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Al Cimaglia: Hambletonian Preview
August 5, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
The field for the 96th Edition of the Hambletonian-$1,000,000 Purse
1-Delayed Hanover (7/2)-Trainer Ake Svanstedt had four entries in the Eliminations and three qualified for the Final. This colt was forwardly placed last week with Dexter Dunn between the pipes and took advantage of an efficient trip to roll by down the lane in a snappy 151.1. As it turns out Yannick Gingras will steer this son of Southwind Frank as Dunn chose Nancy Tatker's pupil Really Fast, who leaves from post 7. That move caught me by surprise, normally drivers will stick with an Elimination winner. Gingras will likely leave and be on the lead or close to it throughout. Winner of 4 of 12 starts should be a main player and has hit the board in 5 of 6 M1 races with one picture.
2-Take All Comers (12-1)-This Jim Campbell trainee started from past 8 in his Elimination and finished a good 4th rolling the back half in 55.1. Dave Miller is the usual pilot, and he will be steering in the Final. Miller is the right kind of driver for this son of Creatine. He has the patience to work a stalking trip and this colt has enough gate speed to get a good early seat. Big M record is 0-3 but has hit the board in 10 of 16 lifetime with 3 wins. Might be a notch below the best of this field but could be used in gimmicks at a price.
3-Spy Booth (15-1)-This is 1 of 3 Takter trainees who made the Final. This colt is still a maiden and Tim Tetrick will be in the sulky. But the $460,000 yearling purchase looks much better now than when put away last September. Takter has commented, this horse went from ignorant to willing. That said, it would still be an upset if he crossed the wire first and hasn't won in 8 starts in East Rutherford.
4-Captain Corey (3-1)-The good news for the Svanstedt barn is they have the pre-race favorite going into the Hambo. Coming off a gate-to-wire score leaving from post 4 in 151.2, the morning line status is deserved, especially after being parked through the opening quarter. But if his colt lands on the point in the early going most likely someone will race at him. It should be difficult to set the fractions to his liking. Svanstedt takes a seat behind his own pupil who has won 7 of 11 lifetime. Corey has finished no worse than 2nd in 3 M1 starts and has been in the winner's circle twice. Should be a major player, but the question will be the trip. Not sure a picture will be happening without leading at the top of the lane.
5-Locatelli (15-1)-This is another Takter entry and will be driven by Andrew McCarthy. Scott Zeron had the lines in the Elimination. The effort wasn't anything special, but it was Zeron's first time steering and he drove conservatively. Should offer a big price, has had some breaking issues, and doesn't look like a trip to the winner's circle is likely.
6-Sonofamistery (4-1)-Went off at 2-1 and was handled cautiously last week. Actually, was fortunate to qualify as was blocked down the lane but Brain Sears got the job done. The Marcus Melander trainee has a 150.2 mark this year and that is the fastest in the field. Sears won the 2012 Hambo with this colt's sire Muscle Hill and the dam is Mistery Woman who was a top trotter. Melander is seeking his first Hambletonian victory and Sears will be shooting for number four. To add to the back story this colt was purchased because of the white heart on his forehead. Beyond the cute story is a fine young trotter with a legit shot if minds his manners.
7-Really Fast (5-1)-This is Nancy Takter's #1 pupil and the Big M's top driver Dexter Dunn will be at the controls. Dunn's pick over #1 is a talented colt, winning 4 of 8 starts all at the Big M. If there is reason to doubt this son of Muscle Hill it would be a lack of seasoning. He did not race at 2 and has the fewest number of races (8) in the field. But that also makes his accomplishments this year even more amazing and evidently Dunn believes this colt is just scratching the surface. Qualified on 7-17 after breaking stride in 2 straight starts on 6-11 and 7-10. Since then, has been good and one of the breaks was on a sloppy track (7-10). The fractions should be lively and Dunn may be the fastest of all trotting down the lane. But this will be the first time this colt races in consecutive weeks.
