Saturday 9/12/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Western Kentucky vs Louisville

Western Kentucky is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Western Kentucky is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisville's last 5 games
Louisville is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

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Houston Baptist vs Texas Tech

Houston Baptist is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Houston Baptist is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas Tech's last 9 games
Texas Tech is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home

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Coastal Carolina vs Kansas

Coastal Carolina is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Coastal Carolina's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas's last 9 games at home

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SYRACUSE (0 - 0) at N CAROLINA (0 - 0) - 9/12/2020, 12:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
N CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
SYRACUSE is 1-0 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (0 - 0) at APPALACHIAN ST (0 - 0) - 9/12/2020, 12:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
APPALACHIAN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
APPALACHIAN ST is 2-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GEORGIA TECH (0 - 0) at FLORIDA ST (0 - 0) - 9/12/2020, 3:30 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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COASTAL CAROLINA (0 - 0) at KANSAS (0 - 0) - 9/12/2020, 10:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 137-173 ATS (-53.3 Units) in all games since 1992.
KANSAS is 137-173 ATS (-53.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 127-164 ATS (-53.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
COASTAL CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
COASTAL CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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W KENTUCKY (0 - 0) at LOUISVILLE (0 - 0) - 9/12/2020, 8:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
W KENTUCKY is 47-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
LOUISVILLE is 31-50 ATS (-24.0 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISVILLE is 1-1 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
LOUISVILLE is 2-0 straight up against W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEMSON (0 - 0) at WAKE FOREST (0 - 0) - 9/12/2020, 7:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
CLEMSON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CLEMSON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CLEMSON is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEMSON is 2-0 against the spread versus WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
CLEMSON is 2-0 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DUKE (0 - 0) at NOTRE DAME (0 - 0) - 9/12/2020, 2:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NOTRE DAME is 1-0 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 1-0 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA MONROE (0 - 0) at ARMY (1 - 0) - 9/12/2020, 1:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
LA MONROE is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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LA MONROE (0 - 0) at ARMY (1 - 0) - 9/12/2020, 1:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
LA MONROE is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
LA LAFAYETTE (0 - 0) at IOWA ST (0 - 0) - 9/12/2020, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UTEP (1 - 0) at TEXAS (0 - 0) - 9/12/2020, 8:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
UTEP is 137-173 ATS (-53.3 Units) in all games since 1992.
UTEP is 137-173 ATS (-53.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
UTEP is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in road games against Big 12 conference opponents since 1992.
UTEP is 96-127 ATS (-43.7 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
UTEP is 35-55 ATS (-25.5 Units) in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UTSA (0 - 0) at TEXAS ST (0 - 1) - 9/12/2020, 3:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
UTSA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS ST is 1-0 against the spread versus UTSA over the last 3 seasons
UTSA is 1-0 straight up against TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARKANSAS ST (0 - 1) at KANSAS ST (0 - 0) - 9/12/2020, 12:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 97-69 ATS (+21.1 Units) in home games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 97-69 ATS (+21.1 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 166-124 ATS (+29.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 97-69 ATS (+21.1 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TULANE (0 - 0) at S ALABAMA (1 - 0) - 9/12/2020, 7:30 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

(Sat) NCAAF Syracuse +24
(Sat) NCAAF Duke +20
(Sat) NCAAF Clemson-33.5
(Sat) NCAAF Western Kentucky+12
(Sat) NBA Lakers -6.5

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College Football Tech Trends - Week 2
Bruce Marshall

SYRACUSE at NORTH CAROLINA (ACC, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Cuse only covered 2 of 8 in ACC last season as it also dropped 8 of last 11 overall vs. spread.
After 9-3 'dog mark in 2017-18, Orange just 2-6 as short in 2019.
UNC on positive 8-5-1 spread run since late 2018.

Tech Edge: Slight to North Carolina, based on team trends.


CHARLOTTE at APPALACHIAN STATE (ESPN2, 12:00 p.m. ET)

App has been consistent spread winner no matter the coaching regime, as Mounties 18-8-1 vs. spread since 2018.
Though App only 5-6 last 11 laying double digits, and Charlotte covered as 22 ½ -point dog last year.
Mounties have covered 4 of last 5 openers.

