Friday 2-23-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alex Smart

Feb 23 '18, 8:05 PM in 2h
NBA | Wolves vs Rockets
Play on: Wolves +8½ -110 at BMaker

Houston is a explosive team, but Minnesota have been up trending in my power rankings charts all season long , and are more than capable of being competitive in their current form. You have to remember, that Houston has been sub par from a betting perspective at home this season, covering just 11 of 29 games, and have failed to cover 5 of their L/6 at home here in the Toyota Center. I know that The Wolves got clobbered 116-98 by the mighty Rockets earlier this season, but now in payback mode, I'm betting on the young men form the Land of Lakes, to cover this number tonight, and make the Rockets work very hard for a win. Note: Houston is 5-0 SU L/5 at home in this series but only covered 1 of those games, which was the last time they played here back on Feb 13th.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin

Feb 23 '18, 7:05 PM in 1h
NBA | Hornets vs Wizards
Play on: Wizards -3½ -107 at pinnacle

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Washington Wizards -3.5
The Wizards are actually playing better without John Wall. They are sharing the ball more and playing team basketball, and they are coming off an impressive 110-103 upset win in Cleveland last night. Now they are 8-2 SU & 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall. They host the Hornets, who are just 9-18 on the road this season and have been a big disappointment all year. The home team is 10-1 straight up in the last 11 meetings. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings. The Hornets are 0-4 ATS in their last four visits to Washington. Charlotte is 0-5 ATS in its last five road games. Give me the Wizards.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Ryan

Feb 23 '18, 7:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Dartmouth vs Pennsylvania
Play on: Dartmouth +11 -104 at betonline

The Play and How to Play it:
The Play: Dartmouth (829)
The Matchup: DARTMOUTH (6 - 17) at PENNSYLVANIA (19 - 7)
Start Time: Friday, 2/23/2018 7:00 PM
SIM grading: 4 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Recommended Strategy: Place a 4-star wager on Dartmouth using the line. The current line shows Dartmouth installed as an 11-point road dog.
An alternative wager is to place a 3-star amount on the line and then add a 1-star amount using the money line. The money line is trading at about 450, which is paying back $450 for every $100 wagered should Dartmouth win the game straight-up. Of course, not all of these types of dogs will win SU, but over the course of the season, there will be enough of them where this type of combination wager adds a significant amount to your total profit over the course of a season.
Game Intelligence Analytics
Play on road underdogs of 10 or more points (DARTMOUTH).
Revenging a close loss to rival opponent of 3 points or less.
And with that rival opponent off 2 straight wins against conference rivals.
39-16 over the last 5 seasons for 70.9%, $2140.00 per $100 wagered.
SIM Matching Game Situations
Dartmouth
50-29 ATS (+18.1 Units) in road games when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game.
11-5 ATS when on the road and making 45% or more of their shots since 2013.
Methodologies and Subscriptions
If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several analytical tools using machine learning techniques - some of which have been around since the 1950's. Also, have deployed AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Covers

Feb 23 '18, 7:05 PM in 1h
NBA | Hornets vs Wizards
Play on: Wizards -3½ -107 at pinnacle