8-Venerate (8-1)-Julie Miller's trainee has only 5 starts this year after being named the 2020 Dan Patch Two-Year-Old Trotter of the Year. This post draw does compromise chances of cashing the top check but with over $807k in the bank it's not an impossible task. Did stop the timer in 152 flat last week, which was his fastest time this year. Similar to #6, raced from the back, finished well and could have more to give in the Final.
9-Ambassador Hanover (15-1)-This is the last of the Svanstedt stable entries and the least likely to hit the board from this post. Last week's effort was dull but good enough to qualify even with a 28.4 last quarter. This Chapter 7 colt banked some nice money this year with a 2nd place finish in the $500,000 Yonkers Trot. Actually, had a nice span of races in June and July and maybe now his form is starting to roll over. Scott Zeron will be at the controls.
10-Cuatro De Julio (10-1)-This son of Trixton will be driven by 29-year-old Lucas Wallin who makes his Hambletonian debut but has trained 3 Oaks finalists. Finished 2nd to Delayed Hanover in his Elimination and was forwardly placed throughout after leaving from post 1. Doesn't appear to have enough gate speed to get a close-up seat from out here, and the post draw may have sealed his fate.
Jeff Siegel's Del Mar Analysis - Thursday, August 5, 2021
August 5, 2021
Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.
RACE 1: Post: 2:00 PT Grade: C
Use: 4-Paige Runner; 7-Smiling Anne
Forecast: Northern California shipper Smiling Anne makes her third start off a long layoff, landing in a modest bottom-rung claiming main track miler for fillies and mares that should be within her capabilities. An old pro with 11 career wins, the B. McLean-trained daughter of Trappe Shot likes to stalk, pounce, and go, and in this $8,000 seller she should be able to pick her spot close to the pace and then have her chance from the quarter pole home. Paige Runner was a 13-length winner earlier this year at Santa Anita in a starter optional claimer that earned a speed figure 16 points better than what is par for a bottom-rung seller such as this. But since then, in three races, she really hasn’t gotten close, hence the sharp drop in class. She does have a prior win over the Del Mar main track so perhaps against this group she’ll bounce back. These are the two we’ll be using in rolling exotic play in a race that we’ll otherwise sit out.
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RACE 2: Post: 2:30 PT Grade: B+
Use: 1-Tom’s Surprise; 4-Respect the Hustle
Forecast: Tom’s Surprise just missed in the Bertrando S. at Los Alamitos when earning a career top speed figure in a much tougher spot than this starter’s $16,000 allowance turf miler. Though he’s unproven on grass – in his only prior turf start he finished fourth in a five furlong sprint up north – the son of Tom’s Tribute is bred to run long on the lawn and today gets his first chance to do just that. He has good tactical speed, so from the rail the J. Wong-trained gelding projects to enjoy an ideal pace-stalking, ground-saving trip. For protection, you can include Respect the Hustle on a back-up or saver ticket. The veteran son of Colonel John is slower on figures than our top pick but is a genuine and consistent type and broke his maiden over this course and distance as a 2-year-old a few years back.
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RACE 3: Post: 3:00 PT Grade: B
Use: 1-Esagerare; 4-Angel of Freedom
Forecast: Angel of Freedom, third in each of his three starts and earning a career top speed figure in her most recent outing despite a rough trip, has trained well over this track for her first outing since mid-May, and the daughter of Flatter should fire her best shot in this maiden main track miler for fillies and mares. We’re expecting the daughter of Flatter to settle in behind the leaders and then grind away from the quarter pole home. Esagerare exits a softer maiden optional claiming sprint in her California debut but earned a decent speed figure when staying on with interest to finish third. She stretches out to a distance she’s bred to like, adds blinkers and Lasix, and switching to K. Desormeaux. From her rail post she should enjoy a ground-saving, stalking trip for a low profile but underrated outfit. These are the two we’ll be using in rolling exotic play.
