Friday 2-14-20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-14-2020, 04:07 PM

1. NSA(The Legend) CBB – Wright St -11
2. Gameday Network CBB – Akron -3.5
3. VegasSI.com CBB – Wright St -11
4. Vegas Line Crushers CBB – Toledo under 154.5
5. Sports Action 365 CBB – Siena -5
6. Point Spread Report CBB – Canisius -1
7. Lou Panelli CBB – Northern Kentucky -15.5
8. Gerry “Big Cat” Andino CBB – Toledo under 154.5
9. VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club CBB – North Dakota St -12.5
10. William E. Stockton CBB – Akron under 151.5
11. Vincent Pioli CBB – Wright St -11
12. Steve “Scoop” Kendall CBB – Brown +6.5
13. SCORE CBB – Quinnipiac over 133.5
14. East Coast Line Movers CBB – Akron -3.5
15. Tony Campone CBB – Northern Kentucky -15.5
16. Chicago Sports Group CBB – Toledo under 154.5
17. Hollywood Sportsline CBB – Quinnipiac +5
18. VIP Action CBB – Akron -3.5
19. South Beach Sports CBB – Siena -5
20. Las Vegas Sports Commission CBB – Yale -4
21. NY Players Club CBB – North Dakota St under 150
22. Fred Callahan CBB – Dartmouth -5.5
23. Las Vegas Private CEO Club CBB – Marist over 117
24. Michigan Sports CBB – St. Bonaventure -4
25. National Consensus Report CBB – Akron under 151.5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-14-2020, 04:19 PM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Sunland Park

Sunland Park - Race 3	$1 Exacta/$1 Trifecta/ .10 Superfecta
Trial • 400 Yards • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 96 • Purse: $8,900 • Post: 1:53P
QUARTER HORSE 400Y, PURSE $8,900. THREE YEAR OLDS THAT REMAIN ELIGIBLE FOR THE TRIALS. WEIGHT 126 LBS. LATE SUPPLEMENT OF $6,000.00 DUE AT TIME OF ENTRY INTO THE TRIALS (INCLUDES ALL FEES). ( FINAL RUNS SATURDAY MARCH 7, 2020). THERE WILL BE NO CONSOLATION.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * UNFOLDING DREAM: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. KJ FRANKIE B: Horse has the highest average Equibas e Speed Figure at the distance/surface. APOLLITICAL J WILD: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. LIP SMACKER: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. PORTFOLIOH: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
9	UNFOLDING DREAM	12/1	5/1
2	KJ FRANKIE B	6/1	5/1
8	APOLLITICAL J WILD	10/1	7/1
1	LIP SMACKER	6/1	9/1
3	PORTFOLIOH	8/1	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	LIP SMACKER	1	6/1	Fast	80	87	3.0	0.0	0.0
2	KJ FRANKIE B	2	6/1	Average	88	93	3.9	0.0	0.0
3	PORTFOLIOH	3	8/1	Average	84	84	5.0	0.0	0.0
4	MC DASHING MARIAH	4	10/1	Average	69	60	5.0	0.0	0.0
5	TELLUM IM MAGIC	5	20/1	Average	73	70	5.0	0.0	0.0
6	KISS EAGLE	6	3/1	Average	87	81	4.6	0.0	0.0
7	BOOK THAT MOUNT	7	4/1	Average	93	77	4.0	0.0	0.0
8	APOLLITICAL J WILD	8	10/1	Average/Trouble-prone	95	86	4.6	0.0	0.0
9	UNFOLDING DREAM	9	12/1	Fast	86	88	2.9	0.0	0.0
10	BR MIND GAMES	10	20/1	Average	71	49	5.3	0.0	0.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-14-2020, 04:20 PM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero

