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Thread: Friday 2-23-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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    Friday 2-23-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc


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    Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct

    RACE #4 - AQUEDUCT - 2:22 PM EASTERN POST
    6½ FURLONGS DIRT THREE YEAR OLD FILLIES $20,000.00 CLAIMING $40,000.00 PURSE

    #3 DREAMS ARE PAZIBLE
    #6 TIZ SURPRSED
    #7 ROCK ON SANDY
    #2 GIANT BOXER

    #3 DREAMS ARE PAZIBLE takes a class drop (-2), and has hit the board in four of her last five outings, with three of those "board hit efforts," including "bounce pattern wins" in her 2nd and 4th races back, also qualifying as "POWER RUNS." #6 TIZ SURPRISED is both the overall speed and pace profile leader in this field sprinting at, or about, 6½ furlongs on the dirt, and has hit the board in each of her last five outings, with three of those efforts, including wins in both her 3rd and 5th races back, also qualifying as "POWER RUNS."

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    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta Downs

    Delta Downs - Race 3

    Daily Double ($1 Min.) / Exacta($1 Min.) / Trifecta (50 Cent Min.) Pick 3 (50 Cent Min.) (Races 3-4-5) / Superfecta (10 Cent Min.)


    Maiden Special • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 68 • Purse: $48,000 • Post: 6:35P
    FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. (PREFERENCE TO HORSES THAT HAVE NOT STARTED FOR LESS THAN $20,000)(SPECIAL LA MAIDEN).
    Contenders

    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line

    Accept
    Odds


    Race Type: Lone Front-runner. INTENSIFIED is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * INTENSIFIED: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. MISS BILLIE K: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. SHE SANG DIXIE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. MISS URUGUAY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.
    7
    INTENSIFIED
    5/1

    4/1
    1
    MISS BILLIE K
    10/1

    6/1
    9
    SHE SANG DIXIE
    5/2

    7/1
    12
    MISS URUGUAY
    12/1

    8/1




    P#

    Horse (In Running Style Order)

    Post

    Morn
    Line

    Running Style

    Good
    Class

    Good
    Speed

    Early Figure

    Finish Figure

    Platinum
    Figure
    7
    INTENSIFIED
    7

    5/1
    Front-runner
    67

    58

    87.8

    53.1

    44.1
    12
    MISS URUGUAY
    12

    12/1
    Stalker
    68

    56

    78.7

    53.1

    48.1
    9
    SHE SANG DIXIE
    9

    5/2
    Alternator/Stalker
    66

    63

    51.1

    54.3

    48.8
    8
    STELLA'S HONOR
    8

    9/2
    Trailer
    64

    54

    42.4

    45.7

    35.7
    1
    MISS BILLIE K
    1

    10/1
    Trailer
    73

    64

    38.9

    60.7

    56.7
    2
    D'WILD BARONESS
    2

    7/2
    Trailer
    61

    54

    31.7

    51.4

    40.9
    6
    KEHRON'S CREED
    6

    20/1
    Alternator/Trailer
    0

    0

    24.6

    47.4

    37.4
    11
    BRAHMS BABY
    11

    12/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    0

    0

    73.9

    45.5

    36.5








    Unknown Running Style: MAJINO (10/1) [Jockey: Negron Luis - Trainer: Chatters Benard], KOHENSRISING (20/1) [Jockey: Nieves Emanuel - Trainer: Ramirez Eduardo], HIGH TECH JEWEL (10/1) [Jockey: Broussard Ashley - Trainer: Gelner Scott], REMEMBRANCE ROS

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    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fonner Park

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.

    Race 5 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $3500 Class Rating: 82

    FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON THREE RACES IN 2017 - 2018. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500.


    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    The Walker Group Picks

    # 4 MUMBLES 7/2

    # 7 HERO'S DIVIDE 5/2

    # 3 BLACK LABEL 6/1

    MUMBLES has a formidable shot to take this race. Has been running quite well and has among the best speed in the race for today's distance. He looks strong in this spot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the halfway point. Earned a decent speed figure last time out. HERO'S DIVIDE - Have to love when any equine makes a quick reversal of fortune. Always hard to beat Lemburg and Manrrique working together, winning 17 percent of their races. BLACK LABEL - Will almost certainly go to the lead and could never look back. Strong jock with conditioner numbers make this horse a strong choice.

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    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Golden Gate Fields

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.

    Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $16000 Class Rating: 79

    FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000, IF FOR $35,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.