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RACE 4: Post: 3:30 PT Grade: B-
Use: 1-Studly Perfection; 2-T Bones Trick
Forecast: T Bones Trick returns to his claim and winning level after finishing a distant second for $16,000 behind a next-out winner in a highly-rated race at Los Alamitos in late June. Back with $8,000 sellers, the J. Wong-trained gelding should be capable of regaining his winning edge. The veteran son of Midnight Lute prefers patient tactics and will be doing his best work from the top of the lane to the wire. Studly Perfection got burned up in a speed duel on opening day when the track was quite deep along the fence, so while he did falter under pressure in the final furlong, the K. Mulhall-trained gelding should stick a whole lot better today against this easier group over a main track that has gradually moved toward being bias-free. Always at his best as the controlling speed, the son of Majesticperfection knows where the wire is (nine career victories) and seems likely to take full advantage of his rail draw. We’ll prefer T Bones Trick on top but include both in rolling exotic play.
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Race 5: Post: 4:00 PT Grade: C
Use: 1-Bossy Soul; 5-Patriot Missile; 8-Consider Me Gone
Forecast: One of these bottom-rung maiden claimers will earn a diploma in this lackluster main track miler for fillies and mares. We’ll try to get by using just three in a race that we’ve graded a “C” (least preferred, or pass). Consider Me Gone seems logical after finishing second in a similar affair at Los Alamitos in a race in which she pressed the pace throughout and then hung on gamely through the long stretch drive. She returns following a month layoff with a couple of recent easy drills to have her on edge, so we’ll put the P. Eurton-trained daughter of Dialed In on top and hope that she can turn in two alike. Bossy Soul is guaranteed a ground-saving trip from the rail and won’t have to improve much off her second place effort at Los Alamitos on the same day but a different race that our top pick exits. ‘Soul’s race actually had quicker early splits and a tick faster final time, so with just four previous starts the M. Glatt-trained filly has every right to be a major player. Patriot Missile makes a significant trainer change to C. Gaines and could improve a bunch with this class drop from straight maiden company. She continues to work like she can run a bit, at least enough to be competitive against this group.
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RACE 6: Post: 4:30 PT Grade: B-
Use: 3-New Ice; 7-Bella D; 11-Keep Dancing
Forecast: This grass grab bag for first-level allowance state-bred fillies and mares over a mile has a several possibilities. Nice Ice, the probable pace-setter from her favorable inside draw, is a two-time winner (and twice placed) in six starts over the Del Mar turf course. The J. Mullins-trained mare has been freshened for a couple of months after a grueling runner-up effort when tagged close home in a starter/optional affair at Santa Anita that earned a good number. Give that same time of trip, she should be capable of regaining her winning form. Bella D., a fast-finishing third sprinting on grass in her last two outings, stretches out again and has routed well in the past, so the extra distance shouldn’t be an issue. Third with a career top number last time out, the M. Puype-trained filly will need some help up front but if the fractions are at least normal she should have an opportunity to make some noise late. Keep Dancing is stuck way out in the 11-hole, but she’s been genuine and consistent of late, so if she can manage to get over and get some cover the daughter of Clubhouse Ride may be a legitimate threat from off the pace.
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RACE 7: Post: 5:00 PT Grade: B-
Use: 2-At the Spa; 4-Gianna’s Wild Cat; 7-It’s Simple
Forecast: It’s Simple broke her maiden at first asking from the rail at Santa Anita and looked good doing it, shaking off a pace rival entering the lane and then drawing clear. She was visually more impressive than the 55 Beyer speed figure gives her credit for, so based on pure numbers she will have to improve, but we think she’s seems likely to do just that. However, it should be noted that the daughter of Nyquist is entered back tomorrow in the Sorrento S.-G2 and therefore not a certain starter today, though this state-bred event certainly is where she belongs. At The Spa, also entered tomorrow in the Sorrento, already is a stakes winner after breaking her maiden in her debut and then returning to capture the Fasig-Tipton Debutante S. at Santa Anita in June. Yet, her speed figures aren’t really better than most of the others in this field and she’s only defeated a combined eight runners in those two races, so it’s hard to gauge just how good she really is. Gianna’s Wild Cat, far back when chasing home It’s Simple in her debut, franked the race by returning to graduate easily over the Del Mar main track while making a jump of 41 on the Beyer speed figure scale (now, that’s what we call improvement!). She’ll most likely be outrun early today but could be heard from late if the speed types do each other in.
