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Thread: Service Plays Thursday 2/15/18

  1. #21
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    Ferrall (top 5 only, both m/l and ats unless listred)
    Purd
    ASU
    St. Mary
    Ohio St
    Hous (ats)

  2. #22
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    Ferrall
    Bucks
    Lakers (ats)

  3. #23
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Power Play Wins

    POD: Cincinnati -3.5

  4. #24
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    Benjamin Banker
    2/15/2018

    Game: Lakers/Timberwolves

    Pick: Timberwolves -10 (-110)

  5. #25
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    Dr. Bob - NBA

    **Denver (+3/+2.5*) over MILWAUKEE

    Rotation #501 – 5:05 pm Pacific

    The absence of John Henson is not being fully reflected in the spread on this game, as the Bucks are significantly worse when he’s not on the floor this season, and Denver is an improved team after finally getting rid of Emmanuel Mudiay and picking up Devin Harris from the Mavericks.

    Let’s start with Milwaukee without Henson. Obviously, Giannis Antetokounmpo is the star of the Bucks and he has a very good plus-minus of +176 points in the 1922.8 minutes he’s been on the court this season (+4.4 points per 48 minutes). However, the Greek Freak has a -22 plus-minus in 843.0 minutes when he’s on the court this season without Henson, who actually leads the Bucks in plus-minus at +176 points in 1317.4 minutes (+6.4 points per 48 minutes). I rate the bucks as a below average team without Henson and their recent good form since firing Jason Kidd has more to do with luck than an actual change in level of play, as the 28.3% on 3-point shots allowed in those 11 games is mostly due to variance, as the best perimeter defensive teams in the league tend to allow around 33% from long range. I do think the Bucks are probably a bit better under their new coach but they are still worse than average without Henson playing tonight.

    Denver, meanwhile, is improved now that Mudiay’s bad play is no longer dragging down the team. Denver has been outscored by 131 points in 751.6 minutes this season with Mudiay on the court and the Nuggets have outscored teams by 180 points in 1999.4 minutes (+4.3 points per 48 minutes) when Mudiay is not in the game. Even after adjusting for variance, that is an instant improvement of 3 points. Adding Harris was a great move, as Harris is a very effective player that had a +115 plus-minus for Dallas this season (on a team that is -137 overall) and is already +15 in plus-minus in just 42.2 minutes over 2 games with Denver – both spread wins.

    I make this game a pick with current rotations and I’ll take Denver in a 2-Star Best Bet at +3 points or more and for 1-Star down to +2

  6. #26
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    10 Units GOY 601 Montana -3.5. Bill Scoutspicks

  7. #27
    Senior Member Buzz Kill's Avatar
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    Brandon Lang

    40 Dimes - Houston +4
    Free Heber! Heber Carl Jentzsch, 82, President of the Church of Scientology International, is believed to be held in a Scientology prison (RPF). He has not been seen since 2005.

  8. #28
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Vernon Croy CBB

    5-Unit Play. Take #529 Ohio State +1 over Penn State (Thursday, February 15th at 8:00 PM ET)

    Take Ohio State ATS as my 5-Unit CBB Smash for Thursday night. This pick falls into one of my top CBB systems and the Buckeyes are the superior overall team here tonight. The Buckeyes have shot 50.3% in conference games this season while holding opponents to shooting just 40.2% against them which would explain their 13-1 conference record. The Buckeyes will dominate the boards tonight and they have the revenge factor after losing SU to the Nittany Lions back on January 25th despite being favored by 10 points. Penn State shot a ridiculous 78.6% from beyond the arc in that road win over the Buckeyes which will not happen tonight. The Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 conference games. The Buckeyes are also 6-1 ATS in their last 7 trips to Penn State. Play Ohio State ATS as we bounce back here tonight.

  9. #29
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Dave Aquino

    NBA:

    Lakers/Timberwolves Over 226

    NHL:

    Rangers/Islanders Over 6.5
    Capitals/Wild Under 5.5
    Canucks/Sharks Under 5.5

    NCAAB:

    UTEP/NC-Charlotte Over 142
    Ohio State/Penn State under 138.5

  10. #30
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    Vernon Croy

    7-U NHL THURSDAY!

    LA Kings over Pens

  11. #31
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Betting Resource

    Feb 15: NCAAB: Ohio st - Penn St
    Back: Penn St -1 Odds: 1.91
    Risk: 8 Units Return:

    Feb 15: NCAAB: UC Irvine - Hawaii
    Back: UC Irvine -6.5 Odds: 1.91
    Risk: 8 Units Return:

    Feb 15: NHL: Edmonton - LasVegas
    Back: Ot included: Edmonton win Odds: 2.75
    Risk: 8 Units Return:

  12. #32
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    10 Units #510 Houston +3.5.
    NBA
    Denver Nuggets +3.5 Buy. 8 units
    NCAAB
    8 Units #541 Western Kentucky-6.5.
    Bill ScoutsPicks

  13. #33
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    Millerlocks

    7:00 PM EST NCAAB

    CINCINNATI VS. HOUSTON

    PICK: CINCINNATI (-150)

    RISK: 11 UNITS

    8:00 PM EST NCAAB
    OHIO STATE VS. PENN STATE

    PICK: OHIO STATE +1 (-110)

    RISK: 11 UNITS

    9:00 PM EST NCAAB
    UTAH VS. WASHINGTON

    PICK: WASHINGTON +1 (-106)

    RISK: 11 UNITS







  14. #34
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    Fast Eddie from Banker Sports

    has his 4 1/2 unit Dog on Temple +12 1/2

  15. #35
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    MARIO ROJAS's picks (2-15-18)
    Best pick:
    509 CINCINNATI -2.5 *2500

    Secondaries picks:
    515 ELON +3 *1500
    520 CHARLOTTE U +2.5 *1500
    020 LAS VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS -1.5 +155 *1000

  16. #36
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    NCAAB 8 Units #536 Old Dominion -11.5. Bill ScoutsPicks

  17. #37
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Fast Eddie

    has his 4 1/2 unit Big Play on Connecticut -3

  18. #38
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    Kelso

    100 * WICHITA ST -12

    Milwaukee (nba) -2

  19. #39
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    Marco 4% Utah -1

  20. #40
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    Hackman

    added

    oregon 170

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