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Dave Essler MLB Triple Dime Max Total
Rockies/Dodgers OVER
Matt Severance
ST. LOUIS @ CINCINNATI | 07/25 | 1:10 PM EDT
CINCINNATI -174
ANALYSIS: Ever have one of those days where you don't love any game? Don't really on Sunday. However, looking at pitchers, etc,, this seems solid and I can't not do anything. So, lets make the Reds break my heart/wallet again. Sonny Gray hasn't been great, but Johan Oviedo has been worse (0-3, 5.92 ERA) on the road.
+3365 123-69-5 IN LAST 197 MLB PICKS
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1:29 AM
pickstennis
WTA – SINGLES: Palermo (Italy)
Collins – Russe
Under 21.5
XS Sports Picks Sunday
5* Kansas City Over 10 -110
4* Arizona +158
3* Atlanta +157
Justin Perri
N.Y. YANKEES @ BOSTON | 07/25 | 1:10 PM EDT
OVER 10.5
ANALYSIS: A third Over play as I try to avoid sides on Sundays when picking early, since rosters haven’t been finalized just yet. However, weather and pitchers usually give good-enough edges for totals. So I’ll take advantage of the 13-mph winds blowing out at Fenway Park. This should help boost run scoring 10-to-15 percent above the average. Boston LHP Martin Perez is also much worse at Fenway (5.80 ERA, 1.80 WHIP in 11 starts_ than he is on the road (2.47, 1.15 in eight). New York RHP Domingo German has not been able to pitch deep in recent outings, and nobody is going to complain about extra at-bats against the Yankees' bullpen. I’ll be expecting a high-scoring affair.
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9:48 AM
ATLANTA @ PHILADELPHIA | 07/25 | 1:05 PM EDT
OVER 9.5
ANALYSIS: Going right back to this play after the Braves scored 15 on Saturday. I think the Phillies are more likely to return the favor against Atlanta RHP Touki Toussaint, who got extremely lucky in his first start of the year. Toussaint’s expected weighted On-Base Average on contact (xwOBAcon) was in the bottom four percent of pitchers for last season, and I think we see that version of him on the road. Phillies RHP Aaron Nola has struggled against the Braves this season, allowing nine runs and four homers over nine innings in his last two meetings with them. Throw in the exposure to these lackluster bullpens and I think we get to 10 runs.
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9:44 AM
WASHINGTON @ BALTIMORE | 07/25 | 1:05 PM EDT
OVER 10
ANALYSIS: There are a few factors pushing me toward the Over. I'm happy to fade Baltimore LHP John Means in his second start back from the IL. He struggled against the Rays last time out, allowing five runs in five innings while recording only two strikeouts. I also don't have much faith in Washington RHP Paulo Espino, who has an 89-mph fastball and bottom-tier strikeout numbers, as well as a high expected slugging percentage of .453. We also have weather that supports a good hitting environment and an umpire that is 12-7 on the Over this season. A tight strike zone could help us get a few crucial walks and the winds blowing out should help bring them home. Grab the Over.
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9:37 AM
CANTPICKAWINNER. do you have that information list again today? With the umpires and team stats.
Or do you know where i can get it?
it gets posted daily in the free picks threadOriginally Posted by Longslab242
MLB
NL games
Arizona (31-69) @ Cubs (48-51)
— CSmith is 1-4, 7.23 in his last five starts.
— Arizona is 2-8 in his starts.
— under 7-3
— allowed run in first inning: 3-10
— record in first 5 innings: 2-7-1
— He is 0-0, 2.25 in two starts vs Chicago.
— Arizona won five of last six games.
— Arizona is 3-31 in its last 34 road games.
— over 8-5 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 15-100
— record in first 5 innings: 38-55-7
— Williams is 1-1, 6.14 in his last seven starts.
— Cubs are 7-4 in his starts.
— under 7-4
— allowed run in first inning: 3-11
— record in first 5 innings: 6-4-1
— He is 1-3, 3.33 in five starts vs Arizona.
