Tuesday 8/3/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jay McNeil

For Tuesday, no need to overthink things, play Milwaukee on the Run Line over Pittsburgh.

Here's the deal, in their last 4 meetings dating back to last week the Brewers have dumped the Pirates in ALL 4 games played and they have done so by outscoring them, 34-5!

Milwaukee has won 11 of the 14 games played in this year's season series against Pittsburgh and each of their last 9 series wins have come by 2 runs or better.

As I said, there in no need to overthink this one at all. The Brewers are head-and-shoulders the better of the pair of teams on the field and they will not have a slip up against this Pirates team that is just 17-36 for the season on the road.

4* MILWAUKEE -1 1/2 RUNS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trace Adams

Tuesday's comp play is the Orioles and the Yankees to hold Under the total.

This was supposed to be a scheduled start for Gerrit Cole, but the Yankee pitchers tested positive for COVID-19, so Aaron Boone will figure out a new plan of attack.

No matter who is pitching for the Yanks, the issue is their bats which have simply not responded with the offense they need to provide consistent pop.

The Yankees were held to only one run last night, as they have now held Under the total in each of their last 4 games and in 10 of their last 11 overall!

The Orioles are right there with the Yanks, as they have now held Under in each of their last 5 games and in 10 of their last 13 overall!

Like I said, it does not really matter who is pitching, when you cannot score, you cannot score.

O's-Yanks Under for Tuesday.

4* BALTIMORE-N.Y. YANKEES UNDER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mitchell Newman

Trust me when I tell you my side will win by 3 runs or more.

If you take a gander at Detroit's last 4 games you will see that all 4 played Under the total.

I want you to throw those 4 straight Unders out the window tonight as the Motown Cats welcome the Boston Red Sox to town.

Boston has lost their last 5 games, so you know they will be chomping at the bit to get things going in a hurry. 3 of the Sox last 4 games have landed Over the total and when Boston and Detroit play, things usually get "offensive".

All 3 earlier meetings this year at Fenway Park did play Over the total and the last 8 times the teams have played the Over is 7-1.

Boston starter Garrett Richards owns a season ERA a shade over 5 and the Over is 11-7-1 when he makes the start for the year.

Detroit pitcher Wily Peralta has allowed 11 runs on 11 hits over his last 9 innings of work.

Do you see why I am looking for the runs to add up?

5* BOSTON-DETROIT OVER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Tue (MLB) Blue Jays
Tue (MLB) Cubs
Tue (MLB) Diamondbacks

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

100* Rockies -140
100* Twins +115
100* Over 8.5 Blue Jays/Indians

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mikey Sports	MLB	NEW YORK YANKEES ‑1.5 ‑155	0	0	0
Pure Lock	MLB	SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS ‑160	0	0	0
R and R Totals	MLB	SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS/ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS u9.5	0	0	0
Rocketman Sports	MLB	NEW YORK YANKEES ‑1.5 ‑125	0	0	0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Asmussen's Pursuit of History: Tuesday Starters' Evaluation

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August 3, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk
Trainer Steve Asmussen has five entrants nationwide Tuesday, needing just 3 victories to tie Dale Baird’s all-time career record for North American victories. Asmussen has 9,442 wins, so Baird’s 9,445 is within his range today. The barn went 0-3 on Monday between Colonial Downs, Louisiana Downs and Indiana Grand single starters.

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Louisiana Downs // Race 2 // 4:11 pm ET // optional claiming // 6 furlongs

#5 Pickens (9-5 ML)

Comments: Favorite makes hefty drop in class and will try to take these wire to wire in what figures to be at least a contended pace. 1/ST BET win projection 30% (top race pick).

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Louisiana Downs // Race 3 // 4:37 pm ET // claiming // 7-1/2 furlongs (turf)

#3 Bella Belle (7-2 ML)

Comments: Winless in 6 tries since coming to the barn from Greg Foley, including 3 times as a favorite. Class and local course all part of the recent slide. Must wake up. 1/ST BET win projection 24% (top race pick).

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Indiana Grand // Race 6 // 5:00 pm ET // claiming // 1 mile (turf)

#3 Treaty of Paris (7-2 ML)

Comments: Filly won a maiden special weight on dirt at Indiana Grand this season and drops in for a claiming tag for the first time in her last 6 starts. She’s yet to try turf, but has run well on synthetic. The morning line favorite is on a class rise, so this class drop could be significant enough. 1/ST BET win projection 9%.

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Louisiana Downs // Race 5 // 5:29 pm ET // claiming // 7-1/2 furlongs (turf)

#10 Dreamonmebaby (4-1 ML)

Comments: Also-eligible will need some help to draw in, then likely will be stuck out in a disadvantageous, wide post. The distance should suit, but the turf surface has not been his forte (only 1 grass start from 16 bids, and off the board at that). The forecast for rain could help. 1/ST BET win projection for turf 6%.

