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Thread: Friday 2-16-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

  1. #1
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    Friday 2-16-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc


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    Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct

    RACE #8 - AQUEDUCT - 4:29 PM EASTERN POST
    7.0 FURLONGS DIRT FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $16,000.00 CLAIMING $27,000.00 PURSE

    #9 MINERALOGY
    #1 ADIRONDACK DREAM
    #5 HONOR AND PLEASURE
    #3 HAMPTONS HOLIDAY

    #9 MINERALOGY, the overall speed leader in this claiming field sprinting at today's "specialized distance" of 7.0 furlongs on the dirt, drops in class (-7), and has produced a quartet of "POWER RUNS" in his last five outings, facing better company in each of those races, than he will face in this field today. #1 ADIRONDACK DREAM also drops in class (-3), and comes off a "POWER RUN PLACE" finish facing better company (+3) in his last start, missing a "Circle Trip" in that race by less than a length.

  3. #3
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    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

    Bar

    Aqueduct - Race #2 - Post: 1:20pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $41,000 Class Rating: 77

    Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

    #5 TIMELESS BEAUTY (ML=8/5)
    #6 KAREN'S GEM (ML=9/2)


    TIMELESS BEAUTY - This filly is in fine physical condition, having run a nice race on January 25th, finishing second. Ran a winning race Jan 25th, but just couldn't haul in the winner. KAREN'S GEM - Entered a $40,000 Maiden Claiming race at Aqueduct last time around the track and raced on a muddy track finishing sixth. Expect better right here in this race.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #2 MY ROSE OF SAVANNA (ML=3/1), #3 GIA MICHAEL (ML=7/2), #1 BLISSFUL BREEZE (ML=8/1),

    MY ROSE OF SAVANNA - Hasn't been coming close at all lately. GIA MICHAEL - I'm foreseeing a lackluster try out of her in today's event. BLISSFUL BREEZE - Difficult to bet on any horse to turn things around if there is no reward to taking the chance.

    Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - TIMELESS BEAUTY - I always scan for the animal that is tops in earnings per start. If she meets my fundamentals I make a play.





    STRAIGHT WAGERS:
    Play #5 TIMELESS BEAUTY to win if you can get odds of 9/5 or more

    EXACTA WAGERS:
    Box [5,6]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Pass

  4. #4
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    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero

    Camarero - Race 1

    Daily Double 1-2


    Claiming $20,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 74 • Purse: $8,600 • Post: 2:45P
    FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JANUARY 25 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.
    Contenders

    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line

    Accept
    Odds


    Race Type: Dominant Class. FOREVER WANDY is the Dominant Class of the race. * KEY ANGLES * FOREVER WANDY: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ha s the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.
    4
    FOREVER WANDY
    1/9

    6/5




    P#

    Horse (In Running Style Order)

    Post

    Morn
    Line

    Running Style

    Good
    Class

    Good
    Speed

    Early Figure

    Finish Figure

    Platinum
    Figure
    4
    FOREVER WANDY
    4

    1/9
    Front-runner
    92

    87

    88.8

    80.4

    78.4
    1
    ELUSIVE SPEED
    1

    4/1
    Front-runner
    66

    69

    82.6

    53.0

    47.0
    3
    MY FIRST HONEY
    3

    10/1
    Stalker
    77

    72

    69.2

    51.4

    47.4
    2
    MELLOW SONG
    2

    20/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    0

    0

    53.1

    19.0

    10.0
    6
    YASHIRA G.
    6

    20/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    0

    0

    46.2

    9.4

    0.4








    Unknown Running Style: DONA MISCHI (15/1) [Jockey: Torres Wesley - Trainer: Cruz Axel J].

  5. #5
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    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.

    Race 4 - Allowance - 4.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $24500 Class Rating: 76

    FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, WAIVER CLAIMING OR STATE BRED RACES OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JANUARY 16 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 16 ALLOWED 6 LBS. W V A


    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    The Walker Group Picks

    # 8 DEBUTANT GIRL 15/1

    # 7 ARTY'SBOURBONGIRL 5/1

    # 2 SILENT NOTION 5/2

    DEBUTANT GIRL is the top bet in this affair especially at a long price. Sound average Equibase speed figs in dirt sprint races make this animal a contender. Batista has an excellent return on investment over the past 30 days (+3) which should probably help players with this selection. She has been running soundly and the Speed Figures are among the strongest in this group. ARTY'SBOURBONGIRL - Looks respectable to be close to the front end at the first call. Has the looks of a lucrative play. SILENT NOTION - This mare looks good in this race since Brown has a solid win percent with horses going this distance. Ran a strong last race.

  6. #6
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    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

    Bar

    Santa Anita - Race #3 - Post: 2:00pm - Maiden Special - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $54,000 Class Rating: 97

    Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

    #4 HONOR GUARD (ML=8/1)


    HONOR GUARD - You should give this first time starter consideration in your speculating today This colt has posted superior workout numbers compared to these thoroughbreds race times. First-timer has morning works over the Santa Anita strip, which is always a plus. I always like to see a horse getting Lasix for the 1st time. Bob Baffert adds it on this one today. I have all the info you need right here. Dam stats for first timers, winners 100 percent of the time.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #6 DRAFT PICK (ML=2/1), #1 SOLTERO (ML=5/2), #3 AQUILA (ML=3/1),

    DRAFT PICK - Earned a mediocre speed figure last out in a Maiden Special race on December 14th. Unlikely to see an improved performance off of that number. SOLTERO - M/L odds of 5/2 make this horse a pass by my standards. AQUILA - Recorded a substandard speed figure last race out in a Maiden Special race on Jan 19th. Not likely to see an improved performance off of that figure.

    Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - HONOR GUARD - Bob Baffert is fantastic with a first timer. Terrific winning pct.





