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Thread: Wednesday 8/4/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

  1. #21
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    Arthur Ralph

    FreePlay WED: Rockies w/ Gray -155

  2. #22
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    Vegas Steam Line

    Your free winner for Wednesday: KANSAS CITY/CHICAGO WHITE SOX UNDER the total of 8½ runs

  3. #23
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    High Stakes Syndicate

    Free Selection for Wednesday: Detroit Tigers + 145

  4. #24
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    John Anthony Sports

    Your John Anthony Free Selection for Wednesday:
    Atl/StL UNDER 9 runs

  5. #25
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    Tony Sacco

    Tony Sacco's Free Play for Wednesday:
    Bost/Det UNDER 9 runs

  6. #26
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    Hollywood Anthony

    Your Free Play from Hollywood

    MLB Take Washington w/Espino -110

  7. #27
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    Trace Adams

    Wednesday free play will be to lay the juice with the Yankees on the Run Line as they finish up their 3 game set with the Orioles with another convincing win over Baltimore.

    After losing Monday's series opener by a 7-1 score, the Yankees bats woke up last night as they were able to score 13 times in their 13-1 romp over the O's in last night's middle game and although Matt Harvey has been pitching well, I prefer to lay the run-and-a-half with the Yankees who are now on a 6-2 run over their last 8 games and gaining ground in the division standings.

    Jameson Taillon was just named "pitcher of the month" for the month of July and he enters his first August start with a 6-0 mark and a 2.28 ERA over his last 8 starts.

    New York's bats have been mostly silent during their recent run, but a night like last night is what they are capable of on a regular basis.

    Tonight's Harvey's stretch of 3 straight start with 6 scoreless innings pitched will end rudely as the Yankees continue to connect at the dish.

    2* N.Y. YANKEES -1 1/2 RUNS

  8. #28
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    Jay McNeil

    Last night saw the Angels post a massive 11 runs in their 11-3 win that obviously landed Over the posted total.

    Tonight the series will end with an Under as Shohei Ohtani opposes Kolby Allard.

    The Angels have played Unders in 4 of their last 6 games entering Wednesday's action, while the Rangers have held Under the total in 5 of their last 9 games entering this third of four games to be played in Arlington.

    Ohtani went 2-0 with a 1.35 ERA in his 3 July starts, while Allard comes into this start with Unders in 7 of his 11 starts on the season.

    Look for this one to hold Under the total on Wednesday.

    2* L.A. ANGELS-TEXAS UNDER

  9. #29
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    Bobby Ligs

    Event: (951) Pittsburgh Pirates at (952) Milwaukee Brewers
    Sport/League: MLB

    Date/Time: August 4, 2021 2PM EDT
    Play: Total Under 8.5 (-120) S Brault (LHP), F Peralta (RHP) Must Start

  10. #30
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    Kevin Dolan

    Event: (209873) D.C. United at (209874) Columbus
    Sport/League: MLS

    Date/Time: August 4, 2021 7PM EDT
    Play: Columbus -118
    3* Client Play - Columbus Crew -118
    Bounceback game for the Crew here as they come off a humiliating 4-1 defeat to New York City FC at the weekend.
    That was Columbus' first loss in seven games however and they remain undefeated at home this season, winning four of seven games inside MAPFRE Stadium.
    DC United meanwhile come into this one off a three game unbeaten run but have struggled on the road this year, amassing just one win from nine away from home and have beaten Columbus just once inside this venue over their last thirteen H2H meetings.
    We expect a firm bounceback here from the home side in what should be a routine 1-0 or 2-0 home win for the Crew in this one.
    PLAY: COLUMBUS CREW -118

  11. #31
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    Ralph Michaels

    Event: (979) Houston Astros at (980) Los Angeles Dodgers
    Sport/League: MLB

    Date/Time: August 4, 2021 9PM EDT
    Play: Houston Astros +179 J Odorizzi (RHP), M Scherzer (RHP) Must Start
    Taking a shot fading Scherzer in his first LAD start

  12. #32
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    Free Winners for Wednesday, August 4th 2021 from THE LEGEND!
    FREE MLB PICKS
    Mets @ Marlins
    TIME: 7:10 PM EST
    PICK: Bet OVER 7.5 @ Bovada

  13. #33
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    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Arizona Downs

