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Thread: Thursday 2-15-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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    Thursday 2-15-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc


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    Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct

    RACE #5 - AQUEDUCT - 2:54 PM EASTERN POST
    6½ FURLONGS DIRT FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $62,500.00 OPTIONAL CLAIMING $69,000.00 PURSE

    #2 STILL KRZ
    #4 WESTWOOD
    #1 SPARTIATIS
    #3 TOTAL TAP

    #2 STILL KRZ qualifies as a TrackMaster PLUS "PowerPony," takes a class drop (-7), has excellent early speed abilities for this sprint, and has produced "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" in five straight starts, hitting the board in three of those "adventures." #4 WESTWOOD, the morning line favorite, is the overall pace profile leader, and has hit the board in each of his last five outings, including a pair of "POWER RUN WINS" being embedded in this recent streak of racing consistency. Jockey Trevor McCarthy was in his irons for that last win, 25 days ago here at "The Big-A," which produced a +350% return on investment in the process, and is back today here in Ozone Park for his 2nd ride, gunning for back-to-back "Circle Trips!"

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    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Aqueduct

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.

    Race 2 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $44000 Class Rating: 93

    FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE JULY 1, 2017 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $50,000


    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    The Walker Group Picks

    # 4 JOY DRIVE 8/5

    # 5 PROLETARIAT 7/2

    # 3 IMASUPERSTAR 6/1

    JOY DRIVE looks to be a quite good contender. Exhibits the look of a profitable play, averaging a solid 92 speed rating which is one of the top in this group. Ought to be given a shot in this contest if only for the solid speed figure earned in the last race. With a nice class rating average of 98, has one of the top class advantages in this group of horses. PROLETARIAT - Has to be considered against this field displaying respectable figures as of late and an average Equibase Speed Figure of 87 under similar conditions. Has to be considered here on the basis of the figures in the speed department alone. IMASUPERSTAR - Prominent in earnings per start at the distance/surface in this field of horses. Win percentage under similar conditions may be the key for this gelding.

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    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

    Bar

    Charles Town - Race #2 - Post: 7:29pm - Claiming - 4.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 68

    Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

    #6 MY LADY MUNNINGS (ML=4/1)
    #4 SOMETHING BETTER (ML=7/2)
    #2 JAX (ML=8/1)


    MY LADY MUNNINGS - I'm counting on this horse to run a good one today. SOMETHING BETTER - This jockey/conditioner duo has been producing a very positive ROI, right at +50. Ranks highest in (EPS) earnings per start. A dominant try in this event will add to that total. JAX - Ran last time out against a better field at Penn National. The move down the ladder based on class rating points should suit her well. I have to like this filly's winning probability at the shorter trip. When the field turns for home, she will have a good shot. Has much speed, and the bullring will work in her favor.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #7 COWGIRL CUT (ML=3/1), #5 OH SO QUICK (ML=5/1),

    COWGIRL CUT - Tough to support any racer that runs as well as she did and then lays up and doesn't workout at all. OH SO QUICK - Finished fourth in her most recent race with a pedestrian speed fig. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to score after that in this group.

    Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - SOMETHING BETTER - Based on my skill, a front runner positioned in an inner post on a bullring in a race less than 1 mile gets extra points in my book. Should be in a good spot moving down the stretch.





    STRAIGHT WAGERS:
    Go with #6 MY LADY MUNNINGS on top if we're getting at least 7/2 odds

    EXACTA WAGERS:
    Box [2,4,6]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Box [2,4,6] Total Cost: $6

    SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
    [2,4,6] with [2,4,6] with [1,2,4,6,7] with [1,2,4,6,7] Total Cost: $36

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    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta Downs

    Delta Downs - Race 2

    Daily Double (Races 2-3) / Exacta / Trifecta (.50 min.) / Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4) Superfecta (.10 min.)