    STRAIGHT WAGERS:
    Go with #4 HONOR GUARD on top if we're getting at least 1/1 odds

    EXACTA WAGERS:
    None

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Pass

    SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
    Pass

    SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
    Pass

  7. #7
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    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Sunland Park

    Sunland Park - Race 4

    $1 Pick 6(Races 4-5-6-7-8-9)/.50 Pick 3(Races 4-5-6)/$1 Exacta/Trifecta .10 Superfecta


    Trial • 400 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 98 • Purse: $8,900 • Post: 1:45P
    QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD THAT REMAIN ELIGIBLE FOR THE TRIALS OF THE WEST TEXAS MATURITY. WEIGHTS; THREE YEAR OLDS.122LBS. OLDER; 124LBS. NOMINATIONS CLOSE JANUARY 15,2018 WITH $675.00 PAYMENT WITH AN ADDITIONAL $750.00 DUE AT TIME OF ENTRY INTO THE TRIALS. LATE SUPPLEMENT OF $3,000.00 DUE AT TIME OF ENTRY INTO THE TRIALS. (INCLUDES ALL FEES). FINAL RUNS SATURDAY, MARCH 10, 2018.
    Contenders

    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line

    Accept
    Odds


    Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * IMPERIAL EAGLE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. BOOGIES SPECIAL DASH: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase S peed Rating. FIRST VEGAS MOON: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. SOAR LIKE AN EAGLE: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. A SPECIAL DY NASTY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
    7
    IMPERIAL EAGLE
    5/2

    3/1
    3
    BOOGIES SPECIAL DASH
    7/2

    9/1
    2
    FIRST VEGAS MOON
    8/1

    9/1
    5
    SOAR LIKE AN EAGLE
    6/1

    9/1
    8
    A SPECIAL DYNASTY
    6/1

    10/1




    P#

    Horse (In Running Style Order)

    Post

    Morn
    Line

    Running Style

    Good
    Class

    Good
    Speed

    Early Figure

    Finish Figure

    Platinum
    Figure
    1
    JESS DEJA BLUE
    1

    10/1
    Average
    80

    70

    5.1

    0.0

    0.0
    2
    FIRST VEGAS MOON
    2

    8/1
    Average
    90

    89

    5.0

    0.0

    0.0
    3
    BOOGIES SPECIAL DASH
    3

    7/2
    Average
    94

    82

    5.9

    0.0

    0.0
    4
    ZOOMING TO A WIN
    4

    10/1
    Average
    74

    68

    4.2

    0.0

    0.0
    5
    SOAR LIKE AN EAGLE
    5

    6/1
    Fast
    90

    83

    3.2

    0.0

    0.0
    6
    ITS JESS POLITICS
    6

    12/1
    Average
    62

    62

    4.6

    0.0

    0.0
    7
    IMPERIAL EAGLE
    7

    5/2
    Fast
    97

    99

    2.9

    0.0

    0.0
    8
    A SPECIAL DYNASTY
    8

    6/1
    Average
    86

    88

    4.7

    0.0

    0.0
    9
    DYNASTY ICE 123
    9

    8/1
    Average
    90

    82

    5.0

    0.0

    0.0

  8. #8
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    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Tampa Bay Downs

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.

    Race 2 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $10700 Class Rating: 82

    FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JANUARY 16 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000


    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    The Walker Group Picks

    # 1 CITY STORM 6/1

    # 3 NO PHONE JOE 8/1

    # 2 MAGIC MANGUS 9/2

    I've got to go with CITY STORM. Could best this group based on the speed fig - 82 - of his last race. The average class rating alone makes this one a solid choice. He has been running admirably and the Equibase Speed Figures are among the most competitive in this group. NO PHONE JOE - Looks decent for the conditions of this race today, showing solid figs in dirt sprint races recently. MAGIC MANGUS - Could best this group of animals based on the speed fig - 72 - of his last effort. Has earned solid Equibase Speed Figures in dirt sprint races in the past.

  9. #9
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    Mike Wynn

    Free Play: Free Pick Buffalo -14 Over Bowling Green

  10. #10
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    Free Selection from Jim Feist

    Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Friday, February 16, 2017

    2/16 04:00 PM PT / 7:00 PM ET

    CB (811) PENNSYLVANIA VS (812) COLUMBIA

    Take: (811) PENNSYLVANIA

    Reason: Your free play for Friday, February 16, 2018 is in the College Basketball game between Pennsylvania and Columbia. The Penn Quakers are just 3-7 ATS the last 10 vs a team with a losing record. In addition, they are 16-33-2 ATS in their last 51 games on Friday. Conversely, the Columbia Lions have covered three of the last five in this series with one push. In addition, the Quakers are 4-0-1 the last five in Columbia. Take Columbia

  11. #11
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    Razor Sharp

    YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR FRIDAY: Take BOWLING GREEN +14 over Buffalo

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    Totals4U

    Friday's Free Selection: IUPUI/Wis-Milwaukee under 133 1/2

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    John Anthony Sports

    Friday's Free Selection: Illinois-Chicago Flames - 3 1/2

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    Atlantic Sports

    Friday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Dallas Stars - 140

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    #1 Sports

    Friday's Free Selection: Wis-Milwaukee Panthers - 10

  16. #16
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    Nevada Sharpshooter

    Your free winner for Friday: Take HARVARD -9½ over Brown

  17. #17
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    Huddle Up Sports

    Free Play: Harvard -9'

  18. #18
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    Hawkeye Sports

    Friday's Free Pick: Columbus Blue Jackets - 140

  19. #19
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    Golden Dragon Sports

    Free Pick IUPUI +10

  20. #20
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    Arthur Ralph Sports

    FREE play: FRI Geo SOUTHERN PICK

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