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Louisiana Downs // Race 6 // 5:55 pm ET // allowance // 6-1/2 furlongs

#4 Midnight Karma (9-2 ML)

Comments: Wire-to-wire last out over the track and distance, he’ll take a sizable class leap now while having shown improvement in his 3 starts since moving to the Asmussen barn. X 1/ST BET win projection 17% (second race pick).

Looking Ahead:

Asmussen has 2 Saratoga starters set for Wednesday and no entrants on Thursday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Presque Isle Downs

Presque Isle Downs - Race 5	$2 WPS / $2 Exacta / Trifecta (min .50 cent) / Superfecta (min .10 cent) $2 Daily Double / Pick 3 (min .50 cent) (Races 5-6-7) Pick 4 (min .50 cent) (Races 5-6-7-8)
Claiming $5,000 • 1 Mile 70 yards • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up • CR: 82 • Purse: $11,000 • Post: 6:25P
(PLUS UP TO 30% PABF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES IN 2020 - 2021 OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE AUGUST 3, 2020. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JULY 3 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $4,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY AND ALLOWANCES).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * DERBY CHAMPAGNE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. BUZZ OFF: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. ORCHESTRAL: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. DAHOG: Today is a route and this is the horse's third start after a layoff, after two sprint prep races. LOTTA COOL TIMES: Horse ra nks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
6	DERBY CHAMPAGNE	3/1	5/1
10	BUZZ OFF	4/1	6/1
7	ORCHESTRAL	7/2	7/1
5	DAHOG	5/1	9/1
4	LOTTA COOL TIMES	20/1	10/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	LOTTA COOL TIMES	4	20/1	Front-runner	83	81	85.3	0.9	0.0
7	ORCHESTRAL	7	7/2	Front-runner	81	75	73.4	70.4	61.9
3	AWESOME HALO	3	8/1	Front-runner	80	67	66.8	67.8	55.3
6	DERBY CHAMPAGNE	6	3/1	Stalker	85	79	56.9	77.7	74.7
10	BUZZ OFF	10	4/1	Alternator/Stalker	84	76	61.8	76.2	70.2
5	DAHOG	5	5/1	Trailer	81	74	38.0	66.6	61.1
8	C THE KING	8	10/1	Alternator/Trailer	75	66	53.8	66.6	49.1
11	HOT TRAFFIC	11	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	79	71	70.6	56.6	40.6
9	DEEP THINKER (IRE)	9	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	82	86	63.0	63.0	45.5
1	BOOT LEGGER	1	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	72	71	57.2	64.6	49.6
2	DAWOOD	2	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	81	78	47.8	63.4	54.9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Indiana Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 5 - Allowance - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $38000 Class Rating: 66

FOR REGISTERED INDIANA BREDS FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JULY 3 ALLOWED 2 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 7 TIMELESS GLORY 8/5
# 1 PEEKACHICA 10/1
# 3 EMILY LANE 8/1

I think TIMELESS GLORY is a very good choice. Granitz has this filly racing well and is a competitive selection based on the formidable speed figures put up in route races recently. Will most likely compete admirably in the early speed clash which bodes well with this group of horses in this race. Had one of the best speed figures of this group in her last outing. PEEKACHICA - Has some interesting angles which make this one a play. Should best this field here, showing solid figs of late. EMILY LANE - Reliable average Equibase Speed Figures in dirt route races make this horse a solid contender. Her 59 average has this filly with among the top speed figures in this competition.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Belterra Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 2 - Optional Claiming - 8.5f on the Turf. Purse: $16600 Class Rating: 91

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OPTIONAL, STARTER, OR OHIO BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $18,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JULY 3 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $18,000 (CLAIMING RACES FOR

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 9 J W RUCKUS 5/1
# 8 BOTSWANA 6/1
# 2 BLESS THE KITTEN 5/2

J W RUCKUS looks to be a competitive contender. I like the rider on this gelding - decent chance to win the competition. Has very good early speed and will almost certainly fare solidly against this group of horses. Posted a solid Equibase Speed Figure in the latest race. Can run another good one in this contest. BOTSWANA - Has some encouraging angles which make this horse a wager. Look for a formidable attempt with the class drop. BLESS THE KITTEN - Could best this group of horses in this race based on the speed figure - 84 - of his last affair. Should keep the strong string of finishes intact this time out.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Penn National - Race #7 - Post: 8:43pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 61

Rating:

#3 LUNAR STAR (ML=3/1)
#6 LADYOFDRAGONSTONE (ML=4/1)


LUNAR STAR - Searching through the information for this race, I noted right away this horse's last effort was more than meets the eye. Showed good speed, fell back, and then ran evenly. Was in a $4,000 Claiming race at Penn National last out. That race had a class figure of 66 and she is moving down in this event. A certain solid contender. You have to really like that most recent race speed rating, 61, which is the top latest race speed fig of this field. LADYOFDRAGONSTONE - Ran in the last race against much better horses at Penn National. The move to a lower level should suit her well.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 ROBIN'S DESTINY (ML=5/2), #5 COLOR FORCE (ML=7/2), #4 WICKED T (ML=5/1),