Camarero - Race 6	Quinella / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double 6-7
Claiming $4,000 • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 69 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 5:00P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE FEBRUARY 13, 2019 AND WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS. WEIGHT, 121 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JANUARY 28, 2020 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE JANUARY 13, 2020 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 13, 2019 ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Stalker. NOAH GENDA is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * TRUST IN DIANE: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and trainer's win percentage with horses coming off a layoff is at least 25. Horse racing off a layoff of 90 + days and horse has run well in the past in its first and/or second starts after a long layoff. GUAVA QUEEN: Horse has a TrackMaster "B" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. NOAH GENDA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. BENDITA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
1	TRUST IN DIANE	2/1	4/1
6	GUAVA QUEEN	4/1	4/1
3	NOAH GENDA	3/1	7/1
8	BENDITA	5/2	9/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
8	BENDITA	8	5/2	Front-runner	69	61	85.0	54.6	48.1
5	NA' GUARA	5	15/1	Front-runner	60	57	46.0	34.8	19.8
3	NOAH GENDA	3	3/1	Alternator/Stalker	67	62	58.6	59.8	51.8
1	TRUST IN DIANE	1	2/1	Trailer	72	67	55.5	67.9	64.4
6	GUAVA QUEEN	6	4/1	Trailer	70	67	48.8	64.8	60.8
7	LADY JOYFULL	7	10/1	Alternator/Trailer	63	54	35.2	49.2	35.2
9	FRISKY STORM	9	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	57	49	33.4	29.8	12.8
2	MALISA	2	5/1	Alternator/Non-contender	79	53	19.4	47.6	37.6
10	CUNNINGHAM CREEK	10	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	74	79	18.0	32.6	19.6
4	TROPICAL BEAUTY	4	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	56	44	12.6	24.6	6.1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-14-2020, 04:20 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Claiming - 4.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $12000 Class Rating: 79

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF THREE RACES ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000, IF FOR $4,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 HARGUS 5/2
# 6 SOUL MACHEN 9/5
# 2 SHACKLED 5/1

I've got to go with HARGUS. Shows reliable speed figures on average overall when put alongside the rest of this group. Wagerers ought to take a good look at this one as this gelding has one of the best win percentages at this distance in this group. Should compete well in the early speed contest which bodes well with this group. SOUL MACHEN - His 68 average has this gelding with among the top speed figures in this contest. Gazzier has this gelding travelling well and is a respectable pick based on the quite good Equibase Speed Figs earned in sprint races recently. SHACKLED - Could beat this group given the 60 Equibase Speed Fig put up in his last outing. Is tough not to look at based on Speed Figures which have been very strong - 65 avg - of late.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-14-2020, 04:21 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Sam Houston - Race #5 - Post: 8:36pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,500 Class Rating: 56

Rating:

#8 HEADLINING (ML=9/2)
#4 ASH BLONDE (ML=7/2)

HEADLINING - This filly's last speed rating is good enough to triumph here, I'll wager on her right back this time out. ASH BLONDE - 12-41-46 are last 3 Equibase speed figs. Improving each time out is something she should do again in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1A MISS INDEPENDENT (ML=3/1), #1 ALICIA'SVALENTINE (ML=3/1), #3 PRANCINGMISSTISSY (ML=4/1),

MISS INDEPENDENT - Didn't hit the board on November 30th at Remington Park. Followed it up with another lackluster outing. ALICIA'SVALENTINE - January 17th is the last time we've seen this filly around. Have to be a little bit leery. PRANCINGMISSTISSY - This mount likes to be there at the wire, but doesn't usually win. Don't put in the top spot.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #8 HEADLINING on the nose if you can get odds of 7/5 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [4,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	8 with 4 with [3,5,9] Total Cost: $3
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-14-2020, 04:21 PM

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park

02/14/20, GP, Race 4, 2.31 ET
1M [Turf] 1.31.02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $40,000.
Claiming Price $75,000, For Each $5,000 To $65,000 1 lb. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD
$1 Daily Double / $2 Quinella / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta - $1 Super Hi 5 / $.50 Bet 3 (Races 4-5-6)
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

