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Thread: Service Plays Sunday 10/20/19

  1. #81
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    MGM Insider

    LA Rams

  2. #82
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    DR. CHUCK


    HOCKEY PLAYS

    • Game: (23) Vancouver Canucks at (24) New York Rangers
      Date/Time: Oct 20 2019 1:05 PM EDT
      Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
      Play Rating: 4%
      Play: New York Rangers -122

      View Analysis

      Canucks laid a complete and utter egg yesterday playing on the road against the Devils and the solid play they had exhibited for the previous 4 games was absolutely missing 100%. What they get on no rest sticking on the far east coast here in New York is the Rangers and Lundqvist, better team and goalie to face and hard to imagine there is much ability to put up a better effort quite honestly. This price feels like solid value and a blindspot from Vegas on an NFL filled slate.
    • Game: (25) Montreal Canadiens at (26) Minnesota Wild
      Date/Time: Oct 20 2019 5:05 PM EDT
      Betting Line Provider: Heritage
      Play Rating: 4%
      Play: Minnesota Wild -112

      View Analysis

      Kincaid v. Dubnyk

  3. #83
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    DR. CHUCK


    Game:(451) Arizona Cardinals at (452) New York Giants
    Date/Time: Oct 20 2019 1:00 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: William Hill
    Play Rating: 4%
    Play: 1H New York Giants -2.5 (-110)

    View Analysis

    Danny Dimes has Barkley at his disposal, Evan Engram is back, the Cardinals are on a 3 game stretch of traveling to Cincinnati for a game they won at the last second, back home to Glendale for a game they won right at the end, and now back 3000 miles away to play the Giants at home. This is already the 3rd time this season the Cards have come to the Eastern time zone on the short season and with a rookie head coach and rookie QB it is very hard to quantify how tough this is on a team's psyche.
    I like Daniel Jones with yet another full week of practice under his belt, with Shurmur's offensive schemes now incorporating a couple more stars and them to get off to a hot start. Hard for the Cards not to come out a little sluggish at the very least...and with this spread being almost exactly equal to the full game, I feel like Vegas is reminding us the Cardinals hang around in a lot of games and might be there at the end, but I think early on it will be the Giants with the adrenaline boost...they are actually very much still in the race for the division and if they can take care of business they can watch tonight and root for a tie!

  4. #84
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    Lenny Stevens

    20* Vikngs
    20* SF
    10* sea
    10* Raiders
    10* Eagles

  5. #85
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    SkyBluePicks

    Oakland Raiders +5.5

    Indianapolis Colts ML

    Chicago Bears -4

  6. #86
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    Larry Hartstein

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    OAKLAND +5.5
    OAKLAND @ GREEN BAY | 10/20 | 1:00 PM EDT
    THU 10/17
    This is a terrible situational spot for the Packers, coming off a Monday night divisional game and facing the rested Raiders off a bye. This line has fallen for good reason. Green Bay is dealing with multiple key injuries. Back Oakland to take this one to the wire.

    25-11 IN LAST 36 NFL ATS PICKS | +1276
    13-2 IN LAST 15 GB ATS PICKS | +1080

    5-3 IN LAST 8 OAK ATS PICKS | +162

    NEW ORLEANS +4
    NEW ORLEANS @ CHICAGO | 10/20 | 4:25 PM EDT
    YESTERDAY 10:44 PM
    Although the Saints won't have Alvin Kamara, there's serious value on a team that's playing terrific defense and getting efficient quarterback play. The Saints have covered 22 of their last 30 road games under Sean Payton, not to mention going 7-0 ATS in their last seven Week 7 games. Grab the points.

    25-11 IN LAST 36 NFL ATS PICKS | +1276
    22-13 IN LAST 35 NO ATS PICKS | +778

    UNDER 41.5
    MIAMI @ BUFFALO | 10/20 | 1:00 PM EDT
    YESTERDAY 10:07 PM
    The Dolphins will be hard-pressed to score more than 10 points. Every Bills' game has gone Under thus far, and the Dolphins' last four have gone Under. Get this total before it drops further.

    26-13 IN LAST 39 NFL PICKS | +1156
    2-1 IN LAST 3 BUF O/U PICKS | +95

    UNDER 40
    SAN FRANCISCO @ WASHINGTON | 10/20 | 1:00 PM EDT
    YESTERDAY 10:02 PM
    San Francisco's defense is elite and should shut down the Redskins. At the same time, the 49ers would be happy leaving town with a 28-10 win or something along those lines. They'll grab the lead and run the ball. Go Under.

