Service Plays Saturday 7/31/21

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Green Falcon Picks

AD Santos de Guapiles - Municipal Grecia
Costa Rica, Primera Division, 00:00 CET (Aug 1) / 6:00 PM ET
1 Unit: Municipal Grecia +0.25 -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

6* Mets -120
3* Sounders -1 +120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doug Upstone

6* White Sox -150
2* Cardinals -130

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allen Eastman

7* Brewers -1.5 +115
3* Royals +1.5 +110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Severance

CLEVELAND @ CHI. WHITE SOX | 07/31 | 7:10 PM EDT
CHI. WHITE SOX -153
ANALYSIS: Wow cheap price. The White Sox now have the best bullpen in the majors after landing Craig Kimbrel, whom I assume is available. Not like he had to move. If Chicago leads after six innings the rest of this season with Michael Kopech, Kimbrel and Liam Hendriks, it's over. The ML is a bit low because Sox starter Dallas Keuchel is meh. But the Indians are in white-flag territory.

+3443 143-84-6 IN LAST 233 MLB PICKS
+231 10-6 IN LAST 16 CHW ML PICKS
+25 6-4 IN LAST 10 CLE ML PICKS
1:21 PM

OAKLAND @ L.A. ANGELS | 07/31 | 4:05 PM EDT
OAKLAND -145
ANALYSIS: Much as I hate to agree with Justin Perri, and he has better stats than I do, we are 2-0 on the A's beating the Angels this weekend and see no reason why it won't continue. Oakland pitcher Cole Irvin has actually been a bit better away and has a 3.86 ERA vs. LAA. The Angels' Jaime Barria is essentially an opener. Oakland is simply better across the board. I just see a pretty girl and ask her to skate. No analytics. The Angels aren't pretty right now.

+3443 143-84-6 IN LAST 233 MLB PICKS
+765 14-5 IN LAST 19 LAA ML PICKS
+393 12-5 IN LAST 17 OAK ML PICKS
1:14 PM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kyle Akins

MILWAUKEE @ ATLANTA | 07/31 | 7:20 PM EDT
ATLANTA +130
ANALYSIS: Atlanta has been quite good at shutting down hot teams and is positioned to with an up-and-coming pitcher in Kyle Muller going today. The Brewers enter as winners of four straight games. The Braves are 11-0 since Aug. 2, 2017, at home against a team that has won at least their last four games when Atlanta has not also won three straight games. On Friday Atlanta scored four runs in the first inning before the game fell apart in a 9-5 loss. The Braves are 7-0 since May 14 off a home loss in which they held the lead.

+300 4-1 IN LAST 5 MLB ML PICKS
+128 3-1 IN LAST 4 MIL ML PICKS
11:09 AM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Hochman

MILWAUKEE @ ATLANTA | 07/31 | 7:20 PM EDT
ATLANTA +1.5
ANALYSIS: The Brewers have scored well above their season average in four straight games. Kyle Muller has never pitched against the Brewers. He looks to be the real deal. Milwaukee is batting .235 against left-handed starters this season. The Braves should keep this one close at a decent price.

+772 11-3 IN LAST 14 MLB PICKS
9:28 AM

[dawggy]

DAMIAN SOSH

• 4* MLB TOTAL OF THE DAY
  Game: (969) Baltimore Orioles at (970) Detroit Tigers
  Date/Time: Jul 31 2021 6:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4 units
  Play: Total Over 9.0 (-120) J Means (LHP), M Manning (RHP) Must Start
  
  Take the Over
  After just playing to a total of 7 runs yesterday I like us to see a lot more scoring in this game. I do not have a lot of confidence in either of tonight's starters. The Orioles Means in his last 12.1 IP has allowed 11 ER. Tiger's starter Manning doesn't average 5 IP per start and has given up 22 ER in 33 IP as a starter this season. In spite of the records of these two teams they do have offenses capable of putting up some big numbers. I believe we see that tonight and this game goes over the posted total.
  
