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Race of the Week: FL Sire Stakes Affirmed at Gulfstream
August 26, 2020 | By Jeremy Plonk
$200,000 FLORIDA SIRE STAKES SERIES AFFIRMED STAKES AT GULFSTREAM PARK
Saturday, August 29, 2020
By Jeremy Plonk
The Lead:
A quartet of stakes races and a mandatory payout in the Rainbow 6 pool highlight a fantastic day of betting at Gulfstream Park on Saturday. It's the Affirmed and Susan's Girl divisions of the Florida Sire Stakes series for 2-year-old boys and girls on dirt, along with a pair of open-company juvenile turf stakes races.
Field Depth:
Late summer 2-year-old racing is about class risers often from the maiden ranks, but this field does include the 1-2 finishers in the Florida Sires Stakes series opener in the Dr. Fager, BREEZE ON BY and GATSBY. The rest will have to prove themselves, including some moving from open company maiden victories to the restricted stakes ranks.
Pace:
BREEZE ON BY went wire-to-wire in the Dr. Fager and should be on the engine again. BIG DADDY DAVE and TOP BOSS both won in front-running fashion last out, as did FLORALA AL. Expect a solid pace over 7 furlongs, a stretch-out trip for nearly all of these.
Our Eyes:
The 1-length decision in the Dr. Fager, where BREEZE ON BY was the 3-5 favorite, certainly gave some credence to runner-up GATSBY as well. GATSBY was a step or 2 slow from the gate and spotted BREEZE ON BY several lengths in the opening jumps. The favorite was in command until the quarter-pole, when GATSBY had advanced up the rail and angled out to the 2-path to take him on. BREEZE ON BY briefly surrendered the lead off the bend, but dug back in on the inside to improve to 2-for-2. The final eighth in :13-1/5 didn't ignite confidence for the additional distance of the Affirmed, which will be a furlong farther. Since the Dr. Fager, GATSBY has been more active with 2 workouts to the one for BREEZE ON BY, suggesting he might have come out of the race a bit better than the winner.
That BREEZE ON BY owner/trainer Stonehedge LLC and Ralph Nicks entered not only their top gun, but also BIG DADDY DAVE and SEAZAN might not be a rousing endorsement. But it is a $200,000 stakes for juveniles in restricted company, so it's hard to pass.
SEAZAN 'rallied' to win over 7 furlongs, the only to cover this distance to date, on the same day of the Dr. Fager Stakes. But his final furlong in :13-2/5 was also on the slow side. SEAZAN adds blinkers, but loses jockey Emisael Jaramillo to BREEZE ON BY. Jaramillo also rode BIG DADDY DAVE to victory in his only start in late May. Pedigree-wise, the 'other' Nicks trainees are appealing, both by sire Khozan. His offspring are a very strong 18: 6-2-1 in Gulfstream 7-furlong sprints, and 4: 2-1-1 at this trip as 2-year-olds, including a stakes winner. Compare that to BREEZE ON BY's sire Cajun Breeze. We've seen his offspring struggle at this 2YO stakes distance in recent years, 4: 0-0-1, including well-backed disappointments at 2-1 and 5-2.
Further in the pedigree file, BIG DADDY DAVE's full-brother last year at age 2 went from a debut win at 4-1/2 furlongs to win a mile in his second start. BIG DADDY DAVE moves from the 5-furlong dash ranks and expands an additional quarter-mile with a chance to follow similar suit. He's got another half-sister who won sprinting 7 furlongs at Tampa. He may be the biggest price of the Nicks trio, and the one preferred.
Most Certain Exotics Contender: GATSBY doesn't need the lead and should be fit and ready for this test. Damsire Aldebaran was as good of a 7-furlong sprinter as you'll see.
Best Longshot Exotics Contender: TOP BOSS ran fast against maiden claimers and sire Khozan has strong numbers with his offspring at this trip. Trainer Kathleen O'Connell's barn is going well of late.
Sending it in ($100 bankroll): $60 win BIG DADDY DAVE. $10 exacta key-box BIG DADDY DAVE with GATSBY and BREEZE ON BY ($40). I would use BIG DADDY DAVE, BREEZE ON BY and GATSBY in the Rainbow 6.
August 29: Cross Country Pick 5 feat. Saratoga & Monmouth
August 27, 2020
SARATOGA SPRINGS, N.Y. - The New York Racing Association, Inc. (NYRA) will host a Cross Country Pick 5 that will offer three graded stakes in total, featuring action from historic Saratoga Race Course as well as Monmouth Park and Woodbine Racetrack on Saturday.
Saratoga will start the wager with an exciting juvenile maiden sprint, with a field of 10 contesting at six furlongs on the main track in Race 6 at 3:57 p.m. Eastern. Trainer Chad Brown has a pair of entrants in Highly Motivated and Founder, while Hall of Fame trainers Mark Casse and Steve Asmussen will send out Majestic Street and Happymac, respectively. Trainer Todd Pletcher will see Newbomb depart from the inside post.
Action will shift to Monmouth in Race 9 with a 4:14 p.m. post for the 1 1/2-mile turf route for 3-year-olds and up in an optional claimer. The 10-horse field will see trainer Kelly Breen saddle Epic Bromance, while Decisive Triumph and No Mans Land will be running with blinkers on.
Woodbine will commence the stakes portion of the Cross Country Pick 5 in the third leg with the Grade 3, $125,000 Ontario Colleen for 3-year-old fillies going one mile. Slated as Race 7 at 4:17 p.m., the contest will ironically feature Saratoga Vision. Owned and trained by Alexander Patykewich, the Kentucky-bred won't be running at the Spa, but instead will be looking to break her maiden in her 13th start and is coming off a runner-up effort as an 84-1 longshot in the Grade 3 Selene last month at Woodbine. The field also includes stakes-placed Avie's Samurai and Fly So Pretty, who won last year's Stewart Manor, as well as multiple stakes-winner Two Sixty and multiple graded stakes-placed Walk In Marrakesh.