    26-13 IN LAST 39 NFL PICKS | +1156
    N.Y. GIANTS -3
    ARIZONA @ N.Y. GIANTS | 10/20 | 1:00 PM EDT
    FRI 10/18
    The Cardinals are getting Patrick Peterson back, but the Giants are getting Saquon Barkley and Evan Engram back. Both teams give up 6.3 yards per play, which ranks 28th. But I like the Giants' offense better now that those stars are back. I also liked the fight the Giants showed in Week 6 at the Patriots. That was a Thursday game, so they have a rest advantage here too. Lay it.

    25-11 IN LAST 36 NFL ATS PICKS | +1276
    5-2 IN LAST 7 NYG ATS PICKS | +297

    JACKSONVILLE -3.5
    JACKSONVILLE @ CINCINNATI | 10/20 | 1:00 PM EDT
    THU 10/17
    The Jaguars are better than their record, while the Bengals are a legitimate 0-6. Moreover, they're decimated by injuries this week, with both starting cornerbacks and a starting safety expected to miss Sunday's game. Lay it as Leonard Fournette and Gardner Minshew enjoy big days.

    25-11 IN LAST 36 NFL ATS PICKS | +1276
    9-4-1 IN LAST 14 JAC ATS PICKS | +469

    11-7 IN LAST 18 CIN ATS PICKS | +328

    PHILADELPHIA +3
    PHILADELPHIA @ DALLAS | 10/20 | 8:20 PM EDT
    WED 10/16
    The Cowboys have won and covered three straight meetings, but six Dallas starters were unable to practice Wednesday. I'm jumping on this line before it moves off the key number. Without their All-Pro left tackle Tyron Smith, the Cowboys are a completely different team. He left the Week 4 game at New Orleans with an ankle injury and hasn't played or practiced since. The Cowboys also haven't won since. Philly has a shaky secondary but is stout against the run, which works well in this matchup. Grab the points.

    25-11 IN LAST 36 NFL ATS PICKS | +1276
    9-5 IN LAST 14 PHI ATS PICKS | +345

    L.A. RAMS -3
    L.A. RAMS @ ATLANTA | 10/20 | 1:00 PM EDT
    TUE 10/15
    The Falcons are dead in the water, while the Rams, even with their three-game skid, maintain legitimately high hopes. The Jalen Ramsey trade should provide a jolt. This is the get-right game L.A. needs. Back the Rams to cover their sixth straight road game.

    25-11 IN LAST 36 NFL ATS PICKS | +1276
    16-6 IN LAST 22 LAR ATS PICKS | +917

    16-10 IN LAST 26 ATL ATS PICKS | +473

  7. #87
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    BEZOBETS
    3u LA Rams -3
    3u Minnesota ML
    3u LA Chargers +2
    3u Baltimore +3
    2u Oakland +4.5
    Monday
    3u NY Jets +10

  8. #88
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    Cal Sports

    5* Vikes UNDER
    4* Bears
    opinions:
    Minnesota -2.5,
    LA Chargers +2.5
    UNDER 40 SF/Washington

    Sunday Night: TV3 - Dallas -3

  9. #89
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    R J White

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    L.A. RAMS -3
    L.A. RAMS @ ATLANTA | 10/20 | 1:00 PM EDT
    WED 10/16
    Worried about the Rams playing at 1 p.m. ET? Well, they're 6-1 straight up and 5-2 ATS in such games under Sean McVay. The one loss came in Minnesota against a defense that is the polar opposite of this Falcons squad, which is last in the league in points per drive allowed. Throw in the Falcons upsetting the Rams in the playoffs in the last meeting between these two teams, and the Rams will come into this one angry and ready to prove the 49ers dud was a fluke. Jared Goff goes off as the Rams offense gets back on track with a must-have win in Atlanta.

    42-31 IN LAST 73 NFL PICKS | +753
    26-12 IN LAST 38 ATL ATS PICKS | +1265

    23-10-1 IN LAST 34 LAR ATS PICKS | +1167

    NEW ORLEANS +3.5
    NEW ORLEANS @ CHICAGO | 10/20 | 4:25 PM EDT
    FRI 10/18
    Sure, I don't love that the Saints will be without Alvin Kamara in this game, but I think the line is so far off I'm still going to play them because his presence is irrelevant to the No. 1 factor in this game: the Bears offense is bad. Mitchell Trubisky looks like he'll return, but I can't see him lighting up a Saints defense that has shut down three straight opponents (less than 260 total yards allowed in each game) when he's leading an offense that hasn't reached 300 total yards this year. Teddy Bridgewater hasn't made any mistakes while doing enough to keep winning games, and I like him to do it again.