    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    The Walker Group Picks

    # 2 IMPECUNIOUS 2/1

    # 1 LUCKY ANTARES 7/2

    # 4 PERFECTUS 6/1

    My selection for this race is IMPECUNIOUS. Her 70 average has this filly with among the strongest speed figs in this competition. Hess makes a blinkers change (going on today), looking for positive results. Cedillo should be able to get this filly to break out early in this contest. LUCKY ANTARES - Specht has this filly travelling well and is a strong selection based on the decent Equibase Speed Figures put up in sprint races lately. Ran a strong last race. PERFECTUS - Strong chance today with second time Lasix. Could best this group of horses in this race based on the Equibase Speed Fig - 70 - of her last effort.

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    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

    Bar

    Sam Houston - Race #2 - Post: 7:28pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $6,000 Class Rating: 88

    Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

    #4 TURN UP THE LIGHTS (ML=5/2)
    #2 DEACON'S HERO (ML=15/1)


    TURN UP THE LIGHTS - Have to give this gelding a shot. Ran a strong outing last out within the last 30 days. This gelding is rounding his way back into shape. Should perform well today. Is ranked number one in the field in earnings per start (EPS). A powerful performance in this field can increase the lifetime bankroll. DEACON'S HERO - This gelding is put right back into a race in less than 10 days; this is a positive sign. This gelding likes to be near the lead. Today's affair is a shorter distance and should enhance his chances. I think this gelding is ready to run a good one. He's had enough efforts since the vacation and should be fit.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #3 CATFEINATED (ML=8/5), #5 EMPEROR T (ML=3/1), #6 NYM (MEX) (ML=4/1),

    CATFEINATED - I cannot play this perpetual non-winner. Gets the assignment fulfilled infrequently. This gelding will probably bounce, and not come anywhere near the latest speed figure of 89. EMPEROR T - Could be tough for this horse to beat this bunch off of that last speed rating. Doubtful to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's class figure, so put him on the questionable challengers list. NYM (MEX) - In any race of 7 furlongs, I like to wager on a contender that has been sharp in sprint contests recently. Awfully difficult to wager on this pony when he hasn't been showing any indications of eagerness of late. Mediocre speed rating in the last race at Sam Houston at 1 mile. Don't feel this runner will improve too much in today's race.

    Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - DEACON'S HERO - Finished a disappointing sixth at Sam Houston on February 14th. But that was on a muddy track. Expect much better in today's event.





    STRAIGHT WAGERS:
    Putting our cash on #4 TURN UP THE LIGHTS to win. Have to have odds of at least 7/5 or better though

    EXACTA WAGERS:
    Box [2,4]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Skip

    SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
    None

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    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

    Bar

    Oaklawn Park - Race #5 - Post: 3:19pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $34,000 Class Rating: 81

    Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

    #6 RIPE (ML=5/1)
    #4 EL MAS PURO (ML=4/1)
    #8 HIP FOUR O FOUR (ML=6/1)


    RIPE - Nice return on investment for this jockey and handler duo. EL MAS PURO - I sense an early battle developing here. If that happens, this colt will be in the catbird's seat to rumble by the leaders. Have to give this colt a chance. Ran a sharp race last race out within the last thirty days. HIP FOUR O FOUR - I like to invest in this handicapping angle, a thoroughbred coming back off a sharp contest within the last 30 days.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #2 DRY MARTINI (ML=7/2), #1A DARING EGO (ML=9/2), #1 COASTAL HIGHWAY (ML=9/2),

    DRY MARTINI - This gelding earned a speed fig in his last affair which likely isn't good enough in today's event. DARING EGO - Didn't close any ground at any point on January 30th. Hard to wager on this time around at the expected odds. COASTAL HIGHWAY - 9/2 is not pegged at the proper price for any thoroughbred in a sprint of 6 furlongs that hasn't hit the board in a sprint race of late. Don't feel this mount will make an impact in today's race. That last speed figure was pedestrian when compared with today's class rating.



    STRAIGHT WAGERS:
    #6 RIPE is the play if we get odds of 5/2 or better

    EXACTA WAGERS:
    6 with [4,8]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Box [4,6,8] Total Cost: $6

    SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
    [4,6,8] with [4,6,8] with [1,4,5,6,8] with [1,4,5,6,8] Total Cost: $36

    ** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **

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    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Sunland Park

    Sunland Park - Race 4

    $1 Pick 6(Races 4-5-6-7-8-9)/.50 Pick 3(Races 4-5-6)/$1 Exacta/Trifecta .10 Superfecta


    Claiming $7,500 • 400 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 84 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 1:45P
    QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500 (CONDITION ELIGIBILITY PREFERRED).
    Contenders