Saratoga will close the sequence with a pair of Grade 1 contests, starting with the $300,000 Forego presented by America's Best Racing in Race 8 at 5:07 p.m. The seven-furlong contest for older horses on the main track will showcase Whitmore, who won the race's 2018 edition and will now attempt to join Groovy (1986-87) and Quick Call (1988-89) as the only horses to win multiple runnings of the Forego. The 7-year-old enters with a record of 35-14-11-3 and lifetime earnings of over $3.1 million. The Forego will also see Mind Control looking to become a Grade 1-winner at the Spa at ages 2, 3 and 4, while six-time graded stakes-winner Firenze Fire seeks his first Grade 1 triumph since taking the 2017 Champagne during his 2-year-old campaign.
The wager concludes in Saratoga's Race 9 with the Grade 1, $500,000 Sword Dancer for 4-year-olds and up going 1 1/2 miles on the inner turf at 5:43 p.m. A "Win and You're In" qualifier for the Breeders' Cup Turf on November 7 at Keeneland Race Course, the Forego will see trainer Mike Maker send out a trio of contenders in Aquaphobia, Marzo and Cross Border. Also in the race will be Sadler's Joy, who will make his fourth appearance in the Sword Dancer for trainer Tom Albertrani. The 7-year-old Kitten's Joy horse won this event in 2017, finished sixth in 2018 and last year rallied bravely to finish second by a neck to Annals of Time.
The minimum bet for the multi-track, multi-race wager is 50 cents. Wagering on the Cross Country Pick 5 is also available on ADW platforms and at simulcast facilities across the country. Every week will feature a mandatory payout of the net pool.
Cross Country Pick 5 - Saturday, August 29
Leg 1 - Saratoga, Race 6: (3:57 p.m.)
Leg 2 - Monmouth, Race 9: (4:14 p.m.)
Leg 3 - Woodbine, Race 7: G3 Ontario Colleen (4:17 p.m.)
Leg 4 - Saratoga, Race 8: G1 Forego (5:07 p.m.)
Leg 5 - Saratoga, Race 9: G1 Sword Dancer (5:43 p.m.)
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Saturday Saratoga Late Pick 4 Analysis
August 28, 2020 | By Johnny D
Saturday Saratoga Late Pick 4 Analysis
The final four Saturday Spa races provide a challenging sequence. Two Grade 1 stakes races—a loaded 7-furlong sprint and a collection of familiar faces going a mile and one-half—offer plenty of options to horseplayers. A maiden 2-year-old heat and a first level, state-bred allowance race, with 9 and 12 runners, respectively, don’t make things any easier. Of course, hitting Pick 4 wagers never is easy. This one, though, ought to reward those that can bring it to its knees. Below is one man’s humble attempt at a knockout punch. At best, perhaps, we can put you on a four-bagger. At worst, you might extract a handicapping nugget or two that aids your construction of a winning Pick 4 wager.
Race 8 – Forego Stakes
This is a loaded race with some real tough competitors signed on to exchange blows over seven furlongs. If you don’t like #2 Whitmore, then you don’t like horseracing. He’s a pro that shows up every time. He’s not always good enough to win but he’s always trying. Including the 2018 BC Sprint, #2 Whitmore has made 12 starts and has won 3 races with 4 seconds. He’s lost to the following foes: Roy H; Mitole (3 times); Maximum Security and Volatile! This is a tough race and #2 Whitmore is 7 years old and needs some pace to run at, so he’s no cinch. But we’d hate for him to beat us.
#3 Lexitonian shipped to California and nearly won the Gr. 1 Bing Crosby with a powerful late kick. This field is tougher than that one was but the 4-year-old clearly is in good form.
#6 Complexity is a sharp allowance winner for Chad Brown. He’s won 4 of 7 starts, is 1-for-1 at Saratoga and 1-for-3 at the distance. He cuts back from a one-turn mile win at Belmont. His past performances are nearly schizophrenic as his losses are complete blowouts. He’s got a Gr. 1 win, but it came at 2 in the Champagne.
#8 Firenze Fire has had a nice career with a reputation somewhat diminished by guilt by association. He transferred from federally indicted trainer Jason Servis’ barn to Kelly Breen’s outfit three races ago. He’s won one of those starts—Gr. 2 True North. Overall, he’s racked up 11 wins in 27 starts and that’s against quality foes, too. He’s earned nearly $2 million! Like #2 Whitmore, he’s been beaten by the very best—Volatile, Vekoma, Mitole, Imperial Hint—and none of those monsters are in here, so he’s got to be respected.
#10 Mind Control won the Gr. 1 Allen Jerkens at Saratoga last year against fellow 3-year-olds and then added a pair of Gr. 3 Aqueduct scores to his resume in January and March. He appeared to not like a sloppy track in the Gr. 1 Carter but bounced back with a solid try in the Vanderbilt against #2 Whitmore and #8 Firenze Fire. Seven wins in 14 starts, plus 2 out of 3 at the Spa and 4 of 7 at the distance make this guy a ‘must use.’ This outside post position also should help matters.
#11 Fortin Hill is a wild card in this race. He’s won 3 of 4 starts for Chad Brown and, therefore, can’t be ignored. He has no stakes experience and, obviously, has lingering physical issues—he’s raced in Oct. ’18; June ’19; April ’20 and July ’20. Perhaps Brown has him finally healthy enough to put two races back-to-back, but what a bunch of pros to have to defeat in your first stakes try!