    Claiming $4,000 • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 82 • Purse: $18,000 • Post: 6:07P
    FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE AUGUST 15, 2017. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.
    Contenders

    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line

    Accept
    Odds


    Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. WICKED RASCAL is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * WICKED RASCAL: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. CONTRIP: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey win percentage over the last 30 days is at least 18. BRISTOL ROVER: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start aft er a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
    10
    WICKED RASCAL
    7/2

    7/2
    8
    CONTRIP
    9/2

    6/1
    6
    BRISTOL ROVER
    2/1

    7/1




    P#

    Horse (In Running Style Order)

    Post

    Morn
    Line

    Running Style

    Good
    Class

    Good
    Speed

    Early Figure

    Finish Figure

    Platinum
    Figure
    10
    WICKED RASCAL
    10

    7/2
    Front-runner
    88

    83

    98.2

    74.2

    64.7
    11
    CHARMING AFLEET
    11

    20/1
    Front-runner
    80

    53

    87.2

    50.2

    27.2
    8
    CONTRIP
    8

    9/2
    Front-runner
    81

    75

    85.0

    67.0

    60.0
    7
    KATE'S DANCER
    7

    15/1
    Front-runner
    76

    70

    82.6

    62.6

    47.1
    2
    TOSS THE TUB
    2

    20/1
    Front-runner
    87

    70

    76.8

    52.2

    39.2
    9
    ROOSTER BULLET
    9

    12/1
    Front-runner
    78

    76

    72.0

    57.6

    39.6
    6
    BRISTOL ROVER
    6

    2/1
    Alternator/Front-runner
    77

    82

    73.4

    72.4

    58.4
    12
    DIXIE BEAT
    12

    12/1
    Stalker
    90

    79

    58.6

    74.2

    68.2
    5
    MASSTER CHIEF RON
    5

    8/1
    Alternator/Stalker
    86

    81

    51.2

    71.4

    63.9
    4
    LUCKY RICKY
    4

    20/1
    Trailer
    79

    74

    45.2

    67.0

    55.5
    1
    MIGHTY INTIMIDATOR
    1

    5/1
    Alternator/Trailer
    80

    78

    53.4

    67.4

    58.4
    3
    ANGELIC SCORE
    3

    30/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    93

    85

    72.6

    55.6

    38.6

  6. #6
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    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Golden Gate Fields

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.

    Race 3 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $11000 Class Rating: 99

    FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 1, 2017 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. FOUR YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000, IF FOR $7,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.


    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    The Walker Group Picks

    # 4 DANAS BEST (AUS) 9/5

    # 1 PRESS BARON (GB) 2/1

    # 3 GURNICK 4/1

    I back DANAS BEST (AUS) here. Is a solid contender based on numbers garnered as of late under today's conditions. Martinez has one of the strongest jock ROI's on the grounds, returning to wagerers +13 percent. Has to be considered - I like the figures from the last race. PRESS BARON (GB) - Always seems to be close up at the wire. Will probably go to the front end and could never look back. GURNICK - Should best this group of animals here, showing strong figures of late. Could best this group of horses based on the speed figure - 99 - of his last outing.

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    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

    Bar

    Gulfstream Park - Race #8 - Post: 4:06pm - Optional Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $51,000 Class Rating: 92

    Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

    #7 AMALUNA (ML=8/1)
    #2 WHAT ABOUT TONIGHT (ML=3/1)
    #3 RAGING TOWN (ML=7/2)


    AMALUNA - This jock and trainer have a profitable return on investment when they partner up. This mare usually does her best running late. Look for her back early in the race and closing strongly on the tiring speed horses. This mare notched a strong speed rating of 89 in her last clash. That speed fig should be high enough to triumph this time around. A thoroughbred coming back this rapidly after a sharp contest is a good sign. This mare is very familiar with the winner's circle at Gulfstream Park. I expect a repeat trip in this event. WHAT ABOUT TONIGHT - After the affair aboard this animal on January 26th, the rider is going to be in touch with the filly much better. Navarro brings her back again. I recommend you stay with this hot filly. The addition of blinkers usually means that a trainer wants a pony to show more zip or to keep her attention focused. RAGING TOWN - This filly is very reliable, frequently finishing in the money. The jockey/trainer duo of Ortiz and Tagg has a strong ROI together. 69-82-88 are last 3 Equibase speed figs. Improving each time out is something she should do again right here.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #1 THREE ILLUSIONS (ML=5/2), #4 LONGSTOCKING (ML=4/1), #5 SILENCER (ML=6/1),

    THREE ILLUSIONS - I don't normally play a morning-line favorite that hasn't been to the track in the last three weeks. LONGSTOCKING - Tough to put any money on this mare on the front end. Likes to end up on the board though. SILENCER - Even though victorious in last, didn't finish the way you'd like to see when stepping up to face stiffer competition.



