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Service Plays Saturday 9/5/20
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Vernon Croy
7 over-69-smu-texas.state
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Micah Roberts
FORMER VEGAS Bookmaker
9:57 AM
MEMPHIS -19
ARKANSAS ST. @ MEMPHIS | 9/05 | 8:00 PM EDT
The Memphis defense has improved over the past three seasons and they come in with the star of their offense, Brady White, still on the team. He improved in his junior campaign and starts with an Arkansas State defense that couldn’t stop anyone in Sun Belt play. They allowed 34 PPG and 479 YPG. They also allowed 5.1 yards per rush. New Tigers RB Kylan Watkins should take advantage of the system after averaging 5.2 yards per rush in limited play last year. The spread has dropped, with Memphis RB Kenneth Gainwell opting out. He is worth 1-point to the number. The Tigers were 7-0 at home. I’m on Memphis to cover and do the bulk of the scoring in getting this total over.
2-0-1 IN LAST 3 MEMP ATS PICKS | +200
2-1 IN LAST 3 ARKST ATS PICKS | +90
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Emory Hunt
CFB Season 2019-2020
Final Record
ATS
8-5 Aug
24-15 Sept
35-18 Oct
28-18 Nov
2-2 Dec
97-58 63% ATS Regular Season
Bowls
19-20 49%
Moneyline 0-0
Totals 0-0
All 116-78 60%
Net Units +34.1 at 5% juice
FEATURED PICK
ARMY -3.5
MIDDLE TENN. @ ARMY | 9/05 | 1:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 7:14 PM
Defensively, Middle Tennessee State has an excellent safety in Gregory Grate Jr., who I expect to have an extremely active role against Army. What is troubling about this matchup is that the Blue Raiders' defense has had to replace seven starters, and this matchup against Army wasn't originally on the schedule as it was a replacement game for a contest cancelled due to the coronavirus pandemic. It's tough to prepare for the triple option on such short notice, especially after not practicing in the spring and having truncated summer workouts.
2-1 IN LAST 3 ARMY ATS PICKS | +90
FEATURED PICK
SMU -22
SMU @ TEXAS ST. | 9/05 | 4:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 7:12 PM
With four players stuck in quarantine, including starting QB Tyler Vitt, makes this an even bigger hill to climb for the Bobcats. SMU has QB Shane Buechele airing it out behind all five returning offensive lineman, leading an offense that was seventh in the nation in scoring last season. I expect this one to get out of hand pretty quickly.
3-1 IN LAST 4 SMU ATS PICKS | +190
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Barrett Sallee
CFB Season 2019-2020
Final Record
ATS
3-1 Aug
9-7 Sept
6-5 Oct
14-7 Nov
2-0 Dec
34-20 63% ATS Regular Season
11-5 69% ATS Bowls
45-25 64% ATS All
Moneyline 0-2 -2 Units
12-6 67% Totals Regular Season
3-3 Totals Bowls
15-9 63% Totals All
All 60-36 63%
Net Units +22.3 at 5% juice
ARKANSAS ST. +19
ARKANSAS ST. @ MEMPHIS | 9/05 | 8:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 4:24 PM
I love Tigers quarterback Brady White and everything that first-year coach Ryan Silverfield brings to the table. The transition from coach Mike Novell shouldn’t be too challenging. But the Red Wolves are no slouch in the quarterback department either with Logan Bonner and Layne Hatcher going into the season as “co-starters.” Coach Blake Anderson will crank up his multi-dimensional offense and at least keep it within the number.
UNDER 69.5
SMU @ TEXAS ST. | 9/05 | 4:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 4:22 PM
As you see, I’m clearly backing SMU this year — especially because of that offense. But in Game 1, with very little time to work out some minor changes under new offensive coordinator Garrett Riley, there could be some growing pains. Because of that, expect a sloppy game that the Mustangs handle with ease. They just won’t win any beauty contests.
SMU -22
SMU @ TEXAS ST. | 9/05 | 4:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 4:20 PM
Check out the AAC predictions we posted on CBSSports.com, and you’ll notice how high I am on the future conference champion SMU Mustangs. Sonny Dykes has quarterback Shane Buechele back on a team that is loaded with talent — both homegrown and through transfers — including star wide receiver Reggie Roberson. There won’t be a home field advantage regardless of the crowd, Texas State was 0-4-1 against the spread at home last year and is still deep in rebuilding mode.