• 4* MLB HIGH HEAT
  Game: (953) Philadelphia Phillies at (954) Pittsburgh Pirates
  Date/Time: Jul 31 2021 7:05 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4 units
  Play: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (+100) A Nola (RHP), J Brubaker (RHP) Must Start
  
  Take the Phillies on the run line
  The Phillies still have a chance at making the post season as they sit just 3.5 games behind the Mets. They were buyers at the trade deadline but after laying an egg losing to the Pirates 7-0 yesterday I like them to get revenge today. Brubaker has been just awful for the Pirates of late. Over his last 3 starts he's pitched just 12.2 innings and has allowed 12 ER. The Pirates record in his starts this season is just 4-14. While Aaron Nola has had his ups and downs this season he is coming off his best outing of the season. He pitched 8.2 innings allowing just 1 run to the Braves his last start. His team really needs him to come up big tonight and I'm confident he will against this Pirates team that struggles offensively.
  
• 10* NL PLAY OF THE MONTH
  Game: (955) Cincinnati Reds at (956) New York Mets
  Date/Time: Jul 31 2021 7:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 10 units
  Play: Cincinnati Reds +108 W Miley (LHP), R Hill (LHP) Must Start
  
  Take the Reds
  This Cincinnati team is fun to watch and they have a legitimate shot at making the playoffs as they inch closer to catching the Padres for that final playoff spot. Wade Miley will be on the bump for the Reds in this game and he's 8-4 with a 2.86 ERA on the season for the Reds. Miley has been solid all year and gives Cincinnati a solid start each outing usually pitching at least 6 innings. Going just 6 innings for this Reds team might have been a problem a few days ago but Cincinnati was aggressive at the trade deadline making good moves to help their bullpen. The Reds will be facing Rich Hill of the Mets. Hill is 6-4 with a 3.95 ERA on the season. He's pitched well this season but the Reds are really swinging hot bats right now. We all know about Votto and his recent exploits but what you may not realize is the Reds are all hitting the ball. Over their last 7 games Reds hitters are a combined .315. I think they are playing with a renewed vigor after management went out and addressed the weakest part of the team in terms of their bullpen. Give me the Reds in this one as I make them my NL Play of the Month.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SDQL

L.A. DODGERS @ ARIZONA | 07/31 | 8:10 PM EDT
L.A. DODGERS -177
ANALYSIS: The Dodgers are 10-0 in the second game of a series as a favorite of -140 or more when their opponent's starter has an ERA of more than 4.00 on the season. The Diamondbacks are 0-10 as a dog of +140 or more off a game as a dog when their opponent's starter has a strike-per-ball ratio less than 1.6 on the season.

+1191 113-77 IN LAST 190 MLB ML PICKS
+761 15-5 IN LAST 20 ARI ML PICKS
+355 20-12 IN LAST 32 LAD ML PICKS
11:22 AM

CLEVELAND @ CHI. WHITE SOX | 07/31 | 7:10 PM EDT
CHI. WHITE SOX -153
ANALYSIS: The White Sox are 16-0 in the second game of a series as a favorite of at least -130 when they did not win by five or more runs in the series opener. The Indians are 0-13 in the second game of a series as a dog of at least +125 after they allowed five or more walks.

+1191 113-77 IN LAST 190 MLB ML PICKS
+964 24-11 IN LAST 35 CLE ML PICKS
+781 26-12 IN LAST 38 CHW ML PICKS
11:19 AM

N.Y. YANKEES @ MIAMI | 07/31 | 6:10 PM EDT
N.Y. YANKEES -179
ANALYSIS: The Yankees are 13-0 in the second game of a series when they won and never trailed in the series opener. The Marlins are 0-12 in the second game of a home series when they are off a loss as a dog in which they had at least three times as many hits as runs.