    42-31 IN LAST 73 NFL PICKS | +753
    22-10-1 IN LAST 33 CHI ATS PICKS | +1117

    N.Y. JETS +9.5
    NEW ENGLAND @ N.Y. JETS | 10/21 | 8:15 PM EDT
    FRI 10/18
    I like this game to go Under, and the lower the scoring, the easier it will be for the underdog to cover a big line. The Jets offense found some life last week with Sam Darnold back at quarterback, and even though the Patriots defense has been phenomenal, I believe the Jets offense won't completely be shut down like they were with Luke Falk at the helm. And the Jets defense is legitimately good, ranking 11th in points per drive and fifth in yards per rush allowed. One interesting nugget: The Pats have been road favorites 12 times between 8.5 and 10.5 points since 2012 and are just 3-9 ATS in that range.

    42-31 IN LAST 73 NFL PICKS | +753
    5-1 IN LAST 6 NE ATS PICKS | +390

    14-10-2 IN LAST 26 NYJ ATS PICKS | +310

    MINNESOTA -2
    MINNESOTA @ DETROIT | 10/20 | 1:00 PM EDT
    FRI 10/18
    The Vikings are set up well to go to Detroit and get the win. Their offense can run on the Lions, who rank 28th in yards per attempt allowed. The Vikings perform well defensively no matter which way you look at it, ranking fifth in net yards per pass attempt and eighth in yards per rush, to go along with ranking sixth in points per drive. The Vikings have also scored 28 points in four of their six games while not allowing more than 21 points in any game. With the Lions dealing with injury issues on defense, and with the team likely still thinking about the Monday night robbery, I like the Vikings to take it here.

    42-31 IN LAST 73 NFL PICKS | +753
    27-6-2 IN LAST 35 MIN ATS PICKS | +2015

    3-1 IN LAST 4 DET ATS PICKS | +186

    OVER 48.5
    BALTIMORE @ SEATTLE | 10/20 | 4:25 PM EDT
    FRI 10/18
    I think we're getting great value here, as these teams have been excellent on offense to date but a little suspect on the other side of the ball. The Ravens are first in points per drive, while the Seahawks are sixth. Both defenses are below average in the same statistic. Both offenses are also top 10 in red zone scoring percentage. The Seahawks have scored 27 or more in five straight games, while the Ravens have scored 23 or more in every game. This is setting up for a high-scoring game, and a little rainy weather won't scare me off it.

    42-31 IN LAST 73 NFL PICKS | +753
    2-1 IN LAST 3 SEA O/U PICKS | +90

    UNDER 43.5
    MINNESOTA @ DETROIT | 10/20 | 1:00 PM EDT
    FRI 10/18
    Minnesota is 25-16-2 to the Under on the road with Mike Zimmer on coach, and since both these teams are better on defense than offense, I think that trend comes through in this game. The Vikings can run on a Lions defense that's 28th in yards per rush attempt, while the Vikings have a well-balanced defense that hasn't given up more than 21 points in a game this year and ranks sixth in points per drive allowed. The Lions offense didn't look great last week after hitting a couple big passes early, and this sets up for another poor performance for them.

    42-31 IN LAST 73 NFL PICKS | +753
    3-0 IN LAST 3 MIN O/U PICKS | +300

    UNDER 41
    MIAMI @ BUFFALO | 10/20 | 1:00 PM EDT
    THU 10/17
    The Dolphins might have had a spark with Fitzmagic late last week, but don't forget how awful the offense was when he started the first two games. Buffalo is second in points allowed per drive, and no one has topped 17 points against them. I can't see Miami being the first to do so. The Bills offense is built around run efficiency, and their best big-play receiver (John Brown) has been limited in practice with a groin injury. I don't think the Bills offense is going to rack up points, not when only one of their games has gone over 40 despite playing a ton of bad teams.