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RACE 8: Post: 5:30 PT Grade: B+
Single: 3-Algeria
Forecast: The finale is a maiden claiming turf miler that looks made to order for the 9/5 morning line favorite, Algeria. The Irish import will be making his fourth start since arriving in the States, and each of his three previous outings produce rising speed figures, most recently in mid-June when he missed by a neck while well clear of the others in a similar affair at Santa Anita. The R. Baltas-trained gelding switches to leading rider F. Prat, is comfortably drawn inside, and shows a healthy series of workouts at San Luis Rey Downs to tick him over. It all adds up to a logical short-priced rolling exotic single.
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Jeff Siegel's Saratoga Analysis - Thursday, August 5, 2021
August 5, 2021
Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.
RACE 1: Post: 1:05 ET Grade: C+
Use: 1-Mystic Eyes; 2-I’m So Sorry; 5-Cost a Fortune
Forecast: We’ll go three-deep in the Thursday opener, a maiden special weight turf sprint for 2-year-old fillies that went through the sales ring for $45,000 or less. We’re basically flying blind, with no video works to guide us, so we’ll try to survive and advance focusing on breeding and connections. Mystic Eyes is a daughter of Maclean’s Music from the T. Pletcher barn with an okay series of drills and an inside draw, so if she has the early speed that you’d expect from her bloodlines she’ll be in the right spot to display it. I’m So Sorry, an Uncle Mo filly from the B. Lynch barn (fair stats with first-timers), shows a bullet half mile drill (47 2/5 seconds) last month that looks promising, while Cost a Fortune> should be quick (Runhappy) and vans up from Delaware Park without showing anything in her morning trials to tip her hand. Tread lightly here.
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RACE 2: Post: 1:41 ET Grade: C
Single: 8-Danny Deep Cuts
Forecast: Suffice to say this maiden $25,000 claiming sprint for older fillies and mares is one of the weakest races carded so far this meeting. There’s nothing to embrace, so we’ll “guess” that the least exposed of the runners, Danny Deep Cuts, is better than shown and will have every chance to display whatever ability she may have. A voided claim for $25,000 when a troubled fifth in her debut in late May at Belmont Park, she shows up in the R. Rodriguez barn today with blinkers on and will leave from a cozy outside post. Let’s hope that she can break with her field today, and with a clear run outside she may be good enough to handle this soft assignment, though at 7/5 on the morning line she won’t be offering much in the way of wagering value.
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RACE 3: Post: 2:15 ET Grade: B+
Single: 6-Mystery Messenger
Forecast: Mystery Messenger appears much the best on paper in this turf sprint for older $25,000 claimers, and if he brings anything close to his best stuff he’ll handle this group. The only concern is that he’s dropping a notch off a claim following a good runner-up effort last time out. Perhaps trainer R. Falcone, Jr. is simply trying to steal a purse (a healthy one of $55,000, at that), so if the veteran gelding fires his best shot he’ll be along in time as a rolling exotic single.
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RACE 4: Post: 2:49 ET Grade: C+
Use: 2-Turn of Events; 3-Bar Fourteen; 10-Risk Manager
Forecast: The improving Bar Fourteen earned a career top speed figure when beating state-bred rivals on the lead sprinting at Belmont Park in late June and we suspect similar tactics will be employed today. Turn of Events, claimed for $35,000 in his last pair and now in the G. Weaver barn, also went gate-to-wire when registering a nice win with a solid figure, though in his case the early fractions were slow and made his task a lot easier. We suspect Bar Fourteen will get the lead if he wants it, but if he’s taken back to assume the role of a stalker, then ‘Events will be happy to take up the running. What if they hook up? Risk Manager is a first-off-the-claim play for D. Gargan (39%) being protected in this starter’s allowance race and definitely can finish. On all counts, he’s a major player.