Take Washington (#806)
Teddy went into the NBA All Star Break red hot and he came out of the All Star Break winning two out of three last night, now cashing his NBA at an 83% clip since February 12th! Expect more winning results tonight with Teddy's Tremendous Trifecta; a pair of NBA winners as well as Ohio State - Indiana in college hoops! Get onboard!
There’s a lot to like about the Washington Wizards right now. The markets devalued the Wizards immediately after star point guard John Wall got hurt. Since Wall’s injury, Tomas Satoransky and Tim Frazier have gotten the job done at the point in his absence; a duo that combined for 19 points, eight rebounds and 10 assists without a single turnover in the Wizards outright upset victory at Cleveland last night.
Wins and covers have been the norm, not the exception for Scott Brooks squad of late. They’ve gone 8-2 SU, 8-2 ATS since Wall’s injury. And both losses deserve an asterisk – they lost in OT against the top notch Celtics and on the second night of back-2-backs at surging Philly. Last night’s win at Cleveland was just one outright upset during this span. They also beat Toronto and OKC as home dogs during this recent span of excellence.
The advanced metric numbers show that Washington’s current surge is no accident. Both their offensive and defensive stats have improved since Wall’s injury; most notably with the Wizards offense averaging more than four points per 100 possessions MORE than they did with Wall in the lineup. The markets have devalued Washington just as they’ve surged!
All Star Bradley Beal, prior to last night’s win at Cleveland: "We take advantage of (the All-Star break) because we got a lot of guys banged up. We still got John out. ….I think (the break) came at a good time, although we were definitely on a nice, little run. We finished off well, going into All-Star (weekend), and we've got to pick it up right where we left off."
Charlotte has struggled on the second night of back-2-backs all year: 3-7 SU, 3-7 ATS. Their last win in this role came before Christmas, and they’ve lost by double digits on the second of back-2-backs three times in their last four tries. Coming off a game against Brooklyn last night where shots were falling – the Hornets hit 52% from three point range on their way to hanging 111 on the Nets – it’s easy to picture a scenario tonight in which the Hornets don’t hit so many contested shots. Undervalued commodity in Washington right now….. Take the Wizards.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn

Feb 23 '18, 8:05 PM in 2h
NBA | Wolves vs Rockets
Play on: OVER 225 -105

1* Free Play on Wolves/Rockets over 225 -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pro Computer Gambler

Feb 23 '18, 9:05 PM in 3h
NBA | Blazers vs Jazz
Play on: Jazz -4½ -108 at pinnacle

KEY FREE NBA BETTING SYSTEM: In database history, plus .500 dogs are just 821-910-31 ATS against .500 teams when the total is set between 195 and 210. Fade the Blazers today!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Spreitzer

Feb 23 '18, 10:35 PM in 4h
NBA | Mavs vs Lakers
Play on: OVER 223½ -110

I'm recommending a play on the Over between the Mavericks & Lakers on Friday night. As we noted last night, games involving two losing teams have meant less intensity on the defensive end when coming right out of the all-star break. Some aren't quite set to get back into the swing of things and if they've nothing much to play for, the lack of defensive intensity can be magnified. We expect that to be the case when Dallas meets Los Angeles. The Lakers allow 110 points per game and gave up 119, 139, and 130 points in their final three games before the break. Dallas has allowed their hosts to make 49.1 percent of their shots on the season and they've given up more than 113 points per game in their last five contests. The Mavs have played to the Over 20 of the last 28 games following a break of at least three days, while the Lakers are 33-16-2 to the Over in the same situation. I'm recommending the Over between the Mavericks & Lakers on Friday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doug Upstone

Feb 23 '18, 8:05 PM in 2h
NHL | Jets vs Blues
Play on: UNDER 5½ -110

On Friday night, Play Under on road teams like Winnipeg when the total is 5.5, who are outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals a game in the 2nd half of the season, after allowing two goals or more in the third period last game. In the past five years, these teams are 39-13 UNDER.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins

Feb 23 '18, 9:05 PM in 3h
NBA | Blazers vs Jazz
Play on: Jazz -4½ -105 at pinnacle

