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Red Dog Sports
Oct 21 '19, 3:00 PM in 6h
Soccer | Arsenal vs Sheffield United
Play on: Arsenal -102 at pinnacle
Arsenal -102
The free soccer play takes place in England on Monday. Soccer plays are 7-2.
Arsenal 2
Sheffield 1
Jimmy Boyd
Oct 21 '19, 8:35 PM in 11h
NHL | Senators vs Stars
Play on: Stars -200 at YouWager
1* Free Pick on Stars -200
475NEW ENGLAND -476 NY JETS
NY JETS are 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) after gaining 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992.
NFL
Dunkel
Week 7
Monday, October 21
New England @ NY Jets
Game 475-476
October 21, 2019 @ 8:15 pm
Dunkel Rating:
New England
137.246
NY Jets
130.026
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New England
by 7
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New England
by 10 1/2
43
Dunkel Pick:
NY Jets
(+10 1/2); Under
NFL
Long Sheet
Week 7
Monday, October 21
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NEW ENGLAND (6 - 0) at NY JETS (1 - 4) - 10/21/2019, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 127-95 ATS (+22.5 Units) in road games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 127-95 ATS (+22.5 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 94-68 ATS (+19.2 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 204-148 ATS (+41.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 127-86 ATS (+32.4 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 66-44 ATS (+17.6 Units) in October games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 118-89 ATS (+20.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 71-47 ATS (+19.3 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 5-0 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NFL
Week 7
Trend Report
Monday, October 21
New York Jets
NY Jets is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games
NY Jets is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Jets's last 6 games
NY Jets is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
NY Jets is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Jets's last 10 games at home
NY Jets is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New England
NY Jets is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing New England
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Jets's last 7 games when playing New England
NY Jets is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against New England
NY Jets is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New England
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games when playing at home against New England
New England Patriots
New England is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of New England's last 18 games
New England is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England's last 6 games on the road
New England is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Jets
New England is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing NY Jets
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New England's last 7 games when playing NY Jets
New England is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
New England is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
NFL
Week 7
Patriots (6-0) @ Jets (1-4)— Darnold came back from his bout with mono and revitalized the Jets LW, throwing for 326 yards vs Dallas after they averaged 113.5 PY in first four games. Gang Green is still averaging only 64 rushing ypg. Jets are 17-9-1 ATS in last 27 games as a home underdog. New England won 14 of last 16 series games, winning six of last eight visits here; Patriots have allowed only 8 ppg this year; their TO margin is +9- they scored five TD’s already on defense/special teams. Only one of NE’s six wins was by fewer than 16 points. Patriots are 16-10 ATS in last 26 games as road favorites; they held four of last five opponents to 220 or fewer TY. NFL-wide, divisional home underdogs are 4-3 ATS.
NFL Betting Stats heading into Week 7:
Road Teams: 56-35-1 ATS
Home Teams: 35-56-1 ATS
Favorites: 35-56-1 ATS
Underdogs: 56-35-1 ATS
Home Faves: 20-41-1 ATS
Home Dogs: 15-15 ATS
Road Faves: 15-15 ATS
Road Dogs: 41-20-1 ATS
O/U: 43-49
NFL's Top ATS Teams:
t1. 'Niners 4-1 ATS
t1. Bills 4-1 ATS
t1. Lions 4-1 ATS
4. Colts 3-1-1 ATS
t5. Patriots, Packers, Saints, Panthers, Texans, Vikings, Rams, Cardinals and Steelers tied at 4-2 ATS
NFL's Worst ATS Teams:
t30. Redskins 1-5 ATS
t30. Falcons 1-5 ATS
t30. Ravens 1-5 ATS
t28. Dolphins 1-4 ATS
t28. Chargers 1-4-1 ATS
t23. Titans, Buccaneers, Giants, Browns and Eagles tied at 2-4 ATS
Tech Trends - Week 7
October 15, 2019
By Bruce Marshall
MONDAY, OCT. 21
NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
NEW ENGLAND at N.Y. JETS (ESPN, 8:15 p.m. ET)
Jets covered first meeting Sept. 22 and 5-1 vs. spread last six vs. Belichick at MetLife. “Unders” 6-1 last seven meetings (barely “over” Sept. 22). Belichick “under” 12-3 last 15 reg season.
Tech Edge: Jets and “under,” based on series and “totals” trends.