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RACE 5: Post: 3:21 ET Grade: C+
Single: Wartime Hero
Forecast: Wartime Hero is another one of those suspicious class droppers that can win or run nowhere. Claimed for 50,000 a year ago July, he returns off a year layoff in a restricted (nw-2) $16,000 affair for new trainer D. Grogan, who isn’t afraid to take a shot and run one cheap. When last seen the son of Empire Maker was finishing far back in the Pegasus S. at Monmouth Park and today returns as a gelding while showing a decent series of recent workouts that may have him fit enough to handle this nine furlong, main track trip. If you need a single in rolling exotic play, he’s a shaky one but if it’s not him, then who? Perhaps this is a good one to simply sit out.
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RACE 6: Post: 3:55 ET Grade: C+
Use: 5-No Time Alone; 9-Eridromos
Forecast: This five furlong turf sprint for maiden New York-bred juvenile fillies didn’t come up particularly strong, which means No Time Alone, runner-up under similar conditions at Belmont Park last month, is the likely choice and one to beat. The W. Ward-trained daughter of Flintshire pressed the pace, stayed on as best she could, and probably won’t need to step forward much to graduate unless there’s a first-timer in the field that is better than average. We’re guessing (and that’s all it is) Eridromos could be just that, so we’ll include her in rolling exotic play. Bred to be quick (Kantharos) and with a series of what looks to be decent drills at Fair Hill, she comes from a low profile barn that has had some success with debut runners in the past. We’ll toss her in on a ticket or two.
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RACE 7: Post: 4:29 ET Grade: B
Use: 2-Mystery Bank; 9-Life On Top
Forecast: Mystery Bank ships up from Florida where he failed to land a blow in a starter/optional turf miler last month in his first outing since being a voided claim following a win last September. The S. Joseph, Jr.-trained colt didn’t get the best of runs and had a right to be a tad rusty as well, so let’s expect a significant forward move today by the 4-year-old colt that ran well on two occasions over the Saratoga turf course last year. The barn’s main guy T. Gaffalione should have him forwardly placed while saving and then have dead aim from the quarter pole home. Life On Top lacks tactical speed and tends to be trouble prone, but after missing as the favorite in two similar starter’s events, most recently in April, the Carpe Diem gelding should be set to fire a big shot off the bench for C. Brown, who has superb stats with comebackers (27% with a flat-bet profit). He’s another with past success over the Saratoga turf course and with some help up front should make his presence felt in the final furlong.
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RACE 8: Post: 5:05 ET Grade: B+
Single: 4-Irish Valor
Forecast: Finger Lakes shipper Irish Valor, in the money in 27 of 43 starts in an admirable career that includes nine victories, was competing for $5,000 last winter but actually fits quite well in this nine furlong main track first-level allowance event for New York-bred older horses. On pure numbers he’s good enough to beat this moderate group and a bullet workout (5f, 1:01b, fastest of eight) last week indicates he’s right on edge. In the frame in his last seven, the son of Dublin projects to settle in mid-pack and then have his chance to grind away when the pressure is turned on. Furthermore, he was nosed out in his only prior outing over the Saratoga main track – two years ago at this distance – in a game effort that produced his career top Equibase speed figure, so in a wide open event that might otherwise require considerable coverage, let’s take a stand with the A. Ferraro-trained six-year-old in the win pool and as a single in rolling exotic play.
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RACE 9: Post: 5:39 ET Grade: X
Single: 3-Lone Rock
Forecast: Here’s today’s free bingo square in rolling exotic play. Lone Rock, successful in six of his last seven starts and an eased-up winner last time out in the Brooklyn S.-G2, picks up six pounds (to 124 lbs.) off that victory in today’s Birdstone S. over a mile and three-quarters but they’d need to pile on a lot more weight than that to give the others a reasonable chance. The son of Majestic Warrior is 11-for-33 during his career and is still improving, having earned his first triple-digit Beyer speed figure in his most recent race, and based on his recent workouts the six-year-old gelding isn’t about to slow down any time soon. At even money on the morning line, he’ll be too short to play in the win pool, but he certainly is a fun racehorse to watch and admire.