Race 9—Sword Dancer
Five of these 8 runners come out of the same race—Bowling Green, Aug. 1—and 4 of those finished within 2 lengths of each other. That afternoon, #8 Sadler’s Joy closed well, arrived first, but was disqualified for drifting in and causing interference. That’s a shame because the 7-year-old produced one of his best races in a while and the win would have snapped a winless streak that extends back to November of ’19. Can he duplicate the effort? He’s got to stay wide, in the clear, so he can launch his closing charge.
#6 Cross Border ran as well as #8 Sadler’s Joy and was bothered by the original winner. He was a mere neck back at the finish and may have been best. By virtue of a stewards’ decision he kept an amazing Saratoga turf course streak alive with 5 wins in as many tries. That’s impressive, even if he needed help from above in the stews stand to keep it going. These two runners--#6 Cross Border and #8 Sadler’s Joy must be respected right back in the Sword Dancer.
#1 Highland Sky closed reasonably well on the outside of all the commotion and was not hindered at all. He ran well, but he’s 1 for his last 9 and that win came in a restricted stakes race. He’s also never hit the board in 4 tries at the distance.
#5 Channel Maker originally was fourth in the Bowling Green and was moved to third via disqualification. He did not appear to be going as well late as the first three finishers. He’s now 1 for his last 13, with his previous tally in May of ’19.
#3 Marzo and #2 Aquaphobia are examples of Mike Maker claims that have done well in graded distance turf races under the new trainer’s care. The former set the pace in the Bowling Green and should do the same in here. He’s a Grade 3 stakes winner at the Sword Dancer distance. #2 Aquaphobia won the Grade 1 United Nations in fine style last out and gets Irad Ortiz in the saddle. He’s certainly going great at the moment but is 0-4 over the Spa green and 0-2 at the distance. The latter would be the only one of the two we would consider using.
Race 10—Maiden
It doesn’t take a genius to assume that discussion of a 2-year-old maiden race at Saratoga ought to begin with runners trainer by Todd Pletcher and Chad Brown. We’ll start with #2 Always Carina by Malibu Moon. She’s worked out at Saratoga every 6-8 days since July 10, with 3 three-eighths of a mile works, 2 half-miles, a five-eighths and another half-mile. The last in the series was from the gate in :47 1/5 and appears to have been in even company with Brown’s other starter in the race #5 Zainalarab. She also has worked steadily—every 6 or 7 days since July 15—including 2 half-mile gate drills, two five-eighths works and a bullet half and a bullet three-eighths. She seems the better of the two Browns that are ridden by Irad and Jose Ortiz, respectively. Difficult to ignore any Brown/Ortiz brother combination.
#3 Jouster hails from the Pletcher barn and has a shorter work tab than either Brown runner but has a :59 4/5 gate drill—a serious sign of intent. John Velazquez rides.
For ticket building purposes, we’ll go against the grain a bit and use fillies with acceptable previous racing experience and hope to connect on a price. #6 Peachy Queen has a race under her belt and that’s often a plus, especially when it’s a decent try—third, beaten less than four lengths—while running till the end. Trainer Danny Gargan is 30% with 20 maiden 2-year-old second time starters, according to ThoroGraph stats. An extra half furlong ought to be acceptable to her highness. Plus, with all the advertising Mattress Mac has done, you’ve got to root for Runhappy to sire a Spa winner for a $100k bonus.
#7 O’Gotten Girl has a turf start under her belt and it was a decent effort. Her trainer is 22% with runners going turf to dirt.
#8 Spun d’ Etat has been third in two previous six-furlong tries—one at Keeneland and one at the Spa. She’s not without a chance and draws a nice outside box for this. Hustling Luis Saez takes over in the saddle, so expect early fireworks.
#9 Rookery, a Pennsylvania bred, had a decent start for trainer Tom Amoss, as she closed for trainer Wayne Catalano to miss by a mere neck. Jockey Jose Lezcano moves from #8 Spun d’Etat to #9 Rookery for this and he’s 21% with Catalano.
Race 11—State-Bred Allowance
We conclude the Pick 4 sequence with a first-level, state-bred allowance race. There’s an interesting handicapping angle at play in here. #8 Miss Jimmy invades from Finger Lakes, a lesser New York track. Normally, she’d be a pretty quick toss. However, she’s won 6 races out of 11 starts and that’s 3 more than everyone else in the field (#1 Kinky Sox has 3 wins in 15 starts). Because those victories came in races with smaller purses they don’t count against #8 Miss Jimmy and she qualifies for this condition and she’s 15-1 on the morning line. Now, she may not be good enough at the Spa but her affinity for winning is something worth attention in a race where others seem allergic to it.
#7 Midnight Surprise has Pletcher/I. Ortiz power working for her off a solid state-bred maiden score as favorite. Back-to-back wins wouldn’t be out of the question.
#6 Flashpackinbarbie has good speed, 2 wins in 4 tries and experience at this level—a well-beaten second last out.
#5 Firenze Freedom, making her first start for Kelly Breen after switching from Jason Servis, broke her maiden against state-bred foes and then sandwiched a couple of stakes tries around a try at the optional $80k/n1x level. She wasn’t close in those races but wasn’t completely dusted either. She may go much better in here.
#3 Eloquent Speaker cuts back from a mile and one-eighth attempt last out where she stumbled at the start, recovered and then led into the stretch. That effort ought to have her legged up sufficiently for this. She’s got a win in 3 tries, a second and a third last out.
#4 Bustin Scones finished second at this level last out and also on June 13 at Belmont. Trouble with her is that she has just 1 win in 13 tries with 4 seconds.
Suggested $.50 Late Pick 4 Ticket ($72)
8th Race: 2, 6, 8, 10
9th Race: 2, 6, 8
10th Race: 6, 7, 8, 9
11th Race: 3, 7, 8
Race On!