    Arizona Downs - Race 7
    $1 Exacta / $2 Quinella / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta $2 Daily Double (Races 7-8)
    Maiden Claiming $3,500 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 55 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 5:18P
    FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,500. ARIZONA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
    Contenders
    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line
    Accept
    Odds

    Race Type: Dominant Trailer. RISE UP MOSCOW is the Dominant Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * RISE UP MOSCOW: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. EXPRESS PERMISSION: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey/ Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. OFF THE BOOKS: Today is a route and this is the horse's third start after a layoff, after two sprint prep races. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
    4
    RISE UP MOSCOW
    9/5
    7/2
    5
    EXPRESS PERMISSION
    2/1
    4/1
    7
    OFF THE BOOKS
    3/1
    9/2

    P#
    Horse (In Running Style Order)
    Post
    Morn
    Line
    Running Style
    Good
    Class
    Good
    Speed
    Early Figure
    Finish Figure
    Platinum
    Figure
    3
    EL PATRON JET
    3
    7/2
    Alternator/Stalker
    56
    55
    35.8
    35.8
    28.3
    5
    EXPRESS PERMISSION
    5
    2/1
    Trailer
    60
    42
    46.6
    46.6
    41.6
    4
    RISE UP MOSCOW
    4
    9/5
    Alternator/Trailer
    0
    0
    53.9
    53.9
    51.4
    7
    OFF THE BOOKS
    7
    3/1
    Alternator/Trailer
    62
    57
    43.4
    43.4
    37.4
    2
    DEPUTY KNIGHT
    2
    15/1
    Alternator/Trailer
    0
    0
    29.2
    29.2
    20.7
    6
    RULING THAT STORM
    6
    20/1
    Alternator/Trailer
    0
    0
    21.6
    21.6
    9.1
    1
    HIGH FLYIN TIGER
    1
    20/1
    Alternator/Trailer
    0
    0
    15.2
    15.2
    2.2

  14. #34
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    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Assiniboia Downs



    Assiniboia Downs - Race 2
    .20 PICK 3 (Races 2-3-4) / .20 SUPERFECTA / .20 TRIACTOR / EXACTOR / QUINELLA
    Stakes • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 CR: 59 • Purse: $35,000 • Post: 8:05P
    GRADUATION S. - 2-YEAR-OLDS. WEIGHT: FILLIES: 119 LBS. COLTS AND GELDINGS: 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES LIFETIME ALLOWED 2 LBS. FEES: NOTHING TO NOMINATE- $300 TO ENTER - $300 TO START.
    Contenders
    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line
    Accept
    Odds

    Race Type: Lone Front-runner. MEAN MONEY is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * DIAMOND DIGGER: Horse is highest ranked on Good Speed and Good Class. Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. MEAN MONEY: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaste r Power Rating.
    3
    DIAMOND DIGGER
    2/5
    5/2
    1
    MEAN MONEY
    3/1
    7/2

    P#
    Horse (In Running Style Order)
    Post
    Morn
    Line
    Running Style
    Good
    Class
    Good
    Speed
    Early Figure
    Finish Figure
    Platinum
    Figure
    1
    MEAN MONEY
    1
    3/1
    Front-runner
    53
    50
    79.6
    47.4
    43.9
    3
    DIAMOND DIGGER
    3
    2/5
    Stalker
    53
    71
    63.5
    67.3
    65.3
    2
    SPEIGHTSFORCE
    2
    10/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    0
    0
    30.3
    19.9
    14.9
    Unknown Running Style: KITON (12/1) [Jockey: Lewis Dwight Anthony - Trainer: Brown Shelley], THIRSTY EARS (15/1) [Jockey: Stephenson Neville - Trainer: Ross Courtney].


  15. #35
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    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Ajax Downs

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.




    Race 2 - Allowance - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $13000 Class Rating: 69

    QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR ONTARIO SIRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 120 LBS.

    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    # 4 SENOR PAGRANA 5/2
    # 1 DOWN IN CAROLINA 2/1
    # 5 MAGIC DOWN THERE 8/5

    SENOR PAGRANA is tough to overlook as the bet in here. Broadstock has this gelding moving well and is a solid choice based on the very good speed figures garnered in short races recently. The speed rating of 59 from his most recent affair looks very good in here. Gamblers ought to take a good look at this one as this gelding has one of the best win percentages at this distance in this group. DOWN IN CAROLINA - Could provide positive returns based on strong recent Equibase Speed Figures with an average of 56. Had one of the top speed figures of this field in his last race. MAGIC DOWN THERE - Boasts reliable Equibase Speed Figures on average overall when compared with the rest of this group of horses. The average Equibase class rating of 55 makes this one tough to beat.