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RACE 10: Post: 6:13 ET Grade: B-
Use: 1-Bella Principessa; 3-Mondeuse; 5-Lookin to Fly; 9-Escapewithfriends
Forecast: The finale is a challenging maiden $40,000 claiming inner turf router for state-bred fillies and mares. It actually appears to be a stronger than par race for the level offering several possibilities and require heavy usage in rolling exotic play. Bella Principessa was disappointing when well-backed in an off-the-turf sloppy track event at this level last month at Belmont Park, but both of her grass outings actually were quite good. The daughter of Constitution has good tactical speed, numbers that fit, and switches to one of Rudy’s main guys, I. Ortiz, Jr. Lookin to Fly makes his second start off a long layoff after encountering early trouble and then rallying with interest to be third as the favorite in a turf sprint last month at Belmont Park. The J. Sharp-trained filly adds blinkers for the first time, retains L. Saez, and stretches out to a distance she’s bred to handle. We’re expecting a career top performance today. Mondeuse is the likely pacesetter from her favorable inside draw, and the daughter of Big Brown could take this field a long way if not pressured early. She was nosed out vs. similar as the favorite last time out while earning a career top figure in what already has proven to be productive race. Escapewithfriends, a closing second in her debut in the same race Lookin to Fly exits, overcame early trouble to produce and good late bid and must be given a strong look to build upon that favorable impression while stretching out to a distance her pedigree suggests she’ll like. E. Cancel got to know her and stays aboard for a stable that has strong stats with the second-time starter angle.
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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks
Arlington - Race #5
Arlington - Race #6
Picks Notes #4 Red Hot Devil He should offer a decent number in this short group after the dull main track try against similar. He was a winner at this trip earlier in the meet and might be fast enough to be right up on the splits in a race without a ton of pace. #3 Midnight Blue Note He's a pretty reliable finisher who now goes off the claim for a capable Reavis barn, but the race flow may not really work in his favor, so an underneath slice might be it. #2 Royal Commish He was in with better last out, so the class drop offers hope for better, and he has turned in a handful of pretty nice races on this course in the past. Race Summary Red Hot Devil is fast enough to be in the mix early, and he may offer a decent price at a level at which he certainly has some proving to do.
Arlington - Race #8
Picks Notes #7 Magician Stone He'll be a price after the debut run, but he was bothered back to last out of the gate and made a pretty nice move while splitting horses on the turn before flattening inside the 3/16 pole. Doesn't hurt that he's by solid turf sprint sire Street Boss. Worth a shot. #3 Adios Usher This mare has produced runner after runner, but most of the best work has come on the main track, namely synthetic footing. Have to respect the barn and pedigree, but he feels like an underlay. #5 American Chaos Debuts for a barn that has had a touch for this type in the past, and he might be ready enough to land a share out of the box with the leading rider up. Race Summary Magician Stone ran better than it looks at first glance in his debut try on the main track, and maybe he's a price winner here with a cleaner go and a step forward on the surface switch.
Picks Notes #7 Magic Solution Think she's going to land a pretty perfect trip from just behind the speed players, and she might be able to hold the finishers after getting first jump. #6 She's a Big Star She has occasionally shown some ability to pass horses, so her best chance may come by sitting back off the splits and hoping that a couple of the forward players go just a bit too fast. Price worth including underneath at least. #2 Stack Shack She's a forward player who has done her best work right up on the pace, so the race flow here may not be all that much in her favor. She's probably good enough to work out a trip anyway. Race Summary Magic Solution and Stack Shack look like the main players on the win end, and I'll try to get She's a Big Star in the picture with one of those two logical runners.
Frank Carulli's Daily Picks
Harrah's Philadelphia - Race #2
Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #3
Picks Notes #2 VINTAGE GIRL Last not true, take right back against similar foes. #6 JENORA N Sustained first-over rally from post 8 to run second, Tetrick's choice. #1 LIVINGTHEDREAM Landed minor share in 2 of last 3 starts, projects ideal trip. Race Summary Vintage Girl finished behind several of the same rivals she meets again, but only after she was trapped and shuffled and finished on her own courage. Her price is sure to go up from 4-to-5 last week, making her a must play.