Rating	Pgm#	Horse Name	M/L	Jockey	Trainer	Flags
100.0000	8	Starship Bubba	6-1	Meneses M	Perez. Jr. Juan Carlos	FE
098.7706	10	Strong Ending	7/2	Leparoux J R	Lynch Brian A.	SL
098.3347	1	Maverick Kitten	3-1	Ortiz. Jr. I	Maker Michael J.	J
096.1174	3	Voicesinthedarknez	12-1	Lopez P	Carroll Josie
095.5645	2	Ask for Bode	9/2	Gaffalione T	Kenneally Eddie	TW
093.8547	9	Dreaming of Carats	12-1	Maragh R R	Rubley Kelly
093.3509	7	Indirectly	10-1	Sanchez J	Gonzalez Oscar M.
093.0486	5	Abrupt	8-1	Zayas E J	Mott William I.
092.3611	4	Winter At Bastogne	15-1	Ortiz J L	Dobles Elizabeth L.
091.4642	6	Stonecastle(b-)	20-1	Torres C A	Caramori Eduardo

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by race type and exclusive to GP.

Pgm#	Profit	HiWin$	ROI	Win%	Wins	Races	Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse
8	81.60	25.80	3.04	60.00	12	20	Last Race Was Claimed
10	17.20	31.60	1.04	30.77	64	208	Not First Race After 45 Days Off
1	49.20@	28.20	1.22	40.91	45	110	Best Jockey
3	47.00@	28.20	1.64	27.03	10	37	Second Start
9	6.80	9.40	1.57	33.33	2	6	Carries Apprentice Weight
7	17.20	31.60	1.04	30.77	64	208	Not First Race After 45 Days Off
5	47.00@	28.20	1.64	27.03	10	37	Second Start
4	17.20	31.60	1.04	30.77	64	208	Not First Race After 45 Days Off
6	47.00@	28.20	1.64	27.03	10	37	Second Start

Top rated horse with "Race Surface Not fm/hd" - ROI 0.86, Win% 23.08
@ Profit has been averaged for multiple race types.
If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

Rating	Pgm#	Horse Name	M/L	Jockey	Trainer	Flags
100.0000	10	Strong Ending	7/2	Leparoux J R	Lynch Brian A.	SWL
099.2647	8	Starship Bubba	6-1	Meneses M	Perez. Jr. Juan Carlos	FE
097.6553	1	Maverick Kitten	3-1	Ortiz. Jr. I	Maker Michael J.	J
096.3556	2	Ask for Bode	9/2	Gaffalione T	Kenneally Eddie	T
093.9186	6	Stonecastle(b-)	20-1	Torres C A	Caramori Eduardo
093.7972	9	Dreaming of Carats	12-1	Maragh R R	Rubley Kelly
093.7867	3	Voicesinthedarknez	12-1	Lopez P	Carroll Josie
092.9629	7	Indirectly	10-1	Sanchez J	Gonzalez Oscar M.
091.7557	5	Abrupt	8-1	Zayas E J	Mott William I.
091.3142	4	Winter At Bastogne	15-1	Ortiz J L	Dobles Elizabeth L.

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by race type and exclusive to GP.

Pgm#	Profit	HiWin$	ROI	Win%	Wins	Races	Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse
10	41.60@	17.60	1.21	34.34	34	99	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
8	41.60@	17.60	1.21	34.34	34	99	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
2	41.60@	17.60	1.21	34.34	34	99	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
6	41.60@	17.60	1.21	34.34	34	99	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
9	41.60@	17.60	1.21	34.34	34	99	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
3	41.60@	17.60	1.21	34.34	34	99	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
7	41.60@	17.60	1.21	34.34	34	99	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
5	41.60@	17.60	1.21	34.34	34	99	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
4	41.60@	17.60	1.21	34.34	34	99	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m

Top rated horse with "Race Surface Not fst/wf" - ROI 0.97, Win% 37.84
* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.
@ Profit has been accumulated for multiple race types.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-14-2020, 04:22 PM