ROBIN'S DESTINY - This thoroughbred hasn't shown much life in the last pair of affairs. COLOR FORCE - Not probable that the speed figure she registered on July 16th will be good enough in this race. WICKED T - No pace in this field to help set-up her closing kick.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - LUNAR STAR - Advancing each step of the way, this thoroughbred has recorded significant increases in her speed figures over her last two races.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #3 LUNAR STAR on top if we're getting at least 7/5 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [3,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tommy King Wins	MLB	PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES ‑160	1	0	+100
Tys Terrific Tips	MLB	ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS/SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS u9.5	0	1	-110
Insider Sports Report		No pick yet	0	1	-110
The Money Team Wins Sports		No pick yet	0	1	-120
Mikey Sports	MLB	NEW YORK YANKEES ‑1.5 ‑155	0	0	0
Pure Lock	MLB	SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS ‑160	0	0	0
R and R Totals	MLB	SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS/ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS u9.5	0	0	0
Rocketman Sports	MLB	NEW YORK YANKEES ‑1.5 ‑125	0	0	0
Winning Cappers	MLB	CHICAGO WHITE SOX ‑1.5 ‑115	0	0	0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price

Aug 03 '21, 7:10 PM in 11m
MLB | SEA vs TAM
Play on: OVER 8 -115

Dave's Tuesday Free Play:
1* on Mariners/Rays OVER 8
The Key: This is a pretty low total because both the Rays and Mariners have underrated lineups. The Rays have scored 5 or more runs in 15 of their last 24 games overall. The Mariners have scored 3 or more runs in 10 straight games and 15 of their last 16 games overall. Both starting pitchers come in struggling in this one. Yusei Kikuchi is 0-2 with a 7.31 ERA in his last 3 starts for the Mariners. Luis Patino is 1-1 with a 4.86 ERA in his last 3 outings for the Rays, and 1-2 with a 4.73 ERA in 6 starts this year overall. The OVER is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 games. The OVER is 4-1 in Rays last 5 games. The OVER is 6-0 in the last 6 matchups in Tampa Bay. Take the OVER.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels

Aug 03 '21, 7:10 PM in 11m
MLB | Mariners vs Rays
Play on: Mariners +145 at Caesars

Free Play on Mariners +145

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones

Aug 03 '21, 7:10 PM in 11m
MLB | Red Sox vs Tigers
Play on: Tigers +131 at SC Consensus

Jack's Free Pick Tuesday: Detroit Tigers +131
The Detroit Tigers have quietly gone 42-33 in their last 75 games overall despite being an underdog in almost every game. They have been one of the best money makers in baseball this season. And they are being overlooked as home dogs to the Boston Red Sox in Game 1 of this series Tuesday.
The Red Sox come in struggling with four straight losses. They are 1-5 in their last six games overall and scoring just 2.7 runs per game during this stretch. It won't get any easier against Detroit's Wily Peralta, who is 3-2 with a 3.76 ERA and 1.131 WHIP in eight starts this season.
Peralta is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA in two home starts this season while pitching 9 2/3 shutout innings. He'll be opposed by Garrett Richards, who is one of the weak links in Boston's rotation. Richards is 6-6 with a 5.15 ERA and 1.658 WHIP in 20 starts this season.
Detroit is 11-2 in its last 13 home games. The Tigers are 8-2 in their last 10 games following a win. Bet the Tigers Tuesday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals Guru

Aug 03 '21, 7:10 PM in 11m
MLB | MIN vs CIN
Play on: OVER 9 +105

Free Total Annihilator On Twins vs Reds over 9 +105

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Black Widow

Aug 03 '21, 7:10 PM in 11m
MLB | Twins vs Reds
Play on: Twins +126 at William Hill

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Twins +126

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Jeff Alexander

Aug 03 '21, 7:10 PM in 11m
MLB | Twins vs Reds
Play on: Reds -124 at BetVegas

1* MLB - Twins/Reds FREE PICK on Reds -124
Tuesday's Free MLB Pick is on the Cincinnati Reds as a -124 home favorite against the Minnesota Twins. Reds are playing some of their best baseball right now. Cincinnati has won 5 of their last 6. Minnesota on the other hand has lost 6 of their last 8. Twins starter Kenta Maeda has 5.67 ERA and 1.370 WHIP in 11 road starts this season. Reds starter Tyler Mahle has given up just 2 runs in his last 11 innings of work. Bet the Reds -124!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn

Aug 03 '21, 7:10 PM in 11m
MLB | Twins vs Reds
Play on: Reds -122 at BetVegas

1* Free Play on Reds -122

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins

Aug 03 '21, 8:05 PM in 1h
MLB | Angels vs Rangers
Play on: Rangers +115 at SC Consensus

1 Dimer on Rangers +115