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Thread: Saturday 7/31/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

  1. #21
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    Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Saratoga



    07/31/21, SAR, Race 9, 5.39 ET
    07/31/21,SAR,9,1 1/8M [Dirt] 1:46:03 STAKES. Jim Dandy Stakes. Grade 2. Purse $600,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. This is a Non-Lasix race pursuant to 4043.2 (7)(e)(5) Lasix not permitted within 48 hours of post time. By subscription of $600 each which should accompany the nomination; $4,500 to pass the entry box and an additional $4,500 to start. For horses not originally nominated, a supplemental payment of $9,000 along with the entry and starting fees may be made at any time prior to the closing of entries. The purse to be divided 55% to the winner, 20% to second, 12% to third, 6% to fourth, 4% to fifth and 3% divided equally amongst the remaining finishers. Weight 124 lbs. Non-winners of a Grade One at a mile or over in 2021 allowed 2 lbs.; of a Grade Two at a mile or over in 2021 allowed 4 lbs.; of a Graded Sweepstake at a mile or over allowed 6 lbs. A trophy will be presented to the winning owner. Closed Saturday, July 17, 2021 with 17 Nominations.
    . . . .
    Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
    After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
    Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
    100.0000 5 Essential Quality 1/2 Saez L Cox Brad H. TSE 134 38.81 1.26/$1
    096.9637 1 Dr Jack 15/1 Ortiz J L Pletcher Todd A. L 134 38.81 1.26/$1
    096.7333 3 Weyburn 6/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Jerkens James A. J 134 38.81 1.26/$1
    095.8371 2 Masqueparade 4/1 Mena M Stall. Jr. Albert M. F 134 38.81 1.26/$1
    094.0819 4 Keepmeinmind 6/1 Rosario J Diodoro Robertino WC 134 38.81 1.26/$1
    094.0190 6 Risk Taking 15/1 Franco M Brown Chad C. 134 38.81 1.26/$1
    Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 33.33, ROI 0.92/$1
    Rating gap To 2nd horse -3.0363
    [Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
    [All Dirt] Race Sex Not Females

  2. #22
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    Ed Sehon

    Saratoga

    DAILY DOUBLE (Races Nos. 1-2, 1:05 p.m. ET/10:05 a.m. PT)

    I’ll take a shot with a pair in each contest. In the first, I like two first-time starters, #2 Master Game (5-2 morning line) & #5 Hoist the Gold (8-1). In the second, #1 Fast Gordon (3-1) & longshot #10 D’vinicris (10-1) are my picks. Wager: $4 Daily Double of 2,5 with 1,10. ($16)

    PRICE PLAY (Race No. 4, 2:47 p.m. ET/11:47 a.m. PT)
    It’s time for underachieving 3-year-old #6 Noble Contest (6-1 morning line) to fulfill his potential. Manny Franco returns to ride for improving trainer Jorge Abreu. Wager: $5 Win, Place & Show on #6. ($15)

    EXACTA EXTRA (Race No. 5, 3:23 p.m ET/12:23 p.m. PT)

    I like a quartet of New York-bred fillies: #4 Behind the Couch (7-2 morning line), #5 Honey Money (9-2), #7 Shanes Pretty Lady (4-1), and #8 Out First (9-2). Wager: $2 Exacta Box of 4,5,7 & 8. ($24)

    SPECIAL $1 PICK 3 (Races Nos. 5-7, 3:23 p.m. ET/12:23 p.m. PT)

    Race 5: 4,5,7,8

    Race 6: 4

    Race 7: 2,6,7,8 ($16)

    BEST BET (Race No. 6, 3:55 p.m. ET, 12:55 p.m. PT)

    Word from inside Repole stable is all signs point to a major debut for pricy son of super-sire Into Mischief. Wager: $10 Win & Place on #4 Royal Spirit (5-2 morning line). ($20)

    LATE PICK 4 (Race No. 8, 5:03 p.m. ET/2:03 p.m. PT)