New England at N.Y. Jets (8:15 p.m. ET - Mon.): The Patriots are heavy favorites on the road for the Monday nighter against the Jets, who looked like a new program in a Week 6 win over Dallas with QB Sam Darnold back under center after missing a few games due to a bout with mononucleosis. These teams met in Week 3 when Luke Falk was the starting QB, and the Jets offense was blanked in New England, with the Jets scoring two defensive touchdowns in the 30-14 loss, a game which went 'over' by one point, and probably should not have. The 'under' is 8-2 in the past 10 against AFC East teams, while the under is 11-5 in New York's past 16 inside the division. The under has hit in six of the past seven in this series, and four of the past five in New Jersey.
MNF - Patriots at Jets
Tony Mejia
New England (-9, 43.5) at N.Y. Jets, 8:15 pm ET, ESPN
The transitive property could get itself quite the workout on Monday if the masses decide to talk themselves into throwing caution to the wind and backing the Jets against Tom Brady and the Patriots.
New York destroyed Dallas last week in Sam Darnold’s return from a bout with mono. The Cowboys got their tackles back, returned home and pulverized the Eagles 37-10. Just who does this Brady guy have alongside him anyway?
Backing the Jets over the Pats is the present-day NFL equivalent of riding David over Goliath or the Generals over the Globetrotters. It’s riding Charlie Brown to kick that football. However, friendly bookmakers typically manage to provided incentive that has actually made it more profitable to take the points with New York over New England this decade. That includes an outright upset the only time the teams met in the playoffs. For proof, see the recent series history below for everyone of their outcomes since 2010.
The Jets haven’t won at Foxboro since their Divisional Playoff win back in ’11, the crowning moment of both Mark Sanchez’s career and the franchise’s last two decades. Despite losses in 15 of 17 against their New England-based tormentors, the Jets have posted a pair of overtime wins at home and were tied at 13 in the third-quarter of last season’s visit before the Jets pulled away. That was without Darnold, who has only been able to participate in one of three games against the Patriots since being drafted.
New York failed to cover in the 27-13 loss, snapping a run of five straight home covers against the Pats. The Jets then got crushed 38-3 in Week 17 as Darnold ran into a finely tuned buzzsaw that was preparing for a Super Bowl run. When the teams squared off on Sept. 22, Darnold was home dealing with the effects of his virus and Luke Falk took the reins. The Patriots stifled the Jets offense and raced out to a 30-0 lead before coughing up the cover on a fumble recovery in the end zone after a muffed punt and Jamal Adams’ 61-yard interception return of an errant Jarrett Stidham pass.
The Patriots could’ve named their score in that game, making it a tough beat for those who had laid the 20 points and appeared to be cruising with Falk having little chance of moving the Jets’ offense. The dynamic absolutely changes with Darnold, who is better equipped to improve on his final showing of his rookie season despite having played in just two regular-season games since then.
Darnold put together a few tremendous throws against the Cowboys and should benefit from the presence of LeVeon Bell, who looks far more comfortable in the offense than the only other time he took the field alongside New York’s franchise QB back in Week 1. Although Quincy Enunwa has been lost for the season with a neck injury, Robby Anderson remains an option that can help Darnold stretch the field and reliable veterans Demaryius Thomas and Jamison Crowder have helped upgrade the unit. Bell, Bilal Powell and Ty Montgomery are all available, so checkdowns and screens have a chance to pop against the stingy Patriots, who lead the NFL with a scoring average allowed of just eight points per game.
Thomas’ hamstring could be an issue for him, but he wants nothing more than to be out there against New England, which cut him once it acquired the since-released Antonio Brown. Thomas called his release “disrespectful” and Bill Belichick admitted backing out of a commitment to him due to circumstances changing, so that’s a situation worth watching. Check out the injury report below for more variables worth keeping an eye on.
As far as the number goes, Darnold isn’t worth 10-plus points to a spread, but a six-point shift and the Jets actually having a chance to move the ball has led the number to shift a full five points, which is indeed an overestimation of the second-year quarterback’s value. The Patriots have covered in four of their six wins but are just 1-2 ATS against divisional foes, having beaten the Dolphins 43-0 but scuffling in a 16-10 win in Buffalo. The Bills have been the only team to be within one possession of New England in a fourth-quarter all season.
Despite Brady lacking a truly elite go-to receiver like a Brown or Rob Gronkowski, New England has led at halftime in every one of their games. Only Washington has held a lead after a quarter. A sack-fumble of Brady that Giants’ LB Markus Golden returned for six and a fluke 64-yard strike from rookie Daniel Jones to Golden Tate represent the only touchdowns the Patriots’ defense has allowed in the second quarter of games this season.
