Saturday 7/17/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Diamond Trends for Saturday July 17
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Houston at Chicago White Sox (7:15 p.m. ET)

-- The White Sox are 14-0 SU since Aug 16, 2020 as a home favorite after they scored in fewer innings than their opponent last game.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Baltimore at Kansas City (7:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Orioles are 0-12 SU since May 07, 2021 off a game as a dog in which they left fewer than 10 men on base individually.

OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: San Diego at Washington (7:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Nationals are 0-10 OU (-3.35 ppg) since Jun 01, 2014 as a home dog after they had 12+ hits last game.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Dodgers at Colorado (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Dodgers are 11-0-2 OU (3.81 ppg) since Jun 27, 2019 when Walker Buehler starts on the road when they won as an home favorite in his last start.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero

Camarero - Race 2	Pick 6 / Exacta / Daily Double 2-3
Claiming $4,000 • 1 1/8 Miles • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 75 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 3:10P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JULY 17, 2020 AND WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $4,000 OR LESS. WEIGHT, 121 LBS. ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. RETURN THE FAVOR is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * RETURN THE FAVOR: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. KINDHEARTED KOTA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Ho rse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
3	RETURN THE FAVOR	2/1	8/5
5	KINDHEARTED KOTA	3/1	6/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	RETURN THE FAVOR	3	2/1	Alternator/Front-runner	67	72	80.6	73.0	69.5
5	KINDHEARTED KOTA	5	3/1	Stalker	73	68	57.2	67.8	65.3
4	APPEALING LALIBELA	4	10/1	Stalker	69	49	50.0	52.2	46.2
2	ONE SWEET RIDE	2	5/1	Alternator/Non-contender	60	50	36.4	39.2	30.7
1	CONJETURA	1	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	24	0	7.6	7.6	0.0

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fair Meadows

Fair Meadows - Race 6	$2 Exacta / (.50) Trifecta / (.10) Superfecta / $2 Daily Double (.50) Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8)
Allowance • 870 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 86 • Purse: $14,500 • Post: 8:05P
QUARTER HORSE 870Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * BUBBA BAD: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post posit ion next to it gets out of the gate fast. Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. HIGHER FLYIN EAGLE: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Hor se ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
4	BUBBA BAD	3/5	5/2
2	HIGHER FLYIN EAGLE	2/1	9/2

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	PETES FAVORITE	1	20/1	Slow	74	60	6.9	0.0	0.0
2	HIGHER FLYIN EAGLE	2	2/1	Fast	83	73	2.7	0.0	0.0
3	DOCS RIVER SPIRIT	3	5/1	Average	82	74	3.9	0.0	0.0
4	BUBBA BAD	4	3/5	Fast	81	88	1.6	0.0	0.0
5	STONE COLD MARTINI	5	20/1	Average	61	59	5.1	0.0	0.0
6	A DASH OF JESS	6	20/1	Average	58	45	5.1	0.0	0.0

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Prairie Meadows - Race #6 - Post: 8:08pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,000 Class Rating: 86

Rating:

#3 CORRANA EN LIMEN (ML=6/1)
#6 WINNING MOMENT (ML=12/1)
#5 ALAN'S ARGUMENT (ML=5/1)


CORRANA EN LIMEN - This gelding's last race was back on Sep 20th but I do believe he can run a good one coming off a layoff. The Arceo barn does well with horses off the claim. Just claimed this steed, expect an improvement WINNING MOMENT - Jockey and trainer do well when they unite. Laviolette and Guillory have been reliable together. I like the way this gelding's finish positions have gotten better with each start recently. A sign of a racer coming into top form. Jock hops right back atop after getting to know the horse by riding in the last race. That's always a good thing. PP data show this thoroughbred with three improving speed ratings. Laviolette should be on a horse ready to win in this race. ALAN'S ARGUMENT - This gelding is in fine form, having run a nice race on Jun 26th, finishing first. I like the fact that this gelding's last speed rating, 80, is tops in this group.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 BLANK IT (ML=3/1), #2 I'M RIVER (ML=7/2), #4 RECOUNT (ML=9/2),

BLANK IT - Will be tough for this thoroughbred to beat this group off of that last speed fig. Not likely to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's Equibase class figure, so put him on the questionable contenders list. This chalk horse may be out of shape without any recent morning activity. I'M RIVER - Never really did much at all last race out on Jun 26th. Hard to invest in in today's race. Won't be easy for this entrant to beat this bunch off of that last speed fig. Improbable to improve enough to run a figure close to today's Equibase class figure, so put him on the likely underpriced contenders list. RECOUNT - This entrant ran a quite unimpressive speed fig last time around the track. He shouldn't run better and will likely get beat in today's event running that fig.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Play #3 CORRANA EN LIMEN to win if you can get odds of 2/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	3 with [5,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [3,5,6] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at FanDuel Horse Racing

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 7 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 62

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 WILDWOOD'S GAMBLE 7/5
# 3 IMPERIAL TEMPLE 5/1
# 4 BILLY NOT WILLIAM 9/2

WILDWOOD'S GAMBLE is my choice. He has been racing soundly lately while recording strong speed figs. Players should probably note that this animal runs with second time Lasix today. Lately Becker has provided players with a strong winning percentage with horses moving in dirt sprint races. IMPERIAL TEMPLE - He has been running soundly and the Equibase Speed Figs are among the best in this group of horses. BILLY NOT WILLIAM - This gelding looks very good in this race since Watkins has a strong win percentage with horses going this distance. Looks strong versus this field and will almost certainly be one of the early speedsters.