Tech Edge: Slight to App State, based on team trends.


GEORGIA TECH at FLORIDA STATE (ABC, 3:30 p.m. ET)

Norvell debut at FSU.
Bumpy ride for GT in 2019 during Collins debut, Jackets only 3-8-1 vs. line, and now just 3-11-1 vs. number dating to late 2018.
Collins, however, a bit better on road at 2-2-1 vs. spread last season.
FSU a consistent money burner in recent years, 13-23-2 vs. line since 2017, and just 1-7 last 8 vs. points against non-ACC foes.
Note Norvell teams at Memphis just 2-5 their last seven as home chalk.

Tech Edge: Slight to Georgia Tech, based on extended FSU negatives.


COASTAL CAROLINA at KANSAS (FS1, 10:00 p.m. ET)

Coastal scored a 12-7 stunner at Lawrence last September, one of five covers in six tries as a visitor in 2019 season for the Chants.
Rare chalk role for Jayhawks, 0-2 laying points in the Les Miles debut season a year ago, and just 4-11 laying points since 2012 under a number of different coaches.

Tech Edge: Coastal, based on team trends.


WESTERN KENTUCKY at LOUISVILLE (ACC, 8:00 p.m. ET)

Louisville handily covered a 10 ½- point spread at Nashville vs. WKU a year ago, part of a 4-1 non-ACC spread mark for Cards in debut season of HC Satterfield, whose teams are 22-8-1 vs. the spread since late 2017 when still at App State.
Satterfield teams also 14-4-1 as chalk since late in 2017 dating to App State days (Cards 4-1 laying points in 2019).
The Tops rallied after the ‘Ville loss last season, sporting a 7-2-1 spread mark the rest of the way for new HC Helton, and WKU was 6-2 as a dog in 2019 despite the loss to the ‘Ville.

Tech Edge: Slight to Louisville, based on team trends.


CLEMSON at WAKE FOREST (ABC, 7:30 p.m. ET)

Dabo has won big vs. Wake the past two seasons by a combined 115-6 score after failing to cover previous four vs. Deacs.
Clemson is 16-4-1 as chalk away from Death Valley since 2017 and is 19-5-1 vs. spread overall since midway in 2018 season.
Wake 12-4 as double-digit dog for Clawson since 2016, though as noted was routed by Tigers past two seasons.

Tech Edge: Clemson, based on recent trends.


DUKE at NOTRE DAME (NBC, 2:30 p.m. ET)

Cutcliffe was only 2-4-1 as dog with Duke in 2019, including 38-7 home loss to ND, but was 25-12-1 in role the preceding six seasons (2013 thru 2018).
Blue Devils had also covered seven straight openers for Cutcliffe prior to 2019 loss vs. Bama.
Irish covered 5 of 7 as home chalk last season after recording just a 7-10 spread mark in role previous three terms.
Duke also “over” 10-4 last 14 dating to late 2018.

Tech Edge: Duke and “over,” based on extended team and “totals” trends.


UL MONROE at ARMY (CBSSN, 1:30 p.m. ET)

Into Sept. 5 opener vs. MTSU, Army only 3-7 last 10 vs. line at West Point, and just 9-15 as Michie Stadium chalk since 2015.
ULM just 4-10 last 14 on board since late 2018. Warhawks also 4-10 “under” since late 2018.

Tech Edge: Slight to ULM and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.


LOUISIANA at IOWA STATE (ESPN, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Ragin’ Cajuns on 7-2-1 surge as an underdog since early 2018, and enter 2020 with 16-7-2 vs. spread mark last 25 on board.
Note ISU dropped its last four as Ames chalk last season and has failed to cover in three of last four openers.
Cyclones just 3-8 as home chalk since 2018.

Tech Edge: Louisiana, based on team trends.


UTEP at TEXAS (Longhorn, 8:00 p.m. ET)

While Tom Herman teams have been formidable as an underdog, they have underachieved as home chalk, just 5-10 in role with Texas since 2017, and only 8-18-1 in role since 2015 with Houston.
But Herman Longhorns teams are 8-3 vs. line last 11 against non-Big 12 foes.
UTEP enters 2020 on 10-26 spread skid since 2017, and just 3-12 vs. points overall since late in 2018, and 2-10 last 12 vs. spread outside of C-USA.