    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line

    Accept
    Odds


    Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * ONE SPECIAL WAVE: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. AFIRSTVALIANTHERO: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. KISSIN CORONAS: Quarter Horse has a Fa st Break Style designation. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. MS HIGHMAITENANCE: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
    1
    ONE SPECIAL WAVE
    6/1

    5/1
    11
    AFIRSTVALIANTHERO
    6/1

    6/1
    4
    KISSIN CORONAS
    4/1

    6/1
    12
    MS HIGHMAITENANCE
    5/1

    8/1




    P#

    Horse (In Running Style Order)

    Post

    Morn
    Line

    Running Style

    Good
    Class

    Good
    Speed

    Early Figure

    Finish Figure

    Platinum
    Figure
    1
    ONE SPECIAL WAVE
    1

    6/1
    Fast
    86

    82

    3.0

    0.0

    0.0
    2
    BANK ONIT BETSY
    2

    3/1
    Slow
    77

    72

    6.5

    0.0

    0.0
    3
    VENETIAN PARADISE
    3

    8/1
    Slow
    73

    71

    6.5

    0.0

    0.0
    4
    KISSIN CORONAS
    4

    4/1
    Fast
    83

    84

    3.1

    0.0

    0.0
    5
    IF UR CUTE IM QUICK
    5

    20/1
    Fast
    65

    58

    3.3

    0.0

    0.0
    6
    EPIC GRAY
    6

    15/1
    Average
    77

    72

    3.9

    0.0

    0.0
    7
    KOOL KUE FIRE
    7

    8/1
    Average
    74

    77

    5.0

    0.0

    0.0
    8
    ALL BODACIOUS
    8

    12/1
    Average
    78

    68

    5.2

    0.0

    0.0
    9
    BONNIE THE BARFLY
    9

    10/1
    Average
    72

    70

    4.9

    0.0

    0.0
    10
    PERRY TEES JET
    10

    5/1
    Average
    80

    71

    3.6

    0.0

    0.0
    11
    AFIRSTVALIANTHERO
    11

    6/1
    Fast
    82

    86

    0.0

    0.0

    0.0
    12
    MS HIGHMAITENANCE
    12

    5/1
    Average
    78

    80

    4.7

    0.0

    0.0

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    Tommy Brunson

    I would guess that the Bucks and the Raptors - who were both idle last night - will be more-than-ready to lace up their sneaks and get things going this Friday night in TO.

    A look at series numbers when these teams meet at the Air Canada Centre shows 12 of the last 17 having pushed their way Over the posted total. Both meetings this season between the teams have indeed played High, and that includes their New Year's Day meeting that resulted in a 131-127 overtime win for the host.

    Milwaukee went to the break having landed Over the total in 2 of their last 3, while Toronto entered the All-Star pause with Overs in each of their last 3 contests.

    Always a big fan of looking for the points to add up when teams are playing regular season games after long layoffs, and this year's All-Star break qualifies as a long layoff.

    Bucks-Raptors to land Over on Friday night.

    2* MILWAUKEE-TORONTO OVER

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    Ryan Knuppel

    Ohio State vs Indiana +2.5
    Minn vs Houston -6.5

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    Mike Wynn

    Free Play: Free Pick New Orleans -2½ Over Miami

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    Free Selection from Jim Feist

    Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Friday, February 23, 2017



    2/23 07:35 PM PT / 10:35 PM ET

    NBA (821) DALLAS MAVERICKS VS (822) LOS ANGELES LAKERS

    Take: (822) LOS ANGELES LAKERS

    Reason: Your free play for Friday, February 23, 2018 is in the NBA scheduled contest between the Dallas Mavs and the LA Lakers. The Dallas Mavericks have covered nine of their last 12 road games. However, they haven't fared well against the Pacific division, going just 5-11-1 in their last 17 tries vs the number. Meanwhile, the Lakers have covered eight straight at home. The Lakers are also 7-3 ATS their last 10 games vs a team with a losing straight up record. Play the LAKERS.

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    Jeff Allen Sports

    Friday's Free Selection is on the Pittsburgh Penguins

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    Razor Sharp

    YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR FRIDAY: Take WASHINGTON -3½ over Charlotte

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    Totals4U

    Friday's Free Selection: Cleveland Cavaliers/Memphis Grizzlies over 212

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    John Anthony Sports

    Friday's Free Selection: Illinois-Chicago Flames + 3 1/2

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    Atlantic Sports

    Friday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Niagara - 9 1/2

  18. #18
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    #1 Sports

    Friday's Free Selection: Cornell Big Red + 2 1/2

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    Nevada Sharpshooter

    Your free winner for Friday: Take BOSTON/DETROIT OVER the total of 209½

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    Huddle Up Sports

    Free Play: Miami +3

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