Al Cimaglia: Woodbine Mohawk Park Late Pick 4 Analysis
August 29, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
It is a huge night of racing at Woodbine Mohawk Park featuring the $1,000,000 North America Cup and a mandatory Jackpot Hi-5 payout. The Late Pick 4 begins in Race 10 and it will be my focus. Part of the sequence includes the Roses Are Red Final, the North America Cup, and the Eternal Camnation for 2-year-old fillies.
Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.
Race 10-Roses Are Red Final-Purse $290,000
3-Major Occasion A (9/2)-Comes off an even effort at Tioga but this mare can go from looking okay to great. Gets a good post draw and should be forwardly placed throughout. Looks like a player at a fair price and does good work on a big oval.
6-Warrawee Ubeaut (7/2)-Winner in 3 of 5 starts at Wbsb and Gingras could be flying off the gate. Won the Breeders Crown here last year and should be in the hunt once again.
7-So Much More (5-1)-Steps-up to meet some tough mares but this gal loves taking pictures. Has won 16 of 34 at Wbsb and 26 of 52 lifetime. The pace could be hot and that helps, so best to respect at a nice price.
Race 11-Pepsi North America Cup Final-Purse $1,000,000
4-Tall Dark Stranger (7/5)-Makes 3rd start on Lasix and wasn't dominant in last week's elimination but Gingras said there was an issue with pulling the ear plugs. Also, that was the 1st start since 8/8 and should be even better coming right back. Many will single and that is understandable, should be tough to beat with a decent trip but will likely be tested.
5-Capt Midnight (9/2)-Alagna trainee has no excuses starting next to the Stranger from a good post. If McNair pushes the button at the right time this colt may finally get some revenge over the odds-on favorite.
Race 12-Eternal Camnation-Purse $71,638
5-Best Head West (3-1)-Has hit the board in 3 of 4 starts at Wbsb with 2 wins. Hasn't shown much gate speed but can roll late and short field won't hurt chances.
6-Scarlett Hanover (2-1)-It's best to respect the program chalk with Gingras taking a seat tonight. Will toss last when a poor start hampered any chance of winning. Can take a picture with a top effort but not sure gunning out for the lead at this track leads to a picture.
7-Lady Midnight (5/2)-Another Alagna pupil that appears to be getting better and maybe will show some gate speed here. McClure is back aboard after a nice 2nd tier win versus easier.
Race 13
5-Traceur Hanover (3-1)-Classy veteran takes a good drop in class. $1,000,000 earner isn't dominant very often but if he gets the top and sets his own pace his determination can become evident. Roy will probably be on the engine or in the pocket.
7-Sports Column (12-1)-Started from the 2nd tier and did pace the last half in 53.3 on 8/22. McNair can put in play from this post and get a good early seat. Using and looking for a price to pump up the Pick 4 payout.
9-Points North (6-1)-Winner of 6 in 25 starts at Wbsb was part of very quick mile last week and raced well after stepping-up to this level. Drury may blast out, this 6-year-old has big gate speed and could trip out at a solid price.
0.20 Late Pick 4
3,6,7/4,5/5,6,7/5,7,9
Total bet=$10.80
Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks
Saratoga - Race #5
Saratoga - Race #8
Picks Notes #3 Love and Love Price player goes for a Miceli barn that has quietly had a good meet with limited starters, aired the last time she was on the main track, got the perfect tightener out of the way last time, and meets a crew there for the taking; upset special. #4 Archumybaby Popular miss has been claimed five times in her last seven starts and now goes for Rodriguez, who knows how to move them up, and the win over open 25k foes last time should set her up nicely for this NYB AOC group; looms very large. #1 Letmetakethiscall The chalk and inside speed might also be a Lone F, which would be problematic for the top pair, as she just took pace pressure and almost wired, but she's also going an unknown 7Fs today, and figures way overbet as well; trying to beat. Race Summary That 8-1 ML sure seems juicy on the 3, who fits nicely on paper with these and looked like she was aimed for this spot all along, so play her in all the slots, and especially to end the early Pk5/Pk4 as well, since she could fall through the wagering cracks, which means a win would add plenty of value at the end of both sequences.
Saratoga - Race #9
Picks Notes #6 Complexity GI winner has had his share of issues but when right he can be a freak, and now, off the big win last time, he finally puts races together, has a world of upside, and looks primed for a lifetime best run; love his chances here. #3 Lexitonian Hard-knocker rarely gets any publicity but runs his race every time and just missed in the Dmr GI, and while this group is a lot tougher, his recent form and run anywhere persona says he can play with these; do not ignore. #10 Mind Control Saratoga specialist has won a pair of GI 7F races over this oval, so this trip is perfect for him, and the close 3rd to Volatile here last time going 6Fs was sharp, and the pace will be more to his liking today as well; very playable. Race Summary This is a very solid group, but it's also one where we know what the top contenders are capable of, as they have all hit their peak, while the 6 has run just seven times and still has plenty of upside, so play him aggressively in all the slots, while getting some added value by keying him in the late Pk5/Pk4, since he looks poised to throw down a race today that the others simply might not be able to handle.
Picks Notes #1 Highland Sky Longshot ran quite well when 3rd to a few of these last time in the local GII prep, and he should like this longer trip today too, so from a ground-saving post, while hinting he's coming up to a biggie, against a group there for the taking, he may blow this up; bombs away. #5 Corelli Tactical sort ran well when 3rd in the Mth GI last time, in what was just his third start in the US, for Thomas, and since September too, so he's getting acclimated, is another who should like the trip, and may be primed to put it all together today; expecting a big run. #8 Sadler's Joy Grizzled veteran won this in 2017 and was best winning the prep last time, only to be DQ'd (and rightfully so), and his overall form is best here, but the price is short, the post isn't ideal, and his deep closing style leaves no margin for error; willing to make him prove it on top. Race Summary The price sure will be right on the pick, and he's not so far behind the favorites that he should be 10 times their mutuel, so give him a look in all the slots, and especially in the late Pk5/Pk4 as well, as he's always hinted he could be something, and this might finally be the spot where he puts it all together.
Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks
Laurel Park - Race #4
Laurel Park - Race #7
Picks Notes #11 Palace Intrigue Debuts for a capable turf team, and while the wide draw is a bit of a concern, he's probably a big player here if he can find a spot into the first turn. #4 Gandolfo Delacour barn debuts this one, and although the pedigree isn't incredibly turfy, this is a sharp barn with these kinds. #8 Elusive Connections don't inspire much confidence, but this one brings a pretty solid turf pedigree to this and might be able to snag a share of this underneath. Race Summary Palace Intrigue gets the slight edge from the high draw, as those who have run in here haven't produced much, and this one might avoid some trouble while drawn out wide.
Laurel Park - Race #8
Picks Notes #5 Nautical Nature Speed doesn't meet a wild bit of other pace in here, and that may give him a chance to wire this field if he doesn't take too much early heat. 6-1 ML offering would be fair. #4 Padrino's Heart Seems quick enough to find a decent spot tracking the pace, and he can get first jump on the deeper finishers into the lane. #3 Joseph Has some upside in this second start off the layoff after offering only a mild rally in that comeback run. He's got some back races that would do the trick, so don't count him out with some upside today. Race Summary Nautical Nature should be able to find the front with these on the hike while meeting a group that isn't all that imposing for this level.
Picks Notes #4 Atreyu Steps up for this one, but there's no denying he has become an entirely different horse since moving to the turf. He's a perfect 6-for-6 on the grass and should be in line for a great trip from close range. #10 Hard Fought Forward player occasionally shows a bit of a pressing gear, and that would allow him to get a perfect kind of trip to get the jump on any deeper-finishing threats. #12 Artemus Bridge Recent form stacks up, but he gets a tough draw for his running style and might be resigned to a wide trip. One of many who can win this. Race Summary Atreyu has done nothing wrong in six turf starts, and he has earned today's class test as he tries the deepest bunch yet. The 6-1 ML price would be fair on the hike.
Frank Carulli's Daily Picks
Pocono Downs - Race #1
Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #2
Picks Notes #1 BETTER B ROLLING Loves to win, could return quick claim – and betting – dividend. #3 KEYSTONE STEAM Picked up steam too late, galloped out in front, gets ideal set-up. #4 JOHNNY Q Seeks three straight on the class hike, can stalk and pounce. Race Summary Better B Rolling made a quarter-pole move to the lead, shrugged off pressure on the final turn and drew away on the lead despite ‘broken equipment’ issues. He’s too good to pass up at 10-1 on the morning line for new connections. Play a 1-3-4 exacta box.
Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #6
Picks Notes #6 POSTSCRIPT Good recovery from break as beaten fave, good value play in deep field. #5 CAVIART AUDREY Tons best in PA sire stakes, but blown turn proved costly. #1 BET ON BECKY Won all four starts at odds-on, starts from rail. Race Summary Postscript went off stride early, advanced steadily while 4-deep in the outer flow and 5-wide in the stretch, and finished on her own courage. She’s worth a bet at an inflated price in talent-laden stakes field. Play 6-1 and 6-5 exactas.
Picks Notes #5 SPORTSLINE Giant effort in defeat, patient handling could reverse outcome. #3 BEST IN SHOW Rallied from clouds for a win and a third from outer posts. #7 REAL SURREAL Steps up off Moreau claim, seeks third win in a row. Race Summary Sportsline chased longshot Highlandbeachlover through a torrid 1:21 third-quarter split, burst clear after he pulled from the pocket and got caught late. Let’s make him today’s Best Bet off that performance.
Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks
Gulfstream Park - Race #8
Gulfstream Park - Race #9
Picks Notes #9 Castle King Made a power move into contention and wore down rivals for a maiden win at a mile on the grass last time; seems better with distance and is definitely better on grass. #7 Fulmini Responded to his first turf run with a solid score going five furlongs; bred for longer distances and Maker's runner have been a must use for quite a while. #2 Rememdador Rallied from far back and finished fourth in his only start, and this is not the strongest stakes spot, so it would not be out of the question for one like this to rise up. Race Summary Castle King moved strongly after a half-mile and continued on for the win; a good option here.
Gulfstream Park - Race #10
Picks Notes #1 Freak Is a maiden after two races but opened up in the stretch and was caught late in a stakes races in her latest; clearly a runner and can break her maiden in this restricted stakes event. #4 Go Jo Jo Go Broke her maiden in her four try and it came when she beat Freak last time; could enjoy the seven furlongs. #5 Princess Secret Was caught by Go Jo Jo Go last time and has not had a bad day in three starts; troublesome on the front end. Race Summary Freak should get a good trip just off the speed and a well-time move can help her break her maiden in a stylish way.
Picks Notes #5 Spanish Loveaffair Had an easy time of it as she won her debut by 11 lengths; the pace will be faster and the competition better, but the fact that she was so dominant in a two-turn turf race on her first career start was an eye opener. #2 Can't Buy Love Coasted in a five-furlong race in her debut and should have no problem stretching out; well spotted and a big player. #4 Director's Cut Broke her maiden in a mile turf race last time out and she's bred to go a long distance. Would not be a major surprise. Race Summary Spanish Loveaffair was powerful in her debut as she went the final half-mile in 48 seconds, which is a decent time for a 2-year-old filly. Steps up in class and has a good chance to handle the challenge.
