

    6/1
    Fast
    66

    62

    2.9

    0.0

    0.0
    4
    GIFTED GAME
    4

    15/1
    Slow/Trouble-prone
    63

    56

    7.1

    0.0

    0.0
    5
    FAST DANCING CHICK
    5

    8/1
    Average
    57

    53

    4.3

    0.0

    0.0
    6
    COUNTRY CHICK PILOT
    6

    5/1
    Slow
    78

    65

    6.1

    0.0

    0.0
    7
    JESS COURAGE
    7

    8/1
    Slow
    69

    57

    6.2

    0.0

    0.0

  3. #3
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    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Louisiana Downs

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.

    Race 5 - Claiming - 330y on the Dirt. Purse: $3800 Class Rating: 76

    QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.


    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    The Walker Group Picks

    # 1 FH TOCHIN 8/5

    # 2 HEZ OUR VALENTINE 5/2

    # 3 MY WHISKEY LADY 6/1

    FH TOCHIN looks solid to best this field. Well above average win rate at this distance/surface. With Alvarez aboard him, this gelding will probably be able to break out sharply for this race. Is a contender - given the 77 Equibase Speed Figure from his most recent race. HEZ OUR VALENTINE - Has been racing admirably and has among the top speed in the race for today's distance. Is a solid choice - given the 66 speed rating from his most recent race. MY WHISKEY LADY - Formidable average speed figures in short races make this equine a definite contender. This filly obviously likes the distance, going 1 out of 4 in her races as of late.

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    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mahoning Valley Race Course

    Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race 8

    Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / 20 Cent High Five


    Claiming $7,500 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 72 • Purse: $13,000 • Post: 4:02P
    FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JANUARY 12 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.
    Contenders

    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line

    Accept
    Odds


    Race Type: Lone Front-runner. ABOVE THE CROWD is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ABOVE THE CROWD: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. STEPHA NIE'S FAITH: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. TWILIGHT APPEAL: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest average Equ ibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
    7
    ABOVE THE CROWD
    3/1

    3/1
    9
    STEPHANIE'S FAITH
    6/1

    7/1
    3
    TWILIGHT APPEAL
    9/2

    8/1




    P#

    Horse (In Running Style Order)

    Post

    Morn
    Line

    Running Style

    Good
    Class

    Good
    Speed

    Early Figure

    Finish Figure

    Platinum
    Figure
    7
    ABOVE THE CROWD
    7

    3/1
    Alternator/Front-runner
    72

    66

    61.3

    62.2

    54.2
    10
    CRAZY ELEXIS
    10

    12/1
    Stalker
    50

    58

    67.1

    44.4

    29.4
    6
    FAMILLE TROIS
    6

    10/1
    Stalker
    67

    55

    50.0

    52.4

    36.4
    5
    SLOW DANCE
    5

    8/1
    Stalker
    70

    63

    45.8

    51.3

    45.8
    9
    STEPHANIE'S FAITH
    9

    6/1
    Alternator/Stalker
    65

    65

    54.8

    66.8

    57.8
    2
    MY GENTLE YANKEE
    2

    10/1
    Alternator/Stalker
    64

    62

    52.1

    65.4

    50.4
    3
    TWILIGHT APPEAL
    3

    9/2
    Trailer
    69

    62

    62.3

    66.5

    59.5
    8
    JETTIN PEGASUS
    8

    7/2
    Alternator/Trailer
    68

    69

    33.6

    52.8

    42.8
    1
    AXIS MUNDI
    1

    15/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    65

    66

    48.4

    49.8

    36.8
    4
    MISTY SPIRIT
    4

    20/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    75

    78

    42.4

    48.2

    37.7

  5. #5
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    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

    Bar

    Parx Racing - Race #8 - Post: 4:04pm - Allowance - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $42,000 Class Rating: 90

    Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

    #8 AUTHORITATIVE (ML=6/1)
    #4 FIREY DIAMOND (ML=15/1)
    #1A CHECKBOUNCIN BILLY (ML=4/1)
    #6 AFLEET TIZZY (ML=5/1)


    AUTHORITATIVE - The return on investment when Pennington and Servis partner up is tremendous. Always beware of the longer priced animal when a trainer has an 'uncoupled' entry in a race. Multiple trips to the winner's circle over the surface right here at Parx Racing. Maybe, another trip to the winner's circle in this event. FIREY DIAMOND - You probably should overlook that last event at Parx Racing in the slop where she finished off the board. Should do well right here on a fast track. CHECKBOUNCIN BILLY - A horse coming back this quickly after a solid contest is a good sign. This mare garnered a good speed fig of 89 in her last race. That speed figure should be good enough to win in today's event. AFLEET TIZZY - This filly is almost always in the money. Aboard this racer on January 27th and Navarro is back again in the irons in this race. This jockey/trainer duo has been producing a very lucrative ROI, right at +54. Have to give this filly a fair chance. Ran a solid outing last time around the track within the last month or so.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #2 LUCY N ETHEL (ML=6/5), #1 SUPERLING (ML=4/1),

    LUCY N ETHEL - This horse hasn't been in the mix in either of her last two efforts. Today's event is 7 furlongs. Hasn't finished in the money in a short distance race in the last two months. Not the best of indicators. The speed ratings are going downward. I'm not playing this vulnerable equine off of that trend. SUPERLING - Have to put a question mark next to the recent speed rating since it was attained in the slop. Earned a common speed rating in the last race in a $12,500 Claiming race on January 23rd. Doubtful to see an improved performance off of that rating.