  16. #36
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    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delaware Park

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.




    Race 1 - SO - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $19000 Class Rating: 93

    FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS IN THE LAST FIVE STARTS OR CLAIMING PRICE $5,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 4, 2021 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000

    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    # 4 IT'S FATE 8/1
    # 6 JEEZUM JIM 3/2
    # 5 AULD LANGE SYNE 5/2

    I've got to go with IT'S FATE and is a respectable value bet given the line. Has performed soundly lately in route races, posting a nifty 74 avg speed rating. Shows reliable Equibase Speed Figures on average overall when compared with the rest of this group of horses in this race. Going in a dirt route race gives this gelding a very good shot. JEEZUM JIM - He has been running solidly and the Equibase Speed Figures are among the most respectable in this group. This gelding with Cruz in the irons makes him a key contender. AULD LANGE SYNE - Could beat this group given the 84 speed rating garnered in his last outing. Has formidable Equibase Class Figures relative to this field - worth a look.

  17. #37
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    Free Winners for Wednesday, August 4th 2021 from THE LEGEND!
    FREE HORSE PICKS
    DELAWARE PARK
    RACE #7
    TIME: 4:15 PM EST
    PICK: BET #6 Hushed Hijinks 7/2 odds to win @ Bovada

  18. #38
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    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



    Presque Isle Downs - Race #3 - Post: 5:35pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $17,000 Class Rating: 72

    Rating:

    #8 LIMONATA (ML=10/1)
    #3 PUFFER FISH (ML=8/1)
    #1 CYBERBURG (ML=7/2)
    #4 BETTERTHENYOURX (ML=5/1)


    LIMONATA - It looks like Martinez had to become familiar with this filly on July 13th when riding her for the initial time. Back on again today. 52-60-72 are last 3 speed ratings. Improving each time out is something she should do again in today's race. Have to make this filly a contender; she comes off a good race on July 13th. PUFFER FISH - Rice drops her down to this class level. You don't need too much more handicapping info to figure that this horse will be one to beat at this level. Don't often see a beneficial return on investment like +146. This jock/trainer tandem has done well together over the last twelve months. I think this mare is very sharp right now. I like the fact that Rice brings her back to a race so quickly. This mare is rounding her way back into shape. Should run well today. After a nice race two starts ago, this horse bounced. Now today, I expect another good performance. CYBERBURG - Martin enters this thoroughbred in a spot where she should fit well based on her last two Equibase speed figs. Filly's win percentage is better than 50 percent in first and second starts off a vacation. This jockey and trainer's horses have been producing a profitable return on investment. I like the hard fact that this filly's last figure, 75, is tops in this field. BETTERTHENYOURX - Ran last out against much better horses at Presque Isle Downs. The move to a lower class level should suit her well.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #6 MIDNIGHT PIRATE (ML=5/2), #5 TRANS MISSISSIPPI (ML=3/1), #2 QUICKSTRIKE (ML=6/1),

    MIDNIGHT PIRATE - Didn't hit the board on July 14th after the long layoff. Be doubtful of this one this time around. TRANS MISSISSIPPI - If she goes off anywhere near the morning line odds of 3/1, I'll have to pass. QUICKSTRIKE - Difficult to take this runner at this price after the finish position (sixth) in the last race. Difficult to put your dough on the win end of any thoroughbred that finishes second and third as often as this one does. Could be tough for this animal to beat this bunch off of that last speed fig. Unlikely to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's class figure, so put her on the likely underpriced contenders list.