— Cubs are 6-18 in last 24 games.
— Chicago is 5-8 in its last 13 home games.
— Over is 6-2 in last eight home games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-99
— record in first 5 innings: 42-44-13
Atlanta (48-49) @ Philadelphia (48-49)
— Toussaint allowed a run in 6.2 IP in his first ‘21 start.
— Braves are 1-0 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-0-1
— He gave up 3 runs in 4.2 IP, in three relief stints vs Philly.
— Braves split their last ten games
— Atlanta is 5-2 in its last seven road games.
— over 8-3 last 11 games.
— scored run in first inning: 36-97
— record in first 5 innings: 50-34-13
— Nola is 1-2, 8.44 in his last three starts.
— Phillies are 4-8 in his last 12 starts.
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 7-19
— record in first 5 innings: 10-8-1
— He is 0-1, 6.32 in three starts vs Atlanta this year.
— Phillies are 2-5 in their last six games.
— Phillies are 27-19 at home, 20-30 on road.
— over 14-2 last 16 games.
— scored run in first inning: 33-97
— record in first 5 innings: 38-37-22
San Diego (58-43) @ Miami (42-56)
— Darvish is 0-2, 5.85 in his last four starts.
— Padres are 14-5 in his starts.
— over 9-3 last 12 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 7-4-8
— He is 2-1, 6.08 in five starts vs Miami.
— Padres are 5-3 in their last eight games.
— San Diego is 9-15 in its last 24 road games.
— under 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 31-101
— record in first 5 innings: 40-43-17
— They haven’t announced a starter.
— Marlins are 13-21 in their last 34 games.
— Miami is 7-6 in last 13 home games.
— over 9-6-2 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-98
— record in first 5 innings: 34-45-19
St Louis (49-50) @ Cincinnati (51-47)
— Oviedo is 0-2, 5.21 in his last four starts.
— Cardinals are 3-8 in his starts.
— under 3-1-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 4-11
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-4
— He is 0-0, 5.19 in two starts vs Cincinnati.
— Cardinals are 13-9 in last 22 games.
— St Louis is 5-16 in its last 21 road games.
— Under is 21-12-2 in their last 35 games.
— scored run in first inning: 31-99
— record in first 5 innings: 40-41-18
— Sonny Gray is 1-1, 4.32 in his last three starts.
— Reds are 6-7 in his starts.
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 2-13
— record in first 5 innings: 2-9-2
— He is 1-3, 5.00 in six starts vs St Louis.
— Cincinnati is 3-5 in its last eight games.
— Reds are 13-9 in last 22 home games.
— under 13-7 last 20 home games
— scored run in first inning: 28-98
— record in first 5 innings: 41-41-16
Pittsburgh (38-60) @ San Francisco (61-37)
— Brubaker is 0-4, 6.59 in his last five starts.
— Pirates lost his last seven starts.
— under 11-5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 5-10-2
— He hasn’t pitched against San Francisco.
— Pirates lost four of last six games.
— Pittsburgh is 4-8 in last 12 road games.
— over 14-5 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 27-97
— record in first 5 innings: 32-53-12
— Wood is 2-0, 3.18 in his last three starts.
— Giants are 10-6 in his starts.
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 9-4-3
— He is 4-3, 2.93 in ten starts vs Pittsburgh.
— Giants are 4-5 since All-Star break.
— Giants are 14-7 in last 21 home games.
— Over is 10-4 in last 14 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-97
— record in first 5 innings: 53-31-13
Colorado (43-55) @ Dodgers (60-39)
— Jon Gray is 2-0, 2.40 in his last five starts.
— Rockies are 8-9 in his starts.
— under 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 6-6-5
— He is 0-1, 3.38 in three starts vs LA this year.
— Colorado is 18-14 in its last 32 games.
— Rockies are 33-20 at home, 10-35 on road.
— under 16-4 last 20 games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-98
— record in first 5 innings: 38-45-15
— Josiah Gray is making his first MLB start.
— He allowed 4 runs in four IP in his MLB debut.