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MLB (Sat) Cardinals
MLB (Sat) Red Sox
NBA (Sat) Thunder
NHL (Sat) Islanders
WNBA
Long Sheet
Saturday, August 29
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
DALLAS (5 - 10) vs. INDIANA (5 - 9) - 8/29/2020, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 6-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 4-3 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEATTLE (12 - 3) vs. CHICAGO (10 - 5) - 8/29/2020, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-3 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 5-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NEW YORK (2 - 12) vs. LAS VEGAS (11 - 3) - 8/29/2020, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
LAS VEGAS is 4-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
LAS VEGAS is 6-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
WNBA
Saturday, August 29
Trend Report
New York @ Las Vegas
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games when playing Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New York's last 7 games
Las Vegas
Las Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 5 games when playing New York
Seattle @ Chicago
Seattle
Seattle is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
Seattle is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games at home
Chicago is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
Dallas @ Indiana
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Dallas
Indiana is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
WNBA
Dunkel
Saturday, August 29
New York @ Las Vegas
Game 671-672
August 29, 2020 @ 12:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
New York
104.456
Las Vegas
113.080
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Las Vegas
by 8 1/2
171
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Las Vegas
by 16 1/2
166
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+16 1/2); Over
Seattle @ Chicago
Game 669-670
August 29, 2020 @ 2:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
118.778
Chicago
110.682
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 8
162
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 5
166
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-5); Under
Dallas @ Indiana
Game 667-668
August 29, 2020 @ 4:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
106.963
Indiana
108.586
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 1 1/2
173
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 1 1/2
166
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(+1 1/2); Over
NBA line movement for August 29
Patrick Everson
LeBron James and the Lakers can finish off the Trail Blazers in Game 5 Saturday. Portland won't have Damian Lillard (ankle), and Los Angeles is a 13.5-point favorite at The SuperBook.
NBA betting odds are up for Saturday’s trio of conference quarterfinal matchups. The top seeds in each conference can advance to the second round of the NBA playoffs, with the Los Angeles Lakers and Milwaukee Bucks in position to end their respective series in five games.
The SuperBook at Westgate provided insights on NBA opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Saturday’s matchups.
NBA line movement
With Portland Trail Blazers star Damian Lillard out due to a knee injury, The SuperBook opened the Lakers 13-point favorites for Saturday’s 9 p.m. ET tipoff. Late Friday night, the point spread moved to Lakers -13.5. Los Angeles boatraced Portland 135-115 in Game 4 Monday to take a 3-1 series lead.
Mirroring the Lakers, the Bucks lost Game 1 of their series against the Orlando Magic, then won the next three, including a 121-106 victory Monday night. And like L.A., Milwaukee is laying a big number, opening -13.5 with no line movement Friday night for a 3:30 p.m. ET start.
The Oklahoma City Thunder and Houston Rockets meet in Game 5 at 6:30 p.m. ET, with that series tied at 2. Rockets star Russell Westbrook is expected to make his first playoff appearance, after sitting the first four games with a quad strain. The SuperBook opened Houston -5.5 and ticked down to -5 Friday night.
The Thunder-Rockets total was also on the move Friday night, opening at 225.5 and moving to 227.
701ORLANDO -702 MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
703OKLAHOMA CITY -704 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 84-62 ATS (15.8 Units) vs. winning teams in the last 3 seasons.
705PORTLAND -706 LA LAKERS
LA LAKERS are 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season in the current season.
NBA
Dunkel
Saturday, August 29
Orlando @ Milwaukee
Game 719-720
August 29, 2020 @ 3:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
109.280
Milwaukee
125.808
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 16 1/2
228
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 14
227
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-14); Over
Oklahoma City @ Houston
Game 721-722
August 29, 2020 @ 6:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
111.014
Houston
119.880
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 9
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 3
224
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-3); Over
Portland @ LA Lakers
Game 723-724
August 29, 2020 @ 9:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Portland
109.927
LA Lakers
126.370
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Lakers
by 16 1/2
224
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Lakers
by 13 1/2
222 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
(-13 1/2); Over
NBA
Long Sheet
Saturday, August 29
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ORLANDO (34 - 43) vs. MILWAUKEE (59 - 18) - 8/29/2020, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 15-24 ATS (-11.4 Units) as an underdog this season.
ORLANDO is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
ORLANDO is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ORLANDO is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
MILWAUKEE is 98-72 ATS (+18.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 38-29 ATS (+6.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 39-31 ATS (+4.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
MILWAUKEE is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) on Saturday games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 53-37 ATS (+12.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 54-35 ATS (+15.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 79-58 ATS (+15.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 77-57 ATS (+14.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 86-133 ATS (-60.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 9-5 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 12-3 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
OKLAHOMA CITY (46 - 30) vs. HOUSTON (46 - 30) - 8/29/2020, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 112-75 ATS (+29.5 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
HOUSTON is 51-33 ATS (+14.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 53-36 ATS (+13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 45-30 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 35-24 ATS (+8.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
HOUSTON is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-4 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-5 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PORTLAND (37 - 42) vs. LA LAKERS (55 - 20) - 8/29/2020, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 33-42 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all games this season.
PORTLAND is 27-36 ATS (-12.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
PORTLAND is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 27-37 ATS (-13.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
PORTLAND is 23-35 ATS (-15.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 8-5 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 7-7 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
951NY METS -952 NY YANKEES
NY YANKEES are 11-2 SU (8.8 Units) in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.
953CLEVELAND -954 ST LOUIS
ST LOUIS are 25-12 SU (11.8 Units) in home games in August games in the last 3 seasons.
955ATLANTA -956 PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA is 19-28 SU (-16 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons.
957KANSAS CITY -958 CHI WHITE SOX
CHI WHITE SOX is 18-6 SU (14.4 Units) vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.
959TAMPA BAY -960 MIAMI
MIAMI is 1-9 SU (-9.7 Units) in home games vs. teams whose hitters draw 4 walks or more/game over the last 2 seasons.