Tech Edge: Slight to Texas, based on UTEP negatives.


LOUISIANA TECH at BAYLOR (ESPN, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Skip Holtz teams at Tech are 19-8-1 as an underdog since he arrived at Ruston in 2014.
Bulldogs also 13-7-1 vs. line their last 21 away from Joe Aillet Stadium.
Baylor surprisingly just 2-8 as Waco chalk since 2017 and has only covered 1 of last 6 hosting non-Big 12 foes.

Tech Edge: La Tech, based on team trends.


UTSA at TEXAS STATE (ESPN2, 3:30 p.m. ET)

Traylor debut at UTSA. TSU just 3-8-1 vs. spread in 2019 for Spavital debut and no covers in four tries as host vs. FBS opposition.
Bobcats also on 11-4 “under” stretch dating to late 2018.
UTSA did cover its last four on the road a year ago and 9-5 vs. spread last 14 on board.

Tech Edge: Slight to UTSA and “under” based on team and “totals” trends.


ARKANSAS STATE at KANSAS STATE (FS1, 3:30 p.m. ET)

KSU on 11-4 spread uptick since late 2018 (9-4 vs. line in 2019 Klieman debut), and was “under” 9-3-1 last season.
Red Wolves only 3-10 vs. line last 13 outside of Sun Belt.

Tech Edge: Slight to K-State, based on team trends.


TULANE at SOUTH ALABAMA (ESPN2, 7:30 p.m. ET)

USA now on 5-1 spread ascent (all as dog) since late 2019 after opening upset win at USM, and 5-2 vs. number last 7 at Mobile.
Tulane, however, on 10-4 spread surge since late 2018, and Wave has covered all four openers since Fritz arrived in 2016.

Tech Edge: Slight to Tulane, based on team trends.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Week 2

Saturday’s games

Syracuse @ North Carolina
— Syracuse has 7 starters back on offense, 4 back on defense.
— Orangemen have 74 returnng starts on the offensive line.
— Syracuse has a junior QB with 11 career starts.
— Orangemen were 1-4 ATS as a road dog LY; they were 9-3 from ’16-’18.

— North Carolina has 10 starters back on offense, 7 back on defense.
— Tar Heels have 62 returrnng starts on the offensive line.
— UNC has a soph QB with 13 career starts.
— Carolina covered once in its last five tries as a home favorite; underdogs are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games.

Syracuse (+10) upset UNC 40-37 in OT in their last meeting, two years ago in Carrier Dome.

Charlotte @ Appalachian State
— UNCC has 7 starters back on offense, 6 back on defense.
— 49ers have 94 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Charlotte has a junior QB with 18 career starts.
— Last three years, 49ers are 6-10 ATS as a road underdog.

—App State has 8 starters back on offense, 5 back on defense.
— AS has 115 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Mountaineers have senior QB with 26 career starts, but they’re also on their 3rd head coach in three years.
— ASU is 11-7-1 ATS in its last 19 games as a home favorite.

App State won last two series games, 41-17/45-9.

Georgia Tech @ Florida State
— Tech has 9 starters back on offense, 10 back on defense.
— Yellow Jackets have 123 starts returning on the offensive line.
— GT either has a new QB or a soph QB with 8 starts.
— Since 2014, Tech is 10-6-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— GT’s coach was DC at Florida in 2015-16; those Gators lost 27-2/31-13 to FSU

— Seminoles have 7 starters back on offense, 10 back on defense.
— FSU has 57 starts returning on the offensive line.
— Florida State has a junior QB (22 stats); they’re on their 4th OC in four years.
— Last three years, Seminoles are 18-20 SU; since ’15, they’re 9-15 ATS as a home favorite.
— FSU is on its 3rd HC in four years.

Last time these teams met, in 2015, Tech (+5) upset FSU 22-16 in Atlanta.

Coastal Carolina @ Kansas
Coastal Carolina (+9) upset Kansas 12-7 LY in Lawrence; CCU outgained the Jayhawks 296-280, were +2 in turnovers.