— He was 1-1, 2.87 in four AAA games (3 starts) this year.
— Dodgers are 7-8 in last 15 games.
— LA is 1-10 in extra innings this year.
— Dodgers are 9-4 in last 13 home games.
— under 10-6-1 last 17 home games
— scored run in first inning: 32-99
— record in first 5 innings: 51-32-16
AL games
Bronx (51-46) @ Boston (60-39)
— German is 0-2, 9.31 in his last five starts.
— New York is 9-7 in his starts.
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 9-16
— record in first 5 innings: 6-6-4
— He is 0-1, 4.66 in two starts vs Boston this year.
— New York won 10 of its last 14 games.
— New York is 8-7 in last 15 road games.
— under 6-1 last seven road games
— scored run in first inning: 24-97
— record in first 5 innings: 40-38-19
— Perez is 0-2, 7.04 in his last two starts.
— Boston is 11-8 in his starts.
— under 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 6-19
— record in first 5 innings: 9-7-3
— He is 0-1, 7.04 in two starts vs New York this year.
— Boston won four of its last five games.
— Red Sox are 11-3 in last 14 home games.
— under 3-1 last four home games
— scored run in first inning: 33-98
— record in first 5 innings: 47-37-15
Tampa Bay (60-39) @ Cleveland (48-48)
— McClanahan is 2-1, 3.08 in his last five starts.
— Rays are 8-6 in his starts.
— under 8-6
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 6-4-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Cleveland
— Tampa Bay won 13 of its last 16 games.
— Rays are 6-1 in last seven road tilts.
— under is 7-3 in last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-99
— record in first 5 innings: 39-37-23
— McKenzie is 0-1, 4.50 in his last five starts.
— Indians are 4-8 in his starts.
— over 7-3 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 3-12
— record in first 5 innings: 4-6-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Tampa Bay.
— Cleveland is 8-18 in last 26 games.
— Indians split their last six home games.
— over 12-6-1 last 19 home games
— scores run in first inning: 30-96
— record in first 5 innings: 35-47-14
Angels (48-49) @ Minnesota (42-57)
— Barria is making his first ’21 start.
— He is 15-19, 4.60 in 54 MLB games (44 starts).
— This year, he’s given up 7 runs in six IP in two relief stints.
— He hasn’t pitched against Minnesota.
— Halos are 10-8 in last 18 games.
— Angels are 6-11 in last 17 road games.
— over 25-15-1 last 41 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-97
— record in first 5 innings: 43-42-12
— Ober is 1-1, 7.02 in his last four starts.
— Twins are 5-4 in his starts.
— over 7-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-9
— record in first 5 innings: 4-5
— He hasn’t pitched against Anaheim.
— Minnesota is 3-7 in its last ten games.
— Twins are 5-2 in last seven home games.
— under 7-2 last nine home games
— scored run in first inning: 34-99
— record in first 5 innings: 29-50-20
Detroit (47-53) @ Kansas City (41-55)
— Skubal is 2-1, 4.50 in his last four starts.
— Detroit is 7-2 in his last nine starts.
— under 7-4-1 last 12
— allowed run in first inning: 7-17
— record in first 5 innings: 8-9
— He is 1-1, 5.19 in two games (8.2 IP) vs Kansas City this year.
— Detroit won seven of last nine games.
— Detroit lost its last six road games.
— over 25-14-1 last 40 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-100
— record in first 5 innings: 7-2-2 last 11 on road.
— Lynch is 0-2, 16.88 in three starts.
— His last start was May 13.
— Kansas City is 0-3 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2-1
— He gave up 4 runs in 2.2 IP in a May 13 start in Detroit.
— Royals are 12-28 in last 40 games.
— Royals are 4-5 in last nine home games.
— over 7-4 last 11 home games.
— scores run in first inning: 19-96
— record in first 5 innings: 34-49-13
Texas (35-64) @ Houston (60-39)
— bullpen game
— Texas is 2-14 in its last 16 games.
— Rangers lost last eight games by combined 55-12.