    STRAIGHT WAGERS:
    #7 AMALUNA to win at post-time odds of 3/1 or better

    EXACTA WAGERS:
    7 with [2,3]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Box [2,3,7] Total Cost: $6

    SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
    Skip

    SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
    None

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    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Oaklawn Park

    Oaklawn Park - Race 2

    Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 10 Cent Superfecta / 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4) 50 Cent Pick 4 (Races 2-3-4-5)


    Maiden Claiming $25,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 63 • Purse: $24,000 • Post: 1:57P
    FOR ARKANSAS BRED (WHICH QUALIFY UNDER RULES GOVERNING ARKANSAS-BREDS) MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000, IF FOR $20,000, ALLOWED 3 LBS.
    Contenders

    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line

    Accept
    Odds


    Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * COACH NAR: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. THE PS YCHIC: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. EARLE STATION: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SPANISH AVENUE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. HAMAZINGLY RICH: Hor se has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
    10
    COACH NAR
    5/1

    6/1
    4
    THE PSYCHIC
    8/1

    6/1
    3
    EARLE STATION
    4/1

    8/1
    6
    SPANISH AVENUE
    7/2

    8/1
    5
    HAMAZINGLY RICH
    6/1

    9/1




    P#

    Horse (In Running Style Order)

    Post

    Morn
    Line

    Running Style

    Good
    Class

    Good
    Speed

    Early Figure

    Finish Figure

    Platinum
    Figure
    6
    SPANISH AVENUE
    6

    7/2
    Front-runner
    70

    52

    81.1

    48.0

    41.5
    13
    HAUS
    13

    15/1
    Front-runner
    0

    0

    78.8

    18.7

    8.7
    2
    GALLOPINGGUINNESS
    2

    6/1
    Front-runner
    70

    51

    56.9

    48.3

    39.3
    9
    VELOCIDADE
    9

    30/1
    Front-runner
    0

    0

    0.0

    0.0

    0.0
    5
    HAMAZINGLY RICH
    5

    6/1
    Alternator/Stalker
    75

    54

    51.4

    43.2

    34.7
    4
    THE PSYCHIC
    4

    8/1
    Trailer
    70

    54

    28.9

    54.1

    46.6
    3
    EARLE STATION
    3

    4/1
    Trailer
    70

    51

    5.7

    48.3

    38.8
    10
    COACH NAR
    10

    5/1
    Alternator/Trailer
    68

    56

    52.0

    51.4

    45.4
    12
    QAUNICO
    12

    30/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    0

    0

    57.7

    25.9

    13.9








    Unknown Running Style: MAD JACK (12/1) [Jockey: Sanjur Santo - Trainer: Martin William N], BIGSHOTOFWHISKEY (20/1) [Jockey: Johnson Joe M - Trainer: Cline Robert N], AIN'TSEENTHEBALL (15/1) [Jockey: Canchari Alex L - Trainer: Hornsby Tammy], SHINY AR

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    Mike Wynn

    Free Play: Free Pick Middle Tennessee St -7½ Over So Miss

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    Free Selection from Jim Feist

    Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Thursday, February 15, 2017



    02/15 06:05 PM PT / 9:05 PM ET

    NBA (503) LOS ANGELES LAKERS VS (504) MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES

    Take: (504) MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES

    Reason: Your free play for Thursday, February 15, 2018 is in the NBA scheduled contest between the LA Lakers and the Minnesota T'Wolves. Lakers had to play yesterday and they gave up 139 points to New Orleans. They should be good and tired here tonight as they head to Minnesota. It's always tough in the 2nd of a back-to-back spot, but especially after a run and gun game the night before. Play Minnesota.

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    Jeff Allen Sports

    Thursday's Free Selection is on the NY Islanders

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    Razor Sharp

    YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR THURSDAY: Take TEXAS ST +14 over UL-Lafayette

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    Totals4U

    Thursday's Free Selection: Cincinnati/Houston under 131

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    John Anthony Sports

    Thursday's Free Selection: BYU Cougars - 12

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    Atlantic Sports

    Thursday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Coastal Carolina - 1

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    #1 Sports

    Thursday's Free Selection: UTEP Miners pick 'em

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    Nevada Sharpshooter

    Your free winner for Thursday: Take COLORADO -3½ over Washington St

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    Huddle Up Sports

    Free Play: Oregon +5

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    Hawkeye Sports

    Thursday's Free Pick: Marshall - 7 1/2

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    Golden Dragon Sports

    Free Pick Utah pk College

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