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 3 - Claiming - 4.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $13000 Class Rating: 84

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE MAY 17 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 THANKS 8/1
# 1 TIGER MOM 3/1
# 6 COMMISSIONESS 2/1

I think about THANKS in this contest and the potential return justifies the dangerous nature of the long odds. The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Lucas running at this distance are the best in this group. Could best this field based on the speed rating - 74 - of her last race. TIGER MOM - Recently Payeras has been scorching which may give the edge to this mare. Looks solid against this field and will most likely be one of the leaders. COMMISSIONESS - Could best this field based on the speed figure - 72 - of her last outing. Should keep the impressive string of finishes intact today.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Woodbine - Race #6 - Post: 3:44pm - Optional Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $60,300 Class Rating: 90

Rating:

#9 RED FROG (ML=6/1)
#10 ALL CANADIAN (ML=5/2)


RED FROG - ALL CANADIAN - When Boulanger and Cox combine forces on horses the return on investment has been fabulous at +710. A pony coming back this rapidly after a sharp race is a good sign. This gelding is certainly on the improve with speed ratings of 68, 76, 81 last 3 out. Earned a nice turf number on June 27th at Woodbine. A repeat right here, and this one has a great shot to win.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 RED FICTION (ML=7/2), #11 LAST AMERICAN EXIT (ML=4/1), #3 SOUPER HOT (ML=9/2),

RED FICTION - If this race shapes up right, all the front runners will force a ferocious pace battle early. Too bad this horse is one of those front runners. LAST AMERICAN EXIT - No favorable outcomes for this runner in a sprint contest over the last sixty days tells me that this gelding is in a tough circumstance SOUPER HOT - Most of the time I need a sprinter to have some success lately in short distance affairs in order to play him. Hard to put your money on the win end of any racer that finishes second and third as frequently as this horse does.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Putting our cash on #9 RED FROG to win. Have to have odds of at least 3/1 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [9,10]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Monmouth Park

07/17/21, MTH, Race 12, 5.47 ET
07/17/21,MTH,12,1 1/8M [Dirt] 1:46:04 STAKES. TVG.com Haskell Stakes. Grade 1. Purse $1,000,000. FOR THREE-YEAR-OLDS. By subscription of $500 each, which should accompany the nomination, $6,000 to pass the entry box and $6,000 to start. The owner of the winner to receive $600,000, $200,000 to second, $100,000 to third, $50,000 to fourth, $30,000 to fifth and $12,500 to sixth through last. Weight: 122 lbs. Non-winners of a Grade I stakes at a mile or over in 2021, 3 lbs. The TVG.com Haskell Stakes has been selected as one of the Breeders' Cup Win and You're In Challenge Races. The nominated winner ofthe TVG.com Haskell Stakes will be entitled to automatic entry into the 2021 running of the Breeders' Cup Classic Championship race and will have pre-entry and entries fees waived for the Championship race and also receive a travel award if shipping froma base located outside the State of California. Furosemide (Lasix) is not permitted within 24 hours of post time for this race. The winning owner to receive a trophy. Closed Friday, June 25, 2021 with 16 nominations.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

Rating	P#	Horse Name	M/L	Jockey	Trainer	Best	Occ	Win%	ROI
100.0000	4	Hot Rod Charlie(b-)	6/5	Prat F	O'Neill Doug F.	JSE	276	39.49	1.22/$1
099.6257	3	Mandaloun	2/1	Geroux F	Cox Brad H.	TC	153	41.18	1.38/$1
098.4529	1	Following Sea	3/1	Rosario J	Pletcher Todd A.	L	78	39.74	1.51/$1
097.4248	6	Midnight Bourbon	9/2	Lopez P	Asmussen Steven M.		276	39.49	1.22/$1
096.3356	2	Antigravity	30/1	Cohen D	Hollendorfer Jerry		102	37.25	1.27/$1
091.9686	7	Basso	30/1	Castillo I	Sacco Gregory D.		78	39.74	1.51/$1
090.0149	5	Pickin' Time	20/1	Juarez N	Breen Kelly J.		102	37.25	1.27/$1

Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 35.85, ROI 0.99/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.3743
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Categories] Last Race Purse Not Lower Than Today

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2.	The Sports Consensus	MLB	Houston -105	1-0 (+125)	3-0 (+300)
3.	Insider Sports Report	MLB	Padres -130	0-1 (-110)	4-1 (+295)
4.	Top Rank Sports Picks	MLB	Toronto over 9.5	0-1 (-110)	5-2 (+275)
5.	Doc's Picks	NBA	Phoenix -4	1-0 (+100)	4-3 (+75)
6.	Elite Sports Picks	NBA	Phoenix over 219	1-0 (+100)	4-3 (+20)
7.	Profit On Sports	MLB	Reds -125	0-1 (-125)	3-3 (-50)
8.	Primetime Sports Picks	MLB	Padres -130	0-1 (-110)	2-4 (-225)
9.	The Spot Player	MLB	Houston -105	1-0 (+100)	1-4 (-400)
10.	National Sports Service	MLB	Miami +100	0-0 (+0)	1-5 (-450)