— Texas is 4-29 in its last 33 road games.
— over 15-6-1 last 22 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 19-99
— record in first 5 innings: 31-55-13
— Greinke is 2-1, 3.07 in his last five starts.
— Astros are 14-6 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 2-20
— record in first 5 innings: 10-6-4
— He is 2-0, 4.26 in two starts vs Texas this year.
— Astros split their last 12 games.
— Astros are 5-1 in last six home games.
— over 10-4 last 14 home games
— scored run in first inning: 34-99
— record in first 5 innings: 53-32-14
Oakland (56-44) @ Seattle (53-46)
— Kaprielian is 1-1, 1.50 in his last three starts.
— A’s are 7-5 in his starts.
— under 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 2-12
— record in first 5 innings: 5-4-3
— He is 1-0, 3.38 in two starts vs Seattle this year.
— A’s are 7-5 in last 12 games.
— Oakland is 5-5 in last ten road games.
— Under is 17-8 in their last 25 games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-100
— record in first 5 innings: 43-37-20
— Gonzales is 1-1, 5.96 in his last five starts.
— Mariners are 4-1 in his last five home starts.
— under 7-3 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 3-12
— record in first 5 innings: 2-8-2
— He is 5-3, 3.82 in 11 starts vs Oakland.
— Seattle is 22-10 in its last 32 games.
— Seattle is 5-2 in last seven home games.
— under 5-3 last eight home games
— scored run in first inning: 31-99
— record in first 5 innings: 45-46-8
Interleague games
Washington (45-51) @ Baltimore (33-64)
— Espino is 2-2, 2.63 in six starts (27.1 IP).
— Nationals are 3-3 in his starts.
— under 4-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Baltimore.
— Washington is 3-9 in its last 12 games.
— Nationals lost last six road games.
— over 9-5-1 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-96
— record in first 5 innings: 39-38-19
— Means is 0-3, 8.44 in his last three starts.
— Orioles lost his last six starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 3-13
— record in first 5 innings: 5-4-4
— He gave up 3 runs in 0.2 IP, in his one start vs Washington.
— Orioles are 9-11 in last 20 games.
— Baltimore is 18-34 on road, 15-30 at home.
— over is 41-20-1 in their last 62 games.
— scored run in first inning: 31-97
— record in first 5 innings: 31-50-16
Toronto (49-45) @ Mets (51-44)
— Stripling allowed 10 runs in 4 IP in his last two starts.
— Blue Jays are 7-8 in his starts.
— under 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 7-15
— record in first 5 innings: 7-7-1
— He gave up 2 runs in 2.2 IP, in two relief stints vs New York.
— Toronto lost three of last four games.
— Blue Jays are 2-5 in last seven road games.
— Over is 6-2 in last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-94
— record in first 5 innings: 5-8 last 13 on road
— Newly-acquired Hill makes his first start for Mets.
— He was 0-2, 5.30 in his last four starts for Tampa.
— Rays were 11-8 in his starts.
— over 5-2 in last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 4-19
— record in first 5 innings: 9-5-5
— He is 1-2, 4.88 in 12 games (5 starts) vs Toronto.
— Mets are 16-19 in their last 35 games.
— Mets are 8-6 in their last 14 home games.
— over 5-3 last eight home games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-95
— record in first 5 innings: 42-41-12
White Sox (58-40) @ Milwaukee (57-41)
— Lynn is 2-0, 1.23 in his last four starts.
— Chicago is 9-8 in his starts.
— under 6-2-2 last 10
— allowed run in first inning: 2-17
— record in first 5 innings: 12-2-3
— He is 10-3, 2.20 in 20 games (16 starts) vs Milwaukee.
— Chicago is 9-5 in its last 14 games.
— White Sox are 5-2 in last seven road games.
— over 11-3-1 last 15 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-98
— record in first 5 innings: 53-29-16
— Woodruff is 0-1, 3.50 in his last three starts.
— Milwaukee is 13-6 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 9-4-6
— He gave up 2 runs in six IP, in his one start vs Chicago.