961MINNESOTA -962 DETROIT
DETROIT is 2-12 SU (-12.6 Units) vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the current season.
963CHICAGO CUBS -964 CINCINNATI
CHICAGO CUBS are 21-30 SU (-19.3 Units) in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
965BALTIMORE -966 TORONTO
BRANDON HYDE is 41-59 SU (-23.9 Units) vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse (Coach of BALTIMORE)
965BALTIMORE -966 TORONTO
BALTIMORE is 41-59 SU (-25.2 Units) vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
967LA DODGERS -968 TEXAS
TEXAS are 83-103 SU (-30.3 Units) in the second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.
969PITTSBURGH -970 MILWAUKEE
PITTSBURGH is 21-7 SU (15.2 Units) with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons.
971OAKLAND -972 HOUSTON
OAKLAND is 47-26 SU (22.7 Units) vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
973WASHINGTON -974 BOSTON
WASHINGTON is 2-11 SU (-11.7 Units) vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse in the current season.
975SAN DIEGO -976 COLORADO
SAN DIEGO is 0-9 SU (-9.9 Units) in road games after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games in the last 3 seasons.
977SAN FRANCISCO -978 ARIZONA
SAN FRANCISCO is 8-1 SU (8.3 Units) vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.
979SEATTLE -980 LA ANGELS
LA ANGELS are 2-12 SU (-12.4 Units) vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse in the current season.
981CHICAGO CUBS -982 CINCINNATI
CHICAGO CUBS are 21-30 SU (-19.3 Units) in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
MLB
Saturday, August 29
National League
Atlanta @ Philadelphia
Braves (18-13):
Tomlin is 0-1, 7.71 in two starts (7 IP) this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-2 Team in first 5 innings: 0-2
Allowed run in first inning: 0-2 Totals: over 2-0
— Braves won five of their last eight games.
— Atlanta is 4-8 in its last 12 road games.
— Over is 9-3-2 in their last 14 games.
Phillies (13-14)
Eflin is 1-1, 6.05 in four starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-1 Team in first 5 innings: 2-2
Allowed run in first inning: 1-4 Totals: under 3-1
— Philly won its last four games.
— Phillies won its last four home games.
— Over is 5-1-1 in their last seven games.
Chicago @ Cincinnati
Cubs (18-13):
Darvish is 5-0, 1.09 in his last five starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-3 Team in first 5 innings: 4-2
Allowed run in first inning: 0-6 Totals: under 3-1 last four
Mills is 1-2, 7.02 in his last three starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-2 Team in first 5 innings: 4-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-5 Totals: over 3-2
— Cubs are 5-10 in their last 15 games.
— Chicago won six of its 11 road games.
— Over is 9-4 in their last 13 games.
Reds (14-17)
Bauer is 3-1, 1.69 in his last four starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-2 Team in first 5 innings: 3-1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-5 Totals: under 4-1
Antone allowed one run in 4.1 IP (82 PT) in his first start.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0
— Cincinnati won its last three games.
— Reds are 6-7 at home this season.
— Under is 8-3 in the Reds’ last 11 games.
Pittsburgh @ Milwaukee
Pirates (9-20):
Brubaker is 0-0, 7.20 in three starts (10 IP)
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1-2
Allowed run in first inning: 1-3 Totals: 1-1-1
— Pirates won five of their last eight games.
— Pittsburgh is 4-11 on the road this year.
— Under is 6-4-1 in their last 11 road games.
Brewers (14-17):
Anderson is 2-0, 2.25 in his last two starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-3 Team in first 5 innings: 3-2
Allowed run in first inning: 3-5 Totals: under 3-1 last four
— Milwaukee lost seven of its last 11 games.
— Brewers lost eight of their 13 home games.
— Under is 3-1-1 in Milwaukee’s last five games.
San Diego @ Colorado
Padres (20-14)
Bullpen game
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0
— San Diego won nine of its last 11 games.
— Padres are 3-5 in their last eight road games.
— Over is 9-2 in their last 11 games.
Rockies (16-16):
Senzatela is 0-1, 5.12 in his last three starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-2 Team in first 5 innings: 3-1-2
Allowed run in first inning: 2-6 Totals: over 5-1
— Rockies won three of their last four games.
— Colorado lost six of its last seven home games.
— Over is 7-2 in their last nine home games.
San Francisco @ Arizona
Giants (15-19):
Cahill is 0-0, 1.64 in three starts (11 IP)
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-1 Team in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-3 Totals: under 2-1
— Giants lost their last three games.
— SF is 6-11 on the road this season.
— Under is 4-2-1 in Giants’ last seven games.
Diamondbacks (14-19):
Weaver is 1-1, 4.50 in his last three starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-4 Team in first 5 innings: 1-4-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-6 Totals: 3-3
— Arizona lost eight of its last nine games overall.
— Diamondbacks won eight of their last 11 home games.
— Under is 10-4 in their last 14 games.
American League
Minnesota @ Detroit
Twins (20-12)
Dobnak is 5-0, 1.71 in his last five starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 5-1 Team in first 5 innings: 5-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-6 Totals: under 5-1
Bullpen game
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0
— Twins split their last eight games.
— Minnesota is 5-8 in its last 13 road games.
— Twins are 8-3 in series openers.
— Under is 10-1-2 in their last 13 games.
Tigers (13-16):
Boyd is 0-3, 8.76 in five starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-3 Team in first 5 innings: 1-3-1
Allowed run in first inning: 3-5 Totals: 2-2-1
Skubal is 0-1, 10.39 in his first two MLB starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-1 Team in first 5 innings: 1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-2 Totals: over 2-0
— Detroit lost 12 of its last 16 games.
— Tigers lost six of their last eight home games.
— Over is 10-5 in their last 14 games.