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Free Winners for Saturday, July 17th 2021 from THE LEGEND!
FREE HORSE PICKS
GULFSTREAM PARK
RACE #7
TIME: 3:40 PM EST
PICK: BET #8 Doc Amster 5/1 odds to win @ Bovada

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Free Winners for Saturday, July 17th 2021 from THE LEGEND!
FREE MLB PICKS
Brewers @ Reds
TIME: 7:07 PM EST
PICK: Bet OVER 7.5 @ Bovada

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Free Winners for Saturday, July 17th 2021 from BIG CAT!
FREE MLB PICKS
Astros @ White Sox
TIME: 7:15 PM EST
PICK: BET Astros +105 @ Bovada

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Saturday, July 17th, 2021 from VEGAS BLACK CARD CLUB!FREE MLB PICKS
Indians @ Athletics
TIME: 4:07 PM EST
PICKS: BET OVER 8.5 @ BOVADA

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Rk	Sports Services	Free Sports Picks	Place A Bet
1.	NSA(The Legend)	NBA – Suns -4	Line @ Bovada
2.	Gameday Network	NBA – Suns over 219.5	Line @ Bovada
3.	Winning Big Sports	MLB – Mets under 9	Line @ MyBookie
4.	PointSpreadReport.com(SAM CASEY)	MLB – Diamondbacks +120	Line @ MyBookie
5.	VegasSI.com	MLB – Blue Jays -1.5	Line @ Bovada
6.	Sports Action 365	MLB – Astros +100	Line @ GT Bets
7.	Vegas Line Crushers	MLB – Tigers GM1 +115	Line @ GT Bets
8.	NSA(Gerry “Big Cat” Andino)	MLB – Rays +100	Line @ Bovada
9.	Lou Panelli	MLB – Yankees over 8	Line @ Bovada
10.	VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club	MLB – Blue Jays -1.5	Line @ GT Bets
11.	William E. Stockton	NBA – Suns -4	Line @ MyBookie
12.	Vincent Pioli	NBA – Suns over 219.5	Line @ Bovada
13.	Steve “Scoop” Kendall	MLB – Phillies -115	Line @ Bovada
14.	SCORE	MLB – Nationals +120	Line @ GT Bets
15.	Tony Campone	MLB – Dodgers -1.5	Line @ Bovada
16.	Chicago Sports Group	MLB – Blue Jays -1.5	Line @ Bovada
17.	Hollywood Sportsline	MLB – Phillies under 9.5	Line @ Bovada
18.	VIP Action	MLB – Yankees over 8	Line @ GT Bets
19.	South Beach Sports	NBA – Suns -4	Line @ Bovada
20.	Las Vegas Sports Commission	NBA – Suns over 219.5	Line @ Bovada
21.	NY Players Club	MLB – Cardinals +110	Line @ GT Bets
22.	Fred Callahan	MLB – Nationals +120	Line @ Bovada
23.	Las Vegas Private CEO Club	MLB – Phillies -115	Line @ MyBookie
24.	Michigan Sports	MLB – Reds +125	Line @ GT Bets
25.	National Consensus Report	MLB – Athletics -180	Line @ Bovada

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GAMEDAY NETWORK

FREE MLB WINNER
SATURDAY 7/17/21
Mariners @ Angels
Time: 9:07 PM EST
Free Pick: UNDER 8.5

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Winning Big Sports

COMP PLAY SATURDAY 7/17/21: MLB DODGERS @ ROCKIES OVER 11.5

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PointSpreadReport(SAM CASEY)

SATURDAY 7/17/21 COMP PLAY: RANGERS @ BLUE JAYS OVER 9.5.

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VEGAS SPORTS INSIDERS

SATURDAY 7/17/2021
FREE MLB PICKS
Marlins @ Phillies
TIME: 6:05 PM EST
PICK: OVER 9

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Sports Action 365
FREE WINNER for SATURDAY 7/17/21:
MLB Mets @ Pirates OVER 9 GAME TIME 7:05 PM EST

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Trace Adams

After a pair of Overs in the opening set of games played in Arizona, the NBA Finals shifted to Wisconsin and with it, we saw a pair of games that both landed Under the total at Fiserv Forum in Games 3 and 4.

By now these teams are quite familiar with what the other brings to the floor on a nightly basis and for that reason, I am going to look for there to be just enough defense to keep this swing game from landing Over the total on Saturday night.

5 of the Bucks last 9 playoff games have held Under the total, while 5 of the Suns last 9 postseason games have also landed Under the total.

It will be quite close to the total I am sure, but in the end, just enough defense will be played to make it 3 in a row Under the total between these teams in the NBA Finals.

Bucks-Suns Under for Game 5.

2* MILWAUKEE-PHOENIX UNDER