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Mike Tierney
OVER 69
SMU @ TEXAS ST. | 9/05 | 4:30 PM EDT
3:23 PM
The total has understandably inched up but, being still shy of 70, it demands an Over. Both defenses were sieves last season, allowing about 33 points per game each. SMU averaged 43 points scored and slapped 47 on Texas State a year ago. Bobcats QB Tyler Vitt is quarantined, but he likely had lost the starting gig to Memphis transfer Brady McBride, who has a galaxy of targets at his disposal.
ARMY -3.5
MIDDLE TENN. @ ARMY | 9/05 | 1:30 PM EDT
3:08 PM
The Army offense is licking its chops. The Blue Raiders, whose defense was rock-bottom in the C-USA and sends out mostly new starters, confront an option offense that is unfamiliar to them. In last year’s matchup, the Black Knights maintained ball possession for about two-thirds of the clock. MTSU’s top two RBs opted out this season and what’s left of its quick-tempo offense cannot score from the sidelines.
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Matt Blunt (VegasInsider)
CFB
Memphis -10.5 (1st half)
Middle Tennessee +4
Middle Tennessee/Army Under 27.5 (1st half)
SMU/Texas State Over 69
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Michael Crosson (VegasInsider)
NBA
Best Bet - Play of the Day - Clippers/Nuggets Over 222
Regular Play - LA Clippers -9
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Anthony Stabile (VegasInsider)
Kentucky Derby
#17 Tiz the Law - W/P/S
Exacta/Trifecta/Superfecta Box - 17-2-3-16
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Michael Crosson (VegasInsider)
Kentucky Derby
#18 Authentic - W/P/S
Exacta/Trifecta/Superfecta Box - 18-6-10-17
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Tony Mejia (VegasInsider - NBA) - Raptors/Celtics Under 214
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Kevin Rogers (VegasInsider - NBA) - Denver Nuggets +9.5
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WUnderdog
NCAAFB
Middle Tennesee State/Army 55.5 Under
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The Wizard
Churchill Downs
Race 14 :
#16 to WIN
#16/17 Exacta Box
#16,17/ over 2,13,18 Exacta ( Reverse for 1/4 as much played )
#16,17/ over 2,6,13,15,16,17,18/ over ALL Trifecta
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Football Jesus NCAA football Underdog play Middle Tenn State +points
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Jeffrey James
#242 Army Black Knights -3 (1:30 edt) CBSSN
A very important fact here is that this game was not on the original schedules of these teams - it was a late COVID added game with all other schedules falling apart. That means the Blue Raiders were not anticipating playing Army and Army is one of the toughest teams to prepare for since not many teams run the triple option. Now through in MTSU only has 5 returning starters on defense and you have a young, inexperienced defense playing an offense they are completely unfamiliar with. Now add in an Army team coming into this season off of their worst season in years so they will be full of motivation here. Lay this small number with Army here.
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Ralph Michaels
3% 1H Army -3.0 (-110)
FIRST HALF #242 3% Army -2.5/-3 Middle Tenn 1:30 PM
When teams have an option opponent on their schedule they start working on them in the spring and do some work on them almost weekly in August. Well. Middle Tenn didn’t even have this game scheduled until Aug 10th. How often do you watch a team that has practiced to face the option look foolish in the opening drive against the schemes? Middle allowed 5.4 ypc on the road LY and this season and lost 3 of top 4 tacklers and 8 of top 12.
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Senior Member
- Rep Power
- 16
Rob V: Saturday Comp Play
Huge Saturday card up with College Football, MLB, NBA, NHL. Soccer and the Kentucky Derby. MLB Comp Play below.
The MLB Comp play for Saturday is on the Chicago Whitesox on the run line at 7:05 eastern. Chicago fits a late season road favorite system that is 55-15. The Sox are quietly on a 14-1 run as a road favorite. They have Giolito going and they have won 7 of his last 8 road starts. KC has Bubic going and KC has lost all 6 of his starts. The Royals are 1-7 of late vs Chicago. Look for the Sox to take another tonight. Saturday card has our Opening Week Play of the Year in College Football 2-0 already this year. An NHL Top game 7 Historical System, the NBA Total of the Week, the Kentucky Derby and a 5* Soccer Side and MLB Platinum Supreme. See us on facebook to jump on. For the MLB Free Play. Go with Chicago on the run line. RV- GC Sports
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BOB BALFE
MLB
9:15 PM EST
Rotation #929/930
Diamondbacks/Giants Over 9 runs
Bumgarner/Cahill
Madison Bumgarner returns home to San Fran for the first time as a visiting pitcher. This has not been his year and clearly his arm isn’t right at this point as hitters have crushed him just about every inning. Trevor Cahill left his last game with a hip issue so I am not sure how healthy he is either. Both teams should chase these starters very quickly. Look for a lot of runs. Take the Over.
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