    Race 8: 2,3,4,5,6,9

    Race 9: 5

    Race 10: 1,2,5,7,8

    Race 11: 3,8,13 ($45)

  3. #23
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    Duane Colucci

    Saratoga

    Race No. 8 (5:03 p.m. ET/2:03 p.m. PT)

    Duane Colucci likes #8 Montauk Traffic (15-1 morning line) in the Grade 1 Alfred G. Vanderbilt Handicap. “Linda Rice trainee has done little wrong, winning two of last three. Second-place finisher in his last is a return winner. This colt needs pace for his closing kick and he will be flying late for the money. Bet 8 to win and key 8 over 2,3 & 9 in exactas, trifectas and reverse.”

    $0.50 Pick 4 (cost $64)

    Race 8: 2,3,8,9

    Race 9: 3,5

    Race 10: 1,2,3,7

    Race 11: 1,3,11,12


    Del Mar

    Races Nos. 8-11 (8:36 p.m. ET/5:36 p.m. PT)

    Duane Colucci likes the following $0.50 Pick 4 (cost $50)

    Race 8: 1,2,3,4,8

    Race 9: 5,6,8,9,11

    Race 10: 3,8

    Race 11: 1,7

  4. #24
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    John Lauro

    Woodbine

    Race No. 8 (4:45 p.m. ET/1:45 p.m. PT)

    #6 One Timer (9-5 morning line) in the $125,000 Victoria Stakes. “My best bet this weekend is One Timer. He almost broke the track record first out at Arlington Park.”

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    2. Insider Sports Report MLB Brewers -145 2-3 (-130) 3-1 (+200)
    3. Doc's Picks MLB Phillies -165 2-3 (-155) 3-1 (+190)
    4. Top Rank Sports Picks MLB Detroit -110 4-0 (+415) 4-2 (+110)
    5. Profit On Sports 4-0 (+455) 4-3 (+80)
    6. National Sports Service MLB Astros +100 2-2 (-20) 3-3 (-15)
    7. The Spot Player 0-0 (+0) 3-3 (-65)
    8. The Sports Consensus MLB Rays over 8.5 4-1 (+295) 3-4 (-145)
    9. Elite Sports Picks 5-0 (+570) 1-6 (-545)
    10. Primetime Sports Picks Boston +100 3-1 (+180) 1-6 (-690)

  6. #26
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    R and R Totals MLB BALTIMORE ORIOLES/DETROIT TIGERS u9.5 2 1 +90
    Tys Terrific Tips MLB CINCINNATI REDS +115 3 2 +80
    Top Dog MLB TEXAS RANGERS +150 1 1 +35
    Vegas Investment Picks MLB HOUSTON ASTROS +100 1 1 0
    Joe Wiz MLB ST. LOUIS CARDINALS ‑120 1 1 -10
    Ace / Sleeper Selections MLB CHICAGO WHITE SOX ‑155 1 1 -25
    Silvas Sports MLB DETROIT TIGERS ‑105 0 1 -100
    Mikey Money MLB ATLANTA BRAVES ‑145 0 1 -120
    Tommy King Wins MLB MILWAUKEE BREWERS ‑140 1 2 -150
    Top Shelf Sports Pick MLB TORONTO BLUE JAYS ‑245 0 1 -160