— Brewers won five of last seven games.
— Milwaukee is 9-8 in last 17 home games.
— under 7-2-1 last ten home games.
— scored run in first inning: 34-99
— record in first 5 innings: 47-33-19
Sunday’s umpires
Az-Chi- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Conroy games.
Atl-Phil- Under is 6-3-1 in last ten Barksdale games.
SD-Mia- Under is 8-4 in last dozen Miller games.
StL-Cin- Over is 4-1 in last five Fairchild games.
Pitt-SF- Under is 7-4-1 in last dozen Nelson games.
Colo-LA- Over is 11-3 in last 14 Meals games.
NY-Bos- Under is 6-3-2 in last 11 Guccione games.
LAA-Minn- Under is 7-4 in last 11 Blaser games.
Det-KC- Over is 8-6-1 in Riggs games.
TB-Clev- Underdogs are 8-2 in last ten Whitson games.
Tex-Hst- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Timmons games.
A’s-Sea- Over is 5-1 in last six Muchinski games.
Wsh-Balt- Over is 6-4 in last ten Moscoso games.
Chi-Mil- Last nine Iassogna games went over.
Tor-NYM- Over is 5-2 in last seven O’Nora games
Wise guy team
Det/KC over
Oak/Sea over
Stephen Nover MLB DIVISION GAME OF YEAR
Tigers ML
steve merril
4% mlb over yanks
4%under white sox
MLB(Bob Balfe)
2:10 PM EST
Rotation #969-970
Tigers/Royals Over 10.5 runs
Skubal/Lynch
This afternoons game will showcase lefty on lefty. Both teams are pretty good at hitting left handed pitching. Tarik Skuba gives up a ton of home run so I think the Royals are going to connect for a few today. Daniel Lynch only has 8 innings under his belt as a big league pitcher so I expect the Tigers to get to him as well. This should be a fun offensive games with a lot of runs. Take the Over.
Elite Sports Picks
Atlanta (Toussaint) +1.5 runs -130 over Philadelphia (Nola)
Insider Sports Report
4* Oakland (Irvin) -120 over Seattle (Gonzales)
Range: -105 to -145
3* San Francisco (Wood) -165 over Pittsburgh (Brubaker)
Range: -145 to -185
National Sports Service
5* Detroit (Skubal) -110 over Kansas City (Lynch)
3* N.Y. Yankees (German) +115 over Boston (Perez)
Primetime Sports Picks
MEMBER PICKS For 07/25/21
4 Unit --> Detroit (Skubal) -110 over Kansas City (Lynch)
3 Unit --> Chicago White Sox (Lynn)/Milwaukee (Woodruff) UNDER 7
Top Rank Sports Picks
Marquee Picks® For 07/25/21
4★ St. Louis (Oviedo) +1.5 runs -130 over Cincinnati (Gray)
3★ San Francisco (Wood) -165 over Pittsburgh (Brubaker) Rank Sports Picks
Matt Severance
1-7 -10.5 Units Last 8 ATS
TORONTO @ N.Y. METS | 07/25 | 1:10 PM EDT
N.Y. METS +1.5
ANALYSIS: Not really sure why the Mets are home dogs against Jays starter Ross Stripling (3-6, 5.04). He has allowed at least one home run in each of his last seven outings. It's the Mets debut of lefty Rich Hill (6-4, 3.87), recently acquired from Tampa Bay. New York is 6-2 in its past eight after a loss. We'll take the runline as a safety net.
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11:32 AM
N.Y. YANKEES @ BOSTON | 07/25 | 1:10 PM EDT
OVER 10.5
ANALYSIS: I'm with Justin Perri on this one as the winds are blowing out fairly big time in Boston and both starting pitchers, Domingo German and Martin Perez, are prone to allowing homers. Batters are hitting .326 off Perez at Fenway. Be aware that rain could be an issue at some point.
+3365 123-69-5 IN LAST 197 MLB PICKS
10:56 AM
Scott Spreitzer
6* Union +145
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