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Aqueduct

02/14/20, AQU, Race 4, 2.25 ET
1M [Dirt] 1.32.02 ALLOWANCE. Purse $70,000.
(UP TO $12,180 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (4-6) - Empire 6 (.20) Races (4-9), Double
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

Rating	Pgm#	Horse Name	M/L	Jockey	Trainer	Flags
100.0000	2	Black Kettle	6-1	Davis D	Kobiskie Dane	FELC
099.7716	1	Figure It Out	4/5	Franco M	Nevin Michelle	S
097.7943	3	Gracetown	5/2	Lezcano J	Rice Linda	JT
097.1529	5	Private Beach	3-1	Correa J	Dutrow Anthony W.
095.3086	4	Can U Handle This	20-1	Cardenas L	Ramdat Rohan	W

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by race type and exclusive to AQU.

Pgm#	Profit	HiWin$	ROI	Win%	Wins	Races	Profitable_Conditions_If_Top_Rated_Horse
2	48.80	11.00	1.16	52.63	80	152	*Race Entries Not Greater Than 5
1	48.80	11.00	1.16	52.63	80	152	*Race Entries Not Greater Than 5
3	48.80	11.00	1.16	52.63	80	152	*Race Entries Not Greater Than 5
5	48.80	11.00	1.16	52.63	80	152	*Race Entries Not Greater Than 5
4	48.80	11.00	1.16	52.63	80	152	*Race Entries Not Greater Than 5

Top rated horse with "Race Surface Not fst/wf" - ROI 0.91, Win% 37.17
* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-14-2020, 04:22 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Turfway Park - Race #5 - Post: 8:12pm - Stakes - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $100,000 Class Rating: 91 John Battaglia Memorial S.

Rating:

#7 TOMA TODO (ML=5/1)
#10 MY MAN FLINTSTONE (ML=6/1)
#9 SHAKE SOME ACTION (ML=4/1)
#3 ARTEMUS EAGLE (ML=5/1)

TOMA TODO - This colt is in good physical condition, having run a good race on January 26th, finishing second. Don't often see a lucrative ROI like +51. This rider/conditioner twosome has done well together over the last twelve months. He has the topmost earnings per race entered. Take a good look at this horse. MY MAN FLINTSTONE - With a big class drop in Equibase class figure points from his January 18th race at Tampa Bay Downs. Based on that data, I will give this thoroughbred the advantage. SHAKE SOME ACTION - This colt is in fine physical condition. Ran first on January 18th. ARTEMUS EAGLE - Numerous positive 'sensations' connected with this pony and his barn.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 HIGH HOLY (ML=7/2), #8 INVADER (ML=9/2), #6 TRUCULENT (ML=6/1),

HIGH HOLY - This favorite may be out of form without any recent workouts. INVADER - The Equibase speed figs are going downward. I'm not betting this mount off of that trend. Will not be easy for this racer to beat this bunch off of that last speed rating. Not probable to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's Equibase class figure, so put him on the likely underlays list. TRUCULENT - This field is a whole lot tougher than the ones he met in the last event.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #7 TOMA TODO to win if we can get at least 4/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [7,10]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-14-2020, 04:22 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fair Grounds

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Optional Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $42000 Class Rating: 102

FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $40,000. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE DECEMBER 14 ALLOWED 2 LBS. ONE SUCH RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 6 SECRETARY AT WAR 4/1
# 3 LORD WIMBORNE (IRE) 10/1
# 8 KEEP QUIET (FR) 9/2

I think SECRETARY AT WAR is a competitive choice. If you look closely, this entrant has some longshot possibilities. Is difficult not to consider given the company run in lately. He has put up solid figs under today's conditions and will most likely fare well against this group of horses. KEEP QUIET (FR) - Shows reliable Equibase speed figs on average overall when compared with the rest of this group. Sound average Equibase Speed Figures in turf route races make this racer a solid choice.