  7. #27
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    Rk Sports Services Free Sports Picks Place A Bet
    1. NSA(The Legend) MLB – Astros +110 Line @ Bovada
    2. Gameday Network MLB – Orioles -105 Line @ Bovada
    3. Winning Big Sports MLB – Blue Jays -1.5 Line @ MyBookie
    4. PointSpreadReport.com(SAM CASEY) MLB – Reds +115 Line @ MyBookie
    5. VegasSI.com MLB – Phillies -170 Line @ Bovada
    6. Sports Action 365 MLB – Padres -1.5 Line @ GT Bets
    7. Vegas Line Crushers MLB – Blue Jays over 9.5 Line @ GT Bets
    8. NSA(Gerry “Big Cat” Andino) MLB – Rangers +125 Line @ Bovada
    9. Lou Panelli MLB – White Sox -150 Line @ Bovada
    10. VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club MLB – Twins over 8.5 Line @ GT Bets
    11. William E. Stockton MLB – Astros +110 Line @ MyBookie
    12. Vincent Pioli MLB – White Sox -150 Line @ Bovada
    13. Steve “Scoop” Kendall MLB – Orioles over 9.5 Line @ Bovada
    14. SCORE MLB – Angels +120 Line @ GT Bets
    15. Tony Campone MLB – Padres -1.5 Line @ Bovada
    16. Chicago Sports Group MLB – Reds under 9 Line @ Bovada
    17. Hollywood Sportsline MLB – Phillies -170 Line @ Bovada
    18. VIP Action MLB – Reds +115 Line @ GT Bets
    19. South Beach Sports MLB – Blue Jays -1.5 Line @ Bovada
    20. Las Vegas Sports Commission MLB – Angels under 10 Line @ Bovada
    21. NY Players Club MLB – Orioles -105 Line @ GT Bets
    22. Fred Callahan MLB – White Sox -150 Line @ Bovada
    23. Las Vegas Private CEO Club MLB – Twins +120 Line @ MyBookie
    24. Michigan Sports MLB – Rangers +125 Line @ GT Bets
    25. National Consensus Report MLB – Red Sox +105 Line @ Bovada

  8. #28
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    Mike Lundin

    Jul 31 '21, 6:10 PM in 1h
    MLB | Orioles vs Tigers
    Play on: Orioles -102 at Caesars

    Orioles vs Tigers Free Pick July 31, 2021
    The Baltimore Orioles have won five of their last seven and seven of their last 10 games.
    Baltimore southpaw John Means (4-3, 2.94 ERA) is 3-2 with a 2.03 ERA on the road. Means has been roughed up in back-to-back outings as he's been working his way back from a shoulder injury, but it's only a matter of time before he finds his rhythm.
    Tigers' righty Matt Manning (2-3, 6.00 ERA) is undefeated at home, but I think the Orioles will get to him and Manning can't expect much backup from one of the worst bullpens in baseball.
    Free pick on Baltimore Orioles.

  9. #29
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    Hunter Price

    Jul 31 '21, 6:30 PM in 1h
    Fighting | Philip Rowe vs Orion Cosce
    Play on: Philip Rowe +140 at William Hill

    1* Free Pick on Philip Rowe +140

  10. #30
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    Ben Burns

    Jul 31 '21, 6:30 PM in 1h
    Fighting | Philip Rowe vs Orion Cosce
    Play on: Orion Cosce -148 at linepros

    The line keeps falling. Down below -150 at some shops, as of this writing, I feel we're starting to see some value with the favorite. Keep in mind that (Orion) Cosce is undefeated and looking to keep it that way. Rowe, on the other hand, has dropped three straight. Rowe has a big frame (for this division) but he's proven to be vulnerable. Cosce doesn't quit. We saw that in his comeback win against Matt Dixon. Note that Dixon had been 9-0 prior to that fight. I like Cosce's chances of winning his UFC debut and remaining undefeated. Consider Cosce.

  11. #31
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    Stephen Nover

    Jul 31 '21, 7:05 PM in 2h
    MLB | Phillies vs Pirates
    Play on: Phillies -150 at linepros

