College GameDay's Lee Corso will make his first headgear pick of the season for Saturday's Michigan at Notre Dame (-1) matchup.

He is Joe Public personified and, like casual bettors, he overvalues a program’s ranking and the name of the school on the uniform.


Since 2012, Corso is 56-42 (57.1%) straight-up. Not bad, but anyone tailing his picks got crushed on the spread with a 35-61-2 (36.5%) ATS record.

Fading Corso has been profitable. By betting against his headgear selections, gamblers are 61-35-2 (63.5%) ATS since 2012.

The results aren’t too surprising if you consider that most picks are for marquee matchups often featuring a pair of Top 25 teams.