— Coastal has 8 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Chanticleers have 109 starts returning on the offensive line.
— CCU has three QB’s who have all started 8+ games.
— Coastal is 9-4-1 ATS in last 14 games as a road dog; they covered six of last eight games out of conference, but since 2017, they’re 13-23 SU.

— Kansas has 6 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Jayhawks have 54 starts returning on the offensive line.
— Kansas has a new QB this season.
— Jayhawks are 4-11 ATS in last 15 games as a home favorite; they’re 8-16 ATS in last 24 non-league games.

Clemson @ Wake Forest
— Clemson has 5 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Tigers have only 17 starts returning on the offensive line- they lost 4 starters.
— Clemson has a junior QB with 26 career starts.
— Last three years, Tigers are 10-6-1 ATS as a road favorite.

— Wake Forest was supposed to have a really good QB, but he transferred.
— Wake has 3 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Deacons have 59 starts returning on the offensive line.
— Wake has a soph QB with nine starts.
— Since ’15, Deacons are 19-8-1 ATS as a home underdog; they’re 30-22 SU the last four years.

Last two years, Clemson hammered Wake Forest 52-3/63-3; Deacons covered the three meetings previous to that.

Duke @ Notre Dame
— Duke has 7 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Blue Devils have 102 starts returning on the offensive line.
— Duke has a new QB; he was Clemson’s backups for two years.
— Since 2013, Blue Devils are 15-9 ATS as a road underdog; they’re 25-8 ATS in their last 33 non-league games.

— Notre Dame has 7 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Irish has 114 starts returning on the offensive line.
— Notre Dame has a senior QB with 23 career starts.
— Last three years, Irish is 12-8 ATS as a home favorite.

Notre Dame (-7) won the last meeting 38-7 in Durham, running ball for 285 yards; Blue Devils upset the Irish 38-35 in South Bend in 2016.

UL-Monroe @ Army
— ULM has 5 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Warhawks have 31 starts returning on the offensive line; they lost 4 starters.
— UL-Monroe has a new QB this year.
— Last three years, ULM is 7-9 as a road underdog; since ’14, they’re 25-48 SU.

— Army has 5 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Cadets have 55 starts returning on the offensive line.
— Army has a junior QB with 7 career starts; they 7-10 ATS in last 17 games as a home favorite.
— Army crushed Middle Tennessee 42-0 LW, running ball for 340 yards; they only threw 4 passes.

These teams haven’t met in the last five seasons.

UL-Lafayette @ Iowa State
— Louisiana has 7 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Ragin’ Cajuns have 101 starts returning on the offensive line.
— ULL has a senior QB with 17 starts; he threw 26 TD’s LY, with only four INT’s.
— Louisiana is 5-2-1 ATS in last eight games as a road underdog; they’re 7-3 ATS in last 10 non-conference games, and beat Miami OH in their bowl LY.

— Iowa State has 5 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— ISU has 33 starts returning on the offensive line.
— Cyclones have a junior QB with 21 career starts.
— ISU is 11-9-1 ATS in its last 21 non-league games; they’re 3-8 ATS in last 11 games as a home favorite.

These teams haven’t met in the last five seasons.

Arkansas State @ Kansas State
— ASU has 9 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Red Wolves have 128 starts returning on the offensive line.
— ASU lost its first game 37-24 at Memphis; they were outgained 502-424; they threw for 299 yards but were -2 (3-1) in turnovers.
— Red Wolves used two QB’s LW; each guy threw 20+ passes.

— K-State has 3 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Wildcats have only 2 starts returning on the offensive line. Two.
— K-State has a senior QB with 14 starts.
— Wildcats are 6-13 ATS in last 19 games as a home favorite.

These teams haven’t met in the last five seasons.

Tulane @ South Alabama
— Tulane has 5 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Green Wave has 70 starts returning on the offensive line.
— Tulane has a senior QB who has started 9 games.
— Under Fritz, Tulane is 4-3 ATS as a road favorite.

— South Alabama has 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Jaguars have 66 starts returning on the offensive line.
— USA has a soph QB with 5 career starts- he is Ozzie Newsome’s grandson.
— Jaguars (+13) upset Southern Miss 32-21 in their opener, gaining 526 TY.

These teams haven’t met in the last five seasons.

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