The Pats have outscored opponents 53-7 to open games, surrendering only a 65-yard run on a busted coverage to ‘Skins backup RB Steven Sims Jr. Belichick’s preparation and the execution of his defense has been elite. We’ll see if Darnold is up to the task in just his second game back. The Westgate lists the first-quarter line as NE -3 with a total of 7.5. The first-half line favors New England by six points with a total set at 21.5. That ‘under’ looks appealing. For a free MNF prop winner, click here.
The Patriots look to continue a trend that has seen the favorite dominate Monday night games (7-0 SU, 5-2 ATS). For more details, check out VI’s MNF Schedule.br>
Clear conditions are expected in East Rutherford, with light winds accompanying temperatures in the mid-50s.
TOTAL TALK
Oddsmakers sent out a total of 43 ½ between the Patriots and Jets and the number has held steady as of Monday morning. When the pair met in Week 3 from Foxboro, the total closed in the same neighborhood and the defensive scores for the Jets helped the ‘over’ cash albeit very luckily.
Totals expert Chris David offered up his total thoughts and lean on the MNF matchup.
“Rematch games are never an easy handicap, especially this early in the season but a different outcome should be expected with Darnold at quarterback for the Jets. New England’s defense has been lights out but they haven’t faced a legit signal caller since Week 1 when the stifled Big Ben and the Steelers by a 33-3 count," David said. "Darnold faced New England last season in Week 17 and he looked like a rookie as the Jets were blitzed 38-3 on the road. The second-year QB wasn’t great on third-down conversions last week (2-of-10) in the 24-22 win over Dallas but he’s not afraid to fire and can put his team in scoring positions.”
Prior to the Week 3 ‘over’ ticket, the ‘under’ was on a 6-0 run in this series going back to the 2016 regular season. Looking at those number further, New York has been held to 13, 17 and 17 points at MetLife Stadium. While the Dallas outcome went ‘over’ last Sunday, the Jets saw the ‘under’ cash in their first four games.
New England has watched the ‘under’ go 4-2 on the season and that record could easily be 6-0 if it wasn’t for the two defensive scores in the Jets game, plus last Thursday’s result versus the other New York (Giants) team was helped with three combined defensive and special teams scores.
In David’s weekly total segment on the VI Bet and Collect podcast, he often hits on seasonal angles and total systems that have produced profits and this game hits on one popular angle.
“The ‘Thursday Night Total’ system is back and alive in 2019 and it’s simple to follow. The angle calls for finding out who played at home on Thursday in the previous week and playing the ‘over’ in their next game, regardless of the venue," David added. "The play sits at 4-1 (80%) on the season and this week's matchup calls for an 'over' play on the New England-N.Y. Jets game this Monday, since the Patriots hosted the N.Y. Giants last Thursday from Foxboro. Even though this has been an ‘under’ series, the Patriots have averaged 29.7 PPG in their last seven versus the Jets. I’m buying more points here and going to ride the ‘over’ in this spot (43 ½) and press the system.”
LINE MOVEMENT
New England Patriots
Projected season win total: 11 (Over -150, Under +130)
Odds to win AFC East (pre-Week 1/current): 1/5 to 1/40
Odds to win AFC (pre-Week 1/current): 11/4 to 5/9
Odds to win Super Bowl (pre-Week 1/current): 6/1 to 7/4
New York Jets
Projected season win total: 7.5 (Over -110, Under -110)
Odds to win AFC East (pre-Week 1/current): 6/1 to 100/1
Odds to win AFC (pre-Week 1/current): 30/1 to 250/1
Odds to win Super Bowl (pre-Week 1/current): 60/1 to 500/1
ODDSMAKER'S TAKE
Caesars' Senior Oddsmaker Alan Berg provides insights from behind the counter.
"The ticket count and money favor the Patriots" said Berg, whose excellent observations can be found on Twitter at @PercentBerg. "I'ts going to be an interesting game since it's the Jets' best shot at getting back into the race with the mighty Pats cruising. However, there's no sharp support for the upset here -- at least not yet (Sunday night)."
INJURY CONCERNS
The Jets are expected to get top linebacker C.J. Mosley back from a groin injury, which is a huge boost considering the lift he’s supplied when out there. The team’s top defensive offseason acquisition would strengthen a group that has quality young talent in Adams at safety and Quinnen Williams and Henry Anderson up front. Anderson is trying to overcome a shoulder issue that may keep him out, so keep an ear out for official word. LBs Albert McClellan (concussion) and Neville Hewitt (stinger) aren’t expected to suit up. DT Steven McClendon and corners Daryl Roberts and Nate Hairston are questionable.