    STRAIGHT WAGERS:
    Go with #8 AUTHORITATIVE on top if we're getting at least 9/2 odds

    EXACTA WAGERS:
    Box [1,4,8]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Box [1,4,8] Total Cost: $6

    SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
    [1,4,8] with [1,4,8] with [1,4,6,7,8] with [1,4,6,7,8] Total Cost: $36

    ** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **

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    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.

    Race 5 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $26000 Class Rating: 92

    FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT ONE MILE OR OVER SINCE JANUARY 12 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 12 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000


    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    The Walker Group Picks

    # 5 NEGRITO 4/1

    # 4 LITTLE JIMMY 5/1

    # 6 INFINITE FIESTA 10/1

    I think NEGRITO is a very good choice. Should best this group of horses in this race here, showing strong numbers of late. Has raced quite well in dirt route races. Has earned solid Equibase Speed Figures in dirt route races in the past. LITTLE JIMMY - When Serey uses Mariano there's a good chance for sizeable profits. Will likely be one of the front-runners of the group going into the midpoint of the race. INFINITE FIESTA - This gelding is a solid contender based on his earnings per start in dirt route races. Should keep the strong string of finish positions intact this time out.

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    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

    Bar

    Turf Paradise - Race #1 - Post: 12:55pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $6,300 Class Rating: 58

    Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

    #6 MISS N WILDCAT (ML=7/2)
    #5 ASSINIBOIN TREAT (ML=3/1)


    MISS N WILDCAT - After a pair of sprints, she's routing today, which is probably what this filly wants to do. Ranked at the very top in earnings per race entered. Another sign that this horse is the class of the race. ASSINIBOIN TREAT - Filly's finish positions keep getting better with each race. Maybe today's the day. This trainer does a good job stretching out any racer. Horses going a route for the first time almost always show an improvement.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #2 WEST PRINCESS (ML=3/5),

    WEST PRINCESS - 3/5 is not enough of a value to take on most any horse that has run poorly in back to back outings. Don't believe this runner will make an impact today. That last speed fig was quite unimpressive when compared with today's Equibase class figure.



    STRAIGHT WAGERS:
    Put your money on #6 MISS N WILDCAT on the nose if you can get odds of 7/5 or more

    EXACTA WAGERS:
    Box [5,6]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Skip

    SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
    Pass

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    Mike Wynn

    Free Play: Free Pick Detroit -4½ Over New Orleans

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    Free Selection from Jim Feist

    Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Monday, February 12, 2017

    02/12 04:05 PM PT / 7:05 PM ET

    NBA (701) NEW YORK KNICKS VS (702) PHILADELPHIA 76ERS

    Take: UNDER

    Reason: Your free play for Monday, February 12, 2018 is in the NBA scheduled contest between the Knew York Knicks and the Philadelphia 76ers. It's never easy to play a back-to-back spot like the Knicks are here tonight. However, it's even worse when you have to do so without your leading scorer, Kristaps Porzingis who is out for the rest of the year with a torn ACL. The Knicks actually just got the cover last night at Indiana, just slipping inside the 9.5 point line. The loss was the sixth in a row for the Knicks. Moreover, it was the first time the Knicks have scored more than 96 points in their last six gaems. Meanwhile, Philly has played pretty well, winning their last three games both S/U and ATS. They are undefeated on their recent home stand and have outscored their last three opponents by double digits. I'm looking at the under here tonight. Despite an offensive outburst on Sunday, they now play back-to-back which will see the Knicks tired and they still are not scoring well since their star player went down. Play the UNDER

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    Jeff Allen Sports

    Monday's Free Selection is on the Chicago Blackhawks

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    Razor Sharp

    YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR MONDAY: Take ORLANDO/CHICAGO OVER the total of 215

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    Totals4U

    Monday's Free Selection: Iona/Siena over 143

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    John Anthony Sports

    Monday's Free Selection: Siena Saints + 8

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    #1 Sports

    Monday's Free Selection: Canisius - 7

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    Easy Money Sports

    Lee's Free Monday Selection Is

    Canisius -7

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    Nevada Sharpshooter

    Your free winner for Monday: Take NEW YORK/PHILADELPHIA OVER the total of 209

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    Huddle Up Sports

    Free Play: Mercer -4'

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    Hawkeye Sports

    Monday's Free Pick: Chicago Blackhawks - 120

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    Golden Dragon Sports

    Free Pick Texas -3

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    Arthur Ralph Sports

    FREE play: MON West VIG -6

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