Free Play on Jazz -4½ -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover

Feb 23 '18, 8:05 PM in 2h
NBA | Heat vs Pelicans
Play on: UNDER 214½ +103

Seeing a total this high on a Miami Heat game is a new experience. Only once since Dec. 6 have the Heat had a higher total. Of course the key question is this over/under number justified being this high for a Miami game? I say no fully realizing the Pelicans are the fourth-highest scoring team in the NBA and second-worst defensive club. They have been playing at the fastest tempo, too, of any team during the last five games before the All-Star break. Despite this, I'm expecting a much lower-scoring game than the oddsmaker anticipates. Both teams figure to be rusty and defensive-minded following a nine-day break. The Heat are nearly the opposite of New Orleans ranking third in fewest points per game giving up 101.4 and 28th in scoring averaging 100.5. Miami is in stop-the-pain mode having lost seven of its last eight games, including five in a row on the road. Miami is well-coached. The Heat aren't going to get caught up in a fast tempo game with the Pelicans. It's not a fluke that 13 of their last 18 games versus Western Conference opponents has gone Under. Hassan Whiteside may be the best rim protector in the Eastern Conference. The Pelicans aren't going to get easy baskets inside. I'm expecting the Pelicans' scoring to go down and their defense to be improved with the addition of defensive-minded center Emeka Okafor and the season-ending injury to DeMarcus Cousins. No Cousins also means less technical foul shots for the opposition. (Editor's note: Stephen Nover is one of the top NBA 'cappers in the country and is a blazing 13-5 on his last 18 premium/free plays. Stephen loves today's NBA card, which is headed by his Western Conference Game of the Month.)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Info Plays

Feb 23 '18, 8:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Ohio State vs Indiana
Play on: Indiana +2½ -110 at betonline

1* Free Play on Indiana +2½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Wing

Feb 23 '18, 9:05 PM in 3h
NBA | Clippers vs Suns
Play on: Clippers -5 -115 at BMaker

1 Unit Free Pick: Clippers -5 -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker

Feb 23 '18, 8:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Ohio State vs Indiana
Play on: Ohio State -1½ -105 at 5Dimes

Free Pick on Ohio State -1½

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee

Feb 23 '18, 7:05 PM in 1h
NBA | Celtics vs Pistons
Play on: Celtics -1½ -115 at BMaker

10* FREE NBA PICK (Celtics -1.5)
I'll take the bait here and lay the short number with Boston on the road here against the Pistons. I just think the price is right given the situation, as we have a top tier Celtics team that you have to believe is going to be chomping at the bit to get back on the court after losing their final 3 games before the All-Star break. On the flip side of this, I think Detroit is still a bit overvalued from that trade that landed Blake Griffin. Note they are just 1-7 ATS in the 8 games that Griffin has played with the team and 7 of those 8 games were played on their home floor. Boston already won at Detroit earlier this season by double-digits (91-81) and are 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 visits overall. The Celtics are also 34-16-2 ATS in their last 52 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Give me Boston -1.5!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dennis Macklin

Feb 23 '18, 7:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Wofford vs East Tennessee State
Play on: East Tennessee State -8 -105 at 5Dimes

DMack's Free Play for Friday, February 23, 2018 is on the ETSU Bucs
You would have to think that this will be a very angry ETSU bunch at the Mountain States Health Alliance Center tonight as the Bucs have lost two of three after a 22-4 start including a loss to The Citadel Monday as a 20-point favorite. Wofford has had its moments this year but is just 4-5 L9 and 4-4 in conference road games this year. East Tennessee hammered the Terriers 75-62 at Wofford, knocking down 68% of its shots inside the arc. The Bucs are 10-6 L16 as home faves L16 and SoCon home faves are 25-16 this year. Not an overly friendly line but reflective of ETSU veteran talent and poor performance last game.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Lundin

Feb 23 '18, 7:05 PM in 1h
NBA | Celtics vs Pistons
Play on: Celtics -125 at 5Dimes

#NBA FREE PICK FROM MIKE LUNDIN
The All-Star break came at a good time for the Boston Celtics after losing three straight and four of their last five to fall two games behind Toronto for the top spot in the Eastern Conference. I like them to come out strong from the break and pick up the W when they visit the Detroit Pistons Friday night.
Detroit has dropped three of its last four and covered the spread in only one of its last eight games. The Pistons are still trying to figure out how to maximize their offensive potential with the addition of Blake Griffin. "Blake's different than anybody we've had at that spot," Van Gundy told Pistons.com and other media members. Taking on one of the best defenses in the league won't help matters ...
Celtics are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 and the road team is 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings in this series.
My free pick is on Boston Celtics ML.