Baltimore @ Toronto
Orioles (14-17):
Cobb is 0-2, 4.50 in his last four starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-2 Team in first 5 innings: 2-4
Allowed run in first inning: 2-6 Totals: under 4-1-1
— Orioles lost nine of their last 11 games overall.
— Baltimore is 8-4 on the road this season.
— Under is 7-1 in their last eight games.
Blue Jays (15-14):
Walker makes his Toronto debut; he was 2-2, 4.33 in five starts for Seattle.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 1-5 Totals: under 3-2
— Blue Jays are 12-8 in their last 20 games.
— Jays are 6-4 in their “home” games in Buffalo.
— Over is 4-3-1 in their last eight games.
Kansas City @ Chicago
Royals (12-19):
Singer is 1-3, 5.95 in his last four starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-3 Team in first 5 innings: 1-3-2
Allowed run in first inning: 2-6 Totals: under 4-2
— Royals lost eight of their last 12 games.
— KC lost eight of its last 11 road games.
— Under is 9-2-2 in their last 13 games.
White Sox (19-12):
Cease is 4-1, 3.34 in his last five starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-2 Team in first 5 innings: 4-1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-6 Totals: 3-3
— Chicago won 11 of its last 15 games overall.
— White Sox won their last seven home games.
— Over is 5-3 in their last eight games.
Oakland @ Houston
A’s (22-10):
Bassitt is 1-1, 5.94 in his last three starts; he is 2-0, 4.32 in three road starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-2 Team in first 5 innings: 3-3
Allowed run in first inning: 4-6 Totals: under 5-1
Montas allowed 13 runs in 6.1 IP in his last two starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-2 Team in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-6 Totals: over 4-2
— Oakland won 19 of its last 25 games.
— A’s are 9-6 on the road this season.
— Under is 6-2 in their last eight games
Astros (17-14):
McCullers is 1-1, 3.06 in his last three starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-2 Team in first 5 innings: 3-2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-6 Totals: 3-3
Greinke is 1-0, 1.37 in his last four starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-4 Team in first 5 innings: 2-0-4
Allowed run in first inning: 2-6 Totals: under 4-1-1
— Astros lost four of their last six games overall.
— Houston won eight of their last nine home games.
— Over is 6-2 in their last eight games.
Seattle @ Anaheim
Mariners (13-21):
Sheffield is 2-0, 1.50 in his last three starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-3 Team in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-5 Totals: over 3-1-1
— Seattle won six of its last nine games.
— Mariners lost nine of their last 11 road tilts.
— Over is 4-2 in their last six road games.
Angels (11-22):
Bundy is 1-1, 4.32 in his last three starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-3 Team in first 5 innings: 4-2
Allowed run in first inning: 2-6 Totals: over 4-2
— Angels are 4-11 in their last 15 games.
— Halos are 2-5 in their last seven home games.
— Over is 13-3-2 in their last 18 games.
Interleague
New York (NL) @ New York (AL)
Mets (15-16)
unknown starter
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0
— Mets won six of their last eight games overall.
— New York is 9-7 on the road this season.
— Over is 5-3 in their last eight games.
Bronx (16-13):
Happ is 1-1, 6.39 in three starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-1 Team in first 5 innings: 2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-3 Totals: over 2-1
— Bronx lost its last seven games.
— New York is 10-5 at home, but lost its last five home games.
— Under is 6-2-1 in their last nine games.
Tampa Bay @ Miami
Rays (22-11):
Fleming allowed two runs in five IP (72 PT) in winning his first start.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: 0-0-1
— Tampa Bay won 16 of its last 19 games.
— Rays won their last six road games.
— Under is 4-1-1 in their last six games.
Marlins (14-13):
Lopez is 2-0, 3.63 in his last three starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-2 Team in first 5 innings: 3-2
Allowed run in first inning: 1-5 Totals: over 3-1-1
— Miami won three of its last five games.
— Marlins lost their last six home games.
— Over is 8-4 in their last 12 games.
Washington @ Boston
Nationals (12-17):
Sanchez is 1-3, 6.48 in five starts the year, 1-0, 3.00 in his last two.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-4 Team in first 5 innings: 2-3
Allowed run in first inning: 3-5 Totals: over 4-0 last four
— Washington is 7-9 in its last 16 games.
— Nationals is 5-4 in its last nine road games.
— Over is 12-3-1 in their last 16 games.
Red Sox (10-22):
Bullpen game
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0
— Red Sox lost 13 of their last 17 games.
— Boston lost six of its last seven home games.
— Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.
Los Angeles @ Texas
Dodgers (24-10)
Stripling is 0-1, 11.57 in his last three starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 5-1 Team in first 5 innings: 4-2
Allowed run in first inning: 1-6 Totals: over 4-2
— Dodgers won 13 of their last 16 games.
— LA won eight of their last 11 road games.
— Over is 6-3-1 in their last ten road games.
Rangers (12-19):
Lynn is 3-0, 2.67 in his last four starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 5-2 Team in first 5 innings: 3-1-3
Allowed run in first inning: 2-7 Totals: under 4-3
— Texas lost 10 of its last 12 games.
— Rangers are 9-8 at home this season.
— Over is 8-4 in their last 12 games.
Cleveland @ St Louis
Indians (20-12):
Carrasco is 0-2, 7.50 in his last three starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-3 Team in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-6 Totals: over 3-0-1 last four
— Cleveland won 10 of its last 13 games overall.
— Indians won their last nine road games.
— Under is 21-9-2 in Cleveland games this season.
Cardinals (11-12)
Flaherty is 2-0, 1.98 in three starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-0 Team in first 5 innings: 3-0
Allowed run in first inning: 1-3 Totals: over 3-0
— St Louis lost its last three games.
— Cardinals won seven of 12-3 home games this season.
— Under is 4-3-2 in their last nine games.
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