    Phillies minus $1.50 at Pirates
    There wasn't much to gut. But the Pirates dealt Adam Frazier and closer Richard Rodriguez as part of five trades they made leading up to the trade deadline in their eternal quest to become relevant again. Now Pittsburgh is even worse than its 39-64 record since Frazier and Rodriguez were having strong seasons. The Pirates have the lowest run total in the majors and Frazier was by far their best hitter. I'll venture 1 1/2 units to win 1 unit backing Aaron Nola and the Phillies to rebound after an embarrassing 7-0 loss to the Pirates on Friday. That loss could spell the end for Vince Velasquez staying in the Phillies' starting rotation. So maybe one good thing came out of that defeat for the Phillies. Philadelphia manager Joe Girardi said it was the poorest his team played all season. How's that for a kick in the pants? Philadelphia trails the Mets by 3 1/2 games in the NL East. The Phillies can't afford to keep losing to the team that has the second-worst record in the National League. Nola should fix that. He's coming off one of his strongest starts pitching 8 2/3 innings against the Braves giving up one run on four hits and no walks with nine strikeouts this past Sunday. The Pirates had scored four runs in their last four games before Friday's game. The Phillies bolstered its bullpen, acquiring veteran Ian Kennedy, who was solid as the Rangers closer. Kennedy is expected to be available if needed. Second-year pitcher JT Brubaker goes for Pittsburgh. Brubaker showed some early-season promise, but has hit the wall. He hasn't won since May 11. Brubaker missed most of 2019 in the minors because of a forearm injury. He pitched 47 1/3 innings in the majors last season. He's gone 96 1/3 innings this season, throwing nearly 1,500 pitches. Brubaker has surrendered 17 earned runs in his last four starts spanning 18 2/3 innings. During this time frame, he's given up 18 hits and eight homers. The Phillies are hoping to get back both Rhys Hoskins (groin) and Jean Segura (knee) today. They missed Friday's game. Neither is expected to go on the injured list.

  12. #32
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    Kenny Walker

    Jul 31 '21, 7:10 PM in 2h
    MLB | Reds vs Mets
    Play on: Mets -117 at BetVegas

    Free Pick on Mets

  13. #33
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    Black Widow

    Jul 31 '21, 7:10 PM in 2h
    MLB | Indians vs White Sox
    Play on: Indians +148 at SC Consensus

    1* Free Wiseguy Play on Indians +148

  14. #34
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    John Martin

    Jul 31 '21, 7:10 PM in 2h
    MLB | Indians vs White Sox
    Play on: Indians +147 at SC Consensus

    1 Unit FREE PLAY on Cleveland Indians +147
    The Cleveland Indians are live underdogs tonight with Triston McKenzie on the mound. He has been solid of late with a 3.71 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in his last three starts against the Rays, Astros and Royals. Dallas Keuchel has a 4.27 ERA in 19 starts this season and should not be this big of a favorite. He is 0-1 with a 5.73 ERA in two starts against the Indians this season with 7 earned runs allowed in 11 innings. The White Sox are likely to be without their best hitter in Jose Abreu, who was hit in the head last night. And the White Sox are just 3-6 in their last nine games overall. Give me the Indians.

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    Jimmy Boyd

    Jul 31 '21, 7:10 PM in 2h
    MLB | Reds vs Mets
    Play on: Mets -118 at Caesars

    1* Free Pick on Mets -118

  16. #36
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    Dustin Hawkins

    Jul 31 '21, 7:15 PM in 2h
    MLB | MIN vs STL
    Play on: UNDER 8½ +101

    1 Dimer on Twins vs Cardinals under 8½ +101

  17. #37
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    Sal Michaels

    Jul 31 '21, 7:15 PM in 2h
    MLB | Twins vs Cardinals
    Play on: Twins +114 at Caesars

    Free Play on Twins +114

  18. #38
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    Mike Williams

    Jul 31 '21, 7:20 PM in 2h
    MLB | Brewers vs Braves
    Play on: Braves +137 at William Hill

    1* on Braves +137

  19. #39
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    Will Rogers

    Jul 31 '21, 7:20 PM in 2h
    MLB | MIL vs ATL
    Play on: UNDER 9 -114

    Two sharp starters and upgrades to both pens at the trade deadline will define this game. Youngster Kyle Muller for the Braves has been an eye-opener in the start of his career. Woodruff for the Brewers has been solid all season, throwing long and well. Take the total to go UNDER!

  20. #40
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    Cole Faxon

    Jul 31 '21, 10:05 PM in 5h
    Soccer | Juarez vs Club Atlas
    Play on: Club Atlas -190 at Mirage

    FREE PLAY on Club Atlas -190

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