Yonkers - Race #10
Picks Notes #1 IN THE MOOD Lived up to the hype in first start despite wide run through lane. #9 BETTER DOUBLE FLIP Second from on the pace, third from off the pace in two starts at track. #7 BUENA SUERTE Showed pulse in second qualifier, broke stride on race night. Race Summary In The Mood was patiently handled in a heavily-bet debut and surged in time after she was forced to go 4-wide for the stretch drive. The future appears bright for the 2yo filly, who draws the rail tonight. Play 1-7 an 1-9 exactas.
Picks Notes #5 EDGE OF ETERNITY Made good first impression locally, gets ideal set-up. #4 DRAGON ROLL Couldn't contain second fave through fast back half at this level. #1 CHECKERED PAST No factor in last pair, rail helps in this spot, Bartlett back in bike. Race Summary Edge of Eternity held second through a :55.3 back half while chasing the odds-on favorite. She should work out a good trip with several rivals vying for early position and should maintain good betting value. Play a 5-ALL exacta.
Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks
Del Mar - Race #6
Del Mar - Race #7
Picks Notes #3 Nice Ice Set the pace and was caught in the final strides of her latest; has been solid in three of her last four and drops to her lowest level in a while. #9 Pawnee Was second at this level two back and went up to stakes company and was fourth in the Melair; her best makes her a legit threat here. #8 Big Clare Was second vs. similar two races back, and while not consistent, she has some very good performances to her credit. Race Summary Nice Ice runs very well on the front end and likely will be in that position today; solid performances in three of her last four.
Del Mar - Race #8
Picks Notes #2 At the Spa Was dominant in her two starts, including in the Fasig-Tipton Debutante at Santa Anita in her latest; will have no problem with the 5.5 furlongs after running shorter distances. #7 It's Simple Put away early challenges and romped in her only start; serious threat to the top one. #8 Ko Olina Has an experience edge as she's raced four times and twice has been victorious; will try for the lead, like most of the rest. Race Summary At the Spa was very sharp in both races and the only edge she has over It's Simple is that she has the stakes win.
Picks Notes #1 My Indy Was second in his latest, which was the best run of his career; likely will come from off the pace and should be able to save a lot of ground along the way. His 14th career start could be the one that puts him over the top. #3 Algeria Lost a photo last time out and can be close-up throughout this one; improved in each of his three U.S. starts after starts his career in Ireland. #2 Winzer Can improve in this drop from maiden special weight and will loom as a late threat; capable of a big run at this maiden level. Race Summary My Indy has been improving and has a decent chance of delivering at a price; can benefit from following an honest pace.
Mike Wynn
Free Pick: Cincinnati w/Gray -220 over Pittsburgh
Razor Sharp
YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR THURSDAY: PHILADELPHIA/WASHINGTON UNDER the total of 8½ runs
Totals4U
Thursday's Free Selection: Cleveland Indians/Toronto Blue Jays over 9
Atlantic Sports
Thursday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Seattle Mariners + 175
#1 Sports
Thursday's Free Play: Cincinnati Reds - 220
Platinum Plays
- Your Free Pick: Houston w/Valdez -260 over Minnesota
Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Thursday : Take PITTSBURGH/CINCINNATI UNDER the total of 9 runs
Hawkeye Sports
Thursday's Free Pick: Chicago White Sox - 200
Huddle Up Sports
Thursday Free Play
Boston Perez -125
Arthur Ralph
FreePlay THURS Giants w/ Wood-160
Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Thursday: KANSAS CITY/CHICAGO WHITE SOX UNDER the total of 9½ runs
High Stakes Syndicate
Free Selection for Thursday: Washington Nationals + 145
John Anthony Sports
Your John Anthony Free Selection for Thursday:
Minn/Hstn OVER 9½ runs
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