New York is certain to make changes up front with left guard Kelechi Osemele out and filing a grievance over his situation. Left tackle Kelvin Beachum is ‘doubtful’ with an ankle injury, so rookie Chume Edoga is expected to start. Brandon Shell is expected to switch back to right tackle, but right guard Brian Winters popped up on the week’s report with a knee issue. Center Matt Kalilis questionable due to a shoulder issue that kept him from practicing over the weekend, while left guard Alex Lewis is hoping to play through neck pain. There’s a lot going on for the Jets’ offensive line, so it remains to be seen how that impacts Adam Gase’s play-calling.
The Patriots won't have their top tight ends since Matt LaCosse (knee) and Ryan Izzo (concussion) have been ruled out, creating opportunities for Ben Watson in his return and newcomer Eric Tomlinson, a former Jet. Rumors had the Pats sniffing around about the availability of Tampa Bay's O.J. Howard, who hasn't been utilized as envisioned in what was expected to be a breakthrough year for him. New England has already ruled out WR Josh Gordon (leg) and lists Phillip Dorsett as questionable due to a hamstring injury, so Brady is going to have a shortage of familiar targets. Julian Edelman (chest) is a go. Dorsett should participate.
Safety Patrick Chung is questionable and DE Michael Bennett (suspension) will sit for the Patriots.
RECENT MEETINGS
(Patriots 16-4 SU, 8-12 ATS last 20, OVER 12-8)
9/22/19 Patriots 30-14 vs. Jets (NYJ +20.5, 43)
12/30/18 Patriots 38-3 vs. Jets (NE -14.5, 46.5)
11/25/18 Patriots 27-13 at Jets (NE -13, 46.5)
12/31/17 Patriots 26-6 vs. Jets (NE -17, 43.5)
10/15/17 Patriots 24-17 at Jets (NYJ +9, 48.5)
12/24/16 Patriots 41-3 vs. Jets (NE -17, 45)
11/27/16 Patriots 22-17 at Jets (NYJ +8.5, 48)
12/27/15 Jets 26-20 OT vs. Patriots (NYJ +3, 45)
10/25/15 Patriots 30-23 vs. Jets (NYJ +7.5, 47.5)
12/21/14 Patriots 17-16 at Jets (NYJ +10, 47)
10/16/14 Patriots 27-25 vs. Jets (NYJ +9.5, 44.5)
10/20/13 Jets 30-27 OT vs. Patriots (NYJ +3, 43)
9/12/13 Patriots 13-10 vs. Jets (NYJ +11.5, 43)
11/22/12 Patriots 49-19 at Jets (NE -7, 48.5)
10/21/12 Patriots 29-26 OT vs. Jets (NYJ +10.5, 47)
11/13/11 Patriots 37-16 at Jets (NE +2.5, 47)
10/9/11 Patriots 30-21 vs. Jets (NE -7.5, 50)
1/16/11 Jets 28-21 at Patriots (NYJ +9.5, 45)
12/6/10 Patriots 45-3 vs. Jets (NE -4, 44.5)
9/19/10 Jets 28-14 vs. Patriots (NYJ +3, 39.5)
NEXT WEEK'S NUMBERS POSTED
The Westgate opens its advance lines for the following week on Tuesdays and Week 8 currently has the Patriots as an 11.5-point home favorite over a Browns team that has lost three of four but will be coming in off a bye. The Jets will hit the road to face the Jaguars in North Florida and have been installed as a 4.5-point underdog.
Cole Faxon
Oct 21 '19, 7:05 PM in 5h
NHL | Blue Jackets vs Maple Leafs
Play on: Maple Leafs -175 at betonline
FREE PLAY on Maple Leafs -175
Mike Lundin
Oct 21 '19, 8:05 PM in 6h
NHL | Avalanche vs Blues
Play on: Avalanche +124 at betonline
#1 NFL HANDICAPPER YTD ~ DON'T MISS MIKE'S PATRIOTS @ JETS MONDAY NIGHT AFC EAST SHOWDOWN *TOP PLAY*
The Colorado Avalanche are off to a red hot 7-0-1 start to the season and I'll gladly back them at this price at St. Louis Monday night.
The defending Stanley Cup champs are off a much slower start entering this game on an 0-2-2 slide. They've struggled on the defensive end of the ice which could spell trouble here against an Avs team that put a 6-2 beating on the Lightning at Tampa Bay a couple of days ago.