+1191 113-77 IN LAST 190 MLB ML PICKS
+54 10-7 IN LAST 17 MIA ML PICKS
11:17 AM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe

3* Tigers -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc's Sports

7* Vancouver +.5 -105

[rocky57]

Pickswise Sports
MLB 3* Plays 122-80 (60.4%)
MLB 3* Best Bet - Oakland Athletics -143

2* Plays
Astros +105
Red Sox +105
White Sox/Indians Under 9

[rocky57]

Pickswise Sports
MLS Soccer ⚽️ 3* Best Bets
Seattle to Win and Score Over 1.5 goals [-116]
New England Win or Draw [-147]
Austin/Colorado Under 2.5 goals [-120]

[dawggy]

JM SPORTS

• Game: (969) Baltimore Orioles at (970) Detroit Tigers
  Date/Time: Jul 31 2021 6:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4 units
  Play: Detroit Tigers +1.5 (-165) J Means (LHP), M Manning (RHP) Must Start
  
  4 unit Detroit Tigers (+1.5 ; -165) over Baltimore Orioles (Means/Manning)-
  I debated on making this play a straight up underdog pick but with the line and taking the 1.5 runs was an even bigger cushion. Detroit is 11-3 @ H off a L, and that loss was a struggle, they led exactly 0 innings (7-2 off a game where they didn’t lead an inning), the biggest lead of that game was -4 (when they trail by more then 3 they are 7-1 to follow) but their bullpen didn’t allow a run, and when the Tigers use more then 3 arms out of the pen w/o allowing a run they are 7-0. For the Tigers going against Means and being at home gives them the edge, @ home Detroit is 8-1 vs. a team w/ an away winning percentage under 40% and they are 16-8 vs. LHP (including 9-2 at home). Baltimore just continues to struggle on the other hand, with their LHP on the mound in Means, both are attempting to turn things around, in the L7 starts Means is 0-3 with a 4.91 ERA. Even though they are going up against a pitcher that does not look to have stellar numbers, but Manning is 2-0 (team is 3-0) in his home starts, and even though his ERA is over 4 that may not help Baltimore much. The Orioles are 0-8 on the road vs. a SP w/ an ERA > 5.00 (3-13 A vs. SP w/ ERA > 4.00), alongside a record of 6-20 on the road in the L25 vs. RHP, and 5-21 in the L26 non-divisional games. Baltimore managed to squeak one out Friday, but off a 1 run W, the Orioles are 2-5 and the Tigers are still over 55% @ H, and when Baltimore is on the road vs. a team with a winning percentage at home over 55%, they are just 4-14.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marco D'Angelo

5% SF Giants +103 (Greinke / Wood must start) Interleague GOM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Strike Point Sports

8-Unit MLB Game of the Year

Astros

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Spreitzer

4* Revolution +200

[rocky57]

H&H Sports
Update #1

MLB
Triple Dime - Red Sox +105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Micah Roberts

SEATTLE @ TEXAS | 07/31 | 7:05 PM EDT
SEATTLE -130
ANALYSIS: The Mariners have that last AL wild card in sight, only 2.5 games back, and know they have to win games against bad teams like the Rangers. This bet is mostly against Texas' Taylor Hearn making just his third start this season; the first two were Rangers losses. New Seattle starter Tyler Anderson had a decent season with the Pirates who went 9-9 in his starts. He’ll give up a few, but I’m expecting the Mariners to jump all over Hearn. Seattle to win.

+1372 60-41-1 IN LAST 102 MLB PICKS
+1187 16-5 IN LAST 21 SEA ML PICKS
+400 4-0 IN LAST 4 TEX ML PICKS
2:53 PM

OAKLAND @ L.A. ANGELS | 07/31 | 4:05 PM EDT
OAKLAND -145
ANALYSIS: The A’s have some momentum back after winning three straight to make us forget about the four-game losing streak that began last weekend. They’ve shut out the Angels the last two nights and have another strong arm going today with Cole Irvin, who handled the Angels well in his last start against them. Oakland has won seven of his last nine starts. A’s to win.

+1372 60-41-1 IN LAST 102 MLB PICKS
+516 19-13 IN LAST 32 LAA ML PICKS
+380 14-10 IN LAST 24 OAK ML PICKS
2:47 PM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Greg Shaker TRIPLE DIME MLB SATURDAY MAX BET

Tigers ML

Bonus Play Brewers/Braves UNDER