    42-31 IN LAST 73 NFL PICKS | +753
    5-1 IN LAST 6 BUF O/U PICKS | +390

    SEATTLE -3
    BALTIMORE @ SEATTLE | 10/20 | 4:25 PM EDT
    THU 10/17
    The Ravens might look great on the surface, but they're 0-5 ATS since blowing out the Dolphins (though you may have gotten a good enough number vs. KC or PIT). The Seahawks offense doesn't make mistakes with MVP front-runner Russell Wilson leading the charge, and Marcus Peters isn't going to come in and make a huge difference, especially since he's been prone to giving up big plays in his career to gamble for picks, which he won't get against an elite QB who protects the ball. Neither of these teams is probably as good as it's shown, but I trust Seattle more right now.

    42-31 IN LAST 73 NFL PICKS | +753
    9-5 IN LAST 14 BAL ATS PICKS | +358

    12-8-2 IN LAST 22 SEA ATS PICKS | +308

    JACKSONVILLE -4
    JACKSONVILLE @ CINCINNATI | 10/20 | 1:00 PM EDT
    THU 10/17
    Gardner Minshew just had his worst game against an elite defense, but this is definitely a get-right spot. The Jags should be able to run it all over the Bengals' league-worst rushing defense (per yards per carry), and Jacksonville's defensive line should devour Cincy's poor unit up front. Cincy's opener against Seattle threw us off their scent, but they've been outgained by 110-plus yards every week since. This line is going up, especially in a year where home-field advantage hasn't mattered as much, so hop on it while you can get in relatively cheap.

    42-31 IN LAST 73 NFL PICKS | +753
    7-1 IN LAST 8 JAC ATS PICKS | +590

    10-8 IN LAST 18 CIN ATS PICKS | +119

    UNDER 42.5
    NEW ENGLAND @ N.Y. JETS | 10/21 | 8:15 PM EDT
    WED 10/16
    I've been all over Patriots Unders this year, and I'm not going to shy away just because it lost in a Thursday night game that featured three non-offensive TDs. The first meeting between these teams also went Over thanks to non-offensive TDs, but the Jets offense looked much better last week with Sam Darnold back under center. That doesn't mean they'll have success against a New England defense that has allowed just three offensive TDs all year. The Jets defense is 11th in points per drive and fifth in yards per rush, so I don't know if the Patriots offense will be back in the 30s this week. That pushes this one Under.

    42-31 IN LAST 73 NFL PICKS | +753
    7-2 IN LAST 9 NE O/U PICKS | +478

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    Marco had 4*Atl you happen to have late games O/U and underdog? TIA

  11. #91
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    PayDay Plays (NFL 5-5)

    LOS ANGELES RAMS -3 (-110) - RISK 5 UNITS

  12. #92
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    UnderDog


    Lions

  13. #93
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    Gavazzi

    5% SteamRoller Pick of the Week: MINN VIKINGS

  14. #94
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    Vip

    miami +17.5

  15. #95
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Tony wright

    top
    jax
    minnesota

    small
    rams

  16. #96
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Sports bank

    lock
    green bay

    strong
    san francisco

    small
    new orleans

  17. #97
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    Millionaires club

    lock
    rams

    strong
    new orleans
    houston

  18. #98
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    Ultra Sports 10/20

    Eagles
    Vikings
    Colts
    Ravens

  19. #99
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    King Creole Ravens/Seahawks over 48.5

  20. #100
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    DR. CHUCK


    Game:(31) Calgary Flames at (32) Anaheim Ducks
    Date/Time: Oct 20 2019 9:05 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Westgate
    Play Rating: 4%
    Play: Anaheim Ducks -125

    View Analysis

    Talbot in goal and on the road....Ducks have plenty enough fire power to score and make this a very unfortunate road game for visiting Calgary.







    Game: (467) Los Angeles Chargers at (468) Tennessee Titans
    Date/Time: Oct 20 2019 4:05 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Heritage
    Play Rating: 4%
    Play: Los Angeles Chargers 2.5 (-108)

    View Analysis


    Outright winner alert. The Chargers laid a large egg for most of the Steelers game last Sunday night...but Rivers was still Rivers and the Titans don't even know how to go about the QB position and have benched Mariota. I think maybe I trust Tannehill more than some and certainly think he is likely a better option than Mariota, but the Chargers off a loss and on the road...right where the LA Chargers want their schedule...weird team and trends.
    Philip Rivers is a STUPID 15-5 ATS on the road as a dog following a loss...10-3 ATS if the loss was at home...and 24-12 ATS period on the road following a loss. The Titans have been up and down, but the version of their squad who just did literally nothing against the Broncos are just a week out and it was followed by a roster shakeup...and now they're a favored team??

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