Avalanche are 6-0 in their last 6 games as an underdog. Blues are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Free pick on Colorado Avalanche.
Jimmy Boyd
Oct 21 '19, 8:35 PM in 7h
NHL | Senators vs Stars
Play on: Stars -200 at YouWager
1* NHL - Free Pick on Stars -200
The Stars are better than how they have started out the season. Dallas enters at 2-7-1 and only 3 teams have fewer points than their 5. One of those is the team they are playing. The Senators are 1-5-1 and own a league-worst 3-points. This is the perfect team for Dallas to get back on track against and why I got no problem paying the big juice with the Stars.
Dallas did when last time out, beating Philadelphia 4-1 on the road, so they do have some momentum going in their favor. Senators have lost 3 straight and are really struggling to find the back of the net.
Ottawa is 9-36 last 45 road games after 2 straight games where they allowed 3 or more goals. Stars are 20-9 last 29 after losing 4/5 of their last 6. Take Dallas!
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Finger Lakes
Finger Lakes - Race 4 Stakes • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 87 • Purse: $50,000 • Post: 2:31P SHESASTONECOLDFOX S. - FOR FILLIES TWO-YEAR-OLDS, FOALED IN NEW YORK, AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE BRED REGISTRY. NO NOMINATION FEE. $200 TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX AND TO START. TO BE DIVIDED 60% TO THE WINNER; 20% TO SECOND, 10% TO THIRD, 5% TO FOURTH, 2% TO FIFTH AND 1% TO SIXTH, SEVENTH AND EIGHTH. WEIGHT 121 LBS; NON-WINNERS OF $30,000 ALLOWED, 2 LBS; OF $15,000 ALLOWED 4 LBS; MAIDENS, 6 LBS. (CLAIMING RACES NOT CONSIDERD IN ALLOWANCES). STARTERS TO BE NAMED THROUGH THE ENTRY BOX BY THE USUAL TIME OF CLOSING ENTRIES. A TROPHY TO THE OWNER OF THE WINNER. LIFETIME MONEY EARNED ACCORDING TO EQUIBASE AS TIE BREAKER (SUPPLEMENTAL NOMINATION FEE OF $500 INCLUDES ALL FEES BY THE CLOSING OF ENTRIES).THIS RACE WILL NOT BE DIVIDED AND LIMITED TO (14) STARTERS, HIGH WEIGHTS PREFERRED.
Horse
Line
Odds
Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. RUSH ON BY is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * RUSH ON BY: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. SINGLE VERSE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in Tra ckMaster Power Rating. RUSH ON BY SINGLE VERSE
Line
Class
Speed
FigureRUSH ON BY Front-runner PERIPHERIQUE Front-runner SPIN A YARN Front-runner SINGLE VERSE Stalker THEA'S THEME Alternator/Non-contender
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Thistledown
Thistledown - Race 5 Maiden Special • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 62 • Purse: $22,500 • Post: 3:40P FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 119 LBS. (OHIO REGISTERED FOALS PREFERRED).
Horse
Line
Odds
Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * BIONDETTA: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. NICKI MINUH UH: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse ranks in the to p three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. BIONDETTA NICKI MINUH UH
Unknown Running Style: MAGIC MISS JONES (8/1) [Jockey: Pilares Christian P - Trainer: Gorham Robert M], SCHEMING (9/2) [Jockey: Corrales Gerardo - Trainer: Hamm Timothy E], THAT'S MY BERTIE (8/1) [Jockey: Toledo Joam S - Trainer: Murillo Rodriguez A]
Line
Class
Speed
FigureIMPAZIBLE MINK Front-runner NICKI MINUH UH Front-runner BIONDETTA Trailer GAGLIANO Trailer ISLAND CHIC Alternator/Trailer CHIT CHATTING Alternator/Non-contender GUN THING Alternator/Non-contender
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turf Paradise
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 3 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $7000 Class Rating: 88
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 21 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,500.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES 
# 1 JUMP THE TRACKS 2/1
# 5 FOREVER THE CHIEF 9/2
# 2 I B EZ 3/1
JUMP THE TRACKS is my choice. Shows evidence of the look of a lucrative play, averaging a solid 80 speed fig which is one of the best in this group. The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Silva running at this distance are the best in this group. This gelding is a definite contender based on his earnings per start in dirt route races. FOREVER THE CHIEF - With one of the best riders in terms of profits at the window, don't count this gelding out. With a quite good 80 speed fig last time out, will unquestionably be a factor in this affair. I B EZ - Lopez will almost certainly be able to get this gelding to break out early in here. Ran a strong last race.
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