    STRAIGHT WAGERS: Play #8 LIMONATA to win if you can get odds of 9/2 or more
    EXACTA WAGERS: Box [1,3,8]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    None
    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None

  19. #39
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    Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Saratoga



    08/04/21, SAR, Race 10, 6.13 ET
    08/04/21,SAR,10,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:38:01 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $60,000. (UP TO $10,440 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN OR CLAIMING. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, races for Three-Year-Olds and Older will be run at One Mile and One Eighth and Two-Year-Old races will be run at Seven Furlongs on the Main Track). (Rail at 18 feet).
    . . . .
    Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
    After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
    Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
    100.0000 11 Claddagh's Run 12/1 Franco M Weaver George FC 113 31.86 2.02/$1
    098.7007 7 Mopolka 10/1 Cohen D Rice Linda EL 113 31.86 2.02/$1
    098.6897 15 Trumpet Lilly 8/5 Gaffalione T Amoss Thomas M. 156 32.05 1.71/$1
    098.6797 6 Theodora Grace 20/1 Castellano J Albertrani Thomas 113 31.86 2.02/$1
    098.6488 10 Ocean Air 7/2 Ortiz. Jr. I Clement Christophe 113 31.86 2.02/$1
    098.6384 12 Hohohoho 5/1 Davis D Morley Thomas 113 31.86 2.02/$1
    097.7412 5 Kitten by the Sea 4/1 Ortiz J L Pletcher Todd A. 113 31.86 2.02/$1
    097.0707 2 Be Up 8/1 Saez L Thomas Jonathan T 113 31.86 2.02/$1
    096.8091 13 Viburnum 8/1 Ortiz J L Danner Kelsey S 113 31.86 2.02/$1
    095.9949 14 Sweet Franny Lu 20/1 Castellano J Morley Thomas W 113 31.86 2.02/$1
    095.6166 1 Come Storming 12/1 Rosario J Klesaris Steve 113 31.86 2.02/$1
    094.8424 16 Kerik 8/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Noda Orlando 113 31.86 2.02/$1
    094.5048 4 Honor Hop 8/1 Velazquez J R Lynch Brian A. 113 31.86 2.02/$1
    093.9670 8 Evidence Based 12/1 Gaffalione T Potts Wayne 113 31.86 2.02/$1
    093.5668 9 Rose E Holiday 15/1 Lezcano J Ryerson James T. 113 31.86 2.02/$1
    091.9876 3 Wicked Amber 20/1 Samuel J L Persaud Randi 113 31.86 2.02/$1
    Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 30.77, ROI 1.84/$1
    Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.2993
    [Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
    [All Turf] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry)
    If Race Is Off Turf

    Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
    After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
    Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
    100.0000 12 Hohohoho 5/1 Davis D Morley Thomas 203 37.93 1.10/$1
    099.6254 5 Kitten by the Sea 4/1 Ortiz J L Pletcher Todd A. 71 47.89 1.44/$1
    099.4418 15 Trumpet Lilly 8/5 Gaffalione T Amoss Thomas M. E 71 47.89 1.44/$1
    098.6399 10 Ocean Air 7/2 Ortiz. Jr. I Clement Christophe 71 47.89 1.44/$1
    098.6215 2 Be Up 8/1 Saez L Thomas Jonathan T 71 47.89 1.44/$1
    098.5846 7 Mopolka 10/1 Cohen D Rice Linda L 203 37.93 1.10/$1
    096.0071 16 Kerik 8/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Noda Orlando 203 37.93 1.10/$1
    095.8217 4 Honor Hop 8/1 Velazquez J R Lynch Brian A. 203 37.93 1.10/$1
    095.1301 13 Viburnum 8/1 Ortiz J L Danner Kelsey S 71 47.89 1.44/$1
    094.8172 1 Come Storming 12/1 Rosario J Klesaris Steve 71 47.89 1.44/$1
    094.3204 11 Claddagh's Run 12/1 Franco M Weaver George C 71 47.89 1.44/$1
    092.9190 8 Evidence Based 12/1 Gaffalione T Potts Wayne 71 47.89 1.44/$1
    092.8475 14 Sweet Franny Lu 20/1 Castellano J Morley Thomas W 71 47.89 1.44/$1
    092.4488 9 Rose E Holiday 15/1 Lezcano J Ryerson James T. 203 37.93 1.10/$1
    092.2094 6 Theodora Grace 20/1 Castellano J Albertrani Thomas F 71 47.89 1.44/$1
    089.8289 3 Wicked Amber 20/1 Samuel J L Persaud Randi 71 47.89 1.44/$1
    Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 33.33, ROI 0.92/$1
    Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.3746
    [Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
    [All Dirt] Does Not Carry High Weight

  20. #40
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    Rocketman Sports MLB CINCINNATI REDS ‑1.5 ‑115 1 0 +100
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